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Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Poll

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View Poll Results: How much will Avengers: Age of Ultron make domestically by Sunday, May 3rd?
$240M +.
4.00%
$230M - $239M.
14.00%
$220M - $229M.
26.00%
$210M - $219M.
20.00%
$200M - $209M.
16.00%
$175M - $199M.
6.00%
$150M - $1174M.
10.00%
Below $150M.
2.00%
Far From the Maddening Twikoff takes #1.
2.00%
Voters: 50. You may not vote on this poll

Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Poll

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Old 04-29-15 | 09:07 PM
  #26  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

I predict $220M.
Old 04-29-15 | 09:22 PM
  #27  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by RichC2
For some reason, there is a tendency to report Theater Count as Screen Count these days. With some theaters showing it up to 48 times a day, I'm pretty sure this can pull a ridiculous amount. And many of those Best Per Theater Averages aren't filling up nearly that many outside of maybe Grand Budapest Hotel ($202,000 PTA). Though a $202k PTA in 4200 theaters would be an absurd $840m.
Hey, either way you'll win in the poll.
Old 04-29-15 | 09:23 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Ok, I vote for $840 million!
Old 04-29-15 | 09:57 PM
  #29  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

$220-229.
Old 04-30-15 | 12:26 PM
  #30  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

I honestly don't think the boxing match will mean shit to the opening of this...Prom's on the other hand could.
Old 05-01-15 | 09:40 AM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

This made $27.6m last night, the first Avengers pulled $18.7m.

If anything, that Boxing Match will make the movie do better. I imagine most will be watching it in bars and not paying the $100 PPV fee, they'll want to drop the kids off at the theater and scoop em up after.

And I say that because who under 35 still watches regular boxing?
Old 05-01-15 | 04:26 PM
  #32  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Deadline is now reporting the film is on-track for a possible 213m opening, but that means it could be really tight, final numbers on Monday could easily be off by 5m+, so it may still end up being the second highest grossing film on opening weekend. My $$$ will have to be counted next weekend, as there is nothing exciting opening next weekend, so it is a perfect weekend to see the film (less frenetic), and I feel this is a good weekend to do some chores (laundry, oil change, both a bit overdue anyway).
Old 05-01-15 | 04:50 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by Inhumans99
Deadline is now reporting the film is on-track for a possible 213m opening, but that means it could be really tight, final numbers on Monday could easily be off by 5m+, so it may still end up being the second highest grossing film on opening weekend. My $$$ will have to be counted next weekend, as there is nothing exciting opening next weekend, so it is a perfect weekend to see the film (less frenetic), and I feel this is a good weekend to do some chores (laundry, oil change, both a bit overdue anyway).
Deadline had Furious 7 pegged for a $130M opening weekend after its Thursday night numbers... and that ended up at $150M.

Saturday's numbers are the ones to focus on.
Old 05-01-15 | 05:00 PM
  #34  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by RichC2
This made $27.6m last night, the first Avengers pulled $18.7m.

If anything, that Boxing Match will make the movie do better. I imagine most will be watching it in bars and not paying the $100 PPV fee, they'll want to drop the kids off at the theater and scoop em up after.

And I say that because who under 35 still watches regular boxing?
Regular boxing? Nobody. This match is an entirely different story though.
Old 05-01-15 | 06:32 PM
  #35  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

I'm guessing high 220s to low 230s. It did $200 million internationally and opened higher than the first Avengers and Iron Man 3 in almost all markets.
Old 05-01-15 | 06:52 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

when will we know estimates?
Old 05-01-15 | 07:23 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by Supermallet
I'm guessing high 220s to low 230s. It did $200 million internationally and opened higher than the first Avengers and Iron Man 3 in almost all markets.
There has been a semi regular trend lately where foreign is going up with a decline in domestic.
Old 05-01-15 | 07:32 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by OldBoy
when will we know estimates?
Uh, the same time we always do: on Sun morning.
Old 05-01-15 | 10:25 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

$232,600,000
Old 05-01-15 | 11:00 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Early Reports are looking at between 95-100 million FRIDAY.

Heh.
Old 05-01-15 | 11:43 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Yeah. Since Friday includes Thursday night showings:

Avengers 1:
Thursday midnight - $18.7m
Friday - $62.1m
Saturday - $69.5m
Sunday - $57.1m

Avengers 2:
Thursday night - $27.6m
Friday - $66.4m - $69.4m
Saturday -
Sunday -
Old 05-02-15 | 05:32 AM
  #42  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

From Deadline:

Deadline has received a new updated set of industry estimates showing Disney/Marvel’s Avengers: Age of Ultron clocking toward the highest opening single day of all-time with $94M-$97M, blowing away previous champ 2011’s Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II which made $91.07M. That figure includes the $27.6M from Thursday night shows. Opening FSS for Ultron still speeding toward an all-time bow. We’re hearing as high as $217M-$220M.
Old 05-02-15 | 06:41 AM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

They adjusted Friday estimates from $95 to $84.46.

So Ultron did about $4.5m less business on Friday than Avengers 1, but eeks out a slightly higher gross due to Thursday showings.

Last edited by RichC2; 05-02-15 at 10:06 AM.
Old 05-02-15 | 11:31 AM
  #44  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Right now, unless it has a big Saturday increase, it's going to struggle to get to a $200M OW. Poor Disney.
Old 05-02-15 | 11:34 AM
  #45  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Dang, yeah it looks like it will not beat the OW for Avengers 1.

Deadline is speculating mayweather pacquiao will have an affect too.
Old 05-02-15 | 11:48 AM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Yeah, hate to project it's entire run before the opening wknd is over, but looks like it'll have a dip in domestic (500-550m), but will make it up with an increase overseas... still gets to 1.5B.
Old 05-02-15 | 12:11 PM
  #47  
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

I'm a little surprised to see the drop in the daily and weekend estimate, as it seems like there's more screens showing this in theaters then i've seen for any other movie.
Old 05-02-15 | 12:27 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Originally Posted by fumanstan
I'm a little surprised to see the drop in the daily and weekend estimate, as it seems like there's more screens showing this in theaters then i've seen for any other movie.
Screens are a bit less than the first one surprisingly... and the 3d won't be as high of a % - which is prob the difference in $$ this wknd.
Old 05-02-15 | 02:19 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

Calling it now. Headline for the weekend will be: Hulk smashes BO records.
Old 05-02-15 | 03:08 PM
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol

The Mayweather/Pacqiao fight tonight is undoubtedly going to cut into its overall weekend gross. That is a certainty.


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