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Old 11-12-17, 10:40 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Estimates:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Thor: Ragnarok BV $56,600,000 -53.9% 4,080 - $13,873 $211,589,707 $180 2
2 N Daddy's Home 2 Par. $30,000,000 - 3,575 - $8,392 $30,000,000 $69 1
3 N Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $28,200,000 - 3,341 - $8,441 $28,200,000 $55 1
4 2 A Bad Moms Christmas STX $11,510,000 -31.3% 3,615 - $3,184 $39,873,626 $28 2
5 3 Jigsaw LGF $3,420,000 -47.9% 2,651 -290 $1,290 $34,354,093 $10 3
6 4 Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween LGF $2,070,000 -54.4% 1,900 -302 $1,089 $45,920,463 $25 4
7 5 Geostorm WB $1,545,000 -51.6% 1,685 -981 $917 $31,623,892 $120 4
8 7 Blade Runner 2049 WB $1,410,000 -39.3% 863 -601 $1,634 $88,001,297 $150 6
9 6 Happy Death Day Uni. $1,312,000 -51.4% 1,564 -620 $839 $54,954,605 $4.8 5
10 26 Lady Bird A24 $1,249,358 +242.8% 37 +33 $33,766 $1,781,438 - 2
11 10 Let there be Light ADC $1,093,662 -35.6% 773 +131 $1,415 $5,918,556 - 3
12 9 Only The Brave Sony $950,000 -50.5% 1,207 -866 $787 $17,073,916 $38 4
13 8 Thank You for Your Service (2017) Uni. $895,000 -59.5% 1,348 -735 $664 $9,106,390 $20 3
14 11 The Foreigner STX $750,000 -53.0% 737 -719 $1,018 $33,443,122 $35 5
15 12 Victoria and Abdul Focus $675,000 -44.1% 637 -159 $1,060 $21,136,704 - 8
16 19 The Florida Project A24 $579,370 -8.6% 229 +40 $2,530 $3,839,248 - 6
17 20 My Little Pony: The Movie LGF $525,000 -12.9% 592 -193 $887 $21,536,241 - 6


My Little Pony has outgrossed a bunch of higher profile movies this year, that amuses me a little, but not bad for a "Same Day As Theaters" VOD release.
Old 11-12-17, 10:44 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Pretty amazing for Daddy's Home 2. Critics hated it but according to Cinemascore, audiences liked it (A- grade).
Old 11-12-17, 07:35 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

That's a really good result for Orient Express too. Usually adult-oriented movies with middling reviews get similar B.O., but I guess the all-star cast and Agatha Christie association got butts in the seats. My matinee screening was sold out today.
Old 11-18-17, 08:32 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Justice League has rounded down to $93.3m estimate for the weekend after a $38.4m Friday (including $13m Thursday).
Wonder has rounded up to $27.4m estimate for the weekend (initial estimates were under $14m).

I like to round to the closest weird number that has nothing to do with anything apparently.

The fan response to JL makes me think it will still cross $100m by a decent margin this weekend.

Lady Bird has quietly climbed to #8 with $2.4m on 238 screens.

1.) Justice League (WB), 4,051 theaters / $38.4M Fri. (includes $13M previews) / 3-day cume: $93.5M / Wk 1

2.) Wonder (WB), 3,096 theaters / $9.4M Fri. (includes $740K previews) / 3-day cume: $27.3M / Wk 1

3). Thor: Ragnarok (DIS), 4,080 theaters / $5.9M Fri. (-69%) / 3-day cume: $21M (-68%) / Total cume: $246.6M / Wk 3

4.) Murder on the Orient Express (FOX), 3,354 theaters (+13)/ $4M Fri. (-63%) / 3-day cume: $14.3M (-50%)/Total: $52.2M/ Wk 2

5.) Daddy’s Home 2 (PAR), 3,575 theaters (0) / $3.9M Fri. (-64%) / 3-day cume: $13.5M (-54%)/ Total: $49.3M/Wk 2

6.)The Star (SONY), 2,837 theaters / $2.7M Fri. (studio did not report previews) / 3-day cume: $9.1M / Wk 1

7). A Bad Moms Christmas (STX), 2,948 theaters (-667) / $2.3M Fri. (-43%)/ 3-day cume: $7.3M (-36%) / Total cume: $51.3M / Wk 3

8). Lady Bird (A24), 238 theaters (+201) / $740K Fri. (-%) / 3-day cume: $2.4M (+100%)/ Per screen: $10K / Total cume: $4.6M / Wk 3

9.) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, MO (FSL), 53 theaters (+49) / $283K Fri. (+175%) / 3-day cume: $901K (+180%) / Per screen average: $17K /Total: $1.3M Wk 2

10). Jigsaw (LG), 1,201 theaters (-1,450) / $286K Fri. (-75%) / 3-day cume: $885K (-74%) / Total cume: $36.3M / Wk 4

Noteworthy:

Roman J. Israel, Esq. (SONY), 4 theaters / $18K Fri. /PTA: $14K/ 3-day cume: $56K / Wk 1
Old 11-18-17, 08:38 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

So JL will be a bonafide critical and box office failure. No way they can make back the amount of cash they’ve dumped into this thing. Hopefully they’ll halt all DC projects and fire everyone making the decisions on the DCU slate and reboot it correctly and not have WB execs calling the shots on these movies.
Old 11-18-17, 08:43 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Critical for sure, box office is just most likely at this point. It has a little under a month to pull in whatever it can.
Old 11-18-17, 10:30 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I will say that Wonder will be a box office hit. We are backlogged with that book at the library -- all the youngsters have been wanting to read it. I guess it's about a kid with a disfigurement? Don't know why WB would release it to compete with its own film. I they trying to pad the losses from JL?
Old 11-18-17, 11:38 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Why So Blu?
I will say that Wonder will be a box office hit. We are backlogged with that book at the library -- all the youngsters have been wanting to read it. I guess it's about a kid with a disfigurement? Don't know why WB would release it to compete with its own film. I they trying to pad the losses from JL?
Wonder is Lionsgate and it's a good position to take advantage of the Thanksgiving holiday
Old 11-18-17, 02:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
Wonder is Lionsgate and it's a good position to take advantage of the Thanksgiving holiday
Is it Lionsgate? Someone needs to correct that above. It says WB.
Old 11-18-17, 03:34 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Why So Blu?
I will say that Wonder will be a box office hit. We are backlogged with that book at the library -- all the youngsters have been wanting to read it. I guess it's about a kid with a disfigurement? Don't know why WB would release it to compete with its own film. I they trying to pad the losses from JL?
"Wonder"? Is that the Woody Allen film or the Todd Haynes one? Or the one with that female superhero?
Old 11-18-17, 07:54 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
"Wonder"? Is that the Woody Allen film or the Todd Haynes one? Or the one with that female superhero?
it's about disfigured young boy with Julia Roberts and Owen Wilson. maybe for roughly $20 mil and will make almost $30 this weekend. amazing!
Old 11-18-17, 08:34 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Why So Blu?
Is it Lionsgate? Someone needs to correct that above. It says WB.
Deadline fucked up and I'm too lazy to edit it heh
Old 11-18-17, 08:57 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It's crazy to me that Justice League, what should be DC's "Avengers" in hype and excitement, may not crack $100 million in it's opening weekend. I would have at least thought the critical and public success of Wonder Woman would have helped give it a bigger push, especially since the critically ravaged Suicide Squad and Batman V Superman still had big openings from fans.
Old 11-18-17, 11:21 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
"Wonder"? Is that the Woody Allen film or the Todd Haynes one? Or the one with that female superhero?

The Todd Haynes one is Wonderstruck -- from the writer of Hugo. I think the author also wrote the screenplay for it. I hear good things about the film.
Old 11-19-17, 06:20 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
"Wonder"? Is that the Woody Allen film or the Todd Haynes one? Or the one with that female superhero?
Originally Posted by OldBoy
it's about disfigured young boy with Julia Roberts and Owen Wilson. maybe for roughly $20 mil and will make almost $30 this weekend. amazing!
Originally Posted by Why So Blu?
The Todd Haynes one is Wonderstruck -- from the writer of Hugo. I think the author also wrote the screenplay for it. I hear good things about the film.
Ummm, just making a joke about all the movies with "Wonder" in the title coming out at the same time and how audiences must be getting confused.

Maybe now's the time to reissue this one:

Old 11-19-17, 10:56 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

http://deadline.com/2017/11/justice-...ar-1202211094/

Sunday AM writethru: Refresh for updates No great heroic change for Justice League’s prospects this weekend as Warner Bros./DC is reporting its superhero ensemble movie at $96M this morning after a $38.8M Friday (including solid $13M Thursday) and a Saturday of $33M, -15%. The expectation is that Justice League declines 27% today for $24.1M, still an upset for what was expected to be a high point for the DC superhero universe, especially when you consider that tracking had this movie at $110M-$120M projection. Overseas for Justice League posted $185.5M putting the global opening $281.5M. Eleven percent of Justice League‘s B.O. came from 400 Imax locations or $10.3M. That’s the fifth best domestic debut for the large format exhibitor.
Old 11-19-17, 01:20 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

And to think, I got chided for suggesting this would limp across $100m this weekend. It didn't even meet the lowest of expectations.
Old 11-19-17, 01:35 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Geez, will it even crack $300 mil cumulative?
Old 11-19-17, 03:57 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

According to the standard equation of budget/gross/profit used for these things, JUSTICE LEAGUE will have to hit $625 million just to break even, although I suspect that old formula (two-and-a-half times a film's budget) is outdated, given the huge global marketing costs today. Three times its budget seems more likely, although that may be offset by a reduction in print costs since it now goes out digitally.

Still, my guess for break-even would be $750 million.
Old 11-19-17, 05:36 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by E Unit
Geez, will it even crack $300 mil cumulative?
It will get a boost with a long holiday weekend next week, but many reports are saying it's going to have to have serious legs to get where WB expected. I just don't see that happening when December rolls around and Star Wars mania hits.
Old 11-20-17, 06:41 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/19/m...ef=todayspaper

Here's a quote from the NY Times' report on JL's boxoffice take this weekend:

“Justice League” was supposed to be the ultimate box office juggernaut.
The movie features a murderer’s row of superheroes: Wonder Woman, Batman, Cyborg, the Flash, Superman, Aquaman. Some of the world’s most popular stars — Ben Affleck, Gal Gadot, Jason Momoa, Amy Adams — fill out the cast. Joss Whedon, the writer-director behind “The Avengers,” one of the biggest ticket sellers of all time, helped write the screenplay.
In what universe are those four considered "some of the world's most popular stars"? I don't even know who Jason Momoa IS!
Old 11-20-17, 06:51 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
In what universe are those four considered "some of the world's most popular stars"? I don't even know who Jason Momoa IS!
He was in an indie movie called The Bad Batch that was discussed on here. He was also in another small film called Batman v Superman that was discussed on here and he's starring in another small movie called Aquaman, that's being discussed on here.
Old 11-20-17, 06:55 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

And some small show called Game of Thrones
Old 11-20-17, 07:16 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Pfft. some Baywatch fan Ash is.
Old 11-20-17, 12:42 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TomOpus
He was in an indie movie called The Bad Batch that was discussed on here. He was also in another small film called Batman v Superman that was discussed on here and he's starring in another small movie called Aquaman, that's being discussed on here.
Originally Posted by stingermck
And some small show called Game of Thrones
Originally Posted by RichC2
Pfft. some Baywatch fan Ash is.
Just because you've heard of him doesn't make him one of "the world's most popular stars," does it?

Hell, I'm even disputing Ben Affleck's status in that line.


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