He couldn't live up to the great start of his career, but I'm still looking forward to every new movie he's in.

You did not like Death to Smoochy?

He's a great actor, but he is not handsome, so he was always going to end up as a character actor as he got older.

My guess for Best Actress is that Moore has the momentum going into this weekend with the SAG award, but Madison could get it as well. If one is looking for an upset, Torres could win as the result of a split vote. Last year many thought Lily Gladstone was a lock, but Emma Stone got her second award and it was quite well deserved.

Erivo really does give off bad vibes. I liked Wicked and her performance, but she seems like quite a stand offish person in real life.

Hey guess what?

The Oscars are going to open with a musical number from Wicked stars Erivo and Grande.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/no-os...b0086412e167ee

Did someone tell Erivo this time?

I think there are several aspects to how his career developed, your point being one of them. I guess the shaped movie landscape is part of it too. Movies like Red Dragon don't get produced that much anymore and he screwed his chances of being in the MCU, which manifested his reputation of being difficult.

I actually did like it, but it's not Fight Club or American History X.

Stoked for Conan. And hoping for an Adrien Brody win.

Palestinian Oscar nominated documentary "No Other Land" can't find a US distributor. I'm shocked...

Will OJ Simpson be part of the memoriam or do they take a stand and cut him out?

He died in April 2024 after the 2024 Oscars.

It seems nobody forgets him during the in memorian award shows segments.

There’s absolutely no way.

ill livestream myself eating my Vancouver Canucks hat if it happens.

One interesting thing for this year will be that Conan is not a topical or political comedian, and he generally avoids "what's in the news" subjects, so there will probably very little Trump bashing from him.

Last week, I went to the Shorts.TV screening of all of the short film nominees and all of them were great.

There are a handful of categories that many Oscar watchers go huh, okay, I didn't see any of those, so whatever. But this year you've got my opinion to guide you!

My predictions and picks:

Live Action Short Film
A Lien (USA, English)
Anuja (USA, Hindi)
I'm Not a Robot (Belgium/Netherlands, Dutch)
The Last Ranger (South Africa, Xhosa)
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent (Croatia, Croatian)
Prediction: A Lien
Potential Upset: The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
My Pick: A Lien

Animated Short Film
Beautiful Men (Belgium/France/Netherlands, Flemish, Dutch, Turkish, English)
In the Shadow of the Cypress (Iran, no dialogue)
Magic Candies (Japan, Japanese)
Wander to Wonder (Netherlands/Belgium/France/UK, English)
Yuck! / Beurk! (France, French)
Prediction: Yuck!
Potential Upset: Beautiful Men or In the Shadow of the Cypress
My Pick: Magic Candies

Documentary Short Film
Death by Numbers (USA, English)
I Am Ready, Warden (USA, English)
Incident (USA, English)
Instruments of a Beating Heart (Japan, Japanese)
The Only Girl in the Orchestra (USA, English)
Prediction: Incident
Potential Upset: Death by Numbers
My Pick: I Am Ready, Warden

Will those be given out during the broadcast this year?

I don't know. I know they cut some categories over the years from the telecast, which I find frustrating. All of these films are great!

Poking around the Internet, these plus others like Makeup and Costumes and Sound were cut in 2022, but back in 2023 or 2024. I haven't read anything about categories being cut from the telecast for this year.

On the one hand, I can absolutely respect that this is an industry awards ceremony, and so they want to be inclusive and represent the full range of what film-making encompasses.

On the other hand, as a viewer, it was pretty nice to watch the SAG awards and be done in way under 3 hours.

Instead of cutting the categories why don't they give it out during an oscar preshow before the entire audience gets there before it's live. Or in a wholly different venue and then cut the presentation into 30 second bits/award. That way it would only take a few minutes.

Because the point is that the winner of every award gets their moment to take the stage in front of the assembled Hollywood community and speak, whether they are the biggest movie star or someone who made a documentary short. They won an Oscar, the highest achievement in their profession, and so they get their moment to shine.

Even though it might be less important the Golden Globes are far more entertaining than the Oscars since almost every award is a big category like best actor, actress, etc and not 90 minutes of the technical awards like the Oscars though they deserve the merit but does not make for entertaining TV seeing a bunch of people working behind the scenes you never heard of.

Is it better that they're just cut out completely then? This way they can still take the stage, still have their moment but not add to the runtime of the live telecast.

That's exactly what they did in 2022!

Guess it was a one-off?

https://variety.com/2022/awards/awar...ut-1235187841/

Why does anyone watch a football game that runs for 3+ hours when there is less than an hour of meaningful play action?

I am not advocating for them to be cut or separated out and played on tape. Do the whole thing. Give out every award live on the TV broadcast.

___________________

As soon as you start acting like you are just a TV show, then you become just a TV show.

He did topical comedy monologues for almost 30 years.

He never shied away from political jokes either. He just never took a hard stance like everyone does today.

You're right, he did jokes about politicians, but he does not do political commentary.

I think he moved further away from political jokes on TBS and rarely brings up politics on his podcast. So it's a stark contrast to the others, who never shut up about Trump.

I am glad the Academy did not schedule the ceremony next Sunday or on DST day again.