The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
#51
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Reposting from the Star Wars thread -
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4133&p=.htm
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4133&p=.htm
Star Wars: The Force Awakens has already put its stamp on the record books, kicking off its domestic release with an estimated $120.5 million Friday opening. That opening number includes a record-breaking $57 million from Thursday night "previews" and makes this the first film to gross more than $100 million in a "single" day, but the records don't stop there.
The $120.5 million opening day for Star Wars marks the largest Friday, opening day and single day records previously held by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 at $91 million. In just its opening day, the film has also broken the previous December opening weekend and single day records, both of which were held by The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.
The Hobbit's previous December opening weekend record was $84.62 million and the single day record was a paltry $37.13 million, which puts into context just how big this opening really is. Now the question comes down to the film's legs to determine just how high it will go. The overall opening weekend record of $208.8 million, set by Jurassic World earlier this year, will obviously be broken, but by how much?
Industry estimates currently range anywhere from $225-240 million for the weekend.
The $120.5 million opening day for Star Wars marks the largest Friday, opening day and single day records previously held by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 at $91 million. In just its opening day, the film has also broken the previous December opening weekend and single day records, both of which were held by The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.
The Hobbit's previous December opening weekend record was $84.62 million and the single day record was a paltry $37.13 million, which puts into context just how big this opening really is. Now the question comes down to the film's legs to determine just how high it will go. The overall opening weekend record of $208.8 million, set by Jurassic World earlier this year, will obviously be broken, but by how much?
Industry estimates currently range anywhere from $225-240 million for the weekend.
#52
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
$40m Monday for TFA.
#53
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I was on vacation last week, but didn't want to leave out what turned out to be (as expected) a historic weekend for movie going.
As of Wednesday:
1. The Force Awakens: $363,460,329
2. Alvin/Chipmunks: $24,679,441
3. Sisters: $21,831,360
4. The Big Short: $3,777,455 (went wide on Wednesday)
5. The Hunger Games: MockingJay Part 2 - $258.4m
6. The Good Dinosaur: $100,655,155
7. Creed: $90.9m
8. Krampus: $37.8m
9. In the Heart of the Sea: $20.8m
10. Spectre: $195.1m
<<Last Weekend <Last Year | View Index: By Year | By Weekend | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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As of Wednesday:
1. The Force Awakens: $363,460,329
2. Alvin/Chipmunks: $24,679,441
3. Sisters: $21,831,360
4. The Big Short: $3,777,455 (went wide on Wednesday)
5. The Hunger Games: MockingJay Part 2 - $258.4m
6. The Good Dinosaur: $100,655,155
7. Creed: $90.9m
8. Krampus: $37.8m
9. In the Heart of the Sea: $20.8m
10. Spectre: $195.1m
Last edited by RichC2; 12-24-15 at 02:52 PM.
#55
Member
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Another historic weekend. Don't know how to do the boxofficemojo image like Rich, but TFA has the second largest 2nd weekend of all time. Avatar's domestic could be broken before or right after New Year weekend. Simply amazing. Is a billion out of the question domestically? Will be interesting to see where it goes after the holidays, but I'm thinking it will still be doing well but maybe with more traditional blockbuster drops, but many might still be waiting until after the holiday crowds are gone.
Love the movie, want to see it again. Need to change my Avatar vs TFA vote in that inane thread (just ribbing you OldBoy).
Love the movie, want to see it again. Need to change my Avatar vs TFA vote in that inane thread (just ribbing you OldBoy).
#56
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Weekend Numbers for December 25th - 27th, 2015:
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#57
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Mid-week Update:
Star Wars: The Force Awakens had a strong week and is now up to $629m domestically. That places it in 4th place overall in the current All Time - Unadjusted charts and is now Disney's highest grossing movie to date. It likely will surpass Titanic and Jurassic World today.
Daddy's Home had a remarkably strong week as well, on top of its $38m weekend, it has grossed another $20m Monday - Wednesday, it should be at around $85m by the end of the weekend.
Sisters is quietly doing well and approaching $50m, currently at $46.8m. Joy is fairing pretty well for a movie about a mop, crossing $25m since opening last Friday. The Big Short is sitting at around $22m and has a pretty strong per theater average ($1,200, making it 3rd in the top 10.) Concussion is getting knocked around and is crawling forward from at around $15.7m.
Point Break is also suffering a slow demise in another painfully poor release for Warner Brothers. It's currently at $14.4m. Warners last release (In the Heart of the Sea) suffered a similar fate and is sitting at $22.3m. Prior to that, The 33, Our Brand is Crisis, and Pan had similar issues. At least they have Creed, which should cross $100m this weekend.
Hateful Eight scored $3.5m on its first day of wide release (roughly 2000 theaters, up from 100 (it pulled $993k on Tuesday)) and is currently sitting at $10.2m.
Star Wars: The Force Awakens had a strong week and is now up to $629m domestically. That places it in 4th place overall in the current All Time - Unadjusted charts and is now Disney's highest grossing movie to date. It likely will surpass Titanic and Jurassic World today.
Daddy's Home had a remarkably strong week as well, on top of its $38m weekend, it has grossed another $20m Monday - Wednesday, it should be at around $85m by the end of the weekend.
Sisters is quietly doing well and approaching $50m, currently at $46.8m. Joy is fairing pretty well for a movie about a mop, crossing $25m since opening last Friday. The Big Short is sitting at around $22m and has a pretty strong per theater average ($1,200, making it 3rd in the top 10.) Concussion is getting knocked around and is crawling forward from at around $15.7m.
Point Break is also suffering a slow demise in another painfully poor release for Warner Brothers. It's currently at $14.4m. Warners last release (In the Heart of the Sea) suffered a similar fate and is sitting at $22.3m. Prior to that, The 33, Our Brand is Crisis, and Pan had similar issues. At least they have Creed, which should cross $100m this weekend.
Hateful Eight scored $3.5m on its first day of wide release (roughly 2000 theaters, up from 100 (it pulled $993k on Tuesday)) and is currently sitting at $10.2m.
Last edited by RichC2; 12-31-15 at 03:09 PM.
#58
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Star Wars will almost certainly be the #2 domestic film of all time come Monday morning...and pass Avatar's domestic record before mid-January...if it even takes that long. This film is going to make a billion in domestic grosses.
#59
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Opening weekend had the benefit of a massive Thursday night preview which grossed $57m, if you take that out of the $248m overall, it was only a 21.9% drop from Weekend 1 ($191m) to Weekend 2 ($149m). The midweek performance suggests it'll have a 20 - 25% drop this weekend, so a $120m third weekend isn't out of the question -- in which case, it will have Avatar beat by Sunday.
Last edited by RichC2; 12-31-15 at 03:21 PM.
#60
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
If it sticks to its current pattern, it should have Avatar beat by the 5th at the latest. But with schools going back in, and schedules normalizing, it's tough to say how it'll do on the 4th and 5th.
Opening weekend had the benefit of a massive Thursday night preview which grossed $57m, if you take that out of the $248m overall, it was only a 21.9% drop from Weekend 1 ($191m) to Weekend 2 ($149m). The midweek performance suggests it'll have a 20 - 25% drop this weekend, so a $120m third weekend isn't out of the question -- in which case, it will have Avatar beat by Sunday.
Opening weekend had the benefit of a massive Thursday night preview which grossed $57m, if you take that out of the $248m overall, it was only a 21.9% drop from Weekend 1 ($191m) to Weekend 2 ($149m). The midweek performance suggests it'll have a 20 - 25% drop this weekend, so a $120m third weekend isn't out of the question -- in which case, it will have Avatar beat by Sunday.
Based upon how the grosses have been trending, a $100M+ third weekend should be a given. However, with Sunday being the final day before kids go back to school, I wouldn't be surprised with a third weekend in the high $90s.
#61
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
It will also still have the weather working for it here in the NE. I can't remember ever having mid to high 60s in late December/Early January.
#62
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I think it should just beat out Avatar by Sunday. It's just a hair over $130 million short, and it seems like it's been taking in just under $30 mill every weekday this week. Despite being NYE today, I think it'll still be around that number, and I don't think it'll be a huge problem for it to make a bit over $100 million this weekend. The things I'm most interested in seeing are:
1) Will it make $1 billion domestic? I think this is almost a certainty at this point.
2) Can it beat Avatar for the worldwide BO crown? This probably all depends on China? I hear Avatar was huge there, and Star Wars isn't as popular there as elsewhere, so who knows.
3) Where will it fall on the adjusted for inflation list? If it can crack $1 billion domestic, that should put it into the top 10, which would make it the only movie from this century to make it there. A quick google search shows an average ticket price of $8.61... which seems kind of low to me, but I'm used to paying $11 for a regular 2D movie ticket.
1) Will it make $1 billion domestic? I think this is almost a certainty at this point.
2) Can it beat Avatar for the worldwide BO crown? This probably all depends on China? I hear Avatar was huge there, and Star Wars isn't as popular there as elsewhere, so who knows.
3) Where will it fall on the adjusted for inflation list? If it can crack $1 billion domestic, that should put it into the top 10, which would make it the only movie from this century to make it there. A quick google search shows an average ticket price of $8.61... which seems kind of low to me, but I'm used to paying $11 for a regular 2D movie ticket.
#64
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
But the movie has already made $30m domestically, and only had a $44m budget.
#65
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
The top 10 domestic is a pretty exclusive club:
2 for Cameron
2 for Lucas
2 for Nolan
2 for Whedon
2 for the guys taking over Star Wars (1 Abrams / 1 Trevorrow)
2 for Cameron
2 for Lucas
2 for Nolan
2 for Whedon
2 for the guys taking over Star Wars (1 Abrams / 1 Trevorrow)
#66
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
That list will change soon. It won't be long before movies grossing $400m+ are deemed disappointments.
Oh wait, that already kind of happened with Age of Ultron.
Oh wait, that already kind of happened with Age of Ultron.
#67
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Weekend Actuals 2/5/2016 - 2/7/2016:
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#69
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Deadpool just scored the single-biggest day ever for an R-rated movie, and it’s (probably) about to snag the first $100 million+ R-rated opening weekend.
#70
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Deadpool makes history with $150 million holiday weekend:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143
You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143
You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
#71
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Deadpool makes history with $150 million holiday weekend:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143
You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143
You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
#72
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Weekend Estimates for 2/12/2016 - 2/14/2016, 4 Day Estimates later.
Honestly, I think they may be overshooting on Sunday's estimate a little. Still this should clear $125m with no problem. This also made an estimated $125m overseas this weekend for $250m - $260m opening weekend. It still has Japan, South Korea and Italy to open in.
I started playing around on the stock market again recently and have a single call option (worth 100 shares) on Fox stock, I'm authentically curious to see how it reacts to this news.
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Honestly, I think they may be overshooting on Sunday's estimate a little. Still this should clear $125m with no problem. This also made an estimated $125m overseas this weekend for $250m - $260m opening weekend. It still has Japan, South Korea and Italy to open in.
I started playing around on the stock market again recently and have a single call option (worth 100 shares) on Fox stock, I'm authentically curious to see how it reacts to this news.
Last edited by RichC2; 02-14-16 at 12:53 PM.
#74
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
That sound you hear is Ryan Reynolds exhaling in relief as his career is resuscitated. This is a bigger opening weekend than any of the X-Men/Wolverine movies.
#75
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Crazy that it's even the biggest opening weekend for Fox.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/...er=DESC&p=.htm
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/...er=DESC&p=.htm
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