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DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

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DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Old 12-30-18, 04:17 PM
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DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

2017 Survivor Pool (won by drc): here
2016 Survivor Pool (won by The Cow): here
2015 Survivor Pool (won by LurkerDan): here
2014 Survivor Pool (won by TomOpus): here
2013 Survivor Pool (won by koops): here
2012 Survivor Pool (won by Brew Crew): here
2011 Survivor Pool (won by sleepyhead55): here
2010 Survivor Pool (won by chrisih8u): here
2009 Survivor Pool (won by kenbuzz): here
2008 Survivor Pool (won by slymer):here
2007 Survivor Pool (won by Calculon):here
2006 Survivor Pool (won by Drexl):here
2005 Survivor Pool (won by dick grayson):here
2004 Survivor Pool (won by Daryl): here
2003 Survivor Pool (won by rabbit77): here

The rules are simple:
  • As we head into a weekend of playoff football, you pick one team.
  • If that team wins, you survive to the next weekend.
  • If that team loses, you're out.
  • Once you've picked a particular team, you cannot pick that team again in later weeks.
  • For tie breaker purposes, you must also provide the total # of points that will be scored in the game you've selected. (For example, if your first round pick is Dallas, you must also provide your guess for the total # of points in the Cowboys' game against Seattle.)
Picks must be posted to this thread before kickoff of the first game of the weekend. Each week's picks and results will be summarized at the top of the thread. In the event that we have multiple winners *or* everybody gets eliminated during the same weekend, the winner will be the person who guesses closest to the total # of points scored in their game. If no point guess is included with your pick, you will be assigned a guess of ZERO.

Additional Info:
  • Tie breakers (in the form of total # of points) will be used to determine the final order of finish where necessary.
  • In case of a tiebreaker tie, the player who submits their pick first will have the edge.
  • If both of the teams who make it to the Super Bowl have already been picked by a particular player, that player will be eliminated due them being "shut out" of the Super Bowl. That player's order of finish will be ahead of all of those eliminated during the Conference Finals, but behind those eliminated during the Super Bowl.
  • A player may change their picks at any time prior to kickoff of the first game, but may only do so by posting a new message to this thread. Posts that contain an "Edited by" timestamp will be ignored.
  • The pool will be capped at fifty (50) players. All past champions and players who have participated at least one-half (8 times) are guaranteed a spot - there are a total of 36 such guaranteed spots - the rest will be on a first-come / first-served basis. If the 14 non-guaranteed spots fill, players after that can stand-by in case a guaranteed spot goes unclaimed.
Additional Additional Info:
  • Once we get past the Conference Finals, I will go ahead and post each players' respective Super Bowl picks. (Each player will have no more than one eligible team.)
  • If more than one player has the same team, please PM your total points pick to me. This denies anyone an unfair advantage. If you are the only player to have one of the teams, you do NOT need to submit a guess for total points.
  • There is a chance that your Super Bowl tiebreaker will be the same as that chosen by another player. So when you submit your number, please also indicate whether you wish me to ADD or SUBTRACT points from your guess to make your pick unique. If you do not, I will flip a coin. In either case, I will move your pick in one direction just far enough to make it unique.
  • Once all of the guesses for a particular team have been made, I will publish them openly to this thread. Once that happens you will NOT be able to change yours.

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-20-19 at 06:49 PM.
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Old 12-30-18, 04:17 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Current Picks/Standings:

RankPlayerWild CardDivisionalConferenceSuper BowlPointsActualDiff
1 drcIndianapolisNew OrleansLA RamsNew England541638
2JerichoDallasNew OrleansLA RamsNew England551639
3I Drink MolsonIndianapolisKansas CityNew EnglandLA RamsN/AN/AN/A
4DeckerIndianapolisLA RamsNew Orleans-52493
5the ChiefIndianapolisNew EnglandKansas City-65683
6Cardsfan111LA ChargersNew EnglandKansas City-63685
7 rabbit77LA ChargersNew EnglandKansas City-60688
8Quake1028PhiladelphiaLA RamsKansas City-59689
9PeMoLA ChargersLA RamsNew Orleans-58499
10 Brew CrewDallasLA RamsNew Orleans-604911
11 The CowIndianapolisLA RamsKansas City-506818
12TrevorIndianapolisLA Chargers--476922
13Jeremy517Seattle46460
14LorenzoLSeattle45461
15hdnmickeyChicago33312
16 DrexlSeattle44462
17DamfinoSeattle43463
18Red DogSeattle42464
19QuackChicago38317
20Shannon NuttHouston36288
21 kenbuzzChicago23318
22JoeySevenChicago39318
23jfoobarSeattle38468
24Kal VarnsenChicago40319
25 sleepyheadHouston37289
26GinwenChicago413110
27 Tom OpusBaltimore504010
28 koopsChicago413110
29 DarylChicago423111
30Dr EvilChicago453114
31lwhy?Chicago453114
32tripfourChicago453114
33 Lurker DanHouston482820


Standings are shown in tiebreak order:
(1) Correct Pick
(2) Smallest Point Difference
(3) Earlier Pick

For the Super Bowl, here are the picks in the order I received them:
01-20-19 10:25pm NEP drc [54-down]
01-20-19 11:21pm NEP Jericho [55-down]

Nobody picked a number that had already been chosen, so no picks needed to be bumped up/down

Super Bowl:

Here is the spread table for a PATRIOTS victory:
54 or fewer = drc [chose 54] <--- New England 13-3 (16 points total)
55 or more = Jericho [55]

Here is the spread table for a RAMS victory:
0 to infinity = I Drink Molson

= Champion
= Past Champion

Last edited by kenbuzz; 02-03-19 at 09:10 PM.
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Old 12-30-18, 04:18 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Playoff Schedule/Results:

Wild Card Playoffs
Indianapolis 21, Houston 7
Dallas 24, Seattle 22
LA Chargers 23, Baltimore 17
Philadelphia 16, Chicago 15

Divisional Playoffs
Kansas City 31, Indianapolis 13
LA Rams 30, Dallas 22
New England 41, LA Chargers 28
New Orleans 20, Philadelphia 14

Conference Championships
LA Rams 26, New Orleans 23 (OT)
New England 37, Kansas City 31 (OT)

Super Bowl LIII: (Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA)
New England 13, LA Rams 3

Last edited by kenbuzz; 02-03-19 at 09:09 PM.
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Old 12-30-18, 04:18 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

All-Time Pool Standings:
PlayerWLSOPCTYPBF
Josh Hinkle400112
wirefan400112
bishop2knight6020.87527
Bill Needle3010.87515
RobV3010.87519
TomOpus14210.85351
PAL7110.83332
myshtigo4100.822
Doctor Gonzo4100.823
raj9054100.823
matta5110.78626
tripfour14400.77864
acubfaninmd9300.7542
Palaver6200.7535
Decker4110.7523
talemyn4110.7524
Groucho3100.7512
PunchDrunkBob3100.7513
Me007gold3100.7516
Trelach243100.75111
sergtv3100.75112
Jericho14520.714102
dick grayson15610.70591
edman18017710.7104
Osiris36576220.748
Maquis3110.726
Drexl18810.685111
koops14700.66781
sn9ke eyes4200.66725
Scott274200.66727
CRM1142100.66713
DGibFen2100.66713
kms md2100.66717
Cusm2100.66718
Preacher2100.66718
Goat30012100.667110
RJainMJ2100.667110
bluntman722100.667111
JANK2100.667111
ctyankee2100.667115
Abob Teff2100.667124
Quack14710.65993
Daryl211110.652141
sleepyhead5511600.64771
IDrinkMolson181000.643115
yojimbo4411610.63974
chrisih8u171000.63131
LurkerDan10600.62571
Keith66017410.62552
randyba5300.62536
Deftones5310.611413
LorenzoL14900.609112
PeMo14900.609106
fumanstan151000.6124
slymer6400.641
das Monkey6400.649
deadlax3200.626
Tarantino3200.6211
The Dude3200.6214
zekeburger19793200.6218
The Cow12810.595101
Red Dog191300.594144
adrenaline783210.583310
Calculon12900.571101
drc151200.556131
JumpCutz5400.55648
devilshalo151220.552142
rabbit77131100.542121
Jeremy517151310.534153
Cardsfan1119800.52992
flagstone101000.5123
BrewCrew9900.5101
starman90009910.5108
the Chief9900.5108
WildcatLH6600.566
Arpeggi5500.558
Quake10284400.545
Lunatikk4400.548
Fist of Doom3300.538
hdnmickey3300.5317
Shannon Nutt2200.529
valkyrie2200.5213
hapgilmore2200.5219
El Scorcho2200.5220
pedagogue1100.519
LarryC1100.5110
Smith1100.5110
JoeySeven1100.5111
Blake1100.5112
sauce071100.5112
DarkestPhoenix1100.5113
doubledown441100.5115
IdgIe491100.5115
Billy Madison1100.5116
wsox20091100.5117
hogfishmaster1100.5118
Copenhagen1100.5119
spainlinx01100.5120
Cardinal Fang1100.5121
lvbob1100.5125
MartinBlank1100.5126
tommyp0071100.5127
bwvanh1141100.5130
DVD Josh1100.5131
antennaball1100.5135
LivingINClip1100.5139
HistoryProf131400.481146
kenbuzz121300.48151
Ginwen6700.46279
rb legend5600.45569
wmansir81000.444114
brizz81000.444106
lysander4500.44454
U6C844500.44454
NORML546014500.44459
Dr Evil91200.4291212
BravesMG6800.42994
lwhy?3400.429414
Bill Geiger81110.42545
Trevor5710.42387
vedderone2300.4320
Kal Varnsen4710.375814
outcastja2400.333425
movieking1200.333217
lordwow1200.333219
Joseph L1200.333226
namja1200.333227
MovieMaster111200.333228
DVDMagic1300.2539
LaxBandit1300.25325
B.A.0300318
shizawn0200231
ams0100118
Maxwell Smart0100121
TimeandTime0100121
Kedrix0100124
DvdGene0100125
Mrs.Nesbit0100126
cwwallace0100127
Da Thrilla0100127
Dr. Henry Jones, Jr.0100127
Mordred0100127
RyoHazuki0100127
Tommy Ceez0100127
Bushdog0100128
DeputyDave0100129
muggins0100130
Apple Gooncha0100132
DaveWadding0100132
hail2dking0100134
Pillowhead0100136
aktick0100138
Flashback0100138
actionjackson290100144
Lt Ripley0100146
Nesbit0100147
cupcake jesus0100149
Spicollidriver10100150


Of those who have played at least half (8) of the 15 years of this pool:
PlayerWLSOPCTYPBF
Jericho14520.714102
dick grayson15610.70591
edman18017710.7104
Drexl18810.685111
koops14700.66781
Quack14710.65993
Daryl211110.652141
IDrinkMolson181000.643115
chrisih8u171000.63131
LorenzoL14900.609112
PeMo14900.609106
fumanstan151000.6124
The Cow12810.595101
Red Dog191300.594144
Calculon12900.571101
drc151200.556131
devilshalo151220.552142
rabbit77131100.542121
Jeremy517151310.534153
Cardsfan1119800.52992
flagstone101000.5123
BrewCrew9900.5101
starman90009910.5108
the Chief9900.5108
HistoryProf131400.481146
kenbuzz121300.48151
wmansir81000.444114
brizz81000.444106
Dr Evil91200.4291212
BravesMG6800.42994
Trevor5710.42387
Kal Varnsen4710.375814


W = Wins (correctly-picked games)
L = Losses (incorrectly-picked games or games where No Pick was recorded)
SO = Times "Shut Out" of the Super Bowl (counted as a tie for winning percentage calculation)
PCT = Winning Percentage
YP = Years Played
BF = Best Finish

Tables sorted by (1)PCT, (2)YP, (3)BF

Last edited by kenbuzz; 12-30-18 at 07:47 PM.
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Old 12-30-18, 04:19 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

List of Reserved Pool Entries:

Unclaimed (13):
  • BravesMG (9 Years Played)
  • brizz (10 Years Played)
  • Calculon (2007 Champ)
  • chrisih8u (2010 Champ)
  • devilshalo (14 Years Played)
  • dick grayson (2005 Champ)
  • edman180 (10 Years Played)
  • flagstone (12 Years Played)
  • fumanstan (12 Years Played)
  • HistoryProf (14 Years Played)
  • slymer (2008 Champ)
  • starman9000 (10 Years Played)
  • wmansir (11 Years Played)
Claimed (23):
  • BrewCrew (2012 Champ)
  • Cardsfan111 (9 Years Played)
  • Daryl (2004 Champ)
  • Dr Evil (12 Years Played)
  • drc (2017 Champ)
  • Drexl (2006 Champ)
  • IDrinkMolson (11 Years Played)
  • Jeremy517 (15 Years Played)
  • Jericho (10 Years Played)
  • Kal Varnsen (8 Years Played)
  • kenbuzz (2009 Champ)
  • koops (2013 Champ)
  • LorenzoL (11 Years Played)
  • LurkerDan (2015 Champ)
  • PeMo (10 Years Played)
  • Red Dog (14 Years Played)
  • sleepyhead55 (2011 Champ)
  • Quack (9 Years Played)
  • rabbit77 (2003 Champ)
  • the Chief (10 Years Played)
  • The Cow (2016 Champ)
  • TomOpus (2014 Champ)
  • Trevor (8 Years Played)

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-06-19 at 03:34 PM.
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Old 12-30-18, 04:19 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Please DO NOT submit picks yet or post "I'm In!" or "Reserving a spot!" posts to this thread. Such posts will be ignored. I will need until sometime tomorrow to get this set up, but wanted to let everyone know it was coming and to start thinking about their picks.


The pool is officially CLOSED right now.
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Old 12-30-18, 10:20 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Please remember to submit your first round selection *and* guess for point total in that game. Picks with no point total will be assigned a value of ZERO for tiebreaker purposes. Not a big deal in round one, sure, but it can make a significant difference in later rounds.

Picks that have "Edited by..." stamps on them will be ignored. If you decide to change your pick please do so by adding a new post to the thread.


The pool is now officially OPEN. Good luck to all.
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Old 12-31-18, 01:25 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chicago 42
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Old 12-31-18, 02:45 AM
  #9  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Seattle 45
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Old 12-31-18, 03:35 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chicago 41
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Old 12-31-18, 04:09 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chicago 38
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Old 12-31-18, 06:38 AM
  #12  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Houston 36
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Old 12-31-18, 07:41 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Baltimore 50
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Old 12-31-18, 07:47 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Cowboys 45
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Old 12-31-18, 09:08 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Houston 42

later changed to their opponent, but I’m not confident of any pick this weekend

Last edited by Trevor; 01-04-19 at 06:23 PM.
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Old 12-31-18, 09:32 AM
  #16  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chicago 45
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Old 12-31-18, 10:33 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chargers 43
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Old 12-31-18, 10:42 AM
  #18  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Chicago 33
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Old 12-31-18, 10:43 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Colts - 48

I don't like any of these picks this week.
I think any team might win or lose this week.
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Old 12-31-18, 11:30 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Houston 48
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Old 12-31-18, 12:19 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Indianapolis 53
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Old 12-31-18, 12:32 PM
  #22  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Colt 45
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Old 12-31-18, 12:57 PM
  #23  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Originally Posted by IDrinkMolson View Post
Colts - 48

I don't like any of these picks this week.
I think any team might win or lose this week.

This is one of the toughest first weekends that I can recall in all the years doing this pool. 3 games where the line is under 3 points with, according to reports, the early betting heavily favoring the 3 road teams.
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Old 12-31-18, 01:19 PM
  #24  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Colts 47
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Old 12-31-18, 02:28 PM
  #25  
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Re: DVDTalk 2018 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (16th Annual)

Eagles 44
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