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Memorial Day Box Office (5/26 - 5/29): Guess the Winner, Estimates, and Actuals

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View Poll Results: This four-day weekend, how much will X3 make?
$120 million +
4
6.25%
$100 million - $119 million
15
23.44%
$80 million - $99 million
26
40.63%
$60 million - $79 million
15
23.44%
$40 million - $59 million
4
6.25%
$39 million or below (biggest bomb since Poseidon)
0
0%
Twikoff million
0
0%
Voters: 64. You may not vote on this poll

Memorial Day Box Office (5/26 - 5/29): Guess the Winner, Estimates, and Actuals

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Old 05-29-06, 12:54 PM
  #76  
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE ESTIMATE
May 26 - May 29, 2006

1. X-Men: The Last Stand (FOX) 3,690 $120.1
2. The Da Vinci Code (SONY) 3,754 $43.0
3. Over the Hedge (PAR) 4,093 $35.3
4. Mission: Impossible III (PAR) 3,053 $8.6
5. Poseidon (WB) 3,245 $7.0
6. RV (SONY) 2,481 $5.3
7. See No Evil (LIONSGATE) 1,270 $3.2
8. Just My Luck (FOX) 1,604 $2.3
9. United 93 (UNIV) 781 $1.1
10. An American Haunting (FREESTYLE) 748 $0.9

Extraordinary 'X-Men'
Marvel movie breaks records with $120.1 mil take

By Ben Fritz

On a weekend full of records, "X-Men: the Last Stand" sliced through some of Hollywood's biggest like Wolverine's claws through butter.
Fox's super-hero sequel grossed an astounding $120.1 million over four days. That's so far ahead of the existing Memorial Day weekend record, $96 million for "Shrek 2" in 2004, that "X-Men" beat it in just three days

Pic's Friday-Sunday gross of $103.1 million makes it the fourth highest opening weekend of all time, behind only "Spider-Man," "Star Wars Episode III" and "Shrek 2."

Opening day gross of $45.5 million is the best Friday in Hollywood history and the second best single day, behind only "Revenge of the Sith's" $50 million opening Wednesday.

While "X-Men: the Last Stand" was tracking very well and had big expectations, few expected it to be this big, easily surpassing "X2's" opening gross of $85.6 million.

Pic averaged $27,947 over three days at 3,690 theaters.

Only negative news might be the actioner's sizable Friday-Saturday drop of 29%. Most pics grow from Friday to Saturday, or fall only slightly, since they get the advantage of matinees. Though it's explained in part by $5.9 million from midnight screenings Thursday night, such a big slump does indicate poor word-of mouth for "X-Men: the Last Stand," which got mixed reviews.

Given that, a big second frame decline in grosses is likely. With the pic on track to break $200 million by next weekend, however, Fox execs likely won't be shedding too many tears.

Due in part to "X-Men's" status as a near vacuum cleaner on the market, drawing in all demos, "The Da Vinci Code" fell a bigger than expected 56% from its $77.1 million opening. Sony execs had been counting on a smaller drop since adult dramas tend to hold well.

Still, after a four-day gross of $43 million, adaptation has a very healthy cume of $145.5 million domestically and a huge $465 million worldwide cume.

Over three days, "Da Vinci" had a per play average of $9,057 at 3,754 theaters.

The only pics that didn't seem to feel the heat from "X-Men" were those aimed at tots. "Over the Hedge" had a strong hold, dropping only 30% from its $38.5 million bow. DreamWorks Animation toon grossed $35.3 million over four days, bringing its total take to $84.4 million. Strong legs put "Over the Hedge" on a pace similar to that of 2004's "Shark Tale," which cumed $160.8 million.

"Over the Hedge," which is being distributed by Paramount, had a three-day average take of $6,566 at 4,093 playdates.

Also setting records this weekend was global warming documentary "An Inconvenient Truth." Al Gore starrer grossed a very healthy $365,787 at just four theaters in New York and L.A. $70,585 per play gross over three days gives it the highest average take of any pic this year, the highest average for any pic over Memorial Day weekend, and the biggest ever per play average for a documentary.

Par Classics will expand the heavily hyped docu to between 60 and 75 theaters in the top markets next frame and continue to widen it throughout June.
Old 05-29-06, 01:14 PM
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may 29 hasnt even really happened yet!
Old 05-29-06, 02:16 PM
  #78  
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Originally Posted by GuessWho
may 29 hasnt even really happened yet!
That's how box office estimates work... it's why the estimates for a normal weekend can come out on a Sunday that hasn't yet occurred...
Old 05-30-06, 09:25 AM
  #79  
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That's astounding. I had no idea it would do this well. I thought it was a pretty good movie, but wow.

Also glad to see Over the Hedge only dropped 30%.
Old 05-30-06, 09:27 AM
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hope over the hedge does well......

if and when x3 break $200 mil... it will be considered a success and blockbuster....
Old 05-30-06, 09:33 AM
  #81  
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Only 4 people thought it would $120+... and 70% of the voters were way off.
Old 05-30-06, 09:44 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by TomOpus
Only 4 people thought it would $120+... and 70% of the voters were way off.
I was way way off. X-Men passed my guess by Saturday afternoon.
Old 05-30-06, 09:48 AM
  #83  
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i was only off by $20 mil. way to go X3!
Old 05-30-06, 03:12 PM
  #84  
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I was only off by $52 million.
Old 05-30-06, 04:37 PM
  #85  
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Actuals

1 X-Men: The Last Stand --- $122,861,157 ($122,861,157)
2 The Da Vinci Code --- $42,437,372 ($144,918,409)
3 Over the Hedge --- $35,322,115 ($84,377,727)
4 Mission: Impossible III --- $8,901,106 ($116,170,705)
5 Poseidon --- $7,087,413 ($46,730,150)
6 RV --- $5,446,703 ($57,301,243)
7 See No Evil --- $3,437,537 ($9,400,956)
8 Just My Luck --- $2,480,284 ($14,112,398)
9 United 93 --- $1,054,560 ($29,878,975)
10 Ice Age: The Meltdown --- $985,778 ($190,694,600)
Old 05-30-06, 06:44 PM
  #86  
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Damn, MI:3 is gonna struggle to get to $150mil.
Old 05-30-06, 08:51 PM
  #87  
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wow... see no evil just made back their production cost... now its making a profit
Old 05-30-06, 09:37 PM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by matome
Damn, MI:3 is gonna struggle to get to $150mil.
It went over the $300mil mark worldwide, so it's doing fine. But it still should've done better domestically. I thought it pretty good!
Old 05-30-06, 09:46 PM
  #89  
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M:I 3 is by far my favorite of the Summer releases. Too bad more people didn't support it here in the US.
Old 05-30-06, 10:00 PM
  #90  
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X3 also made $84.6 million in the international markets......

X3 total box office so far:$207.5 million for 4 days....... incredible

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