so it seems we haven't done this in awhile and i think we should. it is a good way to see what you predicted vs. actual. i know nominees won't be out till 1/22/19, but that doesn't mean we can make predictions...

some of mine (will add more later):
Best Picture: A Star is Born
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón
Best Actress: Lady Gaga
Best Actor: Christian Bale
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Foreign Feature: Roma (Mexico)
Best Music: A Star is Born
Best Original Song: A Star is Born, for whatever song gets nominated
Best Cinematography: First Man

Winners:

Best movie: BR
Actor: Rami Malek
Actress: Lady Gaga
Director: Alfonso Curran
Song: Shallow- A Star Is Born

Winners:
Best movie: Roma
Actor: Rami Malek
Actress: Olivia Coleman
Supporting Actor: Michael B Jordan, Black Panther
Supporting Actress: Amy Adams
Director: Alfonso Cuaron

You mean Bohemian Rhapsody?

yep... damn it

so did i. it'll be in the noms, but no win...

Best Picture: A Star is Born or Green Book
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón
Best Actress: Glenn Close
Best Actor: Christian Bale
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Foreign Feature: Roma (Mexico)
Best Music: A Star is Born
Best Original Song: "Shallow" (A Star is Born)
Best Cinematography: First Man

I still have a feeling The Favourite will win Best Picture. I don't seen Green Book or BR winning, although they probably likely scored nominations thanks to the Golden Globes (Green Book was a shoo-in anyway; BR was more borderline).

Christian Bale for Best Actor
Lada Gaga for Best Actress
Bradley Cooper for Best Supporting Actor
Olivia Coleman for Best Supporting Actress
Best Director - Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

After the G.G. controversy, I'm sure the Oscar winners will be diverse and gender neutral.

Admit it. You created this thread just to beat me to this prediction...In this specific thread

Is A Star is Born the 3rd or 4th remake of that movie really good or is it a weak year in movies?

Leave No Trace, Sorry to Bother You, or Black Klansmann deserve the best picture.

A little from column a,a little from column b

That said I don't think it was a remotely bad year for movies,just a bad year for Oscar Bait. For example Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse will be viewed more favorably over time then just about any BP nominee the last year,but extreme genre bias has excluded it from the discussion. Hell even something worthy of a BP nom like Black Panther is only on Oscar radar because it has a lot of baity live action roles,and actors are the largest branch of the academy.

Gut tells me:
Best Actress: Olivia Colman
Best Director: Spike Lee
Best Actor: Rami Malek
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Foreign Feature: Roma (Mexico)
Best Original Song: "Shallow" (A Star is Born)
Best Cinematography: Roma
Best Adapted Screenplay: Black Panther

Predictions:

It’ll run 30 min overtime

somone obscure will be omitted from the In Memoriam, sparking minute outrage

Someone will “Boo the booers”

Put me down for $5 on either Sondra Locke or Ricky Jay.

Best Picture: Green Book
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón
Best Actress: Glenn Close
Best Actor: Christian Bale
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali
Best Supporting Actress: Regina King
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Best Foreign Feature: Roma
Best Score: First Man
Best Original Song: "Shallow" (A Star is Born)

1. I think if Glenn Close gets nominated for Best Actress, then she's a shoe-in to win. She's long overdue and will be given the statue as reparation even if hers wasn't the best performance in the category this year.
2. I really, really want Toni Collette to at least get a Best Actress nomination for Hereditary. She deserves at least that much for such a perfect performance. But I don't think she will even be nominated.
3. I think some blow-back against Bohemian Rhapsody's GG win may cost Rami Malek a win, but he will at least get a nomination.
4. Now that the dust has settled and everyone is realizing Incredibles 2 wasn't really all that incredible, Pixar won't be winning Best Animated Movie this year. It'll go to Spider-Man.

My prediction is that two of the best written, directed and acted films of the year will not receive any nominations.

You Were Never Really Here
First Reformed

I can't imagine Lee will ever get an A.A. award...especially considering his racist remarks of the past and attacks on the Awards in particular.

I want to subscribe to your Oscars! Those were probably the best 3 movies I saw last year.

I feel Spike Lee has a good chance at being nominated this year for BlackKKlansman, which is a movie I'm sure the Spike Lee of 1989 would be horrified to think he'd make.

And while Spike Lee has certainly said a lot of dumb stuff over the years, I don't remember him saying anything racist. Certainly nothing like Mel Gibson ranting about the Jews and "packs of ******s" who still got a best director nomination afterwards.

Blindspotting should be nominated but might be ignored.

There will be 2 and 1/2 hrs of technical awards and then they will do all the major awards in the last 20 minutes.

I miss the old days when they did the awards in late March

February has too many big event programs like the Super Bowl and Grammys.

Not to mention the awful things Gibson said to his ex wife that she secretly recorded. He's a piece of shit.