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Oscar LOCKS

Old 03-20-03, 12:32 PM
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Oscar LOCKS

Who is almost guaranteed to walk home with an Oscar this Sunday among the major nominees?

My pick is Chicago for Best Picture, but I also feel fairly certain that Nicole Kidman will win for The Hours and that Christopher Walken will win Best Supporting Actor.

What are your picks? Here is a list of the major nominees:

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Adrien Brody
Nicolas Cage
Michael Caine
Daniel Day-Lewis
Jack Nicholson

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Chris Cooper
Ed Harris
Paul Newman
John C. Reilly
Christopher Walken

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Salma Hayek
Nicole Kidman
Diane Lane
Julianne Moore
Renée Zellweger

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Kathy Bates
Julianne Moore
Queen Latifah
Meryl Streep
Catherine Zeta-Jones

BEST PICTURE
Chicago
Gangs Of New York
The Hours
The Lord Of The Rings: The Two Towers
The Pianist

DIRECTING
Chicago
Gangs Of New York
The Hours
The Pianist
Talk To Her
Old 03-20-03, 12:36 PM
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Chicago is a f'ing LOCK for best picture. No question.

P.S. I didn't even like it.
Old 03-20-03, 12:38 PM
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Are any of the movies in the Documentary category about the Holocaust? If so, they are a LOCK to win.
Old 03-20-03, 12:41 PM
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Originally posted by Groucho
Are any of the movies in the Documentary category about the Holocaust? If so, they are a LOCK to win.
That usually true, yet The Piano for Best Pic seems unlikely nevertheless.
Old 03-20-03, 12:43 PM
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Originally posted by Pants
That usually true, yet The Piano for Best Pic seems unlikely nevertheless.
The rule only applies to the Documentary categories for some reason.
Old 03-20-03, 02:37 PM
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I think Chicago is a lock for Best Picture, and Daniel Day Lewis as Best Actor for Gangs of New York.


Honk!
Old 03-20-03, 03:23 PM
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Here are my predictions.. Oscars can't be that predictable - Adrian Brody winning best actor
Scorsese winning director
Julianne Moore best actress
Old 03-20-03, 03:37 PM
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Barring what Entertainment Weekly said, I still think Spirited Away is a lock for Best Animated Film. Also, Two Towers is gonna easily take Visual Effects.
Old 03-20-03, 03:56 PM
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I'd handicap the major them like this:

Picture: Chicago, A LOCK

Director: Scorsese would still be my favorite and pick, but with Rob Marshall winning the DGA and even Roman Polanski taking the BAFTA, its more wide-open that I thought a few months back. It will either be Marshall or Scorsese though

Actor: Take you pick between Day-Lewis and Nicholson, forget the rest. Give the edge and the pick to Day-Lewis

Actress: Kidman was looking great, but Zellweger has come on as of late with a SGA win. Odds are strong for Nicole, but not quite a lock

Supporting Actress: I thought this would me up for grabs, but I'll call it a LOCK for Catherine Zeta-Jones.

Supporting Actor: Probably the most unpredictable categorey. With definite underdogs in Jim Broadbent and Marcia Gay Harden winning in supporting categories in recent years, you can see an underdog winning. Walken, Cooper, and Newman all look like reasonable choices


So only two locks in those 6 categories

Last edited by Jericho; 03-20-03 at 05:13 PM.
Old 03-20-03, 04:03 PM
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c'mon now the thread said locks not predictions. i think scorcese, and chicago are the only true locks. possibly lewis.
kidman and zelwegger split awards for best actress. as for hopes? i hope lilo & stitch wins so i can get my ce of the movie
Old 03-20-03, 04:08 PM
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I hope Spirited Away wins so everyone can see a glorious theatrical rerelease and fall in love with the film the way I did.
Old 03-20-03, 04:10 PM
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Even if Spirited Away wins, I guarantee that there will not be a "glorious theatrical rerelease." That is a LOCK.
Old 03-20-03, 05:23 PM
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Scorsese and and Day-Lewis are locks.
Old 03-20-03, 05:37 PM
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I think Peter O' Toole is a lock to get one.
Old 03-20-03, 06:20 PM
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Originally posted by Groucho
Even if Spirited Away wins, I guarantee that there will not be a "glorious theatrical rerelease." That is a LOCK.
if it did get a re-release then you could sure expect that apirl release date be pushed back.. So I'm on that DOESN'T want a re-release of it.
Old 03-20-03, 09:10 PM
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Chicago is such a lock, that this betting company in England has already stopped taking bets for Best Picture, what they are taking bets for now is how many Oscars Chicago will actually win.
Old 03-20-03, 11:39 PM
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Originally posted by Drexl
I think Peter O' Toole is a lock to get one.
i wish he wasn't. it would have been awesome if he shunned the academy like sean penn did (didn't win but at least he had the balls to not show for what he believed in). not the o'toole is a coward, but it would have been great.
Old 03-21-03, 12:06 AM
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Originally posted by Pants
That usually true, yet The Piano for Best Pic seems unlikely nevertheless.
VERY unlikely, considering that The Piano was nominated nearly 10 years ago.
Old 03-21-03, 02:00 AM
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Best Screenplay, Adapted - Adaptation

You can't get closer to a true lock than this one.
Old 03-21-03, 02:11 AM
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I think the locks are

Best Picture: Chicago: most nominations and hollywood is swooning over this movie.

Best Actor: Adrian Brody: (The Pianist) he is new and I believe the only one without a statuette

Best Actress: Nicole Kidman: They didn't give it to her last year but will have no problem this year....unless they decide to default with the Chicago choice of Zellweger

Best Actress in a Supporting Role: Catherine Zeta-Jones: The academy probably will pick a Chicagoite and Zeta-Jones is the stronger of the two. Plus she totally surprised everyone in that film.

Best Animated Feature: Spirited Away: I personally would rather see Lilo & Stitch win but spirited away is a movie that the academy just eats up.
Old 03-21-03, 03:18 AM
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Docentary - Bowling For Columbine....
Old 03-21-03, 05:12 AM
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Nicole Kidman is utterly obvious. Harvey wants, Harvey gets.

If they don't call her name, she's going to pull a George Brett and charge the stage.

She'll take Julianne's statuette home like Hanks did Laurence Fishburne's...

I will happily report back here Monday if I'm wrong.
Old 03-21-03, 07:39 AM
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Docentary
[comic book guy speak]Worst spelling EVER[/comic book guy speak[/b]
Old 03-21-03, 09:57 AM
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AHHHHH!!! Broadway musicals are not movies!!!... I really hope Chicago doesn't win.....
Old 03-21-03, 11:13 AM
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Originally posted by darkflounder
Best Screenplay, Adapted - Adaptation

You can't get closer to a true lock than this one.
As much as I want Adaptation to win, it may too quirky for AMPAS members. The Hours is more up their alley.

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