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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 05-09-16, 04:11 PM
  #176  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Actuals for 5/6/2016 - 5/8/2016:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Captain America: Civil War BV $179,139,142 - 4,226 - $42,390 $179,139,142 $250 1
2 1 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $24,488,436 -44.0% 4,144 +103 $5,909 $287,600,701 $175 4
3 4 Mother's Day ORF $11,087,076 +32.5% 3,141 +106 $3,530 $22,806,766 - 2
4 2 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $3,948,835 -58.9% 2,901 -901 $1,361 $40,732,455 $115 3
5 3 Keanu WB $3,287,484 -65.2% 2,681 +23 $1,226 $15,308,421 $15 2
6 6 Zootopia BV $3,214,592 -39.7% 2,077 -410 $1,548 $328,162,582 - 10
7 5 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $2,803,268 -53.9% 1,734 -576 $1,617 $48,872,111 - 4
8 8 The Boss Uni. $1,913,425 -55.4% 1,933 -890 $990 $59,265,885 $29 5
9 7 Ratchet & Clank Focus $1,463,250 -69.9% 2,895 +4 $505 $7,096,883 - 2
10 9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $1,050,468 -72.9% 1,593 -737 $659 $327,255,601 $250 7
11 11 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Uni. $645,745 -41.8% 640 -452 $1,009 $58,288,410 - 7
12 14 Eye in the Sky BST $561,028 -38.3% 419 -195 $1,339 $17,300,175 - 9
13 12 A Hologram for the King RAtt. $502,210 -46.8% 400 -123 $1,256 $3,424,519 - 3
14 23 Sing Street Wein. $438,225 +35.5% 153 +49 $2,864 $1,129,922 - 4
15 19 Hello, My Name is Doris RAtt. $342,126 -24.5% 287 -119 $1,192 $13,347,131 - 9
16 13 Green Room A24 $337,930 -63.5% 470 - $719 $2,058,336 - 4
17 30 The Meddler SPC $309,705 +88.5% 53 +29 $5,843 $629,341 - 3
18 10 Criminal (2016) LG/S $299,239 -77.8% 517 -1,061 $579 $14,268,533 - 4
19 17 Miracles from Heaven TriS $240,000 -55.3% 301 -359 $797 $60,068,188 $13 8
20 20 Deadpool Fox $238,297 -45.0% 335 -74 $711 $362,200,563 $58 13
21 35 The Man Who Knew Infinity IFC $220,373 +174.4% 40 +34 $5,509 $328,368 - 2


We already have 3 movies above $300m this year with a 4th (Jungle Book) and 5th (Civil War) right around the corner. In 2015, we had 6 movies that made $300m+ domestically, 4 were released after June 1st. In 2014, we had 3 total for the year.
Old 05-16-16, 10:09 AM
  #177  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

5/13/2016 - 5/15/2016

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $72,563,000 -59.5% 4,226 - $17,171 $295,892,078 $250 2
2 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $17,764,000 -27.5% 3,970 -174 $4,475 $311,760,110 $175 5
3 N Money Monster TriS $15,000,000 - 3,104 - $4,832 $15,000,000 $27 1
4 N The Darkness HTR $5,180,000 - 1,755 - $2,952 $5,180,000 - 1
5 3 Mother's Day ORF $3,259,205 -70.6% 3,291 +150 $990 $28,757,325 $25 3
6 6 Zootopia BV $2,816,000 -12.4% 1,935 -142 $1,455 $331,831,439 - 11
7 4 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $2,580,000 -34.7% 2,518 -383 $1,025 $44,539,250 $115 4
8 5 Keanu WB $1,900,000 -42.2% 2,120 -561 $896 $18,612,503 $15 3
9 7 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $1,675,000 -40.2% 1,333 -401 $1,257 $51,355,702 - 5
10 8 The Boss Uni. $1,180,000 -38.3% 1,350 -583 $874 $61,141,700 $29 6
11 14 Sing Street Wein. $636,000 +45.1% 525 +372 $1,211 $1,909,135 - 5
12 9 Ratchet & Clank Focus $569,000 -61.1% 1,258 -1,637 $452 $8,086,257 - 3
13 21 The Man Who Knew Infinity IFC $535,828 +143.1% 194 +154 $2,762 $944,203 - 3
14 10 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $535,000 -49.1% 744 -849 $719 $328,214,243 $250 8
15 11 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Uni. $468,000 -27.5% 717 +77 $653 $58,955,890 - 8
16 17 The Meddler SPC $393,128 +26.9% 127 +74 $3,095 $1,126,301 - 4
17 15 Hello, My Name is Doris RAtt. $248,944 -28.2% 257 -37 $969 $13,780,424 - 10
18 13 A Hologram for the King RAtt. $233,475 -54.1% 346 -54 $675 $3,872,396 - 4
19 20 Deadpool Fox $200,000 -16.1% 262 -73 $763 $362,518,179 $58 14


Civil War and Jungle Book are absolutely killing it
Old 05-16-16, 10:15 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Zootopia, a non Pixar Disney animated movie, coming out of nowhere to make more money than the highly anticipated, highly marketed Batman vs. Superman, is just mind boggling.
Old 05-16-16, 10:22 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Why would it be mind boggling? It got high critic and fan praise, and it's a family oriented movie. Two strikes against BvS. Makes perfect sense really.
Old 05-16-16, 10:57 AM
  #180  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

within the next 2 weeks disney will have the top 3 movies of 2016 (worldwide)
Old 05-16-16, 11:18 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by trespoochies
Why would it be mind boggling? It got high critic and fan praise, and it's a family oriented movie. Two strikes against BvS. Makes perfect sense really.
I'm not knocking either film but before their releases, which would you have picked to made the most money? A film with Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman together onscreen for the first time or an animated Disney movie?
Old 05-19-16, 11:14 AM
  #182  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Looking at this week's crop, looks like CA will be #1 again this weekend. Predictions:

1 and 2 are a lock:

1. CA
2. Neighbors 2

3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...

3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)

6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)

I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.

7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
Old 05-19-16, 03:18 PM
  #183  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by HN
Looking at this week's crop, looks like CA will be #1 again this weekend. Predictions:

1 and 2 are a lock:

1. CA
2. Neighbors 2

3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...

3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)

6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)

I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.

7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
#3 will likely be Angry Birds, I think Money Monster will hold decently but it won't be in a tight race with Jungle Book.
Old 05-19-16, 03:30 PM
  #184  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
#3 will likely be Angry Birds, I think Money Monster will hold decently but it won't be in a tight race with Jungle Book.
goddammit, you're right. i thought it was out next week

given that, i'd say Angry Birds takes JB/zootopia money, so Money Monster jumps JB, and Zootopia drops further down.

1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3. Angry Birds

4. Nice Guys (~15mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Jungle Book (~10mil)

7. Huntsman
8. Zootopia
9. The Darkness
10. Barbershop

final answer
Old 05-20-16, 03:21 PM
  #185  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Current Projections due to Friday matinee and pre-sales:
1. The Angry Birds Movies $42m - $45m
2. Captain America: Civil War $36m - $37m (-50%)
3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $25m
... The Nice Guys $11.5m - $12m (It look like it will make $4.5m today)
... Money Monster $7.35m (-50%)
Old 05-20-16, 04:23 PM
  #186  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

jeezus, Birds is tracking that high? this tells me two things:

1. i'm so out of touch with what mass audiences want to see
2. i'm fcking terrible at this
Old 05-20-16, 05:17 PM
  #187  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by HN
jeezus, Birds is tracking that high? this tells me two things:

1. i'm so out of touch with what mass audiences want to see
2. i'm fcking terrible at this
Naw, this is extrapolation more than tracking. I think tracking had it at $40m
Old 05-20-16, 05:21 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

i hope TNG exceeds, but probably not. too bad...
Old 05-22-16, 07:17 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

ANGRY BIRDS is #1.

THE NICE GUYS comes in at a weak #4 ($11.3 million).

MONEY MONSTER has dropped to #6 with only $27 million accumulated so far.

Looks like big-star Hollywood vehicles don't find much favor with audiences anymore.
Old 05-22-16, 09:47 PM
  #190  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
ANGRY BIRDS is #1.

THE NICE GUYS comes in at a weak #4 ($11.3 million).

MONEY MONSTER has dropped to #6 with only $27 million accumulated so far.

Looks like big-star Hollywood vehicles don't find much favor with audiences anymore.
Star Power will get a movie noticed, but star vehicles haven't been big pulls lately.

Last year Burnt (Bradley Cooper) opened to $5m while Our Brand is Crisis with Sandra Bullock and Billy Bob Thornton opened to $3.3m.
Old 05-22-16, 09:47 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Box Office Estimates for 5/20 - 5/22/2016

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N The Angry Birds Movie Sony $39,000,000 - 3,932 - $9,919 $39,000,000 $73 1
2 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $33,114,000 -54.4% 4,226 - $7,836 $347,390,153 $250 3
3 N Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Uni. $21,790,000 - 3,384 - $6,439 $21,790,000 - 1
4 N The Nice Guys WB $11,270,000 - 2,865 - $3,934 $11,270,000 - 1
5 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $11,017,000 -35.6% 3,460 -510 $3,184 $327,497,565 $175 6
6 3 Money Monster TriS $7,080,000 -52.1% 3,104 - $2,281 $27,103,677 $27 2
7 4 The Darkness HTR $2,363,000 -52.3% 1,769 +14 $1,336 $8,460,482 - 2
8 6 Zootopia BV $1,703,000 -39.7% 1,377 -558 $1,237 $334,403,528 - 12
9 7 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $1,190,000 -54.7% 1,246 -1,272 $955 $46,668,690 $115 5
10 5 Mother's Day ORF $1,115,214 -66.1% 1,719 -1,572 $649 $31,288,936 $25 4
11 9 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $845,000 -49.4% 744 -589 $1,136 $52,714,430 - 6
12 17 The Meddler SPC $777,539 +108.5% 464 +337 $1,676 $2,043,460 - 5
13 10 The Boss Uni. $602,000 -49.7% 672 -678 $896 $62,205,470 $29 7
14 30 Love & Friendship RAtt. $582,015 +335.9% 47 +43 $12,383 $780,348 - 2
15 14 The Man Who Knew Infinity IFC $550,131 +8.0% 271 +77 $2,030 $1,681,457 - 4
16 8 Keanu WB $525,000 -72.7% 707 -1,413 $743 $20,008,350 $15 4


Overseas:

X-men Apocalypse opened to $103.3m (71 markets)
Angry Birds made $55.5m for its second weekend, $112m total.
Captain America added $30.7M
Old 05-23-16, 09:59 AM
  #192  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

well, the kids came out and dragged their parents with them. where the hell was all the marketing for AB anyway? i'm guessing a steep drop for it next week.

gotta think about who's taking the top spot between XMen and Alice.
Old 05-23-16, 10:26 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by HN
where the hell was all the marketing for AB anyway?
Disney channels, Nickelodeon channels, and McDonalds Happy Meals.
Old 05-23-16, 10:27 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

^^ that's my problem. i have to remember there's more to marketing than just trailer posts on dvdtalk
Old 05-23-16, 04:37 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Actuals for the weekend of 5/20/2016 - 5/22/2016:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N The Angry Birds Movie Sony $38,155,177 - 3,932 - $9,704 $38,155,177 $73 1
2 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $32,939,739 -54.7% 4,226 - $7,795 $347,215,892 $250 3
3 N Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Uni. $21,760,405 - 3,384 - $6,430 $21,760,405 - 1
4 N The Nice Guys WB $11,203,270 - 2,865 - $3,910 $11,203,270 - 1
5 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $10,944,350 -36.1% 3,460 -510 $3,163 $327,424,915 $175 6
6 3 Money Monster TriS $7,016,884 -52.6% 3,104 - $2,261 $27,040,531 $27 2
7 4 The Darkness HTR $2,272,618 -54.1% 1,769 +14 $1,285 $8,370,100 - 2
8 6 Zootopia BV $1,683,982 -40.4% 1,377 -558 $1,223 $334,384,510 - 12
9 7 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $1,209,045 -54.0% 1,246 -1,272 $970 $46,687,735 $115 5
10 5 Mother's Day ORF $1,139,283 -65.3% 1,719 -1,572 $663 $31,313,005 $25 4
11 9 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $843,007 -49.5% 744 -589 $1,133 $52,712,437 - 6
12 17 The Meddler SPC $782,883 +109.9% 464 +337 $1,687 $2,048,804 - 5
13 10 The Boss Uni. $653,535 -45.4% 672 -678 $973 $62,257,005 $29 7
14 30 Love & Friendship RAtt. $559,821 +319.3% 47 +43 $11,911 $758,154 - 2
15 14 The Man Who Knew Infinity IFC $550,131 +8.0% 271 +77 $2,030 $1,681,457 - 4
16 8 Keanu WB $522,305 -72.9% 707 -1,413 $739 $20,005,655 $15 4
17 23 The Lobster A24 $408,000 +114.5% 24 +20 $17,000 $1,038,229 - 9
18 15 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Uni. $389,720 -20.4% 365 -352 $1,068 $59,573,085 - 9
19 12 Sing Street Wein. $347,375 -44.0% 520 -5 $668 $2,487,120 - 6
20 24 A Bigger Splash FoxS $329,210 +73.4% 128 +102 $2,572 $778,983 - 3
Old 05-23-16, 05:06 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by HN
well, the kids came out and dragged their parents with them. where the hell was all the marketing for AB anyway? i'm guessing a steep drop for it next week.

gotta think about who's taking the top spot between XMen and Alice.
The marketing campaign was pretty extensive. They had a lot of tie-ins to NBA games.
Old 05-23-16, 05:08 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

There's also an Angry Birds themed section in the front page of the App Store.
Old 05-23-16, 08:18 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Ash Ketchum
ANGRY BIRDS is #1.

THE NICE GUYS comes in at a weak #4 ($11.3 million).

MONEY MONSTER has dropped to #6 with only $27 million accumulated so far.

Looks like big-star Hollywood vehicles don't find much favor with audiences anymore.
Depends on a number of factors, but the vehicles have to look appealing enough to audiences. I think those two films are performing as well as could be expected. May is a pretty brutal month for these kind of films as well.
Old 05-30-16, 10:03 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Two big boxoffice disappointments this weekend:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/30/mo...dayspaper&_r=0

From Box Office Guru:
Looking at the nine-film mutant franchise that Fox has had over the past 16 years, Apocalypse had the sixth best opening weekend. In terms of actual tickets sold, it ranks seventh out of nine. The new PG-13 film sold approximately 25% fewer tickets on opening weekend than the first X-Men in July of 2000.

Reviews for the new mutant saga were not too strong and were a far cry from the raves received by DOFP. Also, movie fans have already spent over $1 billion on a trio of comic book movies this year so some may not have felt the need for a fourth one in under five months. Studio data showed that the audience was 62% male and 55% over 25. Despite five major roles for women in the cast, the female share of the crowd was relatively low. The CinemaScore grade was a good A-.
Johnny Depp's career met with another setback this weekend with the disastrous performance of his latest big-paycheck project Alice Through the Looking Glass which bowed to only $28.1M over three days, according to estimates. That represents a staggering 76% plunge from the opening weekend of 2010's Alice in Wonderland which was a monster 3D hit grossing over $1 billion globally prompting those involved to get another installment made. Audiences were not part of that discussion as consumer interest was never very high for this new chapter despite a pricey marketing push over the last several weeks.
Old 05-30-16, 10:42 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I don't think Memorial Weekend is a great weekend to launch films. As Deadline noted, you have holdovers from early May. A friend of mine who goes to the movies maybe 6 times a year wants to see Civil War or X-Men. He's not going to see both and there's only so many people who will see every superhero movie.

Since it's also the first weekend of the summer, people really want to enjoy it. Unless you love going to the movies, this is probably not the weekend you want to go and cancel a BBQ, beach, pool, or lake trip.

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