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Guess the 2008 Summer Box Office Champ

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Old 04-07-08 | 03:49 PM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by Mondo Kane
Has it been brought up yet that this isn't the first summer that has had Indiana Jones going up against Batman and The Joker?
1 Batman WB $251,188,924 2,201 $40,489,746 2,194 6/23
2 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade Par. $197,171,806 2,327 $29,355,021 2,327 5/24

Source: Box Office Mojo -- 1989 Yearly Box Office
Old 04-07-08 | 03:53 PM
  #27  
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I think Dark Knight beats out Indy this year for the top, both at 250+ million.

I haven't seen anything about the 3rd Mummy movie. I think that will end up as a small dissapointment, as well The Incredible Hulk.
Old 04-07-08 | 03:55 PM
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^Very good point and I think its going to be the kind of sequel that out does its predecessor by quite a bit (like Austin Powers 2 and Pirates 2).
Old 04-07-08 | 04:21 PM
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Originally Posted by dadaluholla
I'd say Speed Racer bombs and only hits about $65m. It really looks terrible.
yeah i agree it looks terrible but Alvin & Chipmunks looked terrible too,look how much it got.
Old 04-07-08 | 04:40 PM
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Indy: 180M
Dark Knight: 300M
Hellboy2: 130M
Ironman: 200M
Hulk: 160M
Old 04-07-08 | 05:15 PM
  #31  
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I have a sneaking suspicion the champ could be Prince Caspian. I just don't know if Indiana Jones and The Dark Knight appeal enough to the kids.
Old 04-07-08 | 05:44 PM
  #32  
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Exactly. I definitely wouldn't rule out Caspian.

I'm going to say:

1. Indiana Jones(302m): Mass appeal. Not only does Ford appeal to multiple generations but it has Shia there to appeal to the Transformers crowd.

2. Prince Caspian(297m): TLTW&TW was a great first entry. The trailers for this movie show so much promise.

3. Wall E(285m): PIXAR. Cute funny character. Space. Did I mention PIXAR? I do think it will have limited appeal to girls though which may hinder its performance.

4. The Dark Knight (235m): Come on people. Sequels RARELY do as well as the original. I agree this one may break that mold, but really, 100m+ more? No way. It will do more but only slightly.

It's down to those four. I think Hulk, Mummy & Hellboy will all tank. That leaves Speed Racer, Sex & the City, Get Smart and X-files. All based on TV properties. I doubt any will leave a big mark either.

That leaves out the surprise contender. I have no idea what it may be. There will definitely be a breakout comedy but those are impossible to predict. I would have given it to Forgetting Sarah Marshall if it didn't come out next week.

Last edited by Michael Corvin; 04-07-08 at 05:47 PM.
Old 04-07-08 | 06:38 PM
  #33  
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Originally Posted by animatedude
yeah i agree it looks terrible but Alvin & Chipmunks looked terrible too,look how much it got.
True, but I was thinking Speed Racer comes out the week inbetween Iron Man and Prince Caspian? It's going to get slaughtered.
Old 04-07-08 | 06:49 PM
  #34  
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The entire deal with Speed Racer reminds me exactly of Thunderbirds. I don't think SR will be that low and that much of a bomb, but still, I think it'll be a massive disappointment.
Old 04-07-08 | 07:11 PM
  #35  
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Some VERY ambitious predictions for The Dark Knight in this thread.
Old 04-07-08 | 07:53 PM
  #36  
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The Dark Knight has 2 weeks to collect. It opens on 7/18. Step Brothers and X-Files 2 7/25 won't knock it off the top spot. Mummy 3 opens on 8/1. I think it still has enough oomph to open at #1.

I think The Dark Knight is very capable of a $100 million opening and it should have strong legs as it's the last mega opener of the Summer. The Mummy, Pineapple Express, and Tropic Thunder are basically the only thing in August.

The first Narnia opened around the holidays and only had King Kong to deal with. The sequel opens in the Summer and has a week before Indy 4 opens and will still be dealing with Iron Man leftovers.
Old 04-07-08 | 08:17 PM
  #37  
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I didn't realize that the first Narnia picked up almost 300 mil domestically. I just never felt like it had a lot of hype or excitement around it, but maybe that's just me.
Old 04-07-08 | 08:46 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by Maxflier
Some VERY ambitious predictions for The Dark Knight in this thread.
I agree... And although Im looking forward to it, not sure its going to do as well as the first one.
Old 04-07-08 | 09:00 PM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by FantasticVSDoom
I agree... And although Im looking forward to it, not sure its going to do as well as the first one.
I don't know, I actually think it would eclipse the first one easily based on the incredibly positive reaction to the first movie and there seems to be a lot of great hype for it. Ledger's death, sad to say, probably gives it more attention as well.

The jump from X-Men to X2 was over $50 mil. I can see this having that sort of jump depending on how good The Dark Knight actually is.
Old 04-07-08 | 09:13 PM
  #40  
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Indiana Jones without a doubt. Dark Knight will do great, but EVERYONE I know, regardless of age or gender is going to see Indiana... TDK is on a lot of people's radars but I have friends who are willing to wait for video on it (not me!).

I think Speed Racer is going to tank - it's not going to appeal to kids...it looks too weird. I also think Wall-E will be one of Pixar's lowest grossing movies...unless the marketing starts to turn the tide, I don't think it has the mass appeal of their other flicks...

I think Mummy 3 will do pretty well - we'll have to wait for a trailer but word on the street is that the movie really delivers.
Old 04-08-08 | 10:08 AM
  #41  
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I'm thinking Indy will easily beat out Batman. I don't know if Batman will even beat out Narnia or Hancock.
Old 04-16-08 | 03:07 PM
  #42  
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I predict Iron Man surprises many of the people in this thread and breaks $300 million easy. May not beat Indy, but will beat Batman for sure. (Remember Transformers last summer? The novelty factor will beat down sequels I think.)

I'm entirely sure I'm correct until I'm not, of course.
Old 04-16-08 | 04:21 PM
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^I bet my life that Dark Knight Outdoes Iron Man.
Old 04-16-08 | 04:51 PM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by chris_sc77
^I bet my life that Dark Knight Outdoes Iron Man.

Nice knowin ya!

But seriously, I think Iron Man will easily make more than Batman. It has a jump start on everyone and that will really help...
Old 04-16-08 | 04:59 PM
  #45  
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The buzz on Iron Man is very good. I think it will definitely get to $200 mil. And you know it's going to have a massive opening.

Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 04-16-08 at 05:40 PM.
Old 04-16-08 | 05:01 PM
  #46  
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Indy hands down.

i will love TDK the most i think, prolly Iron Man will be fun factor x10, but there is no denying TKotCS is probably one of the most anticipated movies since "The Phantom Menace". it will do huge with every age group male and female. the others, while most likely great, will polarize one group or another.

Last edited by OldBoy; 04-17-08 at 06:43 AM.
Old 04-16-08 | 06:04 PM
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I'm so poor in abbreviations but what is TKOTCS?

Edit: Oh...The Kingdom of the Crystal Skull.
Old 04-17-08 | 12:02 PM
  #48  
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From: Behind the Orange Curtain
The Dark Knight: $315m
Indiana Jones: $260m
Hellboy 2: $115m
Ironman: $205m
Hulk: $165m
X-Files 2: $140m
Narnia: $230m
Speed Racer: $70m
Hancock: $165m
Mummy 3: $140m
Wanted: $86m
Wall-E: $210m
Happening: $65m
Tropic Thunder: $110m
Old 04-17-08 | 01:09 PM
  #49  
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Well for me i think it will be something along the lines of:

1. Indiana Jones and TKoTCS - $290 mill
2. Wall-E - $270 mill
3. The Dark Knight - $265 mill
4. TCON: Prince Caspian - $250 mill
5. Iron man - $230 mill
6. Kung Fu Panda - $220 mill
7. Wanted - $160 mill
8. Hancock - $150 mill
9. The Incredible Hulk - $135 mill
10. The Mummy 3 - $120 mill
11. Speed racer - $110 mill
11. Hellboy II - $95 mill
12. Sex and the City - $90 mill
13. X-files 2 - $80 mill
14. Tropic Thunder - $80 mill

A movie like Sex and the City should not even exist IMO, but as it is being released i think it will suffer from the same thing that happens to a lot of action movies. Only one sex will end up going seeing it. Lets face it, its not a Titanic as well. Personally i would love to see it make zero dollars. Also the X-files movie i think will have a hard time because i think a lot of interest has disappeared for this now. As much as i would love Hellboy to make more money i think it will clock in a bit more than the original, but not get it over the 100 mill domestically. Tropic Thunder will be hurt by the R rating and the Dark Knight and Indy will both suffer from long run times.

It should be an interesting summer for movies.
Old 04-17-08 | 01:13 PM
  #50  
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Originally Posted by james2025a
A movie like Sex and the City should not even exist IMO, but as it is being released i think it will suffer from the same thing that happens to a lot of action movies. Only one sex will end up going seeing it. Lets face it, its not a Titanic as well. Personally i would love to see it make zero dollars. Also the X-files movie i think will have a hard time because i think a lot of interest has disappeared for this now. As much as i would love Hellboy to make more money i think it will clock in a bit more than the original, but not get it over the 100 mill domestically. Tropic Thunder will be hurt by the R rating and the Dark Knight and Indy will both suffer from long run times.

It should be an interesting summer for movies.
What helps Sex and the City is not only the huge following it had on HBO, but it is counter programming to the action movies being released. The Devil Wears Prada was a Summer release and took in almost $125 million at the US box office.


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