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The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

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Old 07-24-10, 01:34 AM
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The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

... or the weekend in which Finke shows off she has piss poor math skills.

If Inception pulls in a $43 million weekend, its a drop of 30-31%. 34% would be $41 million. Ahem.

Originally Posted by Nikki Finke, Deadline Hollywood
FRIDAY PM: Hollywood expected Inception to hold well in the large markets and on both coasts. But Salt definitely put some pepper into Friday's and this weekend's estimated box office, according to my sources using early numbers. And the other newcomer Ramona and Beezus joins an already crowded family film market. (Figures will be refined in the morning):

1. Chris Nolan's Inception for Warner Bros/Legendary Pictures will still be the No. 1 movie for its 2nd weekend in release. It went into today having made $100+M in the U.S. and Canada in just 7 days -- only the 5th film and the only original 2D movie to accomplish that. Inception made a big $14.4M Friday for a Superglue-like hold of 34% compared to a week ago for what's expected to be a $43M weekend and a new cume of $143M. Ah, what dreamy legs.

2. Sony Pictures set a new salary high for Angelina Jolie to star in this weekend's No. 2 movie Salt. Still, the studio was gobsmacked when she set about earning every penny, whether it was long autograph-signing sessions at the pic's premieres or making a much-hyped panel appearance at Comic-Con. That was just a few of the marketing moves Sony made to sell Salt but there were more by Jeff Blake and Marc Weinstock and their team: concocting a high-octane ad campaign, devising a 9-week episodic online game, junketeering in Washington DC with a reception/tour of the International Spy Museum, even exploiting that recent real-life Russian sleeper spy ring in the news because of its similarities to the movie plot. "The Anna Chapman story resulted in extensive off entertainment page coverage mentioning Salt," one Sony exec explained to me.

The Philip Noyce-directed pic had been tracking extremely well for weeks by garnering solid unaided awareness overall with total awareness strongest in older females and males, followed by younger males. (Younger females were a bit behind...) What other actress plays so well with both women and men? And she's also the only actress who can open a kickass actioner right now -- which is why the lead role intended for Tom Cruise underwent a sex change. And open SALT Jolie did with a $13.8M Friday and expected $37M weekend that could climb to $40M if there's a Saturday bump. With a supposed cost of only a little over $100M (Sony claims that's because of production incentives from shooting back East), the studio is confident it has a hit here and overseas. Salt is opening in a few territories over the next few days (i.e. Colombia, India, Egypt, Jordan, Aruba, Jamaica, etc) while next week it releases in countries like Russia, Korea, Japan and Brazil. The film will continue to roll out all over the world through October.
http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/angi...till-big-no-1/
Old 07-24-10, 08:53 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

... or the weekend in which Finke shows off she has piss poor math skills.

If Inception pulls in a $43 million weekend, its a drop of 30-31%. 34% would be $41 million. Ahem.
She was referring to the $21,782,199 Inception made last friday, $14.4M is a 34% drop. The drop for the overall weekend is expected to be around 30 or 31% since last Friday had midnight showings (where it made $3m) which didn't occur this week - extremely strong hold.

Last edited by RichC2; 07-24-10 at 08:56 AM.
Old 07-24-10, 09:42 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

I think it's safe to say that Nolan has a blank checkbook and complete control of the editing booths at Warners. Whether or not this is a good thing is another story. Total carte blanche absolutely ruined Peter Jackson.
Old 07-24-10, 10:00 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Editing booths for his films. Yeah but PJ didn't grow alot as a filmmaker, and if he did it wasn't much. I've yet to see his last film but...I wasn't amazed at his growth in KK. I liked KK though.
Old 07-24-10, 10:04 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

It went into today having made $100+M in the U.S. and Canada in just 7 days -- only the 5th film and the only original 2D movie to accomplish that.
She must mean just for this year. 16 movies (not including Inception) have had opening weekends of $100 million plus, let alone that much in 7 days.
Old 07-24-10, 10:06 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Originally Posted by Drexl
She must mean just for this year. 16 movies (not including Inception) have had opening weekends of $100 million plus, let alone that much in 7 days.
Well, Obviously she means this year. Jesus Christ.
Old 07-24-10, 02:40 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

I could see Salt doing good numbers from people who went to see Inception but found it sold out.
Old 07-24-10, 03:24 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

revised Friday estimates:

<< PREVIOUSStay tuned for daily updates...
Rank*TitleFriday
7/23

(Estimates)
Saturday
7/24
Sunday
7/25
Monday
7/26
<big>1</big>INCEPTION
<small>Warner Bros.

</small>3,792
$13,230,000


<nobr><small>+54.5% / $3,489</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$113,388,000 / 8</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>2</big>SALT
<small>Sony / Columbia

</small>3,612
$12,700,000


<nobr><small>-- / $3,516</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$12,700,000 / 1</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>3</big>DESPICABLE ME
<small>Universal

</small>3,600
$7,325,000


<nobr><small>+59.8% / $2,035</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$144,926,000 / 15</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>4</big>RAMONA AND BEEZUS
<small>Fox

</small>2,719
$3,000,000


<nobr><small>-- / $1,103</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$3,000,000 / 1</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>5</big>THE SORCERER'S APPRENTICE
<small>Buena Vista

</small>3,504
$2,950,000


<nobr><small>+55.8% / $842</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$35,908,000 / 10</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>6</big>TOY STORY 3
<small>Buena Vista

</small>2,766
$2,625,000


<nobr><small>+44.5% / $949</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$373,124,000 / 36</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>7</big>GROWN UPS
<small>Sony / Columbia

</small>2,859
$2,400,000


<nobr><small>+75.3% / $839</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$137,212,000 / 29</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>8</big>THE TWILIGHT SAGA: ECLIPSE
<small>Summit Entertainment

</small>3,121
$2,375,000


<nobr><small>+25.8% / $761</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$275,016,000 / 24</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>9</big>THE LAST AIRBENDER
<small>Paramount

</small>2,127
$1,200,000


<nobr><small>+33.3% / $564</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$120,292,000 / 23</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>10</big>PREDATORS
<small>Fox

</small>1,846
$850,000


<nobr><small>+9.8% / $460</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$44,568,000 / 15</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
Get the latest box office news!
Get Premier Pass to access our full feature set...
<big>11</big>THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT
<small>Focus Features

</small>201
$710,000


<nobr><small>+479.6% / $3,532</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$3,025,000 / 15</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>12</big>KNIGHT & DAY
<small>Fox

</small>1,265
$525,000


<nobr><small>+15.3% / $415</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$71,507,000 / 31</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>13</big>THE KARATE KID
<small>Sony / Columbia

</small>780
$335,000


<nobr><small>+3.5% / $429</small></nobr>
<nobr><small>$170,948,000 / 43</small></nobr>

N/A

N/A

N/A
<big>-</big>
<small>

</small>-

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A
<< PREVIOUS

Old 07-25-10, 11:14 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Estimates:
1 Inception $ 43,505,000 $ 62,785,337 -30.7 3,792 2 $ 11,473 $ 143,663,000 Warner Bros.
2 Salt 36,500,000 3,612 1 10,105 36,500,000 Sony
3 Despicable Me 24,120,000 32,803,660 -26.5 3,600 3 6,700 161,721,000 Universal
4 The Sorcerer's Apprentice 9,685,000 17,619,622 -45.0 3,504 2 2,764 42,643,000 Buena Vista
5 Toy Story 3 9,030,000 11,998,276 -24.7 2,766 6 3,265 379,529,000 Buena Vista
6 Ramona and Beezus 8,000,000 2,719 1 2,942 8,000,000 Fox
7 Grown Ups 7,600,000 9,911,016 -23.3 2,859 5 2,658 142,412,000 Sony
8 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse 7,200,000 13,420,480 -46.4 3,121 4 2,307 280,000,000 Summit
9 The Last Airbender 4,173,000 7,755,153 -46.2 2,127 4 1,962 123,264,000 Paramount
10 Predators 2,850,000 7,016,502 -59.4 1,846 3 1,544 46,568,000 Fox
Old 07-25-10, 11:52 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Wow. The Inception hype is ridiculously strong still.

I went to a 10:20 PM showing of Salt last night and there was a line still for the next showing of Inception.

Also glad to see Despicable Me continue to do well. It's been a wonderful year for 3D Animated movies thanks to How to Train Your Dragon, Toy Story 3, and Despicable Me.
Old 07-25-10, 12:53 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

So let's look at Fox's summer line-up performance (domestic):

The A-Team: 75 million
Knight & Day: 72 million
Predators: 47 million
Marmaduke: 32 million
Ramona & Beezus: 8 million (opening week only, but very soft nonetheless)

Inception will outgross all of them combined. So will Despicable Me. Twilight, Toy Story 3, and Iron Man 2 have already left them all in the dust.

Couldn't happen to a nicer company.
Old 07-25-10, 01:04 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Looks like it'll be 250+ for Inception, one of the bright spots this summer. Despite being pretty unexciting, it seems this summer the good films actually did the best (TS3, IM2, Inception) and the poor ones ended up under performing. (Shrek4, POP, Sorcerer's Apprentice, Airbender etc)
Old 07-25-10, 09:35 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

I'm glad Inception and Despicable Me are looking over 200m in the coming weeks. Both deserve it.
Old 07-25-10, 10:00 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Nice to see Ramona and Beezus doing as well as it did. I was glad to see such a classic book series given some attention and from what I've read, it's a good spirited family film.
Old 07-25-10, 10:11 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Inception is at $227,663,000 worldwide
Old 07-25-10, 10:18 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

seems like WB hit the billion mark for the year. Go WB....
Old 07-25-10, 10:52 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

a 30% drop for a summer flick is remarkable.
Old 07-26-10, 12:10 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

The drops across the board are good (except Predators)
Old 07-26-10, 02:06 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

If Inception's box office trend continues...

Monday: $7.2m
Tuesday: $6.9m
Wednesday: $6.2m
Thursday: $6.0m [$170.3 domestic total]

Friday: $9.3
Saturday: $11.7
Sunday: $9.5 [$200.8 domestic total]

I would say its got a closer shot of getting to $300 million. $250 million is a lock now, especially with another weak week or two at the box office ahead of us.
Old 07-26-10, 11:55 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Originally Posted by Solid Snake PAC
seems like WB hit the billion mark for the year. Go WB....
I hope that doesn't mean they'll push back Harry Potter like they did last time Nolan made them a lot of money...
Old 07-26-10, 11:57 AM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

the movie won't be THAT big.

Last edited by RichC2; 07-26-10 at 12:02 PM.
Old 07-26-10, 12:58 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

FWIW, I actually see Inception sticking around the top five for a while, maybe even into mid-September. My assistant went and saw this over the weekend and she never goes to movies, and she liked it a lot. I think word of mouth will keep this around longer than they average summer movie.
Old 07-26-10, 03:06 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Originally Posted by Dr. DVD
FWIW, I actually see Inception sticking around the top five for a while, maybe even into mid-September. My assistant went and saw this over the weekend and she never goes to movies, and she liked it a lot. I think word of mouth will keep this around longer than they average summer movie.
I agree. Between the great word of mouth & August's releases looking for the most part pretty dreadful Inception could make a lot of money for a long time.
Old 07-26-10, 03:06 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

Actuals -- Inception was over-estimated a little but still did fantastic:

1 1 Inception WB $42,725,012 -32.0% 3,792 - $11,267 $142,883,424 $160 2
2 N Salt Sony $36,011,243 - 3,612 - $9,970 $36,011,243 $110 1
3 2 Despicable Me Uni. $23,689,060 -27.8% 3,600 +99 $6,580 $161,289,905 $69 3
4 3 The Sorcerer's Apprentice BV $9,651,495 -45.2% 3,504 - $2,754 $42,609,020 $150 2
5 5 Toy Story 3 BV $8,917,512 -25.7% 2,766 -411 $3,224 $379,416,551 $200 6
6 N Ramona and Beezus Fox $7,810,481 - 2,719 - $2,873 $7,810,481 $15 1
7 6 Grown Ups Sony $7,428,742 -25.0% 2,859 -215 $2,598 $142,240,828 $80 5
8 4 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse Sum. $7,186,170 -46.5% 3,121 -880 $2,303 $279,827,262 $68 4
9 7 The Last Airbender Par. $4,217,021 -45.6% 2,127 -678 $1,983 $123,308,790 $150 4
10 8 Predators Fox $3,120,656 -55.5% 1,846 -823 $1,690 $46,839,081 $40 3
11 12 The Kids Are All Right Focus $2,594,758 +143.8% 201 +163 $12,909 $4,909,949 $4 3
12 9 Knight & Day Fox $1,694,003 -53.0% 1,265 -660 $1,339 $72,675,724 $117 5

Last edited by RichC2; 07-26-10 at 03:13 PM.
Old 07-26-10, 05:49 PM
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Re: The Weekend Box Office 7/23 - 7/25 Where Chris Nolan Takes Over Warner

I've seen eight of the movies currently in the top 12.


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