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Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

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Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

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Old 05-02-10 | 07:16 AM
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From: Raleighwood
Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

With Iron Man 2 coming this weekend, the summer box office "officially" begins. Make your predictions here.

Notable releases:

Spoiler:
MAY

Iron Man 2
Robin Hood
Shrek Forever After
MacGruber
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
Sex and the City 2

JUNE

Killers
Get Him to the Greek
Marmaduke
The A-Team
Jonah Hex
Toy Story 3
Grown Ups
Knight & Day
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse

JULY

The Last Airbender
Despicable Me
Predators
The Sorcerer's Apprentice
Inception
Salt
Dinner for Schmucks

AUGUST

The Other Guys
The Expendables
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World
Going the Distance
Takers
Piranha 3D


My Top Ten of the Summer:
1. Iron Man 2($350)
2. Toy Story 3 ($340)
3. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse ($330)
4. Shrek Forever After ($265)
5. Inception ($215)
6. Prince of Persia ($190)
7. Grown Ups ($175)
8. Robin Hood ($165)
9. Sex and the City 2 ($145)
10. Knight & Day ($145)
Old 05-02-10 | 08:18 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Wow, this is looking to be a really boring summer. Only six movies in there that I'm looking forward to .
Old 05-02-10 | 08:35 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Yep, gotta agree with that. Very underwhelming Summer.
Old 05-02-10 | 10:36 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

I'll echo the opinions of this looking like a weak summer so far.
Old 05-02-10 | 10:53 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Toy Story 400
Iron Man 385
Shrek 290
Twilight Eclipse 270
Inception 225
Robin Hood 165
Prince of Persia 150
Sorcerer's Apprentice 125
Sex and the City 120
Knight & Day 115

Last edited by Artman; 05-02-10 at 04:57 PM.
Old 05-02-10 | 10:56 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

The Expendables may not make the most money this summer, but I guarantee it will lead all movies in unplanned pregnancies.
Old 05-02-10 | 11:29 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Is Predators considered a sequel or a reboot?
Old 05-02-10 | 01:21 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Looks like May has many of the big movers

Is Toy Story going to be in 3d?

1)Iron Man 375 million
2)Toy Story 3 360 million
3)Shrek 4 345 million
4)Twilight: Eclipse 335 million
5)Inception 200 million
6)Robin Hood 180 million
7)A-Team 165 million
8)Knight & Day 150 million
9)Prince of Persia 150 million
10)Sex and City 2 130 million

Darkhorse of top 10: Expendables: 115 million
Old 05-02-10 | 02:07 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

I think Dinner for Schmucks is going to be a dark horse and maybe make over $120 to $150 million. It's got Carell and Rudd in it, whom have been pulling good numbers at the box office, plus Zach Galifianakis is in it, so it could be this years Hangover type hit.
Old 05-02-10 | 02:51 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by thematahara
The Expendables may not make the most money this summer, but I guarantee it will lead all movies in unplanned pregnancies.



It looks like a pretty good summer to me!
Old 05-02-10 | 03:08 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Wow, I'm just not excited for this summer at all. Already seen Iron Man 2 which I dug, but other than that I'd say Inception, Scott Pilgrim and Toy Story 3 with my son are the only must-sees. MAYBE A-Team and Expendables depending on reviews. Not a lot else that jazzes me.
Old 05-02-10 | 03:16 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Movies I want to see this summer (from the OP's list):

MAY
Iron Man 2
MacGruber

JUNE
Toy Story 3
Knight & Day

JULY
Predators
The Sorcerer's Apprentice
Inception
Dinner for Schmucks

AUGUST
The Other Guys
The Expendables
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World
Piranha 3D
Old 05-02-10 | 03:23 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

I'll give it my best shot...I'm still recovering from a few summers ago when I said THE DARK KNIGHT wouldn't make $200 million.

1.) Iron Man 2 ($420 millon)
2.) Toy Story 3 ($370 million)
3.) Eclipse ($340 million)
4.) Shrek Forever After ($300 million)
5.) Inception ($220 million)
6.) Knight and Day ($190 million)
7.) Sex and the City 2 ($175 million)
8.) SALT ($155 million)
9.) Grown Ups ($130 million)
10.) Robin Hood ($110 million)
Old 05-02-10 | 09:29 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

My predictions:

1. Iron Man 2 - $450 million
2. Toy Story 3 - $400 million
3. Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $375 million
4. Shrek Forever After - $300 million
5. Sex and the City 2 - $250 million
6. Inception - $240 million
7. Prince of Persia - $200 million
8. Knight & Day - $175 million
9. Despicable Me - $150 million
10. Grown Ups - $140 million

Dark Horse: Robin Hood. I think it could go either way. A week after Iron Man 2 will be a difficult weekend to open on
Old 05-02-10 | 10:45 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

1. Toy Story 3 - $425 million
2. Iron Man 2 - $368 million
3. Shrek Forever After - $305 Million
4. Prince of Persia - $265 Million
5. Twilight Sage: Eclipse - $235 Million
6. Sex & The City 2 - $160 Million
7. Despicable Me - $155 Million
8. Robin Hood - $150 Million
9. Inception - $135 Million
10. MacGruber - $134 Million

fitprod
Old 05-02-10 | 10:55 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Toy Story 3 as the number one film of the summer.

Iron Man 2 as the number two film of the summer.

Prince of Persia is the flop of the summer.
Old 05-02-10 | 11:22 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Inception is gonna do better then everyone thinks. Wait and see.
Old 05-02-10 | 11:58 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

This Summer definitely feels a little light on the blockbusters, especially when, in 2 years, we'll get Batman 3, new Spider-man, The Avengers, and Star Trek 2.

For this Summer, I expect Iron Man 2, Toy Story 3, and Shrek 4 to all pass or reach $300 million. I think The Other Guys could be a nice big hit in August and pull in Superbad type numbers.

Here's my guesses:

1. Iron Man 2: $425 million (this will open HUGE, like $150 million HUGE. I think it'll have strong legs like the original)

2. Shrek 4: $350 million

3. Toy Story 3: $300 million

4. Twilight 3: $275 million

5. Inception: $250 million (I'll never bet against Leo and Nolan)

6. Sex and the City 2: $180 million

7. Grown Ups: $140 million

8. The Other Guys: $135 million

9. Predators: $130 million (I think this will open to $50 mil and hold fairly well. Not alot of action this Summer)

10. Robin Hood: $125 million (could also be a bomb or a decent hit. I'll go with the latter.)

I also think Prince of Persia will bomb. Knight and Day could be a nice surprise hit. I'm not sure how Salt will do. The buzz on MacGruber is good, but I think that one could go either way.

Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 05-03-10 at 12:01 AM.
Old 05-03-10 | 06:44 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

If Shrek 3 beats Toy Story 3, I'm gonna burn down Dreamworks Studios and then move to the moon.
Old 05-04-10 | 07:20 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

I know it would be stupid to bet against a kids movie in 3D, but I don't know a single person, young or old, who is willing to sit through another Shrek after seeing the last movie.
Old 05-04-10 | 11:34 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Too bad we don't have a TDK or Avatar so we can all look back at this thread in a few months and laugh at the predictions.

Here's mine:

MAY

Iron Man 2 - $389m
Robin Hood - $72m (this will be the most notable bomb)
Shrek Forever After - $351m
MacGruber - $52m
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $156m
Sex and the City 2 - $163m

JUNE

Killers - $46m
Get Him to the Greek - $32m
Marmaduke - $64m
The A-Team - $107m
Jonah Hex - $47m
Toy Story 3 - $375m
Grown Ups - $112m
Knight & Day - $121m
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $298m

JULY

The Last Airbender - $152m
Despicable Me - $92m
Predators - $87m
The Sorcerer's Apprentice - $63m
Inception - $215m
Salt - $138m
Dinner for Schmucks - $120m

AUGUST

The Other Guys - $104m
The Expendables - $63m
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World - $76m
Going the Distance - $65m
Takers - $49m
Piranha 3D - $55m
Old 05-04-10 | 11:39 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by KillerCannibal
Too bad we don't have a TDK or Avatar so we can all look back at this thread in a few months and laugh at the predictions.
We probably do and we will come back and laugh. Maybe POP or the Last Airbender?
Old 05-07-10 | 04:12 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
1. Iron Man 2: $425 million
I think you nailed it. With it's 150+ opening and most likely good word of mouth it should easily get there.
Old 06-13-10 | 05:17 PM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

Well, so far, so not good.

I'm going to be $100 million over for both Iron Man 2 and Shrek 4. This Summer's final totals is going to be very low with nothing really dominating. Sort of like in '07 when Spider-man 3 led the year with $336 million.

I'm starting to wonder if anything this year will top Alice in Wonderland's $333 mil take. Harry Potter comes out in November, but most of those movies top out around $300 mil. I guess Toy Story 3 now has the best chance. Part 2's inflation adjusted gross is $380 mil.

Inception's previews make it look stronger and stronger to being a big hit. But I still capped it at $250 mil. The only one I was close on was Robin Hood, but I was a bit high at $125m. Prince of Persia certainly underperformed for a film with a $200 mil budget.

I still think The Other Guys will be a nice hit for August and after seeing the 2nd trailer for Dinner for Schmucks, I also think it can hit the $100+ mil mark.

Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 06-13-10 at 05:20 PM.
Old 06-14-10 | 07:43 AM
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Re: Summer 2010 Box Office Predictions & Discussion Thread

The New York Times has an article today on the poor summer boxoffice, entitled "Toy Story 3 to the Rescue?" Here's the link:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/14/bu...ef=todayspaper

It includes this curious paragraph:

"For Will Ferrell (“The Other Guys”), Julia Roberts (“Eat, Pray, Love”), Michael Cera (“Scott Pilgrim vs. the World”) and Sylvester Stallone (“The Expendables”), the summer’s challenge is not so much to be a hit as simply not to flop again."

So I ask, in what universe does Michael Cera deserve to be mentioned alongside Ferrell, Roberts and Stallone?


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