The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
#2976
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
In terms of Prada 2, apparently the breakeven point is $250 million worldwide. It's currently at $232 million.
#2977
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
#2978
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
1) Definitely a joke to be made there, but I’ll pass.
2) What constitutes a ‘strong hold’ for a blockbuster? Seems like a 44% decline would be pretty normal to me, but I don’t know for sure. Is it unusual to retain more than half your gross on your second wide release weekend?
2) What constitutes a ‘strong hold’ for a blockbuster? Seems like a 44% decline would be pretty normal to me, but I don’t know for sure. Is it unusual to retain more than half your gross on your second wide release weekend?
44% decline is terrific, typically anything < 50% is seen as excellent for a 2nd weekend drop for a movie that opens 'big'.
55%+ is a bit more common. 60%+ is typically where it gets into "bad" territory.
A big part of it is these movies get this gigantic preview the night before the movie officially opens that gets rolled into the "Friday" numbers, it doesn't get this perk the 2nd weekend so a sizable fall is inevitable.
Comparisons:
Deadpool v. Wolverine: -54.2% ($211m -> $96m 2nd weekend)
Inside Out 2: -34.4% ($154m -> $101.2m)
Moana 2: -63.3%
Wicked: -55.1%
Jurassic Park Rebirth: -56.2%
Mission Impossible Final Reckoning: -57.5%
Fantastic Four: First Steps: -67.1% ($117m -> $38.7m)
Captain America: BNW: -68.3%
Wicked For Good: -58%
Superman: -53.2%
How to Train Your Dragon (2025): -56.8%
Last edited by RichC2; 05-04-26 at 12:37 PM.
#2979
DVD Talk Godfather & 2020 TOTY Winner
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
^ God, there are some terrible movies in that comparison list 
Though to be fair, Michael is terrible as well, so.. fair.
This was the first weekend this year with two $50M grossers. 11th weekend like that this decade so far.

Though to be fair, Michael is terrible as well, so.. fair.

This was the first weekend this year with two $50M grossers. 11th weekend like that this decade so far.
#2980
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
We're not exactly in our strongest era of mainstream cinema
#2982
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
touché
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story (05-05-26)
#2983
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
People talk about the 1970's being a great era for mainstream movies but they didn't have the guts to make one single movie where a hedgehog was the star, let alone 3.
#2984
DVD Talk Godfather & 2020 TOTY Winner
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
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#2985
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
I'm always shocked when I come across yet another 70s movie starring Richard Benjamin. Hard to think of another actor who went from being so prolific and across different genres who seems to be completely forgotten.
#2986
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Prada is killing it, MK II is doing pretty well. 33% drop for Micheal is crazy good as well.
Sheep Detective did better than most tracking suggested as well.
#2987
DVD Talk Godfather & 2020 TOTY Winner
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
People are going to the movies. I love that.
Devil Wears Prada 2 is like MCU-level IP for middle ages and Millenial housewives. That's a good thing. It's not nearly as beloved IP, but I suspect Practical Magic 2 will do decent box office as well. It's an audience that wants new stuff that they like in a theater.
Devil Wears Prada 2 is like MCU-level IP for middle ages and Millenial housewives. That's a good thing. It's not nearly as beloved IP, but I suspect Practical Magic 2 will do decent box office as well. It's an audience that wants new stuff that they like in a theater.
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tanman (05-10-26)
#2988
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
People are going to the movies. I love that.
Devil Wears Prada 2 is like MCU-level IP for middle ages and Millenial housewives. That's a good thing. It's not nearly as beloved IP, but I suspect Practical Magic 2 will do decent box office as well. It's an audience that wants new stuff that they like in a theater.
Devil Wears Prada 2 is like MCU-level IP for middle ages and Millenial housewives. That's a good thing. It's not nearly as beloved IP, but I suspect Practical Magic 2 will do decent box office as well. It's an audience that wants new stuff that they like in a theater.
And yes, it feels great that there's a lot of love to spread around. People are going back to the movies and for a very wide range of different genres. I agree with Ryan Gosling's recent comments on how it was up to them as film makers to make movies that appeal to audiences. And basically studios need to stop blaming the audience for their failures.
#2989
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Prada 2 has now made $433 million worldwide.
#2990
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
One of the more interesting box office wknds in recent years, just about everyone winning. (MK2 likely coming in under 40m is the disappointment) Amazon's Sheep Detectives seems to be an underrated success as well. Should have decent holds with no big releases this coming wknd.
#2991
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Anyone know how the Eilish film performed vs expectations?
#2992
DVD Talk Godfather & 2020 TOTY Winner
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Not great. Costed $20M to make due to Cameron’s new 3D cameras. I know she’s not Taylor Swift, but her concert film made $90M opening weekend, and her…Album listening party made twice this much.
It’s a phenomenal 3D film though. I hope more folks seek it out.
It’s a phenomenal 3D film though. I hope more folks seek it out.
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Nesbit (05-11-26)
#2993
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Sorry to hear that but was kind of what I was thinking.
Enjoyed the film here too.
Enjoyed the film here too.
#2994
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Wow really? It's more than just a concert film? Seems like it's already gone by Thursday. Having trouble trying to schedule everything I want to see with A-list next week. MK II is also loosing it's premium screens by Thursday so they may have a pretty big drop on their second weekend.
#2995
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Hero
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Early estimates, I'll repost later. Very good hold for Michael and excellent opening for Obsession




