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I think Return of the King was a pretty safe lock.
I'm still hoping for an upset, but I know it won't happen. I'm more concerned about the acting/screenplay categories. And of course rooting for Kong in all the technical ones. Kong vs Star Wars in all of those. Should be interesting. |
Brokeback Mountain won the Producers Guild Award today.
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Ang Lee picked up the Director's Guild Award. That makes 2 for him. The other was for Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, but he lost the Oscar to Soderberg (Traffic). Not happening this time around.
The SAG's are tonight. If Clooney wins the Supporting Actor, he's safe for the Oscar. I still have Giamatti taking it, but that may change after tonight. Also, I've been reading the last few days that Munich may be out of the running for Picture and that The Constant Gardener or Walk the Line could sneak in. The other 4 seem safe: Brokeback Mountain, Capote, Crash, and Good Night, and Good Luck. I'm still leaving it in there. The DGA nomination for Spielberg and the fact that it did receive the Edition nomination from the ACE helps. My picks for SAGs: Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Actor Reese Witherspoon - Actress George Clooney - Supporting Actor Michelle Williams - Supporting Actress Crash - Best Ensemble Felicity Huffman and Rachel Weisz could easily be picked here too. Also, Terrence Howard's name keeps popping up as potentially getting that last Best Actor slot. I have Crowe in now because he was great, but it looks as though Howard is gaining some momentum. |
SAG winners:
FILM Ensemble - Crash Male Actor, lead - Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote Female Actor, lead - Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line Male Actor, Supporting - Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man Female Actor, Supporting -- Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener Brokeback Mountain looks like it will be a Best Picture winner with 0 acting wins. The Best Actor race is all but over. |
Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
SAG winners:
FILM Ensemble - Crash Male Actor, lead - Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote Female Actor, lead - Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line Male Actor, Supporting - Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man Female Actor, Supporting -- Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener Brokeback Mountain looks like it will be a Best Picture winner with 0 acting wins. The Best Actor race is all but over. I think Brokeback is not the lock that people on this board are saying for the Oscar. I honestly think Crash could upset it. |
Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain (winner) Capote Crash Good Night, and Good Luck Walk the Line i'd really love teh constant gardener to get a nom. Best Directing Brokeback Mountain - Ang Lee (winner) Crash - Paul Haggis Good Night, and Good Luck - George Clooney The Constant Gardener - Fernando Meirelles Capote - Bennet Miller Best Actor Russell Crowe - Cinderella Man Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Capote (winner) Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line David Strathairn - Good Night, and Good Luck Best Actress Judy Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents Felicity Huffman - Transamerica Ziyi Zhang - Memoirs of a Geisha Charlize Theron - North Country Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line (winner) Best Supporting Actor George Clooney - Syriana Matt Dillon - Crash Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain Bob Hoskins - Mrs. Henderson presents Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams - Junebug Maria Bello - A History of Violence Frances McDormand - North Country Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener (winner) Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain |
Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain Capote Crash Good Night, and Good Luck Munich Best Director Brokeback Mountain - Ang Lee Crash - Paul Haggis Good Night, and Good Luck - George Clooney The Constant Gardener - Fernando Meirelles Munich - Steven Spielberg Best Actor Terrence Howard - Hustle and Flow Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Capote Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain Joaquin Phoenix - Walk the Line Eric Bana - Munich Best Actress Judy Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents Felicity Huffman - Transamerica Keira Knightley - Pride and Prejudice Charlize Theron - North Country Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line Best Supporting Actor George Clooney - Syriana Matt Dillon - Crash William Hurt - A History of Violence Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain Terrence Howard - Crash Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams - Junebug Maria Bello - A History of Violence Catherine Keener - Capote Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain Best Screenplay (Original) The 40 Year Old Virgin - Judd Apatow and Steve Carell Crash - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco Good Night, and Good Luck - Grant Heslov, George Clooney Syriana - Stephen Gaghan The Squid and the Whale - Noah Baumbach Best Screenplay (Adapted) Brokeback Mountain - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana Capote - Dan Futterman The Constant Gardener - Jeffrey Caine Munich - Tony Kushner & Eric Roth A History of Violence - Josh Olson Best Animated Feature Howl's Moving Castle The Corpse Bride Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit Best Foreign Language Film Tsotsi Joyeux Noel Paradise Now The Promise Mother of Mine Best Film Editing Brokeback Mountain Crash The Constant Gardener Good Night, and Good Luck Munich Best Cinematography Brokeback Mountain Munich The Constant Gardener Good Night, and Good Luck King Kong Best Art Direction Batman Begins The Chronicles of Narnia Memoirs of a Geisha King Kong Munich Best Sound Mixing Batman Begins King Kong Munich The Chronicles of Narnia War of the Worlds Best Sound Editing King Kong Star Wars: Episode III: Revenge of the Sith War of the Worlds Best Costume Design Batman Begins The Chronicles of Narnia Memoirs of a Geisha Pride and Prejudice Good Night, and Good Luck Best Makeup The Chronicles of Narnia Star Wars: Episode III: Revenge of the Sith A History of Violence Best Visual Effects King Kong Batman Begins War of the Worlds Best Music (Score) Brokeback Mountain The Chronicles of Narnia King Kong Memoirs of a Geisha Munich Music: Original Song Can't Take it In - Chronicles of Narnia Hard Out There for a Pimp - Hustle and Flow Dreamer - Dreamer Mad Hot Ballroom - Mad Hot Ballroom Remains of the Day - Corpse Bride Documentary Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room Mad Hot Ballroom March of the Penguins Murderball Devil and Daniel Johnston Documentary Short Abused God Sleeps in Rwanda Positively Naked Totals: Brokeback Mountain - 9 Munich - 9 Crash - 6 Good Night, and Good Luck - 6 King Kong - 6 Chronicles of Narnia - 6 The Constant Gardener - 5 Batman Begins - 4 Capote - 4 A History of Violence - 4 Memoirs of a Geisha - 4 Memoirs of a Geisha - 3 War of the Worlds - 3 Walk the Line - 2 Pride and Prejudice - 2 Syriana - 2 Hustle and Flow - 2 The Corpse Bride - 2 Mad Hot Ballroom - 2 Star Wars: Episode III: Revenge of the Sith - 2 Mrs. Henderson Presents - 1 Transamerica - 1 North Country - 1 Junebug - 1 The 40 Year Old Virgin - 1 The Squid and the Whale - 1 Howl's Moving Castle - 1 Wallace and Gromit - 1 Tsoti - 1 Joyeux Noel - 1 Paradise Now - 1 The Promise - 1 Mother of Mine - 1 Dreamer - 1 Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room - 1 March of the Penguins - 1 Murderball - 1 Devil and Daniel Johnston - 1 Abused - 1 God Sleeps in Rwanda - 1 Positively Naked - 1 Syriana is in the Original Screenplay category, not Adapted |
wow you really loved munich. i don't think it'll get that many noms, but then again, the academy loves spielberg.
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wasn't syriana based off robert baer's "see no evil?" if that's the case wouldn't it be adapted?
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as long as i see Good Night, and Good Luck and Syriana take home an oscar for something ill be happy. Those are two of my favorite movies of the year.
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Originally Posted by Dashed
as long as i see Good Night, and Good Luck and Syriana take home an oscar for something ill be happy. Those are two of my favorite movies of the year.
i agree with this man |
Clearly, "Crash" has moved to #2 if you're ranking the Picture nominees. It is the dark horse and could upset. Another great thing about this is this was a movie released in the Summer. The unwritten rules state that if your movie opens no later than Summer, that the Academy will forget you and you won't be recognized. But they have done a good job pushing this film with dvd screeners and ads to refresh peoples' memories and it's paying off.
I think this will be a year like in 2000 where the Academy awards several of the big movies with a top prize. -Brokeback Mountain likely will get Picture and Director -Capote will get Actor -Walk the Line will get Actress -Crash possibly, but likely a Screenplay -Syriana or Cinderella Man with Supporting -Constant Gardener with Supporting -King Kong with all technical I like it when they spread the wealth. In 2000, you had Gladiator win Picture, Traffic win Director, and Crouching Tiger getting Sets and Cinematography. The awards weren't predictable. I hope that's the case on March 5th. "Crash's" SAG win has now made the Picture race more of a competition than it was before Sunday night. BM is still the front runner, but it's lead has been squashed some considering it was shut out at the SAGs. |
KONG may get a nomination for Best Picture, I doubt it'll win that though (but it will win some awards I'm sure).
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Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
I like it when they spread the wealth. In 2000, you had Gladiator win Picture, Traffic win Director, and Crouching Tiger getting Sets and Cinematography. The awards weren't predictable. I hope that's the case on March 5th. "Crash's" SAG win has now made the Picture race more of a competition than it was before Sunday night. BM is still the front runner, but it's lead has been squashed some considering it was shut out at the SAGs.
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wasn't syriana based off robert baer's "see no evil?" if that's the case wouldn't it be adapted? From 1/18: It's too late for me to double-check this, but In Contention's Kris Tapley is reporting that the Academy has suddenly and rather surprisingly waited until today -- Wednesday, 1.18 -- to announce a significant decision that was made about 20 days ago, which is that the screenplay for Stephen Gaghan's Syriana has been classified by the Academy as an original screen- play, and NOT -- as many have understood all along -- an adapted screenplay based on Robert Baer's "See No Evil: The True Story of a Ground Soldier in the CIA's War on Terrorism." The AMPAS decision, says Tapley, "was not revealed in any way [over] the last 30 days [and] Gaghan himself was not even made privy to the [new] classification until today." (Variety's Timothy Gray reported the decision was made around 12.29.05) With the Academy voting deadline only two days off, the chances of Gaghan's Syriana script being Oscar-nominated will be diminished if this news doesn't reach enough of the the Academy voting body in time. As Tapley points out, "Any nomination the film receives in the adapted category from Academy members will not be considered," even if every member of the 6,000- member organization supports it in this category -- each vote will nonetheless be discounted. So tell your friends and neighbors. Pete Hammond has sent in some additional views on the Syriana switcheroo: "When I interviewed Gaghan for his WGA nomination screening the weekend before last I asked him if Syriana was basically an original and he admitted that only about a paragraph of the actual book is in the movie, but after spending so much time with Bob Baer in preparing the film he felt the inspiration he got from him is throughout the film. But an adaptation of a book? Never. On the cover of Bob Baer's "See No Evil," the book tie-in for Syriana, the copy on the cover says, "The True Story that SUGGESTED the new motion picture Syriana. It shows the Academy writers branch is actually pretty sharp. They just should have told somebody sooner so the situation wasn't confused. Had Gaghan ever received his ballot (it was lost and just replaced now) he probably would have voted for himself in the adaptation category without knowing it would be a wasted vote." In Contention on Syriana |
Originally Posted by ChrisKnudsen
I still think that Crash will probably not even get nominated for Best Picture. We will see tommorrow.
There have been no indications that Crash would be left out. Did you watch the SAGs? When they announced the nominees for Ensemble, Crash easily got the loudest reception from the crowd. Every film except 1 that has won the SAG ensemble has been nominated for Best Picture. The lone exception was The Birdcage. |
Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
BM is still the front runner, but it's lead has been squashed some considering it was shut out at the SAGs.
BTW - I dont remember, were the oscars in HD last year? The globes werent, but the SAG awards was last night (though something weird was going on with the hd camera). |
I'm guessing it was. I didn't have HD last year, but I have it now and I'm sure it will be broadcast in HD. Watching Phillip Seymour Hoffman give his Best Actor Oscar speech will look great in HD.
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Out of all the presenters, I thought Dakota Fanning did the best. She was almost the only one who didn't screw up her lines. I think she could eventually be another Jodie Foster. I know she has a couple of Oscars, but Foster was a good child actor. Fanning seems to have the acting chops too.
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Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
I'm guessing it was. I didn't have HD last year, but I have it now and I'm sure it will be broadcast in HD. Watching Phillip Seymour Hoffman give his Best Actor Oscar speech will look great in HD.
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Originally Posted by grim_tales
KONG may get a nomination for Best Picture, I doubt it'll win that though (but it will win some awards I'm sure).
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Originally Posted by zekeburger1979
From Jeff Well's Hollywood Elsewhere Wired Column:
From 1/18: It's too late for me to double-check this, but In Contention's Kris Tapley is reporting that the Academy has suddenly and rather surprisingly waited until today -- Wednesday, 1.18 -- to announce a significant decision that was made about 20 days ago, which is that the screenplay for Stephen Gaghan's Syriana has been classified by the Academy as an original screen- play, and NOT -- as many have understood all along -- an adapted screenplay based on Robert Baer's "See No Evil: The True Story of a Ground Soldier in the CIA's War on Terrorism." The AMPAS decision, says Tapley, "was not revealed in any way [over] the last 30 days [and] Gaghan himself was not even made privy to the [new] classification until today." (Variety's Timothy Gray reported the decision was made around 12.29.05) With the Academy voting deadline only two days off, the chances of Gaghan's Syriana script being Oscar-nominated will be diminished if this news doesn't reach enough of the the Academy voting body in time. As Tapley points out, "Any nomination the film receives in the adapted category from Academy members will not be considered," even if every member of the 6,000- member organization supports it in this category -- each vote will nonetheless be discounted. So tell your friends and neighbors. Pete Hammond has sent in some additional views on the Syriana switcheroo: "When I interviewed Gaghan for his WGA nomination screening the weekend before last I asked him if Syriana was basically an original and he admitted that only about a paragraph of the actual book is in the movie, but after spending so much time with Bob Baer in preparing the film he felt the inspiration he got from him is throughout the film. But an adaptation of a book? Never. On the cover of Bob Baer's "See No Evil," the book tie-in for Syriana, the copy on the cover says, "The True Story that SUGGESTED the new motion picture Syriana. It shows the Academy writers branch is actually pretty sharp. They just should have told somebody sooner so the situation wasn't confused. Had Gaghan ever received his ballot (it was lost and just replaced now) he probably would have voted for himself in the adaptation category without knowing it would be a wasted vote." In Contention on Syriana wow that sucks, if syriana gets screwed i will be very disappointed. |
Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
Out of all the presenters, I thought Dakota Fanning did the best. She was almost the only one who didn't screw up her lines. I think she could eventually be another Jodie Foster. I know she has a couple of Oscars, but Foster was a good child actor. Fanning seems to have the acting chops too.
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Originally Posted by Janus3
lol, it wasn't nomiated for best pic in the weaker awards, what makes you think it'll get nominated in the grand daddy of them all?
IMO, King Kong has no business in the Best Picture category. There are way too many better films this year. Was it an entertaining movie? Yes. Should it win some technical awards? Yes. Thats about it though. |
Originally Posted by Groucho
However, once Fanning reaches adulthood the number of roles that require her to scream and cry through the whole film will dry up significantly.
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