The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
05-09-16, 03:11 PM
#176
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Actuals for 5/6/2016 - 5/8/2016:
We already have 3 movies above $300m this year with a 4th (Jungle Book) and 5th (Civil War) right around the corner. In 2015, we had 6 movies that made $300m+ domestically, 4 were released after June 1st. In 2014, we had 3 total for the year.
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We already have 3 movies above $300m this year with a 4th (Jungle Book) and 5th (Civil War) right around the corner. In 2015, we had 6 movies that made $300m+ domestically, 4 were released after June 1st. In 2014, we had 3 total for the year.
05-16-16, 09:09 AM
#177
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
5/13/2016 - 5/15/2016
Civil War and Jungle Book are absolutely killing it
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Civil War and Jungle Book are absolutely killing it
05-16-16, 09:15 AM
#178
DVD Talk Limited Edition
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Zootopia, a non Pixar Disney animated movie, coming out of nowhere to make more money than the highly anticipated, highly marketed Batman vs. Superman, is just mind boggling.
05-16-16, 09:22 AM
#179
Banned by request
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Why would it be mind boggling? It got high critic and fan praise, and it's a family oriented movie. Two strikes against BvS. Makes perfect sense really.
05-16-16, 10:18 AM
#181
DVD Talk Limited Edition
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I'm not knocking either film but before their releases, which would you have picked to made the most money? A film with Batman, Superman and Wonder Woman together onscreen for the first time or an animated Disney movie?
05-19-16, 10:14 AM
#182
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Looking at this week's crop, looks like CA will be #1 again this weekend. Predictions:
1 and 2 are a lock:
1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...
3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)
I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.
7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
1 and 2 are a lock:
1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...
3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)
I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.
7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
05-19-16, 02:18 PM
#183
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Looking at this week's crop, looks like CA will be #1 again this weekend. Predictions:
1 and 2 are a lock:
1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...
3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)
I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.
7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
1 and 2 are a lock:
1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3, 4, 5 will be tight with larger appeal Jungle Book (but heading into its 6th weekend) vs. Money Monster and newcomer The Nice Guys. Money Monster will have dropped off quite a bit and most of that money going to Nice Guys. So...
3. Nice Guys (~15mil)
4. Jungle Book (~12mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Zootopia (for a 3rd week in a row at #6)
I can't imagine The Darkness and Mother's day hanging around but their dropoff will disrupt the bottom 4.
7. Huntsman
8. The Darkness
9. Barbershop (predicting a leap from over Keanu)
10. Keanu or Mother's Day. Gun to my head, i'd say Keanu
05-19-16, 02:30 PM
#184
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
given that, i'd say Angry Birds takes JB/zootopia money, so Money Monster jumps JB, and Zootopia drops further down.
1. CA
2. Neighbors 2
3. Angry Birds
4. Nice Guys (~15mil)
5. Money Monster (~11mil)
6. Jungle Book (~10mil)
7. Huntsman
8. Zootopia
9. The Darkness
10. Barbershop
final answer
05-20-16, 02:21 PM
#185
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Current Projections due to Friday matinee and pre-sales:
1. The Angry Birds Movies $42m - $45m
2. Captain America: Civil War $36m - $37m (-50%)
3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $25m
... The Nice Guys $11.5m - $12m (It look like it will make $4.5m today)
... Money Monster $7.35m (-50%)
1. The Angry Birds Movies $42m - $45m
2. Captain America: Civil War $36m - $37m (-50%)
3. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising $25m
... The Nice Guys $11.5m - $12m (It look like it will make $4.5m today)
... Money Monster $7.35m (-50%)
05-20-16, 03:23 PM
#186
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
jeezus, Birds is tracking that high? this tells me two things:
1. i'm so out of touch with what mass audiences want to see
2. i'm fcking terrible at this
1. i'm so out of touch with what mass audiences want to see
2. i'm fcking terrible at this
05-20-16, 04:17 PM
#187
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
05-22-16, 06:17 PM
#189
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
ANGRY BIRDS is #1.
THE NICE GUYS comes in at a weak #4 ($11.3 million).
MONEY MONSTER has dropped to #6 with only $27 million accumulated so far.
Looks like big-star Hollywood vehicles don't find much favor with audiences anymore.
THE NICE GUYS comes in at a weak #4 ($11.3 million).
MONEY MONSTER has dropped to #6 with only $27 million accumulated so far.
Looks like big-star Hollywood vehicles don't find much favor with audiences anymore.
05-22-16, 08:47 PM
#190
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Last year Burnt (Bradley Cooper) opened to $5m while Our Brand is Crisis with Sandra Bullock and Billy Bob Thornton opened to $3.3m.
05-22-16, 08:47 PM
#191
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Box Office Estimates for 5/20 - 5/22/2016
Overseas:
X-men Apocalypse opened to $103.3m (71 markets)
Angry Birds made $55.5m for its second weekend, $112m total.
Captain America added $30.7M
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Overseas:
X-men Apocalypse opened to $103.3m (71 markets)
Angry Birds made $55.5m for its second weekend, $112m total.
Captain America added $30.7M
05-23-16, 08:59 AM
#192
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
well, the kids came out and dragged their parents with them. where the hell was all the marketing for AB anyway? i'm guessing a steep drop for it next week.
gotta think about who's taking the top spot between XMen and Alice.
gotta think about who's taking the top spot between XMen and Alice.
05-23-16, 09:26 AM
#193
DVD Talk Hero
05-23-16, 09:27 AM
#194
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
^^ that's my problem. i have to remember there's more to marketing than just trailer posts on dvdtalk 
05-23-16, 03:37 PM
#195
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Actuals for the weekend of 5/20/2016 - 5/22/2016:
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05-23-16, 04:06 PM
#196
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
The marketing campaign was pretty extensive. They had a lot of tie-ins to NBA games.
05-23-16, 07:18 PM
#198
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Depends on a number of factors, but the vehicles have to look appealing enough to audiences. I think those two films are performing as well as could be expected. May is a pretty brutal month for these kind of films as well.
05-30-16, 09:03 AM
#199
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Two big boxoffice disappointments this weekend:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/30/mo...dayspaper&_r=0
From Box Office Guru:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/30/mo...dayspaper&_r=0
From Box Office Guru:
Looking at the nine-film mutant franchise that Fox has had over the past 16 years, Apocalypse had the sixth best opening weekend. In terms of actual tickets sold, it ranks seventh out of nine. The new PG-13 film sold approximately 25% fewer tickets on opening weekend than the first X-Men in July of 2000.
Reviews for the new mutant saga were not too strong and were a far cry from the raves received by DOFP. Also, movie fans have already spent over $1 billion on a trio of comic book movies this year so some may not have felt the need for a fourth one in under five months. Studio data showed that the audience was 62% male and 55% over 25. Despite five major roles for women in the cast, the female share of the crowd was relatively low. The CinemaScore grade was a good A-.
Reviews for the new mutant saga were not too strong and were a far cry from the raves received by DOFP. Also, movie fans have already spent over $1 billion on a trio of comic book movies this year so some may not have felt the need for a fourth one in under five months. Studio data showed that the audience was 62% male and 55% over 25. Despite five major roles for women in the cast, the female share of the crowd was relatively low. The CinemaScore grade was a good A-.
Johnny Depp's career met with another setback this weekend with the disastrous performance of his latest big-paycheck project Alice Through the Looking Glass which bowed to only $28.1M over three days, according to estimates. That represents a staggering 76% plunge from the opening weekend of 2010's Alice in Wonderland which was a monster 3D hit grossing over $1 billion globally prompting those involved to get another installment made. Audiences were not part of that discussion as consumer interest was never very high for this new chapter despite a pricey marketing push over the last several weeks.
05-30-16, 09:42 AM
#200
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I don't think Memorial Weekend is a great weekend to launch films. As Deadline noted, you have holdovers from early May. A friend of mine who goes to the movies maybe 6 times a year wants to see Civil War or X-Men. He's not going to see both and there's only so many people who will see every superhero movie.
Since it's also the first weekend of the summer, people really want to enjoy it. Unless you love going to the movies, this is probably not the weekend you want to go and cancel a BBQ, beach, pool, or lake trip.
Since it's also the first weekend of the summer, people really want to enjoy it. Unless you love going to the movies, this is probably not the weekend you want to go and cancel a BBQ, beach, pool, or lake trip.
