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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 06-18-17, 07:35 PM
  #576  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

ROUGH NIGHT had a rough weekend.
Old 06-19-17, 04:54 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Actuals

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Cars 3 BV $53,688,680 - 4,256 - $12,615 $53,688,680 - 1
2 1 Wonder Woman WB $41,268,850 -29.5% 4,018 -147 $10,271 $275,095,580 $149 3
3 N All Eyez on Me LG/S $26,435,354 - 2,471 - $10,698 $26,435,354 - 1
4 2 The Mummy (2017) Uni. $14,510,960 -54.2% 4,034 -1 $3,597 $57,121,660 $125 2
5 N 47 Meters Down ENTMP $11,205,561 - 2,270 - $4,936 $11,205,562 - 1
6 4 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $8,964,039 -16.3% 2,759 -920 $3,249 $150,572,153 $230 4
7 N Rough Night Sony $8,004,283 - 3,162 - $2,531 $8,004,283 $20 1
8 3 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie Fox $7,181,541 -41.0% 2,968 -561 $2,420 $57,795,201 - 3
9 5 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $5,071,732 -19.7% 1,813 -1,098 $2,797 $374,942,747 $200 7
10 6 It Comes At Night A24 $2,601,468 -56.6% 2,450 -83 $1,062 $11,124,631 - 2
11 8 Megan Leavey BST $2,541,644 -33.3% 1,832 -124 $1,387 $8,378,502 - 2
12 7 Baywatch Par. $1,610,987 -65.3% 1,307 -1,525 $1,233 $55,158,487 $69 4
13 N The Book of Henry Focus $1,424,540 - 579 - $2,460 $1,424,540 - 1
Old 06-19-17, 04:58 PM
  #578  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Wonder Woman actuals just keep on beating estimates
Old 06-24-17, 07:53 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Deadline Early Estimates:

1). Transformers: The Last Knight (PAR), 4,069 theaters / $15.65M Wed. (includes Tuesday preview of $5.5M) / $8.1M Thurs. / $13.6M to $14M+ Fri. / 3-day cume: $40M to $42M / Total cume: $65M+ / Wk 1
2). Wonder Woman (WB), 3,933 theaters (-85) / $7.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $27.5M to $27.8M / Total: $319M / Wk 4
3). Cars 3(DIS), 4.256 theaters (o) / $7.7M to $8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $26M to $27M (-52%) / Total: $100M+ / Wk 2
4.). 47 Meters Down(ENT), 2,471 theaters (+201) / $2.2M Fri. / 3-day cume: $6.57M (-38%)/ Total: $23.5M / Wk 2
5.). The Mummy(Uni), 2,980 theaters (-827) / $1.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $6.1M / Total: $68.9M / Wk 3
6.). Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (DIS), 2,453 theaters (-68) / $1.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $6.4M / Total: $161M / Wk 5
7.). All Eyez On Me(LGF), 2,471 theaters (0) / $1.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.4M (-79%)/ Total: $38.2M / Wk 2
8.). Captain Underpants (DWA/20TH), 2,328 theaters (-44) / $1.87M Fri. / 3-day cume: $5.5M to $6.4M / Total: $67M / Wk 4
9.). Rough Night(SONY), 3,162 theaters (0) / $1.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.5M to $5M (-44%)/ Total: $16.5M to $17M / Wk 2
10). Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (DIS), 1,468 theaters (-72) / $1M+ Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.4M to $3.7M / Total: $380.8M / Wk 8
Old 06-24-17, 12:34 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

There was of course an expected drop for All Eyez on Me... but that was a free-form death-spiral plummet.
Old 06-24-17, 01:14 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Like the Pirates franchise, looks like Transformers are running out of steam in the US (Transformers movies have opened in the $100 million range previously). It's somewhat heartening that the message from American audiences is that it isn't enough to crank out expensive heavily advertised sequels/remakes/reboots ... they need to be good too (like GotG2 and WW).

Of course, China just loves the shit out of these overblown crapfests so we'll keep getting more of them (T:LK had the 4th biggest opening all-time in China, behind the last 2 Fast & Furious movies and Stephen Chow's Journey to the West)..
Old 06-24-17, 01:57 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

terrible for Transformers. hope they let the franchise die. great for 47 Meters Down...
Old 06-24-17, 03:14 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

And Wonder Woman had another nice drop.
Old 06-25-17, 11:33 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $45,300,000 - 4,069 - $11,133 $69,095,489 $217 1
2 1 Cars 3 BV $25,175,000 -53.1% 4,256 - $5,915 $99,882,893 - 2
3 2 Wonder Woman WB $25,175,000 -39.0% 3,933 -85 $6,401 $318,380,158 $149 4
4 5 47 Meters Down ENTMP $7,435,000 -33.6% 2,471 +201 $3,009 $24,260,932 - 2
5 3 All Eyez on Me LG/S $5,850,000 -77.9% 2,471 - $2,367 $38,642,319 - 2
6 4 The Mummy (2017) Uni. $5,836,900 -59.8% 2,980 -1,054 $1,959 $68,520,570 $125 3
7 6 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $5,239,000 -41.6% 2,453 -306 $2,136 $160,004,326 $230 5
8 7 Rough Night Sony $4,700,000 -41.3% 3,162 - $1,486 $16,634,947 $20 2
9 8 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie Fox $4,280,000 -40.4% 2,328 -640 $1,838 $65,743,176 - 4
10 9 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $3,000,000 -40.8% 1,468 -345 $2,044 $380,213,327 $200 8
11 15 Beatriz At Dinner RAtt. $1,817,550 +158.9% 491 +414 $3,702 $3,011,330 - 3
12 12 Baywatch Par. $1,458,000 -9.5% 480 -827 $3,038 $56,607,889 $69 5
13 11 Megan Leavey BST $1,216,000 -52.2% 971 -861 $1,252 $10,740,174 - 3
Old 06-25-17, 11:34 AM
  #585  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

What do you want to bet WW is in second with actuals? They're predicting a 10.8% Sunday drop for Cars 3, 22.8% for WW. Yeah, right. It'll another weekend where WW's numbers will be underestimated. WTF Warner?
Old 06-25-17, 11:52 AM
  #586  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It would not surprise me if Transformers takes a 50% or more drop week 2. Despicable Me 3 opens next week and that will almost certainly take #1 next weekend.
Old 06-25-17, 06:48 PM
  #587  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

With Dispicable Me and Cars coming off abysmal previous entries and the Transformers franchise being... well, utter shit, I'm kinda bummed WW didn't just clean house every week.
Old 06-25-17, 07:29 PM
  #588  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Michael Corvin
With Dispicable Me and Cars coming off abysmal previous entries and the Transformers franchise being... well, utter shit, I'm kinda bummed WW didn't just clean house every week.
Well, it's in its fourth weekend and made over $25M. What more do you want?
Old 06-25-17, 08:04 PM
  #589  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by DJariya
It would not surprise me if Transformers takes a 50% or more drop week 2. Despicable Me 3 opens next week and that will almost certainly take #1 next weekend.
It's guaranteed to be more than 50%
Old 06-25-17, 08:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TheMovieman
Well, it's in its fourth weekend and made over $25M. What more do you want?
All the monies!

and I wouldn't mind if all three franchises died a horrible death.
Old 06-26-17, 02:31 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Michael Corvin
With Dispicable Me and Cars coming off abysmal previous entries and the Transformers franchise being... well, utter shit, I'm kinda bummed WW didn't just clean house every week.
I didn't care for Minions, but I thought the first two Dispicable Me movies weren't that bad.
Old 06-26-17, 03:01 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I hear a Batgirl movie is being fasttracked with Wonder Woman's success.
Old 06-26-17, 03:37 PM
  #593  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by mattysemo247
I didn't care for Minions, but I thought the first two Dispicable Me movies weren't that bad.
I thought DM2 was horrendous until I saw Minions. Minions made DM2 look like the greatest comedy ever made.

Then there's Cars 2 which which is pretty reviled along with Transformers.

Essentially 3 franchises whose sole existence is to sell toys and mercandise.
Old 06-26-17, 03:42 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Despicable Me 2 wasn't as good as the first, but I think it was still very entertaining. I'm looking forward to the 3rd movie. Minions was pretty bad.
Old 06-26-17, 03:43 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by PhantomStranger
I hear a Batgirl movie is being fasttracked with Wonder Woman's success.
Well, Whedon is currently doing the re-shoots/pick-ups for Justice League but I'm sure Warner is keen on getting Batgirl out by 2019. If The Batman also comes out that year, would make for a good one-two punch.
Old 06-26-17, 04:45 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $44,680,073 - 4,069 - $10,981 $68,475,562 $217 1
2 2 Wonder Woman WB $24,906,310 -39.6% 3,933 -85 $6,333 $318,111,468 $149 4
3 1 Cars 3 BV $24,074,497 -55.2% 4,256 - $5,657 $98,782,390 - 2
4 5 47 Meters Down ENTMP $7,088,262 -36.7% 2,471 +201 $2,869 $23,914,194 - 2
5 4 The Mummy (2017) Uni. $6,060,495 -58.2% 2,980 -1,054 $2,034 $68,744,165 $125 3
6 3 All Eyez on Me LG/S $5,806,975 -78.0% 2,471 - $2,350 $38,599,294 - 2
7 6 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $5,396,243 -39.8% 2,453 -306 $2,200 $160,161,569 $230 5
8 7 Rough Night Sony $4,703,261 -41.2% 3,162 - $1,487 $16,638,208 $20 2
9 8 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie Fox $4,284,115 -40.3% 2,328 -640 $1,840 $65,747,291 - 4
10 9 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $3,023,042 -40.4% 1,468 -345 $2,059 $380,236,369 $200 8
11 15 Beatriz At Dinner RAtt. $1,759,977 +150.7% 491 +414 $3,584 $2,953,757 - 3
12 11 Megan Leavey BST $1,215,754 -52.2% 971 -861 $1,252 $10,739,927 - 3
Old 06-26-17, 06:18 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

WW has a decent chance at being the #1 movie of the summer domestically, and the worst case scenario is probably #3. Who saw that coming?
Old 06-26-17, 07:01 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Defiant1
WW has a decent chance at being the #1 movie of the summer domestically, and the worst case scenario is probably #3. Who saw that coming?
Probably the same group that saw Beauty and the Beast beating out Guardians 2 by over $100m
Old 06-30-17, 09:10 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

So Baby Driver made $5.7m on Wednesday ($2.1m roll-over from Tuesday) and $3.3m on Thursday for a $9m total cume. Not spectacular but better than initially anticipated. Sony was thinking mid- to high- teens by Sunday, competitors think low- to mid- $20s. It was #1 for both days and looks like it could overtake Transformers this weekend (it'd be in 2nd behind DM3). Of course, it could also end up coming in 5th, not a huge span as Transformers, Cars 3 and Wonder Woman are all looking at roughly the same mid-to-high teens weekend gross.

Apparently Hollywood is watching it closely for a few reasons. One is apparently it's just well liked among movie executives. Two, it's a $34m budgeted, R-rated, non-franchise, original movie opening in a sea of tentpoles. Sort of a social experiment/study on seeing how it performs.

Despicable Me 3 made $4.1m yesterday (6 pm showings onward), The House made $800k

Last edited by RichC2; 06-30-17 at 10:07 AM.
Old 06-30-17, 11:05 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

So why doesn't Tuesday's $$ count towards Tuesday? I've noticed that 'preview' nights are never counted for that night. Why not role that amount into the next day's official premier? Some sort of Hollywood numbers fudging practice to make the official 1st night seem larger?

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