http://deadline.com/2015/04/avengers...rd-1201417420/

We've already had a gazillion threads about how this film is going to perform, so this is the time to see where it actually does performs.

I'm predicting $230-235M. Poll is open, live, and will close after the public receives the late-Thursday box office gross is known.

I'm guessing it'll match the overseas numbers and add a bit more so I went with $210-$219 million.

Anticipation and must-see may have dwindled for some since the WOM suggests this is good, but not as good as the first. I think an opening of $214.7mm is likely, since it'll still crush records no matter what.

My prediction was $225 in the "AoU vs. Force Awakens" thread, so I'm sticking with that...

I went with the safe choice and picked $150M - $1174M

Me too!

we can't be wrong w/ that choice.

Well, we could, but it is not very likely. So yeah, I went with that too.

i was checked showtimes for the weekend at the arclight near me and there are 45 showtimes each for friday, saturday, and sunday. i didn't think that was even possible.

Yea. Between regular, Imax 3D and regular 3D, I have 40 (I check out of curiosity). But my 'usual' theater just has the regular 10-or-so.

I'll hit up the theater Sunday morning. It's usually not too bad, regardless of the movie showing.

The place is going to be really messy and loud on Friday and Saturday evening.

I think I projected 200-220

and I'm going to stickw ith that lol

Per Boxoffice.com:

Check out the lone person who voted under $150 million. I guarantee you won't be surprised. I guess pretending to be a clueless moron regarding box office is also part of the shtick.

It could rain fire and brimstone this weekend and The Avengers would still make more than $150 million.

Clearly the OP is a dyslexic and illiterate moron.

AoU will obviously open big, but I expect the final tally to be softer domestically than many people expect. This might be where fatigue sets in if it's as action/CG heavy as some of the reviews suggest.

That fatigue will also impact Ant-man no matter how good (better?) a movie it actually is.

I expect the really interesting discussions won't happen until August because that's when we will have a better idea of how things are shaking out.

I don't think anyone is going to pin Ant-man's lack of success on fatigue so much as just being lesser known and looking fairly weak.

I won't be too surprised if the consistent comments I hear are "that really wasn't a bad movie" and "that was actually more entertaining than AoU" and yet the BO performance doesn't seem to scale to those sentiments.

The problem with franchise/brand pictures like Ant-man is that it can't ever be a true dark horse/sleeper. Even if the specific character isn't well known, the brand still is which amounts to a double edged sword. The movie can still be good and totally unrelated in tone and content to Avengers, but if Avengers generates some backlash or ennui, it's not really the next Avengers movie that will suffer as much as it will be the next Marvel branded film.

$220-229 is my pick. I would not doubt it goes higher however. If there are enough places to see it.

So what happened to the $1 billion, one hundred and seventy-five million category?

Boxoffice.com is predicting $221 million.

I always imagined there's a point when you stop counting, and the studio people just throw cash in the air while getting BJ's from A-list actresses.

Let's keep in consideration this is NOT the widest release ever (still belongs to one of the Twilight movies), and taking previous the previous highest PTA into account I've seen most estimates putting this at a max opening of $213mm or so. I don't think it's possible to go higher. We'll see.

Let's also not forget there is one of the biggest boxing events ever taking place on Sat night. That could put a minor dent in things, too.

For some reason, there is a tendency to report Theater Count as Screen Count these days. With some theaters showing it up to 48 times a day, I'm pretty sure this can pull a ridiculous amount. And many of those Best Per Theater Averages aren't filling up nearly that many outside of maybe Grand Budapest Hotel ($202,000 PTA). Though a $202k PTA in 4200 theaters would be an absurd $840m.

If only they could have put that fight into the movie! One of them could be working for the Avengers and one of them for Ultron! Then the boxoffice would really take off!