The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
#226
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Not really. I suggested we sticky it as a thread because at one point there was no box office thread for a long time. People are just not that interested in them I guess.
#227
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I keep forgetting it's stickied. I just don't check at the top of the page very often.
#228
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Yeah, I generally skip past the stickies in each forum so I generally forget about this thread too. Individual threads put them front and center.
#229
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
It looks like Independence Day: Resurgence is going to flop.
Finding Dory won the box office again for the second week.
The Shallows finished 4th. I guess Blake Lively is not dead yet as a movie star though she has the looks but not the charisma or acting chops and should probably stick to TV.
Finding Dory won the box office again for the second week.
The Shallows finished 4th. I guess Blake Lively is not dead yet as a movie star though she has the looks but not the charisma or acting chops and should probably stick to TV.
#230
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
It's whatever, the reason the others went away is because of scattered discussion (and general lack of discussion) on anything but the biggest opening weekends.
6/24 - 6/26/2016:
ID4R is low but not an all out flop by any stretch, Shallows impressed, Dory is impressive as hell. Central Intelligence held up well.
Neon Demon averaged a pitiful $775 per screen, I feel kind of bad for Amazon who seemed, at the very least, enthusiastic about it.
Swiss Army Man pulled $114k from 3 theaters for a $38k avg, not a Wes Anderson sized opening but pretty impressive no less.
Me Before You's $50m gross thus far is really impressive to me, mostly because it just doesn't appeal to me at all but they definitely found their market
ID4R is up to $143m worldwide, Central Intelligence is at $83m, The Conjuring 2 at $242.9m, Now You See Me 2 at $159.8m, X-men Apocalypse is at $523.8m, The Jungle Book is at $929.5m, Angry Birds is at $333m.
Just to compare the domestic flops with world wide successes, here are the top 15 movies World Wide for 2016 so far:
6/24 - 6/26/2016:
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ID4R is low but not an all out flop by any stretch, Shallows impressed, Dory is impressive as hell. Central Intelligence held up well.
Neon Demon averaged a pitiful $775 per screen, I feel kind of bad for Amazon who seemed, at the very least, enthusiastic about it.
Swiss Army Man pulled $114k from 3 theaters for a $38k avg, not a Wes Anderson sized opening but pretty impressive no less.
Me Before You's $50m gross thus far is really impressive to me, mostly because it just doesn't appeal to me at all but they definitely found their market
ID4R is up to $143m worldwide, Central Intelligence is at $83m, The Conjuring 2 at $242.9m, Now You See Me 2 at $159.8m, X-men Apocalypse is at $523.8m, The Jungle Book is at $929.5m, Angry Birds is at $333m.
Just to compare the domestic flops with world wide successes, here are the top 15 movies World Wide for 2016 so far:
| Rank | Title (click to view) | Studio* | Worldwide | Domestic / % | Overseas / % | ||
| 1 | Captain America: Civil War | BV | $1,147.6 | $403.9 | 35.2% | $743.7 | 64.8% |
| 2 | Zootopia | BV | $1,016.6 | $340.4 | 33.5% | $676.2 | 66.5% |
| 3 | The Jungle Book (2016) | BV | $929.5 | $358.0 | 38.5% | $571.5 | 61.5% |
| 4 | Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice | WB | $872.7 | $330.4 | 37.9% | $542.3 | 62.1% |
| 5 | Deadpool | Fox | $780.7 | $363.1 | 46.5% | $417.6 | 53.5% |
| 6 | The Mermaid (Mei ren yu) | Sony | $553.8 | $3.2 | 0.6% | $550.6 | 99.4% |
| 7 | X-Men: Apocalypse | Fox | $523.8 | $151.1 | 28.9% | $372.7 | 71.1% |
| 8 | Kung Fu Panda 3 | Fox | $518.6 | $143.4 | 27.7% | $375.2 | 72.3% |
| 9 | Warcraft | Uni. | $412.2 | $43.9 | 10.6% | $368.3 | 89.4% |
| 10 | Finding Dory | BV | $396.9 | $286.6 | 72.2% | $110.3 | 27.8% |
| 11 | Monster Hunt | FR | $385.3 | $32.8k | 0.0% | $385.3 | 100.0% |
| 12 | The Angry Birds Movie | Sony | $333.6 | $104.9 | 31.5% | $228.7 | 68.5% |
| 13 | Alice Through the Looking Glass | BV | $249.1 | $74.6 | 29.9% | $174.5 | 70.1% |
| 14 | The Conjuring 2 | WB | $242.9 | $86.9 | 35.8% | $156.0 | 64.2% |
| 15 | London Has Fallen | Focus | $195.7 | $62.5 | 31.9% | $133.2 | 68.1% |
Last edited by RichC2; 06-26-16 at 10:04 PM.
#231
DVD Talk God
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=id42.htm
It's already made $143M with worldwide box office factored in.
Of course, there are those who will claim this needs to make like $900M to be "profitable"
I saw it, paid $10.50 to see it, thought it was a decent follow up.
$41M is a very light start and with future week drops factored in, it will probably barely get to $100M in the U.S. I think it will probably top off at $125-130 tops.
Warcraft, on the other hand, it definitely a domestic bomb. I did see it was doing well in China.
It's already made $143M with worldwide box office factored in.
Of course, there are those who will claim this needs to make like $900M to be "profitable"

I saw it, paid $10.50 to see it, thought it was a decent follow up.
$41M is a very light start and with future week drops factored in, it will probably barely get to $100M in the U.S. I think it will probably top off at $125-130 tops.
Warcraft, on the other hand, it definitely a domestic bomb. I did see it was doing well in China.
#232
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Actuals for 6/24 - 6/26:
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#233
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=id42.htm
It's already made $143M with worldwide box office factored in.
Of course, there are those who will claim this needs to make like $900M to be "profitable"
I saw it, paid $10.50 to see it, thought it was a decent follow up.
$41M is a very light start and with future week drops factored in, it will probably barely get to $100M in the U.S. I think it will probably top off at $125-130 tops.
Warcraft, on the other hand, it definitely a domestic bomb. I did see it was doing well in China.
It's already made $143M with worldwide box office factored in.
Of course, there are those who will claim this needs to make like $900M to be "profitable"

I saw it, paid $10.50 to see it, thought it was a decent follow up.
$41M is a very light start and with future week drops factored in, it will probably barely get to $100M in the U.S. I think it will probably top off at $125-130 tops.
Warcraft, on the other hand, it definitely a domestic bomb. I did see it was doing well in China.
I'm happy that it will probably end up grossing more worldwide then most of the other big budget disappointments or bombs this year (Independence Day, TMNT, Alice, Gods of Egypt).
It kind of ends up like Pacific Rim and Terminator Genisys the way the foreign take was so high.
Last edited by fumanstan; 06-27-16 at 10:04 PM.
#234
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Some last minute predictions from some early matinee sales and last nights Preview B.O.:
#1. Finding Dory -- $42M FSS / $52M FSSM --- This will put Finding Dory at around $380m come Monday
Purge Election Year -- $12M Friday / $27.5m FSS / $31.5m FSSM
BFG -- $8M Friday / $23M FSS / $28M FSSM
The Legend of Tarzan -- $8.5M Friday / $23M FSS / $27.5M FSSM
#1. Finding Dory -- $42M FSS / $52M FSSM --- This will put Finding Dory at around $380m come Monday
Purge Election Year -- $12M Friday / $27.5m FSS / $31.5m FSSM
BFG -- $8M Friday / $23M FSS / $28M FSSM
The Legend of Tarzan -- $8.5M Friday / $23M FSS / $27.5M FSSM
#235
DVD Talk God
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Wow, Independence Day: Resurgence is going to fall hard week 2. Funny how it's actually 4th of July weekend and no one is going to see it other than a few die hard fans.
#236
DVD Talk God
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdow...ily&id=id4.htm
Through 7 days Independence Day: Resurgence is way behind the tally of the 1st movie.
But, that doesn't take into account 1996 money and how it was translate now.
It's looking like it will make most of it's money overseas and eventually on DVD/BD.
It hasn't even hit $100M yet domestically through 7 days.
Through 7 days Independence Day: Resurgence is way behind the tally of the 1st movie.
But, that doesn't take into account 1996 money and how it was translate now.
It's looking like it will make most of it's money overseas and eventually on DVD/BD.
It hasn't even hit $100M yet domestically through 7 days.
#237
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Yeah, ID4:R is not doing well, at all. It'll be lucky to crack $100m at this point.
#238
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
3 Day Actuals - Jul 1 - 3rd, 2016:
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Last edited by RichC2; 07-05-16 at 03:28 PM.
#239
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
4 Day Actuals - July 1st - July 4th, 2016:
I'm honestly really surprised at just how well Tarzan did.
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I'm honestly really surprised at just how well Tarzan did.
#240
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Did better than I would've thought too. I'd predict a huge drop next weekend but who knows.
#241
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Weekend Actuals for 7.8.2016 - 7.10.2016:
>
Very impressive opening for the Secret Life of Pets (bettering Zootopia's opening weekend by nearly $30m), and a surprisingly solid hold for The Legend of Tarzan. I am curious to see how well Dory continues to hold moving forward, this being its largest single drop.
Central Intelligence is holding in there really well and Sultan (Bollywood) is kicking some ass at #10 (but averaging better per theater than #2 - #9 on the top 10). Sony has to be happy with how The Shallows performed
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Very impressive opening for the Secret Life of Pets (bettering Zootopia's opening weekend by nearly $30m), and a surprisingly solid hold for The Legend of Tarzan. I am curious to see how well Dory continues to hold moving forward, this being its largest single drop.
Central Intelligence is holding in there really well and Sultan (Bollywood) is kicking some ass at #10 (but averaging better per theater than #2 - #9 on the top 10). Sony has to be happy with how The Shallows performed
Last edited by RichC2; 07-11-16 at 03:38 PM.
#242
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Really early, but THR projecting anywhere between $45-48M
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...rse-45m-911348
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...rse-45m-911348
#243
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
^ It grossed $3.4m on Thursday, which tells us nothing in this case, but $40m+ is respectable, it'll mostly depend on if it has legs or not.
#244
DVD Talk Godfather & 2020 TOTY Winner
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Really early, but THR projecting anywhere between $45-48M
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...rse-45m-911348
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...rse-45m-911348
#245
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Sorry about that, lol
#246
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Box Office: 'Ghostbusters' Wins Friday But Ain't No Monster
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...-friday-911348
Thirty-two years after the original film became a massive box-office hit, Paul Feig's Ghostbusters is finally rolling out in theaters after months of debate over the filmmaker's decision to cast female leads.
The big-budget reboot — arguably the most talked-about film of summer — won the Friday box-office race in North America with an estimated $17.2 million from 3,962 locations but on Saturday will be overtaken by holdover The Secret Life of Pets, which is expected to earn $50 million for the weekend as it races past the $200 million mark domestically.
Conversely, Ghostbusters is looking at $43 million-$44 million, a less-than-spectacular opening considering the movie's $144 million net budget (rebates and tax incentives brought it down from $154 million). Sony is being more bullish in projecting $46.5 million.
Either way, Ghostbusters will be the biggest domestic opening ever for Feig and his frequent collaborator, Melissa McCarthy, but it's also their first franchise tentpole. Their current best is The Heat, which debuted to $39.1 million.
The big-budget reboot — arguably the most talked-about film of summer — won the Friday box-office race in North America with an estimated $17.2 million from 3,962 locations but on Saturday will be overtaken by holdover The Secret Life of Pets, which is expected to earn $50 million for the weekend as it races past the $200 million mark domestically.
Conversely, Ghostbusters is looking at $43 million-$44 million, a less-than-spectacular opening considering the movie's $144 million net budget (rebates and tax incentives brought it down from $154 million). Sony is being more bullish in projecting $46.5 million.
Either way, Ghostbusters will be the biggest domestic opening ever for Feig and his frequent collaborator, Melissa McCarthy, but it's also their first franchise tentpole. Their current best is The Heat, which debuted to $39.1 million.
#247
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I love the "spin" the studio is trying to put on Ghostbusters opening weekend (and many in the press are going along). Since it's not opening huge, they're going with labelling it as Melissa McCarthy's and Paul Feig's biggest opening ever - as if that were some huge hurdle to achieve.
Bottom line is that this movie cost about as much as Independence Day Resurgence and it's going to make about as much domestically. Except Independence Day got the "bomb" label slapped on it by the media, and Ghostbusters is going to get the "moderate hit" label slapped on it. They're BOTH huge disappointments. And there's no way Ghostbusters is going to do as well overseas as Independence Day has been, which means it's wordwide take is almost certainly going to be less.
And that $144 million figure is a joke...we all know with marketing and promotion costs, Sony sunk close to $400 million into this reboot. Feig himself has said the movie needs to clear $500 million worldwide for a sequel to be greenlit.
Bottom line is that this movie cost about as much as Independence Day Resurgence and it's going to make about as much domestically. Except Independence Day got the "bomb" label slapped on it by the media, and Ghostbusters is going to get the "moderate hit" label slapped on it. They're BOTH huge disappointments. And there's no way Ghostbusters is going to do as well overseas as Independence Day has been, which means it's wordwide take is almost certainly going to be less.
And that $144 million figure is a joke...we all know with marketing and promotion costs, Sony sunk close to $400 million into this reboot. Feig himself has said the movie needs to clear $500 million worldwide for a sequel to be greenlit.
Last edited by Shannon Nutt; 07-16-16 at 02:24 PM.
#248
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
$500m going by the multiple of 3 rule would place the budget at $166m. Also, I don't think it was Sony that said it's Feig's highest, I don't think they give a shit, they're busier setting what the expectations were (coming into today, they were estimating $44m - $46m), sites like Hollywood Reporter and Deadline have more of a story if this movie is a big hit or a massive flop, middle of the road like this doesn't give them much to work with.
Regardless, it has a long way to go to be considered a success and it doesn't have China to lean on like many other big budget movies do (ID4:R, Warcraft, etc; )
#249
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Some Friday Numbers:
1. Ghostbusters $17.2m (incl. $3.4m from Thursday night)
2. The Secret Life of Pets $15.06m (-60.9% Friday-to-Friday)
3. Finding Dory $3.31m (-47.4% FtF)
4. Tarzan $3.27m (-47% FtF)
5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates $2.35m (-64.6% FtF)
6. The Purge 3 $1.96m (-51.6% FtF)
7. Central Intelligence $1.56m (-36.3%)
8. The Infiltrator $1.485m
9. The BFG $1.129m (-54.6%)
10. ID4:R $945k (-57.6%)
1. Ghostbusters $17.2m (incl. $3.4m from Thursday night)
2. The Secret Life of Pets $15.06m (-60.9% Friday-to-Friday)
3. Finding Dory $3.31m (-47.4% FtF)
4. Tarzan $3.27m (-47% FtF)
5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates $2.35m (-64.6% FtF)
6. The Purge 3 $1.96m (-51.6% FtF)
7. Central Intelligence $1.56m (-36.3%)
8. The Infiltrator $1.485m
9. The BFG $1.129m (-54.6%)
10. ID4:R $945k (-57.6%)
#250
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Not a very busy weekend.



