Gonna take a few weeks, but if Beauty and the Beast has low drops, it could make it to the $500M mark.

GotG2 over $600 million worldwide.

Actuals from this last weekend:

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 1 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $65,263,492 -55.5% 4,347 - $15,013 $248,420,911 $200 2 2 N Snatched Fox $19,542,248 - 3,501 - $5,582 $19,542,248 $42 1 3 N King Arthur: Legend of the Sword WB $15,371,270 - 3,702 - $4,152 $15,371,270 $175 1 4 2 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $5,400,845 -37.0% 3,067 -528 $1,761 $215,134,775 $250 5 5 5 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $4,809,170 -5.5% 2,172 -508 $2,214 $494,140,334 $160 9 6 3 The Boss Baby Fox $4,496,614 -24.8% 2,911 -373 $1,545 $162,275,884 - 7 7 4 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $3,858,898 -25.0% 1,123 -80 $3,436 $26,251,899 - 3 8 N Lowriders BH Tilt $2,403,885 - 295 - $8,149 $2,403,885 - 1 9 6 The Circle (2017) STX $1,780,689 -55.0% 2,132 -1,031 $835 $18,943,251 $18 3 10 7 Baahubali 2: The Conclusion GrtIndia $1,593,000 -53.2% 375 -44 $4,248 $18,977,072 - 3 11 8 Gifted FoxS $1,541,684 -23.8% 1,426 -448 $1,081 $21,605,717 - 6 12 9 Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony $1,136,573 -38.2% 1,605 -297 $708 $42,154,837 $60 6 13 10 Going in Style (2017) WB (NL) $1,075,044 -41.4% 1,244 -789 $864 $42,387,451 $25 6 14 11 Born in China BV $913,071 -25.1% 1,055 -359 $865 $12,411,554 - 4 15 N The Wall RAtt. $898,013 - 541 - $1,660 $898,013 - 1 16 12 The Lost City of Z BST $507,702 -51.0% 497 -318 $1,022 $7,590,929 - 5

They undershot by a good bit for the top 3. Guardians is crushing it.

Kinda of shocked that Snatched didn't drop by more than 60% this week. Still that is significant based on what several in the industry thought it would pull in overall. Probably top out at $65 mill or so. Not great but not as horrible as I thought it would. I didn't think it would make over $50 mill. King Arthur on the other hand will be one of the biggest bomb's of the summer. Really no surprise there. How about we stop trying to make Charlie Hunnam a movie star. He isn't one...nor will he ever be one.

Agreed about Charlie. My friend wanted to go see it and I told him it would flop. Bad promotion and just didn't look good nor is anyone asking for a movie about this topic. No wonder this movie has been pushed back and back.

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$36,000,000	-	3,761	-	$9,572	$36,000,000	$97	1
2	1	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$35,062,000	-46.3%	4,347	-	$8,066	$301,799,474	$200	3
3	N	Everything, Everything	WB	$12,000,000	-	2,801	-	$4,284	$12,000,000	$10	1
4	2	Snatched	Fox	$7,600,000	-61.1%	3,511	+10	$2,165	$32,782,600	$42	2
5	N	Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul	Fox	$7,200,000	-	3,157	-	$2,281	$7,200,000	$22	1
6	3	King Arthur: Legend of the Sword	WB	$6,850,000	-55.4%	3,702	-	$1,850	$27,201,221	$175	2
7	4	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$3,173,565	-41.2%	2,287	-780	$1,388	$219,883,865	$250	6
8	6	The Boss Baby	Fox	$2,800,000	-37.7%	2,071	-840	$1,352	$166,152,550	-	8
9	5	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$2,403,000	-50.0%	1,792	-380	$1,341	$497,782,049	$160	10
10	7	How to be a Latin Lover	PNT	$2,200,000	-43.0%	948	-175	$2,321	$29,458,810	-	4
11	8	Lowriders	BH Tilt	$1,161,695	-51.7%	365	+70	$3,183	$4,190,080	-	2

Not inconceivable that Guardians overtakes Alien: Covenant with actuals.

Yep, in fact it's likely. They've undershot Guardians each time so far, and R rated movies usually correct down.

Hmm, that's lower then the estimates for Alien though, right? I thought it was predicting over 40.

Yeah, tracking had it at $39m, Friday numbers pushed that up to $40m+, then it was shown to be front loaded and dropped.

Guardians broke $300 million

I hadn't realized how badly King Arthur did at the box office. Someone is losing their job over that mess.

Actuals for 5/19/2017 - 5/21/2017

Alien gets to keep its crown, and a fantastic hold for Guardians. The Fate of the Furious may show a little franchise fatigue in the US (still doing very, very well, especially for #8) but it has pulled in $1.214 billion worldwide.

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Alien: Covenant Fox $36,160,621 - 3,761 - $9,615 $36,160,621 $97 1 2 1 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $34,653,754 -46.9% 4,347 - $7,972 $301,391,228 $200 3 3 N Everything, Everything WB $11,727,390 - 2,801 - $4,187 $11,727,390 $10 1 4 2 Snatched Fox $7,832,517 -59.9% 3,511 +10 $2,231 $33,015,117 $42 2 5 3 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword WB $7,152,269 -53.5% 3,702 - $1,932 $27,503,490 $175 2 6 N Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul Fox $7,126,084 - 3,157 - $2,257 $7,126,084 $22 1 7 4 The Fate of the Furious Uni. $3,234,040 -40.1% 2,287 -780 $1,414 $219,944,340 $250 6 8 6 The Boss Baby Fox $2,848,253 -36.7% 2,071 -840 $1,375 $166,200,803 - 8 9 5 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $2,545,579 -47.1% 1,792 -380 $1,421 $497,924,628 $160 10 10 7 How to be a Latin Lover PNT $2,051,180 -46.8% 948 -175 $2,164 $29,309,990 - 4 11 8 Lowriders BH Tilt $1,183,600 -50.8% 365 +70 $3,243 $4,211,985 - 2 12 11 Gifted FoxS $766,765 -50.3% 824 -602 $931 $22,900,823 - 7 13 13 Going in Style (2017) WB (NL) $600,081 -44.2% 690 -554 $870 $43,372,898 $25 7 14 12 Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony $572,562 -49.6% 652 -953 $878 $43,064,566 $60 7 15 18 Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer SPC $565,554 +47.8% 373 +220 $1,516 $2,273,140 - 6 16 9 The Circle (2017) STX $451,218 -74.7% 684 -1,448 $660 $20,030,002 $18 4 17 14 Born in China BV $371,765 -59.3% 575 -480 $647 $13,137,812 - 5 18 15 The Wall RAtt. $321,050 -64.2% 524 -16 $613 $1,578,770 - 2 19 31 The Lovers A24 $274,050 +118.8% 105 +82 $2,610 $528,495 - 3 20 17 Get Out Uni. $245,135 -38.3% 262 -143 $936 $174,939,840 $4.5 13

Surprised GOTG2 adjusted down.

GotG2 needs $40 million to pass the original in ww gross.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...n-2016-1006020

Box office overall is down 10% from last year.

To be fair, that's just for the month of May. It's not like there were high expectations for King Arthur, and the Alien franchise is always a gamble. Prometheus was released in June, and a lot of people didn't particularly care for it, which didn't help. Stuff like Wimpy Kid shouldn't have a May release. It's a pretty weak May lineup outside of GOTGV2 and Pirates 5. Baywatch is getting bad reviews, but it will probably still open decently (I have no idea how it's tracking).

I put this in the Spider-man thread but figured I'd replicate it here so I don't lose it.

Marvel (Related) Grosses thus far, Domestic and Worldwide

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Gross / Theaters		Worldwide Gross		Date
1	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$623,357,910	4,349	$1,518,812,998	-	5/4/12
2	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$459,005,868	4,276	$1,405,403,694	-	5/1/15
3	Iron Man 3	BV	$409,013,994	4,253	$1,214,811,252	-	5/3/13
4	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$408,084,349	4,226	$1,153,304,495	-	5/6/16
5	Spider-Man	Sony	$403,706,375	3,876	$821,708,551	-	5/3/02
6	Spider-Man 2	Sony	$373,585,825	4,166	$783,766,341	-	6/30/04
7	Deadpool	Fox	$363,070,709	3,856	$783,112,979	-	2/12/16
8	Spider-Man 3	Sony	$336,530,303	4,324	$890,871,626	-	5/4/07
9	Guardians of the Galaxy	BV	$333,176,600	4,088	$773,328,629	-	8/1/14
10	Iron Man	Par.	$318,412,101	4,154	$585,174,222	-	5/2/08
11	Iron Man 2	Par.	$312,433,331	4,390	$623,933,331	-	5/7/10
12	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$308,377,498	4,347	$739,846,293	-	5/5/17
13	The Amazing Spider-Man	Sony	$262,030,663	4,318	$757,930,663	-	7/3/12
14	Captain America: The Winter Soldier	BV	$259,766,572	3,938	$714,264,267	-	4/4/14
15	X-Men: The Last Stand	Fox	$234,362,462	3,714	$459,359,555	-	5/26/06
16	X-Men: Days of Future Past	Fox	$233,921,534	4,001	$747,862,775	-	5/23/14
17	Doctor Strange	BV	$232,641,920	3,882	$677,718,395	-	11/4/16
18	Logan	Fox	$225,935,655	4,071	$607,372,928	-	3/3/17
19	Big Hero 6	BV	$222,527,828	3,773	$657,818,612	-	11/7/14
20	X2: X-Men United	Fox	$214,949,694	3,749	$407,711,549	-	5/2/03
21	Thor: The Dark World	BV	$206,362,140	3,841	$644,571,402	-	11/8/13
22	The Amazing Spider-Man 2	Sony	$202,853,933	4,324	$708,982,323	-	5/2/14
23	Thor	Par.	$181,030,624	3,963	$449,326,618	-	5/6/11
24	Ant-Man	BV	$180,202,163	3,868	$519,311,965	-	7/17/15
25	X-Men Origins: Wolverine	Fox	$179,883,157	4,102	$373,062,864	-	5/1/09
26	Captain America: The First Avenger	Par.	$176,654,505	3,715	$370,569,774	-	7/22/11
27	X-Men	Fox	$157,299,717	3,112	$296,339,527	-	7/14/00
28	X-Men: Apocalypse	Fox	$155,442,489	4,153	$543,934,787	-	5/27/16
29	Fantastic Four (2005)	Fox	$154,696,080	3,619	$330,579,719	-	7/8/05
30	X-Men: First Class	Fox	$146,408,305	3,692	$353,624,124	-	6/3/11
31	The Incredible Hulk	Uni.	$134,806,913	3,508	$263,427,551	-	6/13/08
32	The Wolverine	Fox	$132,556,852	3,924	$414,828,246	-	7/26/13
33	Hulk	Uni.	$132,177,234	3,674	$245,360,480	-	6/20/03
34	Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer	Fox	$131,921,738	3,963	$289,047,763	-	6/15/07
35	Ghost Rider	Sony	$115,802,596	3,620	$228,738,393	-	2/16/07
36	Daredevil	Fox	$102,543,518	3,474	$179,179,718	-	2/14/03
37	Blade II	NL	$82,348,319	2,707	$155,010,032	-	3/22/02
38	Blade	NL	$70,087,718	2,389	$131,183,530	-	8/21/98
39	Fantastic Four	Fox	$56,117,548	4,004	$167,977,596	-	8/7/15
40	Blade: Trinity	NL	$52,411,906	2,912	$128,905,366	-	12/8/04
41	Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance	Sony	$51,774,002	3,174	$132,563,930	-	2/17/12
42	The Punisher	Lions	$33,810,189	2,649	$54,700,105	-	4/16/04
43	Elektra	Fox	$24,409,722	3,204	$56,681,566	-	1/14/05
44	Howard the Duck	Uni.	$16,295,774	1,563	$37,962,774	-	8/1/86
45	Punisher: War Zone	LGF	$8,050,977	2,508	$10,100,036	-	12/5/08
-	Man-Thing	Lions	n/a	-	n/a	-	N/A

Baywatch made $4.5m on Thursday, it's expected to pull in the $30m range for its first 4 days.

Pirates made $5.5m on Thursday (7 pm previews) and is expected to pull $80 - $85m for the 3 day.

So, kind of bombs for both Baywatch and Pirates, right? One would hope $100M for Pirates?

Where do people expect GotG2 to end up at? And what's the over/under Spiderman won't beat the previous ones?

Jacob_b, Pirates is performing about as well as can be expected, considering the last one made an unholy amount in foreign box office, this is actually not a bad start for a film that Disney hopes will once again make foreign box office bank. Baywatch is mostly a dud, but the reviews seem to indicate this film is a misfire and a missed opportunity to create something more along the lines of 21 Jump Street than what made it to theaters.

I am actually a bit bummed that Baywatch has turned out to be a hot mess, as i was looking forward to the final product, but it sounds like they screwed the pooch with this one.

Per Deadline Hollywood... both will under perform. Pirates will do OK with overseas money but will not make over $200 mill domestic.

And I meant 4 day and 5 day, not 3 day and 4 day. My brain is disappointing these days.

3-Day

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$62,179,000	-	4,276	-	$14,541	$62,179,000	$230	1
2	2	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$19,890,000	-42.6%	3,871	-476	$5,138	$333,205,927	$200	4
3	N	Baywatch	Par.	$18,100,000	-	3,647	-	$4,963	$22,706,514	$69	1
4	1	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$10,525,000	-70.9%	3,772	+11	$2,790	$57,347,181	$97	2
5	3	Everything, Everything	WB	$6,185,000	-47.3%	2,801	-	$2,208	$21,541,113	$10	2
6	6	Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul	Fox	$4,400,000	-38.3%	3,174	+17	$1,386	$13,581,961	$22	2
7	4	Snatched	Fox	$3,905,000	-50.1%	2,658	-853	$1,469	$40,184,625	$42	3
8	5	King Arthur: Legend of the Sword	WB	$3,215,000	-55.0%	2,503	-1,199	$1,284	$33,870,202	$175	3
9	8	The Boss Baby	Fox	$1,700,000	-40.3%	1,342	-729	$1,267	$168,957,190	-	9
10	9	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$1,563,000	-38.6%	1,076	-716	$1,453	$500,563,435	$160	11
11	7	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$1,472,545	-54.5%	1,358	-929	$1,084	$222,523,415	$250	7
12	10	How to be a Latin Lover	PNT	$1,000,000	-51.2%	669	-279	$1,495	$30,910,580	-	5

Not overly impressive for Pirates but it'll make coin overseas. Downright bad for Baywatch. And no surprise, huge decline on Alien: Covenant.