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-   -   Predict the 2007 Summer Box Office Champ Here (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/499606-predict-2007-summer-box-office-champ-here.html)

Mr. Cinema 05-03-07 09:48 AM

Predict the 2007 Summer Box Office Champ Here
 
1. Spider-man 3 - $375 million
-I think this will match part 2. I would've guessed higher, but with Shrek and Pirates following, I don't think it'll reach $400 million. It's opening on the largest amount of theaters in history, although it also has a 140 minute runtime. Even though it's getting worse ratings than the previous 2, I think it'll be the top film. X3 was much worse than it's predecessors, yet still earned more just from pure hype. Same goes for Spidey.

2. Shrek 3 - $350 million
-What does this have going for it? Successful franchise, kid's flick, 80 minute running time. Which means it'll be playing ALL....DAY....LONG. No way this tops part 2's $440 million take. But, it'll still earn plenty of green. It does have tough competition with Spidey and Pirates, who are going after the same audience.

3. Pirates 3 - $340 million

4. Harry Potter 5 - $275 million

5. Transformers - $215 million

6. The Bourne Ultimatum - $200 million

Zodiac_Speaking 05-03-07 10:20 AM

1-Pirates 3: $355mil (winner even if I didn't guesss the correct $ amount)
2-Spidey 3: $315mil
3-Harry Potter 5: $300mil
4-Shrek 3: $290mil
5-Bourne Ultimatum: $225mil
6-Transformers: $200mil (I think this will tank, but don't underestimate Bay/Speilberg)
7- Fantastic Four 2: $190mil (big surprise BO money maker)
8- Ratatoulie: $180mil
9- Live Free or Die Hard: $175mil (I don't think people care about DH anymore)
10-Rob Zombie's Halloween : $90 mil (a wild guess, but I think this will bank, even though H1KC or DR didn't make anything)

starseed1981 05-03-07 10:28 AM

1.Spidy
2.Shrek
3.Pirates
4.Transformers
5.Fanstastic Four 2

Artman 05-03-07 10:31 AM

I'm thinking most sequels will not reach their previous highs (except F4, possibly Bourne), but will still do well.

Spidey3 - 350
POTC3 - 325
Shrek3 - 275
HP5 - 250
Transformers - ?? Could be 90, could be 190... hard to say...
F4 2 - 185
Ratatooie - 200
DH4 - 90
Bourne3 - 175
Knocked Up - 100
Almighty2 - 125

edit: God, keep forgetting some...
Ocean's 13 - 125
Simpsons - 80
Rush Hour 3 - 150
Chuck & Larry - 165

Maxflier 05-03-07 10:42 AM

1) Shrek 3 - $370m
2) Spidey 3 - $345m
3) Pirates 3 - $322m

RichC2 05-03-07 10:53 AM

I think Spidey 3 will end up in the high $200s. I think Shrek may win this out, as much as I hope it doesn't.

esc24 05-03-07 10:59 AM

Wow, looks like nobody has any faith in Rush Hour 3. I think that'll definitely be one of the top money makers.
My Guess
SpiderMan 3 - $320
Pirates - $310
Rush Hour 3 - $300
Shrek 3 - $280
Harry Potter - $270
Simpson's Movie - $190
Bourne - $180
Fantastic Four - $160
Transformers - $150
Die Hard - $120

There are seriously too many big movies coming out this summer. I don't even have to guess what the rest will make.

fumanstan 05-03-07 10:59 AM

I'm going with Pirates coming out on top this summer, followed by Spidey and Shrek.

Kal-El 05-03-07 11:13 AM

Pirates, then Spidey. I think Shrek's been played out. It's pretty much the animated version of the "_____ Movies" that rely mostly on sight-gags and parodies instead of its own story line.

Maxflier 05-03-07 11:17 AM


Originally Posted by Kal-El
It's pretty much the animated version of the "_____ Movies" that rely mostly on sight-gags and parodies instead of its own story line.

Couldn't agree more with that, but people still go see that mofo over and over for some reason.

raven56706 05-03-07 11:25 AM

Spider man 3
Shrek 3
Pirates
Harry Potter
Rush Hour 3
Simpsons
Transformers
Bourne Identity
F4
Die Hard

Drexl 05-03-07 11:57 AM

I tend to do poorly on these because I'm so out of touch with what's popular, but I'll say Spider-Man 3 slightly above Pirates of the Carribean, with Shrek, reluctantly, after that.

I don't see Rush Hour 3 being all that popular (although I did warn you I don't have my finger on the pulse of the public). Jackie Chan hasn't had a hit in a while, and do people even remember who Chris Tucker is?

FantasticVSDoom 05-03-07 12:01 PM

Its hard to pick between Spidey and Pirates, but Im going to just pick Spiderman for the hell of it. I think Transformers will be top heavy and bottom out quick because I have a feeling it will have bad word of mouth.

Mr. Cinema 05-03-07 12:19 PM


Originally Posted by FantasticVSDoom
Its hard to pick between Spidey and Pirates, but Im going to just pick Spiderman for the hell of it. I think Transformers will be top heavy and bottom out quick because I have a feeling it will have bad word of mouth.

Plus, Harry Potter opens the week after. Transformers needs to have a huge 5-day opening.

raven56706 05-03-07 12:23 PM

i predict it will and shut up some fanatics mouth.....

shizawn 05-03-07 12:26 PM

Which of the movies opens the weekend before Memorial Day weekend? That's the one I think wins. Huge opening weekend, plus the enormous holiday weekend that follows.

I think it's Shrek, but I'm not sure.

wildcatlh 05-03-07 12:28 PM

Pirates, then Shrek, then Spiderman.

Deftones 05-03-07 12:50 PM

Going to be Shrek. 86 minutes vs. over two hours for both Spidey and Pirates. It will be close, however.

Zodiac_Speaking 05-03-07 01:41 PM

I forgot about The Simpsons. That will bank.

Joe Molotov 05-03-07 02:02 PM

I picked Pirates 2 last year, and it won, so I guess I'm going to have to go with Pirates 3 this year.

DRG 05-03-07 03:02 PM

I worry they may have overloaded this summer with so many big releases that there may be some level of burnout, and some movies that otherwise would have done well will be disappointments because of the sheer quantity out there. Or maybe some less-hyped film that would have been a sleeper in another year will be unfairly overlooked. But who knows.

Daytripper 05-03-07 06:00 PM

It's going to be a huge summer at the box-office. Something for everyone. Here's how I predict all the bigger titles (in order of release):

"Spider-Man 3" $350M
"Shrek the Third" $300-350M
"Pirates 3" $350-375M
"Knocked Up" $100-120M
"Ocean's 13" $150M
"Fantastic 4 Part 2" $175M
"Evan Almighty" $130M
"Live Free Die Hard" $125M
"Ratatouille" $250M
"Transformers" $200M
"Harry Potter" $300M
"Hairspray" $125M
"I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry" $150M
"The Simpsons Movie" $150M
"The Bourne Ultimatum" $200M
"Rush Hour 3" $225M
"The Invasion" $100M (Could be the sleeper hit of the summer)

Mr. Cinema 05-03-07 06:01 PM

My mind is blank. Aside from Fred Claus, what other "big" movies are opening in the Fall/Winter? Harry Potter 4 did quite well when it released in November. I wonder why none of these big budget sequels chose a November/December date.

Seantn 05-03-07 09:02 PM


"The Invasion" $100M (Could be the sleeper hit of the summer)
What is that based on? It was filmed 2 years ago, they replaced the director and did some reshoots recently, and as far as I know there isn't even a trailer.

Daytripper 05-03-07 10:03 PM


Originally Posted by Seantn
What is that based on? It was filmed 2 years ago, they replaced the director and did some reshoots recently, and as far as I know there isn't even a trailer.


What is that based on? My prediction. It was finished early 2006, but was reshot in 2007 because the studio didn't like the work of the original director. The Wachowski Brothers were brought in to rewrite the script. That immediately piqued my interest. And "V is Vendetta" director James McTeigue hired to direct the new footage. In addition to that, it stars Daniel Craig. Who's coming off the red hot success of "Casino Royale". Also starring Nicole Kidman. It's also one of the few interesting movies coming out in August (IMO).


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