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mhg83 05-01-09 07:43 PM

Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
opening weekend: 60 million

total take: 200 million

Deftones 05-01-09 07:47 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
why would you go in 25 million increments, but then when you get to 100 go up 50?

mhg83 05-01-09 07:51 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Deftones (Post 9420797)
why would you go in 25 million increments, but then when you get to 100 go up 50?

i accidentally chose 6 options so i had to change the increase.

chris_sc77 05-01-09 08:02 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.

islandclaws 05-01-09 08:15 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I'm going to say it does $52m opening, but I expect good word-of-mouth will carry the final domestic to around $150m.

Shannon Nutt 05-01-09 08:21 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Before I saw it, I would have said $150 million total domestic. Now, having seen it, I don't think $250 million is unrealistic. But I'll go with $225 million domestic and a cool $65 million opening weekend.

Even if only the die-hards come out to this one, it's going to make $100 million (just via repeat business). Since this is easily the most mainstream-accessible TREK since STAR TREK IV, I can't see it's domestic take NOT reaching $200 million (or darn close to that).

Matthew Chmiel 05-02-09 12:41 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
As I mentioned in the summer box office thread, I see this doing anywhere from $50-60 million opening weekend.

I have passes tomorrow for a morning screening. I can't wait after all the early reviews.

DonTHX1378 05-02-09 02:18 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I think it's going to do $75 million opening. If it's as action packed and as good as the reviews, people will go see it twice. Also I've heard that you don't have to know Trek or be a big fan to enjoy this. Just look at the TV ads playing up the action and sex, they want people that aren't into Trek to see this.

Boba Fett 05-02-09 02:25 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
$64mil

movieking 05-02-09 08:01 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Boba Fett (Post 9421197)
$64mil

Same as I was thinking. I'll go with $66M

Mr. Cinema 05-02-09 09:51 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9420818)
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.

So you only think Star Trek will be in theaters for 3 weeks?

I'm guessing at least $60 million and over $175 million total. I don't see any sci-fi/action competition in May.

chris_sc77 05-02-09 10:01 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema (Post 9421390)
So you only think Star Trek will be in theaters for 3 weeks?

I'm guessing at least $60 million and over $175 million total. I don't see any sci-fi/action competition in May.

Yes. 3 weeks.
Its got angels and Demons coming out a week later and 13 days after Star Trek Opens Terminator 4 opens up which I would say is certainly some serious sci-fi/action competition and I believe it'll take all the business previously done by Star Trek and more.. Then a day later Night at the Museam 2 opens up.

Mr. Cinema 05-02-09 10:03 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I totally forgot Terminator. However, I think this will have some good legs.

islandclaws 05-02-09 10:23 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9421402)
Yes. 3 weeks.
Its got angels and Demons coming out a week later and 13 days after Star Trek Opens Terminator 4 opens up which I would say is certainly some serious sci-fi/action competition and I believe it'll take all the business previously done by Star Trek and more.. Then a day later Night at the Museam 2 opens up.

I don't think Angels & Demons is going to steal much thunder from Trek. Da Vinci Code did very well, but most everyone can agree it was a piece of shit. I think the older/adult crowd it'll draw in will have either already seen Trek or they weren't interested in the first place. The only flick that'll take away viewers will be T4 the week after.

johnnysd 05-02-09 08:29 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by chris_sc77 (Post 9420818)
$52-55 Million OPening weekend.
Final Domestic gross= 107-117 Million.
I will be pretty shocked if it does more.

Prepare to be shocked. I will be shocked if it is not huge. Actually HUGE. I talked to a gu at my local theater and he said that internally based upon some pre-release and midnight sales figures and reviews that they think it could be $300 million movie.

In terms of this thread I think it does more than a $100 million opening weekend alone.

fumanstan 05-02-09 09:13 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I think it will open to around 60-65 million. Strong word of mouth and reviews might raise that to 70, but I can't see it doing $100 million in it's opening weekend.


Originally Posted by johnnysd (Post 9422094)
Prepare to be shocked. I will be shocked if it is not huge. Actually HUGE. I talked to a gu at my local theater and he said that internally based upon some pre-release and midnight sales figures and reviews that they think it could be $300 million movie.

In terms of this thread I think it does more than a $100 million opening weekend alone.

Midnight sales are going to be huge for something like Star Trek, since this type of thing will attract all the sci-fi fans, so I think it's tough to predict based on those numbers.

Looking at the numbers, the only non-sequel to open with over $100 mil is Spider-Man. I think it will be tough for this to reach it.

Defiant1 05-03-09 12:59 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Trek IV is the only movie in the franchise to gross over $100M in non-adjusted dollars. All signs point to Trek XI to do gangbusters though but the stigma associated with Trek is an important factor to consider. I say a $50-60M opening weekend (more than Nemesis grossed during its entire run) with total domestic gross about $175M.

bwvanh114 05-03-09 10:27 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I'm surprised at the folks thinking it'll earn less than 25M for the weekend. It'll do that on Friday alone.

Groucho 05-03-09 10:33 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
High end of 76-100 million for me.

TGM 05-03-09 11:05 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
FWIW, my cousin, a total jock, with no interest whatsoever in any of the previous Star Trek's, is actually excited to see this in the theatre next week.

Apparently something is working...

mdc3000 05-03-09 11:48 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
I think it'll probably do close to 78mil... I thought non-fans would stay away, but everyone I know, young, old, fan, non-fan are fucking pumped for this movie and are going on the weekend... I think folks are slightly underestimating it's appeal to play it safe.

Draven 05-03-09 11:57 AM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
It is going to destroy. I voted in the 76-100 range and I wouldn't be surprised if it played strong for weeks to come.

superdeluxe 05-03-09 12:54 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
Are people serious with the 151+ million opening? I believe only 4-5 movies have ever opened greater than 100+ million, and most of those were on holiday weekends.

superdeluxe 05-03-09 12:56 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 
70-75 OW

165-200 Domestic.

fumanstan 05-03-09 01:20 PM

Re: Box office predictions: Star Trek
 

Originally Posted by superdeluxe (Post 9422795)
Are people serious with the 151+ million opening? I believe only 4-5 movies have ever opened greater than 100+ million, and most of those were on holiday weekends.

Yeah, that's ridiculous. Unless they thought it was total gross. They should make these polls public :)


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