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-   -   Weekend Box Office Thread 7/7/06 - 7/9/06 (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/471044-weekend-box-office-thread-7-7-06-7-9-06-a.html)

clemente 07-12-06 07:41 PM


Originally Posted by BigDaddy
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest is no peg leg. The movie appeared to show sturdy legs Monday when it grossed an additional $18.1 million -- the most ever earned on a non-holiday Monday. The previous record of $14.4 million was set last year by Star Wars: Episode III -- Revenge of the Sith. The film has now raked in $153.8 million in four days. Several writers are now speculating that it could go on even to surpass the current domestic box-office record gross of $600.8 million set by Titanic in 1998.

I'll be the first to admit that I never thought the movie would do this well...but the last line of that blurb from "reputable" news source IMDB really seems like hyperbole. The movie will make oodles of money, likely sailing right past $400 million, but $600 million is another level. $600 million is a cultural phenomenon.

Let's check out the movies legs in week 3 (when it'll actually have competition again) and then start breaking out those predictions. If its still breaking off $15-20 million weekend on August 1st, then we can talk.

TomOpus 07-12-06 07:47 PM

I can see it doing $400-450 million domestically but not over $600 million. There's still a lot of summer movies that'll catch movie-goer's attentions. Titanic came out in the winter with virtually no big competition.

needlz 07-12-06 07:50 PM


Originally Posted by BigDaddy
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest is no peg leg. The movie appeared to show sturdy legs Monday when it grossed an additional $18.1 million -- the most ever earned on a non-holiday Monday. The previous record of $14.4 million was set last year by Star Wars: Episode III -- Revenge of the Sith. The film has now raked in $153.8 million in four days. Several writers are now speculating that it could go on even to surpass the current domestic box-office record gross of $600.8 million set by Titanic in 1998.



From IMDB

WOW!!! :jawdrop:

Now only if the Matrix sequels blew up this big . . . I'm really eager to see how the 3rd one does next year . . . we know the "Reloaded" followed by "Revolutions" within the same year wasn't so "hot" at the box-office . . . there's at least a little more time between the sequels for "Pirates" and it's obvious the fanbase is much larger.

slabinskia 07-12-06 07:53 PM

$600 million is just plain unrealistic. 400 million is more like it.

Joe Molotov 07-12-06 08:00 PM

They're just going to keep trotting out that "bigger than Titantic" line until finally some movie actually does beat it. :lol:

Mr. Cinema 07-12-06 08:03 PM

No way this will reach $600 million. No way this will reach $500 million. The writers speculating this are the same ones who pick a blockbuster every year and start the "it may have a chance to beat Titanic" nonsense.

POTC 2's front loaded opening was great, but Titanic is the definition of consistency.

-10 straight weekends earning at least $20 million
-16 straight weekends earning at least $10 million
-#1 movie for 16 straight weekends

Its opening weekend total was only $28.6 million.

matome 07-12-06 08:05 PM

$400 mil: probably.

$600 mil: :lol: Not until tickets are $20 a pop.

Mr. Cinema 07-13-06 01:24 PM

POTC 2's Wednesday total: $14.2 million, US total: $183.7 million

Obey The D 07-13-06 01:33 PM


Originally Posted by needlz
we know the "Reloaded" followed by "Revolutions" within the same year wasn't so "hot" at the box-office .

I don't think the time frame had anything to do with Revolutions poor performance. The problem was that WB followed up a small turd with a steaming pile of shit.

Kocheese99 07-13-06 01:47 PM


Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
POTC 2's Wednesday total: $14.2 million, US total: $183.7 million

Well if it only drops 38% this weekend, that's what Spider-man did in its 2nd weekend, then it will make over $80 mill this weekend. Realisticly, that probably won't happen. But if it does follow Spider-man's % drops for the next 3 weekends here's roughly the totals for each weekend:

This coming weekend: $83 million
3rd weekend: $52 Million
4th Weekend: $33 Million
for a total of $168 million and you still have to add in weekday grosses.

Of course this is all based on Spider-man only dropping an average of 37-38% each week but if Pirates can do it then it has a shot at breaking Titanic.

Mr. Cinema 07-13-06 02:03 PM

I think POTC2's drops will be a little higher, but there's no direct competition coming out for a couple of weeks. Lady in the Water should open well and so should Miami Vice, but nothing else will come close to Pirates for this month.

grim_tales 07-13-06 02:11 PM

I don't think it will beat Titanic. Even Return of The King - only the 2nd film to crack a billion dollars, made "only" $370m (ish) in the US. Didn't Titanic make so much, partly because it had great legs but also repeat viewings? (That said it can't all have been teen girls creaming themselves over Leo) ;)

Jackskeleton 07-13-06 02:45 PM

This one has two teen heart drobs in it. So who knows. ;)

gotrice487 07-13-06 04:03 PM

I believe that Pirates will be #1 again this weekend as I can't see You, Me and Dupree overtaking it.

slabinskia 07-13-06 04:59 PM

I don't think it's a question if it will be #1 again this weekend but how much it will make in its second weekend. I will go with $65 million.

Deftones 07-13-06 05:06 PM

I am going to add my few bucks to see POTC and Superman this weekend. Can't wait.

Patman 07-13-06 05:12 PM

But Little Man might! :D

Nesbit 07-13-06 05:14 PM

I know a lot of people who haven't seen this film but still plan on going. I'd say 80 mil this weekend. I haven't been yet and plan on taking someone on Monday.

Mr. Cinema 07-13-06 06:00 PM

I think there's a very good chance this will be in the $70 - $80 million range. I doubt Little Man and You, Me and Depree will even combine for $70 million. I'd be shocked.

marty888 07-13-06 09:06 PM


Originally Posted by matome
$400 mil: probably.

$600 mil: :lol: Not until tickets are $20 a pop.


Don't give them any ideas! (They're going to be looking for <i>some</i> way to make POTC 3 an even bigger event.)

Fielding Mellish 07-14-06 09:20 AM

Don't underestimate Little Man.

If there's anything the first half of the year taught me, it's "don't count on the taste of the moviegoing public."

DRG 07-14-06 10:37 AM


Originally Posted by Fielding Mellish
Don't underestimate Little Man.

If there's anything the first half of the year taught me, it's "don't count on the taste of the moviegoing public."

1 Little Man $133,029,000
2 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $66,010,000
3 You, Me and Dupree $18,119,000
4 Superman Returns $11,340,000
5 The Devil Wears Prada $10,400,000

Joe Molotov 07-14-06 11:03 AM


Originally Posted by Fielding Mellish
Don't underestimate Little Man.

If there's anything the first half of the year taught me, it's "don't count on the taste of the moviegoing public."

There's no way it opens bigger than White Chicks ($19 Million). If there's any decency in this world, it won't make more than 19 Dollars, but if it makes even more money than White Chicks, it will be a dark day indeed.
Spoiler:
And I mean that in a non-racist way.

Mr. Cinema 07-14-06 12:50 PM

Pirates almost made $200 million before today. Thursday's total was $12.1 million, brining the US total to $195.7 million in 7 days.

Box Office Mojo is predicting $63.5 million this weekend.

RichC2 07-14-06 12:53 PM

Tight race between SW Episode 3, This, and Spidey 2 right now.

However, SW Ep3 and Spidey 2 opened on Holiday weekends.


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