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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 12-23-18, 10:02 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by fumanstan View Post
It'll be interesting to see how Aquaman does in the long run. It's the lowest domestic open for the DCEU, but the Christmas holiday, generally positive reviews, and an already massive overseas take that's close to Justice League's overseas totals should make for a decent success?
We'll know better in the next couple days but odds are very well. It is a rough weekend for a new release due to travel and events but it leads into two weeks of vacation days. Generally movies open on the 14th or 25th instead when Christmas falls on a Tuesday. A Friday falling on the 18th is ideal.

I'm more hoping Bumblebee finds footing so they don't instantly decide to stick with bombast in the future.

Last edited by RichC2; 12-23-18 at 10:09 PM.
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Old 12-26-18, 01:45 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman...ce-1202524462/

8TH UPDATE, 7:30 AM Wednesday: Aquaman had a huge Christmas Day, earning $22M to make it one of six films to gross north of $20M on Christmas after Star Wars pics The Force Awakens ($49.3M), The Last Jedi ($27.4M) and Rogue One ($25.8M), along with Sherlock Holmes ($24.6M), and Avatar ($23M). This takes the James Wan-directed movie to $101M through five days, and with previews $105.7M. Aquaman jumped 102% over its Christmas Eve take of $10.95M.
Disney’s Mary Poppins Returns was second yesterday with $11.5M, +89% over Christmas Eve with a running total of $50.2M over its first week, 108% ahead of The Greatest Showman a year ago over the same number of days. Paramount’s Bumblebee saw $8.9M yesterday, +140% from Monday for a five-day total of $34.2M. The industry is estimating that the Transformers spinoff ends its domestic run around $120M.
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Old 12-26-18, 01:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Not sure comparing any movie to Greatest Showman makes much sense as it was one of the rare recent movies that would only drop 10-15% a week or even outperform the previous week on occasion.
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Old 12-26-18, 01:58 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

If Bumblebee manages to make $120M domestic, I would say that's a huge success coming off the failure that was The Last Knight. I think the good word of mouth and high RT score is going to help entice some who were leery about it.
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Old 12-26-18, 02:02 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by DJariya View Post
If Bumblebee manages to make $120M domestic, I would say that's a huge success coming off the failure that was The Last Knight. I think the good word of mouth and high RT score is going to help entice some who were leery about it.
$120m feels low for them to continue the franchise, hopefully it legs out.
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Old 12-26-18, 02:04 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Of course $120M isn't going to be profitable. It will need to make it's money back from the foreign market, especially China.
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Old 12-28-18, 10:00 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Warner Bros.' superhero pic Aquaman is keeping up its reign at the holiday box office, where it is expected to earn another $15.5 million on Friday for a projected second-weekend gross of $47 million or more, according to early returns.

If those numbers hold, the superhero tentpole will finish Sunday with a domestic total of $184 million, meaning it could clear $200 million by the end of New Year's Day. Globally, Aquaman swam past the $600 million mark on Thursday, including a foreign haul of $492.2 million.
Aquaman also got a 30 day extension in China
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Old 12-30-18, 01:29 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Aquaman has now made $748M worldwide and has passed Suicide Squad to be the #3 movie in the DCEU. Depending on how it does (worldwide), might pass Wonder Woman next week.
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Old 12-31-18, 09:00 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah, Aquaman is doing extremely well.

Ralph Breaks the Internet had a hefty bounce this week as well, it was looking a little anemic a couple weeks ago but had a hefty 39% jump this past weekend and is now at $175m -- it should easily pass #1s $189m and possible crest $200m domestic.
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Old 12-31-18, 10:54 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Impressed by Aquaman, I didn't think it would hold that well in it's second week even with the holiday. I'll eat crow on that one. Glad to see Ralph bounce back, I was a little worried about that one performing worse then the original.
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Old 12-31-18, 04:54 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Aquaman is getting all that Star Wars money that Solo decided to pass on...
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Old 01-02-19, 03:19 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Arthur Curry’s first cinematic solo outing has now grossed $216.3 million in North America and $606.5 million overseas for a global total of $822.9 million, passing Wonder Woman, which brought in $821.8 million in 2017.
https://heroichollywood.com/aquaman-...-wonder-woman/
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Old 01-02-19, 03:28 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

$900 million is a done deal. $1 Billion is a very real possibility.

Either way, this is a huge win for WB and DC. And the movie deserves it. It's wonderfully fun.
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Old 01-06-19, 01:53 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

test:

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Aquaman WB $30,700,000 -41.1% 4,184 +59 $7,337 $259,720,880 - 3
2 N Escape Room Sony $18,000,000 - 2,717 - $6,625 $18,000,000 $9 1
3 2 Mary Poppins Returns BV $15,773,000 -44.4% 4,090 - $3,856 $138,729,305 $130 3
4 4 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $13,010,000 -30.8% 3,419 -394 $3,805 $133,861,346 $90 4
5 3 Bumblebee Par. $12,775,000 -38.9% 3,597 +47 $3,552 $97,128,140 $135 3
6 5 The Mule WB $9,040,000 -25.7% 3,212 +425 $2,814 $81,108,110 $50 4
7 6 Vice Annapurna $5,803,490 -25.3% 2,534 +92 $2,290 $29,796,477 - 2
8 8 Second Act STX $4,910,000 -33.3% 2,523 -84 $1,946 $32,947,075 $16 3
9 9 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $4,685,000 -30.3% 2,050 -293 $2,285 $187,164,171 $175 7
10 7 Holmes and Watson Sony $3,400,000 -54.1% 2,780 +4 $1,223 $28,410,922 $42 2
11 13 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $2,400,000 +2.1% 1,080 +199 $2,222 $193,673,825 $52 10
12 11 Mary Queen of Scots Focus $2,204,000 -18.5% 1,052 +211 $2,095 $13,483,025 - 5
13 12 The Favourite FoxS $1,975,000 -18.7% 771 -39 $2,562 $19,369,336 - 7
14 21 If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $1,849,429 +141.4% 335 +270 $5,521 $4,434,381 - 4
15 15 Green Book Uni. $1,829,000 -3.5% 566 -55 $3,231 $35,252,256 $23 8
16 22 On the Basis of Sex Focus $1,671,000 +143.5% 112 +79 $14,920 $3,769,395 - 2
17 10 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $1,159,000 -71.9% 1,622 -933 $715 $269,612,735 $75 9
18 16 Simmba Relbig. $1,005,087 -42.8% 292 -9 $3,442 $4,115,790 - 2
19 17 Creed II MGM $973,111 -38.6% 893 -175 $1,090 $114,388,337 $50 7
20 20 Instant Family Par. $710,000 -25.6% 604 -140 $1,175 $66,220,028 $48 8
21 14 Welcome to Marwen Uni. $673,000 -69.9% 1,561 -350 $431 $10,397,835 $39 3


Edit: Marwen drove off a cliff.
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Old 01-06-19, 01:59 PM
  #1390  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Good to see Bumblebee pick up some foreign money. China still hasn't been fully accounted for since it only opened there 2 days ago.

I think the movie needs to make about $350-400M to break even/make a small profit.
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Old 01-06-19, 02:03 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2 View Post
test:
Strange, I tried it both in the quick edit and regular reply and the coding was broken. :\
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Old 01-06-19, 02:10 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TheMovieman View Post
Strange, I tried it both in the quick edit and regular reply and the coding was broken. :\
Yeah that is really strange. The old ones I posted have sort of jacked up formatting -- yours are still perfect.

Maybe they're still ironing out some web browser based quirks -- I couldn't edit the other day, at all, in Chrome.
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Old 01-06-19, 02:50 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/b...ZPnrSvefgE8dow

Bumblebee was #1 in the foreign markets this weekend. Made almost $60M in China this weekend. It may have some legs to become profitable.
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Old 01-06-19, 04:07 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Damn, looks like Aquaman should hit 1 billion, it's already the biggest world wide for the DCEU. Although i'm interested in seeing where it ends up landing domestically.
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Old 01-06-19, 04:29 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by fumanstan View Post
Damn, looks like Aquaman should hit 1 billion, it's already the biggest world wide for the DCEU. Although i'm interested in seeing where it ends up landing domestically.
Given the lack of competition for the next couple of weeks (until Glass opens), it should cross $320M or so. In any case, Wan will be commanding top dollar to return.
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Old 01-06-19, 06:01 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I doubt Warner brings Wan back for a sequel. They'll hand the job to a competent, workman-like director (read:cheaper) and give Wan an even bigger property to direct. I can guarantee there are WB executives right now begging him to take over any number of properties, including Superman.
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Old 01-06-19, 06:09 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Warner doesn't seem to have any interest in developing another Superman movie. Basically, if Wan wants to do a sequel (and work with that cast), he'll do the sequel. If the studio is willing to pay Patty Jenkins for WW84, they'll be willing to give Wan a nice pay bump.
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Old 01-06-19, 07:21 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Warner Bros isn't big on rocking the boat, they'll likely keep Wan on board which is great, he seems to have had a much better experience here than he did with F&F7 (and that's ignoring the fact that his star died).
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Old 01-06-19, 07:38 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2 View Post
Warner Bros isn't big on rocking the boat, they'll likely keep Wan on board which is great, he seems to have had a much better experience here than he did with F&F7 (and that's ignoring the fact that his star died).
Speaking of Fast and Furious, if you want to see some of Wan's creativity, watch the featurette on the opening sequence with Statham at the hospital. Pretty cool how that was done in one take.
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Old 01-13-19, 03:28 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It looks like The Upside will pull a surprise victory and dethrone the Atlantean king from his throne.

"SATURDAY AM UPDATE: STXFilms's The Upside is enjoying a stellar debut, bringing in an estimated $6.95 million on Friday with weekend expectations now reaching as high as $19-20 million. The film received an "A" CinemaScore. As a result we're looking at a new #1 this weekend as The Upside will easily push Aquaman into second after the film pulled in an estimated $4.56 million on Friday, heading toward a $15-16 million weekend."

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4474&p=.htm
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