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When will Blu-ray hit "dvd" status?

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When will Blu-ray hit "dvd" status?

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Old 06-27-08 | 12:53 PM
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When will Blu-ray hit "dvd" status?

I'm both an owner of an HD DVD player and Blu Ray player. As much as I try to buy as many movies as I can in high definition, I just can't do it any more. The selection at the moment is just too small, and awful.

It's sad to see older movies being re-released still onto DVD, and they won't even try for a blu-ray release. Is it because it costs too much money to produce high definition releases, or because there aren't enough blu ray owners, or both?

What year do you think blu-ray will be as popular as dvd releases? Or if it will happen at all.
Old 06-27-08 | 01:34 PM
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I think the general consensus is that Blu-ray will always remain a niche market and if it ever does hit the same level of popularity as currently enjoyed by the DVD format, it will not be for several years more.
Old 06-27-08 | 01:41 PM
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Never. Blu-ray's will never eclipse or even equal dvd.
Old 06-27-08 | 01:42 PM
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"General consensus?" We must have wildly different definitions of that phrase.
Old 06-27-08 | 01:57 PM
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I receive several entertainment industry newsletters and, according to several pieces I've read recently, BR is approximately where DVD was at the same time in DVD's early years.

And... in about 4-6 years, projected to be where DVD is now.

Or so they say.
Old 06-27-08 | 02:03 PM
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From: Blu-ray.com
Originally Posted by Yavin
I think the general consensus is that Blu-ray will always remain a niche market and if it ever does hit the same level of popularity as currently enjoyed by the DVD format, it will not be for several years more.
Maybe the general consensus on certain sites...would be a better observation.

Pro-B
Old 06-27-08 | 02:21 PM
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Once the cost of Blu-ray players and media drop in price, substantially, I can see it easily replacing DVD. Not with the wave of "replace your collection!" enthusiasm that DVD had, of course, but in terms of buying new movies? Once the price points get closer to converging, I don't see an issue, especially since BD is backwards compatible.

That said, who cares? As long as the growth and profit are there and the prices come down a bit, I'm not too concerned aboot it.
Old 06-27-08 | 02:28 PM
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Eagerly waiting two certain posters to chime in on this thread.

Back on topic. Who knows if it will ever be as popular as DVD was/is. DVD took off like a storm after a few years. I would say player prices and software prices need to drop quite a bit before it does.
Old 06-27-08 | 02:34 PM
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3 months, 2 weeks, 6 days, 13 hours, 44 minutes. Mark it down.
Old 06-27-08 | 02:39 PM
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Originally Posted by RyoHazuki
Never. Blu-ray's will never eclipse or even equal dvd.
You kind of have to wonder though. How many households have HDTVs compared to standard televisions? I have a feeling that once people start being compelled to upgrade either because of the transmission deadline next year (unlikely since I believe most people are spared the issue via cable or satellite receivers) or their current set dies (since I'm seeing fewer standard TV sets bigger than 27" in retail stores - Best Buy only carries 3 online, Wal-Mart 8, Circuit City 2).

Once HDTV makes a more marked presentation in homes and people see what their sets can do with broadcast programming in comparison to how their standard DVDs are presented, I'm willing to bet Blu-ray will start taking off in earnest. By the time that happens, the player prices should be lower and there should be MANY more titles available than the paltry catalogue out there right now. So basically I'm saying there will have to be a "perfect storm" of all these things converging to surpass DVD.
Old 06-27-08 | 03:50 PM
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From: Mister Peepers
Originally Posted by RyoHazuki
Never. Blu-ray's will never eclipse or even equal dvd.
People here say 2012-2015.
Old 06-27-08 | 04:00 PM
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Small selection? How many titles did you expect BD to offer up during the first 2 years? The same amount DVD offers, which took 10 years? There are over 500 titles released. How many of those aren't "awful"?
Old 06-27-08 | 04:18 PM
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No one knows. Maybe next year, 5 years, 10 years or never.

Just buy movies and enjoy the format.
Old 06-27-08 | 05:14 PM
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Old 06-27-08 | 06:22 PM
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Originally Posted by RyoHazuki
Never. Blu-ray's will never eclipse or even equal dvd.
[1998]DVD's will never eclipse Laserdisc![/1998]

Blu-ray has outpaced DVD adoption

in 2012, sales of Blu-ray Discs will exceed those of standard DVDs

My guess is that as high-definition adoption accelerates, and as Blu-ray player and disc prices drop, Blu-ray sales will increase faster than expectations. Blu-ray movies are already priced cheaper than DVD was at the same point in its life. 2 years into DVD, everything was still priced at $20+ at retail. You never saw $10 and $15 DVD's at that time, but with BOGO and other sales, you're already seeing lots of major BD's at that price point, which will spur adoption faster than I think people are predicting.

The only thing that I see slowing it would be a long recession stunting the growth of the HD market.

Last edited by TheBang; 06-27-08 at 06:27 PM.
Old 06-27-08 | 06:42 PM
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When BD players can be purchased for less than $100 at Walmart and BD movies cost ~$15 when they hit the street. I'd give it 2-3 years, unless Sony really wants to milk it for all it is worth.
Old 06-27-08 | 07:10 PM
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It will take longer than 2-3 years... but Blu-Ray certainly has picked up a lot of steam in the last year or so. The titles have just been getting cranked out.
Old 06-27-08 | 07:21 PM
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People still ask for VHS tapes at Blockbuster...
Old 06-27-08 | 07:48 PM
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From: Mister Peepers
Originally Posted by king3style
November 5th, 2018
Why a Monday? Wouldn't Tuesday make more sense since that's when the new titles come out that people can buy?
Old 06-27-08 | 08:55 PM
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Originally Posted by Abe.
People still ask for VHS tapes at Blockbuster...
People still shop at Blockbuster...
Old 06-27-08 | 11:04 PM
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From: Mister Peepers
Originally Posted by Todd B.
Blu-ray movies are already priced cheaper than DVD was at the same point in its life. 2 years into DVD, everything was still priced at $20+ at retail. You never saw $10 and $15 DVD's at that time, but with BOGO and other sales, you're already seeing lots of major BD's at that price point, which will spur adoption faster than I think people are predicting.
Today's BD sales don't compare at all to the crazy online sales that DVD had.
Old 06-27-08 | 11:16 PM
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September 15 2022. i read it the digital bits website.
Old 06-28-08 | 12:13 AM
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Originally Posted by Mister Peepers
Today's BD sales don't compare at all to the crazy online sales that DVD had.
That's because those were not sales, those were giveaways.

Pro-B
Old 06-28-08 | 01:06 AM
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A year or two after you see a blu ray player go on a Black Friday special for 60 bucks.
Old 06-28-08 | 01:48 AM
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Originally Posted by Mister Peepers
Why a Monday? Wouldn't Tuesday make more sense since that's when the new titles come out that people can buy?
Because on August 7th, 2017, Studios will decide to release new titles on Mondays.


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