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-   -   Box office predictions: Star Trek (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/554354-box-office-predictions-star-trek.html)

Sessa17 05-03-09 01:23 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$91 Million opening take.

Patman 05-03-09 02:15 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I'm going to go with $82 million for opening weekend take. I think the Burger King marketing (TV ads with BK looking like a Burger Klingon) tie-in is going to make a difference. :D

RobLutter 05-03-09 03:07 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I'm thinkin...

45M Thur-Fri
35M Saturday
25M Sunday

= 105M OW.

I don't see it opening less than 90M. The film has buzz and positive reviews out the roof... both the young and older demo are going. I want to go but also my mother wants to go (because she remembers watching the Original Series).

Wolverine is going to sink at least 60% next week... probably closer to 70%. 2/3 of the people who see it think it's just alright or even unremarkable.

superdeluxe 05-03-09 04:47 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by RobLutter (Post 9422916)
I'm thinkin...

45M Thur-Fri
35M Saturday
25M Sunday

= 105M OW.

I don't see it opening less than 90M. The film has buzz and positive reviews out the roof... both the young and older demo are going. I want to go but also my mother wants to go (because she remembers watching the Original Series).

Wolverine is going to sink at least 60% next week... probably closer to 70%. 2/3 of the people who see it think it's just alright or even unremarkable.


wolverine is not going to have that great legs, but drop 70%? even turds drop less than that. Plus Wolverine might get spill over buisness from star trek.

Supermallet 05-03-09 04:50 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I could see a 60% drop for Wolverine happening.

Matthew Chmiel 05-03-09 09:32 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Suprmallet (Post 9423073)
I could see a 60% drop for Wolverine happening.

No. A 60% drop for Wolverine will happen, if not more. Poor word of mouth and the excitement for Star Trek has it as a dead man walking next weekend. I wouldn't be surprised if it takes a 70-80% drop.

After seeing it last night, I still stick by my $50-60 million opening weekend. It may take more (especially due to it being the only PG-13 film of the weekend), but I see it making more of it's money due to the legs the film will have due to positive word of mouth.

movieguru 05-03-09 11:01 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by fumanstan (Post 9422812)
Yeah, that's ridiculous. Unless they thought it was total gross. They should make these polls public :)

I voted for the highest one, but I misread it as total gross. I assumed it was total when I saw the $150 million+. No way trek or any other movie will that anytime soon.

Supermallet 05-04-09 02:04 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel (Post 9423372)
No. A 60% drop for Wolverine will happen, if not more. Poor word of mouth and the excitement for Star Trek has it as a dead man walking next weekend. I wouldn't be surprised if it takes a 70-80% drop.

After seeing it last night, I still stick by my $50-60 million opening weekend. It may take more (especially due to it being the only PG-13 film of the weekend), but I see it making more of it's money due to the legs the film will have due to positive word of mouth.

No way Wolverine takes an 80% drop. That's worse than the drop Hulk had, if I'm not mistaken, and that film was pretty much universally loathed. This movie is mostly getting "meh" reactions.

Chew 05-04-09 06:34 AM

Are there any "official" projections of opening weekend yet?

hapgilmore 05-04-09 09:48 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I say 95 million

OldBoy 05-04-09 10:01 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
i think because of the damned great reviews so far and a re-invention that seems poised to not cater to just fanboys, but all moviegoers a like i say...

$85-100 mil. maybe more open weekend. i think it will surprise. it will do more than $250, probably $300+ by end.

Ginwen 05-04-09 12:04 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I guessed 51-75 million. Based on my past history in these things, that means it will most likely be right up around 100 million.

madcougar 05-04-09 02:15 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
There should have been two different polls here. One for Trekkies and one for everyone else. I can't imagine how anyone can think this is going to open at over $100 million. Many die-hard Trekkies aren't happy about the new crew and will not go on opening week. In my mind the franchise has some stink on it - it reeks of old man. Seriously how many really young fans, 13-29 years old, are there? That's a hypothetical question BTW.

Don't tell me Abrams fans are going to come out in droves. MI3 opened at under $50 million. Cloverfield (which he produced) opened at $40 million.

For the record, I love Star Trek and will be there opening weekend. My guess? $60 million making it the biggest Trek opening ever, but not much more.

fumanstan 05-04-09 02:33 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by madcougar (Post 9424528)
There should have been two different polls here. One for Trekkies and one for everyone else. I can't imagine how anyone can think this is going to open at over $100 million. Many die-hard Trekkies aren't happy about the new crew and will not go on opening week. In my mind the franchise has some stink on it - it reeks of old man. Seriously how many really young fans, 13-29 years old, are there? That's a hypothetical question BTW.

Don't tell me Abrams fans are going to come out in droves. MI3 opened at under $50 million. Cloverfield (which he produced) opened at $40 million.

For the record, I love Star Trek and will be there opening weekend. My guess? $60 million making it the biggest Trek opening ever, but not much more.

I don't know, i'm under the impression that tons of non-fans are interested in this given the exciting look of the trailers and some of the casting. I hate the old Star Trek but this looks pretty awesome to me.

superdeluxe 05-04-09 02:34 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel (Post 9423372)
. Poor word of mouth .

Do we know that for sure? I mean even the votes here is averaging a 3 out of 5 stars. and for a summer action popcorn flick, that is not half bad. Are we just assuming that there will be poor word of mouth?

d2cheer 05-04-09 03:40 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$74 million and some strong legs total somewhere around $185-200 mill or so would be a good guess.

The Bus 05-04-09 04:11 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9420818)
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.

This post pretty much guarantees that Star Trek will do very very well.

superdeluxe 05-04-09 04:25 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Chew (Post 9423687)
Are there any "official" projections of opening weekend yet?

most of the 'tracking' places are saying mid 50's to lower 60's.

Chrisedge 05-04-09 04:27 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$78 Million OW

shizawn 05-04-09 04:31 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
80ish, I should think.

Mr. Cinema 05-04-09 04:53 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by The Bus (Post 9424756)
This post pretty much guarantees that Star Trek will do very very well.

Couldn't agree more. That prediction suggests Star Trek will drop over 60% in weekend 2, and then fade away completely after the 3rd. I mean, are people really excited about Angels and Demons?

Star Trek has 22 reviews in at Rotten Tomatoes, all positive.

TGM 05-04-09 04:58 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I think that the utter disappointment of the Star Wars prequels is actually helping with this relaunch of Star Trek, which is totally weird considering all the nerdboy "you can only be one, a Star Trek fan or a Star Wars fan" fights over the decades. Personally, I was always without a doubt, more of a Star Wars fan (although did enjoy TOS and TNG), but this new "action based" approach is totally winning me (and many others) over.

Sessa17 05-04-09 05:04 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9420818)
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.


Is this post serious or sarcasm, I can't tell.
I would literally bet my DVD & Blu-Ray collection that this movie makes more than 52-55 mill opening weekend & 107 million total domestic.

Supermallet 05-04-09 05:35 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Leave him be, he's just mad because Star Trek has always been a hard-R series and now it's PG-13.

Oh, wait.

OK, OK, I got it. He's mad that this movie is under 2 hours.

Oh, wait.

OldBoy 05-04-09 05:45 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Suprmallet (Post 9424914)
Leave him be, he's just mad because Star Trek has always been a hard-R series and now it's PG-13.

Oh, wait.

OK, OK, I got it. He's mad that this movie is under 2 hours.

Oh, wait.

no, no...it is because it will eventually only be released on Blu-ray as Paramount has that exclusive deal to only release summer blockbusters on Blu-ray :)


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