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Old 05-03-26 | 10:01 PM
  #2976  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

In terms of Prada 2, apparently the breakeven point is $250 million worldwide. It's currently at $232 million.
Old 05-03-26 | 11:49 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Decker
1) Is it unusual to retain more than half your gross on your second wide release weekend?
It is, especially for big openers and assumed to be front loaded films. Michael does lose it's Imax screens for it's 3rd wknd but it seems to be holding up well. A lot of box office folks had it making a billion, but the international market isn't what it was pre-2020 so it looks like this is headed to 7-800m worldwide.
Old 05-04-26 | 09:54 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Decker
1) Definitely a joke to be made there, but I’ll pass.
2) What constitutes a ‘strong hold’ for a blockbuster? Seems like a 44% decline would be pretty normal to me, but I don’t know for sure. Is it unusual to retain more than half your gross on your second wide release weekend?
I was going to making a "touching" joke but pivoted.

44% decline is terrific, typically anything < 50% is seen as excellent for a 2nd weekend drop for a movie that opens 'big'.

55%+ is a bit more common. 60%+ is typically where it gets into "bad" territory.

A big part of it is these movies get this gigantic preview the night before the movie officially opens that gets rolled into the "Friday" numbers, it doesn't get this perk the 2nd weekend so a sizable fall is inevitable.

Comparisons:
Deadpool v. Wolverine: -54.2% ($211m -> $96m 2nd weekend)
Inside Out 2: -34.4% ($154m -> $101.2m)
Moana 2: -63.3%
Wicked: -55.1%
Jurassic Park Rebirth: -56.2%
Mission Impossible Final Reckoning: -57.5%
Fantastic Four: First Steps: -67.1% ($117m -> $38.7m)
Captain America: BNW: -68.3%
Wicked For Good: -58%
Superman: -53.2%
How to Train Your Dragon (2025): -56.8%

Last edited by RichC2; 05-04-26 at 12:37 PM.
Old 05-04-26 | 11:08 AM
  #2979  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

^ God, there are some terrible movies in that comparison list
Though to be fair, Michael is terrible as well, so.. fair.

This was the first weekend this year with two $50M grossers. 11th weekend like that this decade so far.

Old 05-04-26 | 12:38 PM
  #2980  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

We're not exactly in our strongest era of mainstream cinema
Old 05-04-26 | 09:28 PM
  #2981  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
We're not exactly in our strongest era of mainstream cinema
Bro, we've got three Sonic the Hedgehog movies in five years and they're good. Give modern mainstream cinema a little credit here!
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Old 05-05-26 | 06:34 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

touché
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Old 05-05-26 | 09:09 AM
  #2983  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by story
Bro, we've got three Sonic the Hedgehog movies in five years and they're good. Give modern mainstream cinema a little credit here!
Exactly!

People talk about the 1970's being a great era for mainstream movies but they didn't have the guts to make one single movie where a hedgehog was the star, let alone 3.
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Old 05-05-26 | 10:01 AM
  #2984  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Jaymole
Exactly!

People talk about the 1970's being a great era for mainstream movies but they didn't have the guts to make one single movie where a hedgehog was the star, let alone 3.
Have you totally forgotten about Dudley Moore's stint as a leading man?
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