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-   -   Box Office Predictions: Watchmen (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/550450-box-office-predictions-watchmen.html)

Goat3001 02-26-09 03:15 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by hapgilmore (Post 9292883)
They want to see it because it looks friggin' awesome! I'm 24 and I think it looks amazing, and if I was 15 I would think the same thing.

I'm 24 too and the only reason I have any real interest in the movie is because of the internet hype I've been hearing. Never heard of the comics before I saw the trailer and of all my similar aged friends (male and female, all of whom have varying interest in film), only one has said they have any interest in seeing it. However, all have agreed that it looks intriguing but only myself and my one friend have enough interest to see it in the theatre.

Compare that to 300. When that came out every guy I knew couldn't wait to get into the theatre and see it.

Sure its a small sample size, but I don't think any of us have any real substantial sample sizes to base this on.

Damed 02-26-09 03:28 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by sauce07 (Post 9293882)
i've read that DC printed 1,000,000 copies of Watchmen in 2008 and 100,000 in 2007. I realize the movie being in production increases sales but that still shows that there is a big audience for it.

It shows that they HOPE there is a big audience for it. ;P

aJOHNymous 02-26-09 03:36 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
Wow. Talk about missing the entire point of the Watchmen story...

(hollywood reporter review. no real spoilers, just ignorance)

OldBoy 02-26-09 03:38 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by jpoppe (Post 9293975)
Wow. Talk about missing the entire point of the Watchmen story...

(hollywood reporter review. no real spoilers, just ignorance)

yeah, that and 2 others just brought RT down to 75%. eh, it isn't for everyone. plus it's early.

Groucho 02-26-09 03:47 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
75% -- that's "wait for DVD" territory for me. Glad I didn't pre-order my tickets yet.

GoldenJCJ 02-26-09 05:51 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
I'll just take their word for it and skip it all together.

OldBoy 02-26-09 05:57 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by Groucho (Post 9294004)
75% -- that's "wait for DVD" territory for me. Glad I didn't pre-order my tickets yet.


Originally Posted by GoldenJCJ (Post 9294251)
I'll just take their word for it and skip it all together.

no, no guys. you should see it and decide for yourselves. don't let stuffy reviewers decide if you should see a potentially great movie or not. the needs of the one out weigh the needs of the few. :)

OldBoy 02-26-09 06:06 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
is anyone seeing a sneak peek of this?

Zen Peckinpah 02-26-09 06:16 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
To hell with the Hollywood Reporter and Variety reviews.

The HR guy gave 10,000 BC a good review, the Variety guy liked Max Payne. Goes to prove their worth as not liking this.

Kurt D 02-26-09 11:17 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
F-it, I'm just hoping I like it. Plus, I'm going to pay 50 million dollars for my ticket.

wirefan 02-27-09 01:00 AM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by Zen Peckinpah (Post 9294303)
To hell with the Hollywood Reporter and Variety reviews.

The HR guy gave 10,000 BC a good review, the Variety guy liked Max Payne. Goes to prove their worth as not liking this.

An alternate way of interpreting this is: If they liked 10,000BC and Max Payne, and they gave this negative reviews, how truly bad must this movie be? (just offering another plausible explanation:))

DonnachaOne 02-27-09 09:16 AM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by scott1598 (Post 9294284)
is anyone seeing a sneak peek of this?

Me, for work. Not terribly looking forward to it.

OldBoy 02-27-09 09:16 AM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by DonnachaOne (Post 9295240)
Me, for work. Not terribly looking forward to it.

when?

DonnachaOne 02-27-09 09:25 AM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
One of the days next week.

OldBoy 02-27-09 09:28 AM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by DonnachaOne (Post 9295265)
One of the days next week.

cool. report back and enjoy.

edstein 02-27-09 08:58 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
This will have a decent opening weekend in 40-50 mil range. Then it will drop off the face of the planet the second week and on.

Damed 03-02-09 01:48 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
I think it will not make the money most of you are expecting, and here's why, from a review:


Part of that, and one of the reasons fans will adore it so much, is the simple refusal to appeal to an audience unfamiliar with the material. Throwing us in the deep end right from the get go, it demands you pay attention for all of its near three-hour runtime and even then will often prove confusing during its first act in which so much information is being thrown at the screen that its daunting even amongst those well-versed in the material (for the record I normally don't read much in the way of comics, but I did read this twice a few years ago and once again about two months ago).
Those completely unfamiliar with it will likely be so overloaded with info that they will be lost/

http://www.darkhorizons.com/reviews/888/Watchmen/

Yavin 03-02-09 02:10 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
^ I knew reading the graphic novel / watching the motion comic beforehand would be a good idea ... looks like Snyder refused to compromise for those unfamiliar with the book :/

Damed 03-02-09 02:12 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by Yavin (Post 9300443)
looks like Snyder refused to compromise for those unfamiliar with the book :/

Which you've got to give him credit for - but at the same time, it's potentially alienating the larger audience and therefore limiting the box office take.

Goat3001 03-02-09 02:14 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by Damed (Post 9300395)
Those completely unfamiliar with it will likely be so overloaded with info that they will be lost/

Cue the quintessential "The American movie going public is too stupid for this movie." post.

Damed 03-02-09 02:18 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
^^ I sincerely hope that isn't the case. There is a difference between being too stupid to "get it" and being overwhelmed with information at a fast pace.

Goat3001 03-02-09 03:09 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
^I agree, but unfortunately, it is inevitable as long as negative reviews keep coming in and saying the same thing.

It may sound like a silly argument to me and you... but never stand between fanboys and logic. ;)

Ash Ketchum 03-02-09 06:27 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
[QUOTE=Damed;9300395]I think it will not make the money most of you are expecting, and here's why, from a review:



Those completely unfamiliar with it will likely be so overloaded with info that they will be lost/


The Harry Potter movies were pretty close to the books, so I hear, and I found myself overwhelmed by them and got lost frequently (my daughter made me watch the first three movies). I felt the movies were more interested in pleasing readers of the books than in drawing in new fans. However, since those books are such worldwide best-sellers, the films did well, too. Enough of the moviegoing audience was familiar with the books to make the films a hit. The Watchmen comic, however, does not have that kind of worldwide following. (If it did, it would have been made into a movie 23 years ago.) So it runs a greater risk of alienating non-readers than the Harry Potter movies did.

mdc3000 03-02-09 07:01 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 

Originally Posted by Damed (Post 9300449)
Which you've got to give him credit for - but at the same time, it's potentially alienating the larger audience and therefore limiting the box office take.

Aren't peoples assess already in the seats by the time they realize it's too dense for them to follow? I can see it effecting repeat business and long term word of mouth, but hard to follow/elitist or not - opening weekend is going to be huge.

DJLinus 03-02-09 07:50 PM

Re: Box Office Predictions: Watchmen
 
Though I was probably too generous, I voted for "51-75 million" (likely the lower end of that scale).


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