Analyst: Format Winner to Emerge After Christmas
08-02-06 | 11:44 AM
#1
Thread Starter
DVD Talk Legend
Analyst: Format Winner to Emerge After Christmas
From HomeMediaRetailing:
http://www.homemediaretailing.com/ne...rticle_id=9460
Not much to say... the article is pretty short on specifics. We've had far more detailed 'analysis' on this board. But I figured I'd post it just to show what the industry trades are saying.
http://www.homemediaretailing.com/ne...rticle_id=9460
Not much to say... the article is pretty short on specifics. We've had far more detailed 'analysis' on this board. But I figured I'd post it just to show what the industry trades are saying.
08-02-06 | 11:49 AM
#2
DVD Talk Legend
He said early adopters who have purchased HD DVD would also purchase Blu-ray.
08-02-06 | 12:37 PM
#6
DVD Talk Legend
A winner will emerge when consumers have the ability (to) evaluate both formats side-by-side(,) and can determine what the price points (are,) and see what the movie offerings are (and) how the reviews on the technology pan out.
Well, we have now had the ability to evaluate both formats side by side, we have determined what the price points are, and we've seen what the movie offerings are and how the reviews on the technology have panned out. Does that mean HD-DVD has won already, or do we have to wait for BD to get its act together?
You know what, though? The article is right! There will be a winner after Christmas. It could be six months after Christmas, or 3 years after Christmas, or 5 years after Christmas.
Last edited by Drexl; 08-02-06 at 12:41 PM.
08-02-06 | 01:14 PM
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He said early adopters who have purchased HD DVD would also purchase Blu-ray. The cost of entry at $499 for the Toshiba AX-1 does not preclude them from buying a second device. The people buying HD DVD are the ones who want the latest, greatest and newest.
Hell, I didn't even cave in and get an HD-DVD player until I was able to pick one up for 363 bucks plus tax through that OnePass special. Whoever made that statement is a moron.
08-02-06 | 01:32 PM
#9
DVD Talk Legend
I'm not completely against getting a Blu-ray player, but considering the half assed product they have put out so far they will get no money from me as long as HD DVD is doing well.
08-02-06 | 02:49 PM
#10
DVD Talk God
I also have nothing against getting a BR player, but it's twice the money and crap quality right now. I would rather "risk" half the money, still have plenty of movies to watch, and see how BR ends up.
08-02-06 | 03:13 PM
#11
DVD Talk Godfather
That article was erroneous on a number of points: number of titles available (it's 40, not 20), number of players available (it's three, not two), player models (there is no Toshiba AX-1), etc.
Take with a block of salt.
Take with a block of salt.
08-02-06 | 03:27 PM
#12
DVD Talk Godfather
Confusion, Competing Formats Will Slow DVD Adoption
"The promise of universal compatibility between brands, platforms and
applications was originally a key selling point for DVD," notes Yankee Group
Program Manager James Penhune. "But the emergence of Divx and several
proprietary versions of recordable DVD are undermining this advantage and
giving consumers a reason to postpone purchasing the product."
As a result, the Yankee Group believes the installed base of DVD Video
players will grow slowly over the next five years, reaching approximately 3.6
million units by 2001.
"But in the home video market, the anticipated
battle between Divx and conventional DVD will discourage all but the most
early-adopting consumers from embracing the new format in the near future."
<hr>
Analysts.
That installed base ended up being around 26.6 million in 2001. <sup>[Link]</sup>
(Note around that time there were another 45 million DVD-ROM drives and about 6 million PS2s as well).
"The promise of universal compatibility between brands, platforms and
applications was originally a key selling point for DVD," notes Yankee Group
Program Manager James Penhune. "But the emergence of Divx and several
proprietary versions of recordable DVD are undermining this advantage and
giving consumers a reason to postpone purchasing the product."
As a result, the Yankee Group believes the installed base of DVD Video
players will grow slowly over the next five years, reaching approximately 3.6
million units by 2001.
Code:
U.S. Installed Base of DVD Hardware (millions)
Home PCs with
DVD Video Players DVD Drives
1997 0.2 0.3
1998 0.65 2.4
1999 1.4 6.7
2000 2.3 13.0
2001 3.6 19.5
battle between Divx and conventional DVD will discourage all but the most
early-adopting consumers from embracing the new format in the near future."
<hr>
Analysts.
That installed base ended up being around 26.6 million in 2001. <sup>[Link]</sup>
(Note around that time there were another 45 million DVD-ROM drives and about 6 million PS2s as well).
08-02-06 | 11:57 PM
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Well, the installed base of HD-DVD just increased by one - my miles got posted so I pulled the trigger and got the Toshiba ordered.
I was a little late on DVD not jumping on until like 1998 - not going to wait so long this time.
I was a little late on DVD not jumping on until like 1998 - not going to wait so long this time.
08-03-06 | 12:19 PM
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I plan to get blu-ray sometime in 2007, probably late 2007. hopefully they will have more titles then,and titles that strike my interest. has it stands now,none of the blu-ray titles strike my interest. eventually i'll end up buying a ps3,but not this year.
