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Box Office Predictions: will Speed Racer knock off Iron Man this weekend?

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Box Office Predictions: will Speed Racer knock off Iron Man this weekend?

Old 05-07-08, 04:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Dashed
The question is, If Iron Man does have a huge drop next week will people say that the movie is not a huge success? I mean The movie already made over half what was expected. (at least what I expected $400 Billion world wide)
Nah, it's a hit. Not only that, but it's one of, if not the, best reviewed films of the year.

By the time Prince Caspian releases, it'll be close, or have passed, the $200 million mark.

If it drops between 40-50% this weekend, I think it'll definitely reach $250 million or more. That's a hit in my book.

Through Tuesday, Iron Man's 5 day total is already $115 million.

Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 05-07-08 at 04:06 PM.
Old 05-07-08, 04:06 PM
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I think the word of mouth is too solid for it to have a "Hulk" like drop.
Old 05-07-08, 07:02 PM
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I don't think speed racer will pull in $15M.

The movie looks just plain stupid.

I believe this will be the first official BOMB of the year.
Old 05-07-08, 11:51 PM
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I honestly don't think most people understand what the brothers are trying to do with Speed Racer.

It's a live action anime. A live action anime based off a cheesy '60s cartoon no less.

If I am entertained, that's all that matters in this case. I'm not going in expecting a David Lean-esque epic. I'm just looking to have some fun for two hours off a film based of a cartoon I dug when I was a kid.
Old 05-07-08, 11:58 PM
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Iron Man should be able to hold its ground
Old 05-08-08, 06:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
If it drops between 40-50% this weekend, I think it'll definitely reach $250 million or more. That's a hit in my book.

Through Tuesday, Iron Man's 5 day total is already $115 million.
Any drop significantly larger than 50% will be surprising, considering the good word of mouth.
Old 05-09-08, 04:46 AM
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I just came from an IMAX showing of Speed Racer.

For a theater that holds 300 people, there was about 30-35 people in attendance. Compare that to a sold out showing of Iron Man last week.

It's a shame as the film is quite entertaining.
Old 05-09-08, 09:19 AM
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Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel
I just came from an IMAX showing of Speed Racer.

For a theater that holds 300 people, there was about 30-35 people in attendance. Compare that to a sold out showing of Iron Man last week.

It's a shame as the film is quite entertaining.
Kids generally don't go to midnight showings, so it really doesn't mean anything at this point.
Old 05-09-08, 09:24 AM
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Originally Posted by Brack
Kids generally don't go to midnight showings, so it really doesn't mean anything at this point.
I saw Shrek the Third last year at (I believe) a 10:30pm showing on the Thursday before it's Friday release. Had about triple the audience with everyone being over the age of 17.

I also feel Speed Racer has a wider appeal as it's based off a '60s cartoon whereas Shrek the Third was more gung-ho towards children dragging their parents along.
Old 05-09-08, 09:36 AM
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Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel
I saw Shrek the Third last year at (I believe) a 10:30pm showing on the Thursday before it's Friday release. Had about triple the audience with everyone being over the age of 17.

I also feel Speed Racer has a wider appeal as it's based off a '60s cartoon whereas Shrek the Third was more gung-ho towards children dragging their parents along.
Shrek the Third and the comfort of being a second sequel to an already popular franchise. And more than kids like Shrek.

Oh well, if it bombs it bombs. About to go see it at the IMAX in just a couple of hours, glad to hear a "real" person liked it.
Old 05-09-08, 10:19 AM
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I wouldn't watch this for free. And based on reviews, you WON'T be entertained. It looks like shit.

As more time goes on, it looks like The Matrix was a fluke.
Old 05-09-08, 11:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
As more time goes on, it looks like The Matrix was a fluke.
I don't know if you heard of this, but they made this film in 1996 called Bound which was pretty good as well.

For a pair of directors who have made nothing but R-rated fare full of violence and lesbians to succeed at what is family fare, IMO, is pretty huge.

I honestly have no idea what expectations most of you are holding towards this film.

Last edited by Matthew Chmiel; 05-09-08 at 11:29 AM.
Old 05-10-08, 10:30 AM
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I would love to see Speed Racer a hit, was a favorite as a kid and love the DVDs of the classic episodes.

But how can anyone see the online footage/trailers and not know that this film is going to flop big time. It looks like utter crap.

I hope I'm wrong, and that it becomes a quirky cult hit that weirdos like me would appreciate. But there is NO chance of the general public liking this film. Again, it looks amazingly horid from the trailers.
Old 05-10-08, 10:48 AM
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Judging by what people are reporting in the review thread, many of the theaters are sparsely attended for Speed Racer. I'm sure it'll pick up this weekend but it's not a good sign. Sounds like people are enjoying it so it'll probably won't have a huge drop-off due to word-of-mouth.
Old 05-10-08, 12:16 PM
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The Friday estimates are in and Iron Man was leading at $15 million to $5 million for Spead Racer. Even the Vegas movie was beating SR coming in 2nd. Can't say I didn't expect that.
Old 05-10-08, 12:29 PM
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Originally Posted by Mr. Cinema
No way. Iron Man will still manage $50 million, which will be more than enough for the top spot. I wouldn't be surprised if Speed Racer finishes 3rd, behind What Happens in Vegas, Stays in Vegas. Nobody is excited about Speed Racer. It will be this year's Summer Bomb.

Next week, Prince Caspian arrives and will squash the remaining life out of SR. It'll be lucky to finish with $75 million. Thankfully, WB has The Dark Knight to fall back on.

The movie is 135 minutes long. That's alot of racing time.
Looks like the bolded part may happen.
Old 05-10-08, 03:36 PM
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I guess there wasn't enough of a push for "Speed" on Nickelodeon and the like. I don't watch that channel anymore, so I don't know for sure.

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