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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 06-04-23, 03:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It's very unlikely to. Franchise fatigue and unlike when F9 came out, there is a ton being released.
Old 06-05-23, 07:17 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I’ve been watching back to back from 6. There are entertaining, but it’s like same formula in all them. Same over the top car chases and stunts and it can be exhausting. But, still fun. Yet to start 9.
Old 06-06-23, 02:35 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I think that's very surprising for the Spider-Verse. I thought the predictions were closer to 80-90 for the weekend. Doing 120 smashes all predictions.

For Fast X was there really no other time in the summer to release it? Seems really packed right now with some direct competition. Feels like it would play better around July 4th.
Old 06-06-23, 06:32 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by tanman
I think that's very surprising for the Spider-Verse. I thought the predictions were closer to 80-90 for the weekend. Doing 120 smashes all predictions.

For Fast X was there really no other time in the summer to release it? Seems really packed right now with some direct competition. Feels like it would play better around July 4th.
With Fast X they likely didn't want to compete with Indiana Jones and it has done well with April and May release dates in the past.

The estimates for Spider-Man felt low due to how well liked the first movie was
Old 06-06-23, 11:58 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah maybe they were just playing it safe and secretly hoping for a lot more. It obviously found an audience since the first one released. I know I was a bit skeptical of it as well.

And I don't know if competing with GotG was really any better then Indy.
Old 06-10-23, 10:54 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Friday numbers:

$8.8m in "Fan Preview" and Thursday night previews for Transformers (which I honestly didn't know was coming out this weekend) means it's technically a $16.8m Friday.

Weird timing imho since both Spider-verse and Transformers are going for the exact same demographic, but with an estimated $60m opening it looks like the franchise got some of its box office mojo back following poor openings for Bumblebee ($21.6m) and Last Knight ($44.6m).

Spider-verse dropped 68% but once you get rid of the Thursday night previews from the weekend prior, it's more along the lines of 52% Friday-to-Friday. If that holds, it'll likely come in at around $50 - $55m for the weekend.
Old 06-10-23, 10:29 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

68% drop? That's too bad. I guess 52% is better and more realistic. Hopefully it will still have some good legs and play out more like an animated movie rather than a superhero movie.
Old 06-11-23, 07:50 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

68% drop on Friday, which is normal given that it includes $17.5m in Thursday "preview" ticket sales. For the full weekend it is gearing up to be a 54% drop which is very good for a $100m+ opening.
Old 06-11-23, 10:34 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread



About in line with estimates for a change.
Old 06-11-23, 07:08 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Great per screen average for Past Lives.
Old 06-18-23, 12:05 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread



Poor showings abound for Elemental and Flash, but neither is much of a surprise. Amazing limited debut for Asteroid City (pulling 10x more per theater than Flash.) It kinda seems like there's too much aiming for the exact same audiences right now.
Old 06-24-23, 10:27 AM
  #2062  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Friday numbers, big drop for The Flash




Namely, if you remove the Thursday previews for The Flash last week, it's still a 68% drop week over week. Elemental is at a a 39% drop when compared to last Friday sans Thursday previews.
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Old 06-25-23, 10:09 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah Elemental might have some legs but The Flash not so much.
Old 06-25-23, 10:30 AM
  #2064  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I don't understand WB's strategy at all widely announcing Gunn was rebooting the entire DC movieverse and everything earlier was getting tossed out, that almost completely killed mainstream interest in this Flash film and other DC movies presumably leading up to Superman Legacy. Even if that is true, you don't announce before Flash comes out. Aquaman 2 is almost certainly going to disappoint in box office as well given the trends.
Old 06-25-23, 11:22 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Totals:

Old 06-28-23, 12:07 AM
  #2066  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Maybe not to late to say the Little Mermaid was a colossal failure and finishing in 7th place and it did not play well in Asia either.
Old 06-28-23, 12:24 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by JeffTheAlpaca
Maybe not to late to say the Little Mermaid was a colossal failure and finishing in 7th place and it did not play well in Asia either.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/...ref_=bo_se_r_1

Itís made over $500M worldwide in over 1 month. You think thatís a failure?
Old 06-28-23, 06:49 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by DJariya
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/...ref_=bo_se_r_1

Itís made over $500M worldwide in over 1 month. You think thatís a failure?
The rule of thumb is a film has to make back two-and-a-half-times its budget to break even. If THE LITTLE MERMAID's budget was $250 million, as has been reported, it's only made back twice its budget. So technically still a failure although maybe not a "colossal" one.
Old 06-28-23, 12:59 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I'm not sure what finishing 7th on its 5th weekend has to do with anything though. It has grossed $270m stateside and is likely to sail to $300m, which is more than I would have guessed.

Studios need to reel in movie costs a little. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts apparently cost $200m and only crawled to $342m worldwide.

Last edited by RichC2; 06-28-23 at 01:04 PM.
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Old 06-28-23, 01:05 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
I'm not sure what finishing 7th on its 5th weekend has to do with anything though. It has grossed $270m stateside and is likely to sail to $300m, which is more than I would have guessed.

Studios need to reel in movie costs a little. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts apparently cost $200m and only crawled to $342m worldwide.
He is rooting for the movie to fail. Yet, he'll rent it on BD later this year because of FOMO
Old 06-29-23, 12:04 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I want movies to do well even if I have no plans to see it.
Old 06-30-23, 01:37 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I could care less if DIsney movies do well.

If it is a independent struggling broke filmmaker who mortgaged his house and used credits cards to make a work of art then I have sympathy
Old 06-30-23, 07:49 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

At least you care a little.

Indiana Jones V had previews earnings around $6m - $7.5m, that is on par with Mission Impossible Fallout and No Time to Die.
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Old 07-01-23, 07:59 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
The rule of thumb is a film has to make back two-and-a-half-times its budget to break even. If THE LITTLE MERMAID's budget was $250 million, as has been reported, it's only made back twice its budget. So technically still a failure although maybe not a "colossal" one.
I don't know if I buy the 2.5 times its budget business truth be told, I suspect that's a Hollywood accounting trick that allows them to claim losses and avoid paying points. But I could be wrong.
Old 07-02-23, 11:29 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread


As expected for Indy, undoubtedly disappointing. $130m worldwide.

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