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2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

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2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Old 01-31-11, 02:38 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
I'm 99.9% sure The King's Speech wins Picture. I won't say 100% since Apollo 13 did win the PGA, DGA, and the SAG, but lost Picture. Brokeback Mountain won the PGA, DGA, and WGA, but also lost BP. Little Miss Sunshine won the PGA, SAG, and WGA, and lost BP. So I do hold out that little speckle of hope. But assuming The King's Speech wins the WGA, I'm not sure any film that won all 4 major guilds lost BP.

However, the bigger tragedy may be Hooper taking Fincher's Director Oscar. I'd be more bothered by that happening vs The Social Network losing BP. There's a huge amount of great films that never won the Oscar. Oliver! is a Best Picture winner, but Citizen Kane isn't.
So then, you have seen the King's Speech and that's informing your statements? Or you haven't seen it? I still can't tell.
Old 01-31-11, 06:23 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

In terms of King's Speech, I won't say I liked it more than Social Network, but I can definitely understand how it has taken the lead after seeing it yesterday. It is a very inspirational movie, and unlike TSN, it's characters are people you can get behind and support, whereas the ones in TSN were mostly douchebags.


In terms of Best Actress, does anyone else think Natalie Portman winning the SAG means she's a lock? The only way I see Bening winning at this point is if the academy is dead set on giving her a lifetime achievement Oscar. Of course there is the off chance that she and Portman split the ballot and it goes to Jennifer Lawrence.
Old 01-31-11, 06:40 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Dr. DVD
In terms of Best Actress, does anyone else think Natalie Portman winning the SAG means she's a lock?
Old 02-01-11, 08:10 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Dr. DVD
In terms of King's Speech, I won't say I liked it more than Social Network, but I can definitely understand how it has taken the lead after seeing it yesterday. It is a very inspirational movie, and unlike TSN, it's characters are people you can get behind and support, whereas the ones in TSN were mostly douchebags.


In terms of Best Actress, does anyone else think Natalie Portman winning the SAG means she's a lock? The only way I see Bening winning at this point is if the academy is dead set on giving her a lifetime achievement Oscar. Of course there is the off chance that she and Portman split the ballot and it goes to Jennifer Lawrence.
If Benning and Portman split the ballot it'd probably go to Williams.
Old 02-01-11, 09:19 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Well, currently, when you're voting for Natalie Portman, you're voting for two!
Old 02-03-11, 03:58 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Re: Best Supporting Actress, after seeing the excellent True Grit yesterday I'd have to say Hailee Steinfeld will take it. It might go to Melissa Leo, but this category loves the novices (Jennifer Hudson, Anna Paquin, Marisa Tomei to name a few) and Steinfeld truly is amazing in this movie, she holds the screen from the word go and tackles the Coen's tricky dialogue with ease.
Old 02-03-11, 03:59 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

... oh, might as well give my predictions overall for what they're worth
Best Picture: King's Speech
Best actor: Colin Firth
Best actress: Natalie Portman
Best supporting actor: Christian Bale
Best supporting actress: Hailee Steinfeld
Best director: David Fincher (I think this will Social Network's one big win)
Old 02-03-11, 04:21 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Sierra Disc
Best director: David Fincher (I think this will Social Network's one big win)
Yeah, say what you like about The Social Network, David Fincher did a HELLUVA job directing that thing.

I'm still shocked that Jesse Eisenberg got a nod for that movie, but not Andrew Garfield.
Old 02-03-11, 05:10 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by RichC2
No, The King's Speech is actually a good movie.

It is, however, almost every cliche people make fun of the academy for.
I meant as in "undeserving best picture winner." I enjoyed The King's Speech a fair bit myself, but having it crowned the best movie of the year when Fincher, Nolan, Aronofsky, Leigh (even if his film got one measly nomination) and the Coens were on their A+ game just doesn't feel right.

As for the Supporting Actress race, I liked Hailee quite a bit - category placement be damned - and Melissa Leo deserves the recognition she's been getting, but the frontrunner of this award really should be Jacki Weaver.
Old 02-03-11, 05:43 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

I have to disagree with that. I think it's because I saw Animal Kingdom advertised in theaters praising Weaver's performance (before I saw the movie), and while I liked her in it, I was a little underwhelmed at the same time.

Steinfeld carried True Grit. Melissa Leo was excellent in The Fighter. Amy Adams was very good in The Fighter though not given the chance to chew the scenary (in a good way) as Leo is. Helena B. Carter was very good in King's Speech but didn't stand out at all really, I think she sort of caught the nomination wave with Rush and Firth since she definitely didn't detract.

Not sure who I'd want to win, but I do think Leo will get it.

I will be irritated as hell if Hooper wins Best Director, the rest of the categories I don't care so much about (Though I would like to see Bale get recognition for The Fighter. Which is most likely unless King's Speech has enough momentum to put Rush over the top.)

Best Animated is going to Toy Story 3, that's a given, the rest of the categories could go either way but I do think a clean sweep for King's Speech is coming. I just hope I'm wrong.
Old 02-03-11, 05:57 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Animal Kingdom is very good, but really Weaver's role is a bit of a "twist" gimmick, which was very effective, but as RichC2 said, Steinfeld carried the entire movie, and I just have a feeling she'll take it -- could be wrong though.
Old 02-05-11, 08:48 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

The Social Network finally won a Guild award as Sorkin won the WGA for Adapted Screenplay. Chris Nolan won for Original. The King's Speech wasn't eligible, so it could still win on Oscar night. Glad to see Nolan get rewarded though.
Old 02-05-11, 10:18 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Picture: Social Network
Director: Fincher
Actor: Firth
Actress: Portman
Supp. Actor: Bale
Supp. Actress: Leo
Song: That Gwyneth Paltrow country turd
Old 02-05-11, 11:22 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Charlie Goose
Picture: Social Network
Director: Fincher
Actor: Firth
Actress: Portman
Supp. Actor: Bale
Supp. Actress: Leo
Song: That Gwyneth Paltrow country turd
Old 02-06-11, 12:20 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Charlie Goose
Picture: Social Network
Director: Fincher
Actor: Firth
Actress: Portman
Supp. Actor: Bale
Supp. Actress: Leo
I wish.

The Social Network is not winning Best Picture and it's a long shot for Fincher.

Sad but true.
Old 02-06-11, 08:06 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Art Director's Guild winners:

Contemporary feature film: Therese DePrez, BLACK SWAN
Fantasy feature film: Guy Hendrix Dyas, INCEPTION
Period feature film: Eve Stewart, THE KING’S SPEECH
Old 02-06-11, 08:14 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by JumpCutz
I wish.

The Social Network is not winning Best Picture and it's a long shot for Fincher.

Sad but true.

How did Social Work lose so much momentum in what seems like a matter of two weeks? Seems like favorites shift fast in awards season.
Old 02-06-11, 09:39 AM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

The Weinstein marketing machine?
Old 02-06-11, 01:09 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
The Social Network finally won a Guild award as Sorkin won the WGA for Adapted Screenplay. Chris Nolan won for Original. The King's Speech wasn't eligible, so it could still win on Oscar night. Glad to see Nolan get rewarded though.
I think we can assume, rightly, that the only other guild The Social Network can win is ACE (editing). Still, WGA and ACE are two of the bigger ones. The King's Speech will have costume design in the bag (though there are split categories), while the Cinematography and Sound guilds will opt for more showier titles like Black Swan and Inception.
Old 02-06-11, 01:22 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

My personal/favorite pics

Picture: Inception
Director: Nolan
Actor: Franco
Actress: Portman
Supp. Actor: Bale
Supp. Actress: Steinfeld

What will prob happen:

Picture: King's Speech
Director: Fincher
Actor: Firth
Actress: Portman
Supp. Actor: Bale
Supp. Actress: Leo
Old 02-06-11, 02:21 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by Patman
The Weinstein marketing machine?
Movie goers also love the film.
Old 02-12-11, 11:10 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

May as well throw up a list of predictions for Sunday's BAFTAs:

Film – The King's Speech
British Film – Another Year
Director – Christopher Nolan
Actor – Colin Firth
Actress – Annette Bening (London Film Critics went for Bening: may be an indication the tide is turning for Portman).
Supporting Actor – Christian Bale
Supporting Actress – Helena Bonham Carter
Adapted Screenplay – The Social Network
Original Screenplay – The King's Speech
Foreign Film – I Am Love
Animated – Toy Story 3
Cinematography – True Grit
Production Design – Inception
Costumes – The King's Speech
Editing – Inception
Makeup – Black Swan
Sound – Inception
Score – The King's Speech
Visual Effects – Inception
Rising Star Award – Andrew Garfield
Old 02-12-11, 11:19 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

It would be nice if John Powell would win for best score. For me, HTTYD worked because his music elevated it to a whole new level.
Old 02-12-11, 11:24 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Even if The King's Speech wins, which I really didn't like, it was still a great year for movies.
Old 02-12-11, 11:28 PM
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Re: 2010 Oscar buzz/predictions

Originally Posted by hardercore
Rising Star Award – Andrew Garfield
Wow, I was going to suggest Jennifer Lawrence, but she wasn't even nominated, and neither was Hailee Steinfeld.

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