Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Opening:

The Book of Eli 3,111
The Spy Next Door 2,924

Expanding:

Lovely Bones 2,563

Weekend Predictions:

Boxoffice.com:

Four-Day Weekend Predictions: January 15 to January 18, 2010
1 Avatar $43.5
2 The Book of Eli $32.0
3 The Spy Next Door $19.0
4 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel $15.7
5 The Lovely Bones $15.5
6 Sherlock Holmes $11.6
7 It's Complicated $9.7
8 Daybreakers $8.9
9 The Blind Side $7.1
10 Leap Year $7.0

boxofficefollower (xiayun)


1. Avatar 47.0
2. The Book of Eli 38.0
3. The Lovely Bones 17.0
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 15.0
5. The Spy Next Door 13.0
6. Sherlock Holmes 12.0
7. It's Complicated 10.0
8. Daybreakers 8.0
9. The Blind Side 7.0
10. Up in the Air 7.0

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I think Book of Eli is gonna win the weekend. My theater was packed at 11:10 am which is really rare. Those old people love Denzel.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Its going to be pretty close, I think Avatar gets the edge because of the surcharge on the 3D/Imax films though (Although I think Eli will have more people in theaters)

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I think Avatar will take the weekend.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I'm contributing 3 RealD tikets' worth to Avatar's B.O. take for the weekend.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Holy crap, it's being reported that Daybreakers and Youth in Revolt have already been bounced from the top 10.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I went to see It's Complicated yesterday afternoon. The ticket line was a lot longer than usual for the time of day, and it seemed like most people were seeing Book of Eli.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

The wife and I are finally going to see Avatar in 3D this weekend, so add another $20+ bucks to its total.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Kind of a shame, Daybreakers was enjoyable. Eli won Friday but Avatar is expected to trounce Eli for the remainder of the weekend. It isn't uncommon for R-rated flicks like Eli to drop a bit on Saturday. Avatar should be near $1.6b worldwide after this weekend with $500M in the US and about $1.1B overseas (currently standing at $450M domestic and $974M international).

1. Book Of Eli (Alcon/Warner Bros) NEW [3,111 Theaters] Friday $12M, Est 4-Day Weekend $35M
2. Avatar (Fox) Week 5 [3,285 Theaters] Friday $10.5M, Est 4-Day Weekend $50M, Est Cume $500M
3. Lovely Bones (Paramount) Week 6 [2,563 Theaters] Friday $6.2M, Est 4-Day Weekend $25M
4. Sherlock Holmes (Warner Bros) Week 4 [3,173 Theaters] Friday $2.9M, Est 4-Day Weekend $12M, Est Cume $182M
5. Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Squealquel (Fox) Week 4 [3,246 Theaters] Friday $2.6M, Est 4-Day Weekend $15M, Est Cume $195.7M
6. It's Complicated (Universal) Week 4 [2,673 Theaters] Friday $2.4M, Est 4-Day Weekend $10M, Est Cume $91M
7. The Spy Next Door (Lionsgate) NEW [2,924 Theaters] Friday $2.3M, Est 4-Day Weekend $12M
8. Leap Year (Universal) Week 2 [2,512 Theaters] Friday $1.9M, Est 4-day Weekend $7M, Est Cume $18.7M
9. The Blind Side (Warner Bros) Week 9 [2,408 Theaters] Friday $1.6M, Est 4-Day Weekend $7M, Est Cume $228.5M
10. Up In The Air (Paramount) Week 7 [2,107 Theaters] Friday $1.5M, Est 4-Day Weekend $6.5M, Est Cume $64M

- Daybreakers (Lionsgate) Friday $1.4M, Est 4-Day $5M

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

wouldn't that make avatar no 1 again, if that number is accurate? its scary that it can still make 40 mil plus in week 5.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

That's a pretty impressive number for The Lovely Bones, considering that it's Oscar buzz has dropped to virtually nothing.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Yes, Avatar is expected to be #1 for the weekend overall even though Eli won Friday.

Not even the lack of oscar buzz, just the fact the movie gets panned in general. Apparently teenage girls are digging it.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I wasn't much of a fan, but I'm surprised that so many holdovers are knocking new movies out that quickly.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

has anyone done an adjusted Domestic gross for Titanic vs. Avatar? or even adjusted Titanic vs. what all the gross for Avatar would be if the entire movie was shot in 2D?

surely, Titanic adjusted would be over 1 billion and therefore beat any Avatar #'s...

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

You mean something like this:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Some predictors were selling bones short because of that mixed review buzz, although others thought it would do better.

Here are ERC's early 3 day estimates: (Not 4 day)

ERC Early Weekend Estimates (3 Days)
1 AVATAR Fox · 3285 · $40,000,000 · $12,177 · $490,467,005
2 BOOK OF ELI Warner Bros. · 3111 · $30,000,000 · $9,643 · $30,000,000
3 THE LOVELY BONES Paramount · 2563 · $16,000,000 · $6,243 · $16,466,663
4 ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: THE SQUEAKUEL Fox · 3296 · $11,000,000 · $3,337 · $192,091,843
5 THE SPY NEXT DOOR LIONSGATE · 2924 · $9,000,000 · $3,078 · $9,000,000
6 SHERLOCK HOLMES Warner Bros. · 3173 · $9,000,000 · $2,836 · $179,193,400
7 IT'S COMPLICATED Universal · 2673 · $8,500,000 · $3,180 · $89,051,825
8 THE BLIND SIDE Warner Bros. · 2408 · $6,000,000 · $2,492 · $227,209,265
9 LEAP YEAR Universal · 2512 · $5,500,000 · $2,189 · $17,201,170
10 UP IN THE AIR Paramount · 2107 · $5,500,000 · $2,610 · $62,873,018
11 DAYBREAKERS Lionsgate · 2523 · $4,000,000 · $1,585 · $23,188,401
12 THE PRINCESS AND THE FROG Walt Disney · 1777 · $2,500,000 · $1,407 · $96,029,331

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

See? This is why we don't start adding different ways to look at the data. Titanic is not even in the top 5 time.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Worth noting that chart is only domestic. Titanic made over 1.8 billion worldwide, so not sure what that'd be in adjusted dollars.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

that be it. thanks.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Then why not include adjustments to factor in the rise of the internet and illegal downloading from 1997 to 2009? Or the proliferation of cable TV channels in the past 12 years? Or the huge increase in DVD ownership and home viewing since then? See, there are just too many factors in comparing box office so it's just easier to avoid all that "adjusted for inflation" stuff and stick to what the movie made in unadjusted dollars.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Ditto. Whenever I read that a figure has been "adjusted for inflation," it throws me off completely and I can no longer trust the story.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

I don't think its too hard to understand the adjusted charts, it's not an exact science. If I want to get an idea of a movie's popularity that's what I prefer to look at.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

When I went to see Book of Eli yesterday the theater was sold out and packed in the mid-afternoon. It's gonna have huge opening weekend but I don't think it will have legs.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

'Avatar' passes 'Star Wars' with $491.8M in US

The Associated Press
James Cameron's "Avatar" has shot past "Star Wars" to become the No. 3 movie on the all-time domestic box office charts. Next stop: "The Dark Knight."

Cameron's sci-fi saga took in $41.3 million over the weekend, raising its domestic total to $491.8 million. Worldwide, "Avatar" has grossed $1.5 billion.

"Avatar" topped "Star Wars," which took in $460.9 million domestically in its original run and several reissues over the years. Factoring in today's higher admission prices, "Star Wars" remains well ahead on actual number of tickets sold.

"Avatar" is closing on "The Dark Knight," No. 2 domestically with $533.3 million. After that, only Cameron's "Titanic" at $600 million will remain ahead of "Avatar" domestically.

Re: Weekend Box Office: Martin Luther King Jr Holiday
 

Eli wasn't even close.

1 1 Avatar Fox $41,300,000 -17.9% 3,285 -137 $12,572 $491,767,000 - 5
2 N The Book of Eli WB $31,615,000 - 3,111 - $10,162 $31,615,000 $80 1
3 - The Lovely Bones P/DW $17,060,000 +44,129.0% 2,563 +2,560 $6,656 $17,527,000 $100 6
4 3 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel Fox $11,500,000 -30.6% 3,296 -345 $3,489 $192,592,000 $75 4
5 2 Sherlock Holmes WB $9,825,000 -40.8% 3,173 -453 $3,096 $180,018,000 $90 4
6 N The Spy Next Door LGF $9,700,000 - 2,924 - $3,317 $9,700,000 - 1
7 5 It's Complicated Uni. $7,672,000 -30.3% 2,670 -285 $2,873 $88,224,000 $85 4
8 6 Leap Year Uni. $5,828,000 -36.7% 2,512 +1 $2,320 $17,529,000 $19 2
9 7 The Blind Side WB $5,565,000 -26.1% 2,408 -472 $2,311 $226,774,000 $29 9
10 8 Up in the Air Par. $5,460,000 -23.7% 2,107 -111 $2,591 $62,833,000 $25 7
11 4 Daybreakers LGF $5,000,000 -67.0% 2,523 - $1,982 $24,188,000 $20 2
12 9 Youth in Revolt W/Dim. $2,822,000 -59.0% 1,873 - $1,507 $11,961,000 $18 2