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-   -   Box office predictions: Star Trek (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/554354-box-office-predictions-star-trek.html)

islandclaws 05-08-09 04:31 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
After having seen the film I really hope it gets a solid weekend out of the gate. It deserves to make infinitely more than Wolverine.

Draven 05-08-09 04:31 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I tried to get tickets to multiple showings at multiple theaters last night and they are all sold out. I've not seen that for movies like Harry Potter and Star Wars, so I think this one is going to be huge.

RichC2 05-09-09 12:19 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$25m Friday, $7m Thursday

Matthew Chmiel 05-09-09 09:33 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
It also looks like Wolverine won't be able to do more than $30 million this weekend resulting in a drop of 70%. :thumbsup:

Mr. Cinema 05-09-09 09:45 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9420818)
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.

If Star Trek only makes $30 million today and tomorrow, you'll have guessed correctly!

fumanstan 05-09-09 09:46 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel (Post 9434199)
It also looks like Wolverine won't be able to do more than $30 million this weekend resulting in a drop of 70%. :thumbsup:

That's too bad :down:

Mr. Cinema 05-09-09 09:49 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by RichC2 (Post 9433919)
$25m Friday, $7m Thursday

Steve Mason is predicting $77 million including the Thursday showings and says it should reach $200 million. If word of mouth matches the critical response, I think it can now reach $225 mil or more.

Wolverine earned $9 million Friday on its way to $30 million for the weekend.

Chrisedge 05-09-09 01:26 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema (Post 9434217)
Steve Mason is predicting $77 million including the Thursday showings and says it should reach $200 million. If word of mouth matches the critical response, I think it can now reach $225 mil or more.

Wolverine earned $9 million Friday on its way to $30 million for the weekend.


Originally Posted by Chrisedge (Post 9424787)
$78 Million OW

Looks like I will be pretty close...

Patrick_N 05-10-09 04:29 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by superdeluxe (Post 9423063)
wolverine is not going to have that great legs, but drop 70%? even turds drop less than that. Plus Wolverine might get spill over buisness from star trek.

Box Office Guru : "Kirk and Spock sent Wolverine plunging on Friday to an estimated $8.4M representing a colossal 76% collapse. "

Also "Star Trek may fly to $67-72M over its 3.5-day opening frame"

Shannon Nutt 05-10-09 11:19 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Weekend Estimate is in: $76.5 million

Draven 05-10-09 11:36 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Yay, I got one right. I never do good at these, but I had a good feeling about this one.

superdeluxe 05-10-09 11:37 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by superdeluxe (Post 9422797)
70-75 OW

Pretty darn close :D

Wazootyman 05-10-09 11:37 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Nailed it too. All of the hype made me feel pretty confident about my 75m prediction.

Tracer Bullet 05-10-09 12:08 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I have a question. How can they release weekend figures already? Are Sunday showings not factored in?

Shannon Nutt 05-10-09 12:17 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Tracer Bullet (Post 9435522)
I have a question. How can they release weekend figures already? Are Sunday showings not factored in?

They're an estimate. Actual numbers will come in later. Usually, the estimates are pretty spot-on, but I've seen them change.

BTW, the figure I gave INCLUDES the Thursday showings.

madcougar 05-10-09 03:45 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by madcougar (Post 9424528)
For the record, I love Star Trek and will be there opening weekend. My guess? $60 million making it the biggest Trek opening ever, but not much more.

Whelp... I was off by about $12, but not as way off as those predicting it would do north of $100 million. Final box office take will be in the neighborhood of $155 million. Not too shabby for a Star Trek movie.

You can sex it up all you want, but it's still Star Trek people. And for the record, I've seen it twice and loved it.

Shannon Nutt 05-10-09 04:06 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by madcougar (Post 9435694)
Final box office take will be in the neighborhood of $155 million.

No, final domestic box office will be closer to $210 to $220 million. Generally speaking, a movie winds up making about 3 times its opening weekend, unless it winds up really having "legs" or has horrible "word of mouth" (hello, Wolverine). It will be over $100 million by this time next week.

Chrisedge 05-12-09 03:24 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
BOM reporting for Thur Night - Sunday = $79,204,289

RichC2 05-12-09 03:45 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Made $7.5m on Monday following a $21.1m Sunday.

By comparison, Wolverine made $5.5m on its first Monday following a $21.3m Sunday.

Better comparison perhaps, Iron Man made $6.9m on its first Monday following a $26m Sunday.

This proves absolutely nothing but is mildly interesting just the same. (Supports the good word of mouth theory floating around the interwebs. Or perhaps just skews older.)

A completely unfair comparison just finish up on, The Dark Knight made $24.5m on its first Monday following a $43.6m Sunday.

superdeluxe 05-12-09 03:51 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Huge Number by Star Trek. It has a outside shot at 300 million (might end up around 250-270) if it hits a 3.5 multiplier

Numanoid 05-12-09 08:43 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I'll be giving it another $25 tomorrow night for our second IMAX viewing.

Chew 05-13-09 09:49 AM


Originally Posted by RichC2 (Post 9439733)
Made $7.5m on Monday following a $21.1m Sunday.

If a $5-6mil range is kept up daily until this weekend, the movie could actually crack $100mil before it's second weekend!

I honestly never thought I'd ever say that about a Trek movie! :lol:

RichC2 05-13-09 02:37 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
It made an additional $6.5m on Tuesday. $93.2m and counting.

islandclaws 05-13-09 03:06 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
^ With those kind of weekday numbers it's a virtual lock to be at $100m before Friday.

Goat3001 05-13-09 03:18 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I think this will pull in about $79 million in its opening weekend (that's just a complete guess).


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