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Who thinks King Kong will bomb?

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Who thinks King Kong will bomb?

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Old 12-07-05 | 12:52 PM
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Who thinks King Kong will bomb?
Bomb? No chance. Where can I bet my mortgage on this?
Old 12-07-05 | 03:11 PM
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For those who think running time can't kill the quality of a film, I give you exhibit A:

Quentin Tarantino
Old 12-07-05 | 03:21 PM
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Originally Posted by DealMan
Yeah, Episode I was expected by some to surpass Titanic and look what happened there. For a movie to gross that much money it has to either defy all precedent and make the same amount of money for many weekends in a row, or open so huge it clears $600 million with normal week-to-week drops, which would have to be with a $200 million plus first weekend (basically it's not gonna happen).

Titanic made its money through word of mouth longevity, not the pre-release marketing blitz borderline fanboy hype of recent blockbusters.

Impressive box office? --->Possibly, Anywhere near Titanic?--->No way.
No doubt.

"Titanic" is the definition of word-of-mouth.

18 STRAIGHT WEEKS! with at least $10 million in weekend earnings.
Opened to "only" $28 million.
#1 at the box office for 17 STRAIGHT WEEKS!
6 weekends consisting of an increase from previous weekend. That just doesn't happen. Most big movies open huge and fade quickly, save for something like Spiderman, Star Wars, or LOTR.

No movie coming out should ever be thought of to beating "Titanic's" box office records.
Old 12-07-05 | 03:39 PM
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Originally Posted by mike7162
For those who think running time can't kill the quality of a film, I give you exhibit A:

Quentin Tarantino

Uh....your point being? Aside from Jackie Brown, I can't think of any of his movies being killed by the length, and Jackie Brown was quite good IMO. Plus comparing A QT movie with something like this is apples and oranges.
Old 12-07-05 | 11:57 PM
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And also with TITANIC, the media was bashing this movie during the summer.
When it was finally released I didn't hear any " I'm sorry for bad mouthing a movie we haven't seen" from the media.
Old 12-15-05 | 05:21 PM
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I can't believe nobody has bumped this thread after Drudge's headline today. I still don't think it will bomb, but maybe I should feel bad about going to the early $4.50 show
Old 12-15-05 | 06:08 PM
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Also, Titanic came out before dvd had its breakthrough. People just don't go to see a movie that many times in a theater anymore.
Old 12-15-05 | 06:22 PM
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I think we can stop feeling sorry for the rich Hollywood people now. King Kong won't be a bomb. It may make 300 million. It may make 200 million. It may make less. It'll make a hell of a lot more overseas, and they won't be losing any money on this film.

Now let's just enjoy the movie itself.
Old 12-15-05 | 06:38 PM
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I think it will do well, but may not do well enough to warrent the huge pricetag
Old 12-15-05 | 07:03 PM
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I think it will do well. It won't flop like the hulk...but as far as the length of the movie. I'm quite sure a few thousand Lord of the Ring fans will tell you that if the movie is good...they won't mind sitting for 3 hours.
Old 12-16-05 | 12:48 AM
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Just wondering if theaters still have intermission for movies three hours long, or more? or do you have to remain seated until the entire movie is over? and if not, that will be tiresome. I didn't go and see Titanic, or any Lord of the Rings movies at the theater.
Old 12-16-05 | 04:32 AM
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Originally Posted by SINGLE104
Just wondering if theaters still have intermission for movies three hours long, or more? or do you have to remain seated until the entire movie is over? and if not, that will be tiresome. I didn't go and see Titanic, or any Lord of the Rings movies at the theater.
Nonstop any LOTR ive ever been through.
Old 12-16-05 | 07:35 AM
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I don't think modern audiences would know how to handle an intermission. It would be a real mess. Kong could have used one between Skull Island and Broadway. It would have been a completely different experience.
Old 12-16-05 | 07:53 AM
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It would have been a worse experience...completely killing the momentum of the film.

intermissions=bad
Old 12-16-05 | 08:01 AM
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See I think a movie like Kong needs a breather. Just my opinion.
Old 12-16-05 | 08:07 AM
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9.8 million on its opening day wednesday is not a great start. this year batman begins 15.1, war of the world 21.3 on thier opening wednesday.
this movie is going to be a mega budget word of mouth movie along the lines of titanic, terminator 3 and batman begins to some extent. movies that kept playing, even though they did not open overly huge they did not get the huge drop off after the first weekend. i am one of the people who are on the fence of seeing this movie, 3 hour running time and critics overly loving this movie, aka the hulk, makes me very uncertain. also king kong has been done twice before and i honestly didn't think that the story was all that compelling.
under 150 million in the us would be and extreme dispappointment for 207 million dollar movie. under 100 million would be a disaster. i think the movie will do the 150 dollar range.
Old 12-16-05 | 08:09 AM
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remember.... that was in the summer
Old 12-16-05 | 12:55 PM
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Pulled down 6.2 million on Thursday. KK is underperforming thus far.
It should be an interesting weekend.
Old 12-16-05 | 12:55 PM
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Return of the King opened up on a Wednesday about the same time two years ago, and made about $124 million through it's opening weekend. Compare King Kong's performance through Sunday and you'll probably end up with a decent estimate of what it will make overall.
Old 12-16-05 | 02:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Seantn
I think we can stop feeling sorry for the rich Hollywood people now. King Kong won't be a bomb. It may make 300 million. It may make 200 million. It may make less. It'll make a hell of a lot more overseas, and they won't be losing any money on this film.

Now let's just enjoy the movie itself.
How can I sit and enjoy a movie unless I'm sure that the filthy rich people are getting filthier rich?
Old 12-16-05 | 03:27 PM
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CHIMP CHANGE: Peter Jackson's King Kong remake opened with a smaller roar than expected, drawing "just" $9.8 million on Wednesday, its first day of release. (In comparison, Jackson's The Fellowship of the Ring, considered a relevant benchmark, netted $18.2 on its first day.) Although the lumbering ape is saddled with a few box-office liabilities — such as its three-hour running time, which reduces the number of showings theaters can stage, plus what some say is limited appeal for females — Kong is expected to "perform well" this weekend and "generate great audience reaction," an industry expert tells the Associated Press. And if not? Well, I'd avoid the Empire State Building on Monday
Old 12-16-05 | 03:30 PM
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I wish they'd change the movie rating system from $$$ to Tickets-Sold. It just doesn't make sense to compare movies from 20 years ago which cost $5 to get in to movies which now cost $10 or more (hell, it costs $7.50 for a fricken matinee!!!). What happens in 20 more years when it costs $25 bucks to get in? Movies will be breaking the $100 million mark all the time.

If a theater can count $$$, it can count tickets. I guess the fact it makes sense means we will never see it happen.
Old 12-16-05 | 04:20 PM
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Originally Posted by masetodd
I wish they'd change the movie rating system from $$$ to Tickets-Sold. It just doesn't make sense to compare movies from 20 years ago which cost $5 to get in to movies which now cost $10 or more (hell, it costs $7.50 for a fricken matinee!!!). What happens in 20 more years when it costs $25 bucks to get in? Movies will be breaking the $100 million mark all the time.

If a theater can count $$$, it can count tickets. I guess the fact it makes sense means we will never see it happen.
Considering inflation, Titanic is number six on the all-time money makers list.

-JP
Old 12-16-05 | 04:23 PM
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Originally Posted by NatrlBornThrllr
Considering inflation, Titanic is number six on the all-time money makers list.

-JP
what's #1?
Old 12-16-05 | 05:23 PM
  #125  
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Gone With the Wind, IIRC.


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