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Weekend Estimates 8/13-8/15

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Weekend Estimates 8/13-8/15

Old 08-14-04, 11:59 AM
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Weekend Estimates 8/13-8/15

Fridays Estimates:

1 ALIEN VS. PREDATOR

3,395 $16,700,000

-- / $4,919
$16,700,000 / 1

2 THE PRINCESS DIARIES 2: ROYAL ENGAGEMENT

3,472 $7,850,000

37.6% / $2,261
$22,034,000 / 3

3 COLLATERAL

3,205 $4,661,000

78.6% / $1,454
$41,047,000 / 8

4 YU-GI-OH! THE MOVIE

2,411 $4,350,000

-- / $1,804
$4,350,000 / 1

5 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY

2,976 $2,500,000

66.1% / $840
$133,597,000 / 22

6 THE VILLAGE

3,142 $2,273,000

50.6% / $723
$94,978,000 / 15

7 THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE

2,612 $1,694,000

75.7% / $649
$43,669,000 / 15

8 LITTLE BLACK BOOK

2,445 $1,253,000

62.9% / $512
$12,114,000 / 8

9 I, ROBOT

2,178 $1,130,000

49.9% / $519
$131,231,000 / 29

10 SPIDER-MAN 2

1,907 $1,010,000

41.9% / $530
$358,471,000 / 45

11 NAPOLEON DYNAMITE

563 $540,000

36.2% / $959
$14,664,000 / 64

12 HAROLD AND KUMAR GO TO WHITE CASTLE

1,206 $433,000

-4.6% / $359
$14,849,000 / 15

13 GARDEN STATE

175 $385,000

376% / $2,200
$1,638,000 / 17

14 THE NOTEBOOK

925 $372,000

17% / $402
$73,911,000 / 50

15 FAHRENHEIT 9/11

716 $296,000

-- / $413
$114,772,000 / 52

16 CATWOMAN

1,175 $263,000

2.2% / $224
$37,574,000 / 22

17 A CINDERELLA STORY

1,205 $262,000

-1.5% / $217
$48,771,000 / 29

18 OPEN WATER

55 $230,000

-- / $4,182
$1,863,000 / 8

Last edited by johnglass; 08-14-04 at 12:01 PM.
Old 08-14-04, 12:15 PM
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Can anything kill Napoleon Dynamite? For a film that hasn't even been on 600 screens (yet), it's still doing pretty damn good. Especially for a film with a $400,000 budget and little publicity.

It's a disgrace that AVP is number one at the box office, but then again, the box office has no account for taste.

I'm shocked that both Princess Diaries 2 and Yu-gi-oh made what they did. I haven't seen any publicity for either film, but I guess familes want something they could take their kids to this weekend.

I thought Collateral wouldn't drop as much as it did as I thought it would have some legs. I was expecting a 35-40% drop, not a 50% drop.

At the rate it's dropping, The Village will barely slide plass the $100 million mark.

And Harold and Kumar is officially dead and will probably be out of all theaters by next week.
Old 08-14-04, 12:19 PM
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I'm thrilled that AvP made so much. I know most people hate the movie, but I for one enjoyed it. I could care less what people think of me after saying that.

I really had a great time watching it. Go Paul Anderson! (Okay, I added that last sentence in just to piss people off!).

I don't hate Anderson. In fact, I really enjoyed Resident Evil, and slightly enjoyed Event Horizon. Visually, all his movies look great. They may not be the strongest on script (which is VERY important to me, but for some reason it doesn't bother me in his movies!), but I still enjoy them. I'll be getting AvP on dvd when it comes out.
Old 08-15-04, 03:16 PM
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1 N Alien vs. Predator Fox $38,250,000 - 3,395 - $11,266 $38,250,000 - / - 1
2 N The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement BV $23,025,000 - 3,472 - $6,631 $37,209,000 - / - 1
3 1 Collateral DW $16,000,000 -35.2% 3,205 +17 $4,992 $52,386,000 $65 / $40 2
4 N Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie WB $9,360,000 - 2,411 - $3,882 $9,360,000 - / - 1
5 3 The Bourne Supremacy Uni. $8,303,000 -42.3% 2,976 -328 $2,789 $139,400,000 $75 / $35 4
6 2 The Village BV $7,031,000 -57.3% 3,142 -591 $2,237 $99,736,000 $60 / $40 3
7 4 The Manchurian Candidate Par. $6,000,000 -41.5% 2,612 -255 $2,297 $47,975,000 $80 / $35 3
8 5 Little Black Book SonR $3,700,000 -47.7% 2,445 - $1,513 $14,561,000 $35 / $25 2
9 6 I, Robot Fox $3,575,000 -45.1% 2,178 -628 $1,641 $133,676,000 $120 / $45 5
10 7 Spider-Man 2 Sony $3,400,000 -37.4%
Old 08-15-04, 03:47 PM
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Originally posted by Matthew Chmiel
Can anything kill Napoleon Dynamite? For a film that hasn't even been on 600 screens (yet), it's still doing pretty damn good. Especially for a film with a $400,000 budget and little publicity.

"little publicity"??? Searchlight bent over backwards to get the college crowd into those early screenings. Plus the whole MTV angle... They didn't just cross their fingers and put this out, trust me.

But if you think they only pumped 400K into the film, I have oceanside property in Arizona to sell you. A profitable film, for sure, but there was much more money spent in the end than what Box Office Mojo is reporting.

Last edited by scott shelton; 08-15-04 at 03:55 PM.
Old 08-15-04, 04:17 PM
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Originally posted by Matthew Chmiel
Can anything kill Napoleon Dynamite? For a film that hasn't even been on 600 screens (yet), it's still doing pretty damn good. Especially for a film with a $400,000 budget and little publicity.

I dont know, but i cant even tell you how happy i am to see this movie be so successful! Im sure it will do pretty well on dvd, too.
Old 08-15-04, 04:19 PM
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no kidding, the marketing on it has been wild. I wouldn't say it is as much as AVP but fox has indeed been pumping a lot of cash into the marketing of it with radio and tv spots.
Old 08-15-04, 04:23 PM
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Originally posted by Matthew Chmiel

At the rate it's dropping, The Village will barely slide plass the $100 million mark.
Yeah, that won't happen until TOMORROW ...
Old 08-15-04, 04:50 PM
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Yeah, that won't happen until TOMORROW ...
You know what I mean! :-P

It'll make $100 million, just not that much over $100 million. Like $110-115.
Old 08-15-04, 11:39 PM
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Did anybody notice that AvP dropped 25% Saturday and another 28% Sunday? When a movie drops 25% "after" its opening Friday, you know word of mouth is rotten. I see a 60% + drop next weekend.
Old 08-15-04, 11:51 PM
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I see a 60% + drop next weekend.
I want some Hulk-sized drop numbers damnit! I won't be happy unless AVP drops at least 70%!
Old 08-15-04, 11:54 PM
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Thats a shame about Collateral. I saw it again this weekend. It really deserved to do better.
Old 08-16-04, 12:16 AM
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Originally posted by RyoHazuki
Thats a shame about Collateral. I saw it again this weekend. It really deserved to do better.
Well, let's be real here, did anyone expect it to do better? For an R rated Tom Cruise thriller that takes place half the time in a single cab, the 100 million dollar gross is not only excellent, but another sign of how strong a pull Cruise is. Not only that, but it's on its way to becoming Michael Mann's top grossing pic ever.
Old 08-16-04, 12:22 AM
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Originally posted by RyoHazuki
Thats a shame about Collateral. I saw it again this weekend. It really deserved to do better.
It only dropped 35 percent... that's not shabby at all.
Old 08-16-04, 12:43 AM
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Originally posted by jaeufraser
Well, let's be real here, did anyone expect it to do better? For an R rated Tom Cruise thriller that takes place half the time in a single cab, the 100 million dollar gross is not only excellent, but another sign of how strong a pull Cruise is. Not only that, but it's on its way to becoming Michael Mann's top grossing pic ever.
WORD!

Considering cruise's films don't have strong openings of 50+ (besides M:I status) it is playing well with a nice low % drop from last week. It's going to stick around. that and it's great word of mouht makes this a success. Remember, it wasn't much to make since it was shot on Digital.
Old 08-16-04, 08:21 AM
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Remember, it wasn't much to make since it was shot on Digital.
The film cost $65 million to make. That's still quite a bit of money.
Old 08-16-04, 08:36 AM
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AvP was nearly empty when I saw it on Saturday night. Surprised it pulled in as much as it did.
Old 08-16-04, 10:44 AM
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Originally posted by fumanstan
It only dropped 35 percent... that's not shabby at all.
Correct, 35% is actually considered a GREAT drop nowadays.
Old 08-16-04, 11:35 AM
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1 Titanic Par. $600,788,188 1997
2 Star Wars Fox $460,998,007 1977
3 Shrek 2 DW $435,600,000 2004


Wow number 3 of all time now. Not bad for Dreamworks.
Old 08-16-04, 11:43 AM
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Originally posted by BigDaddy
1 Titanic Par. $600,788,188 1997
2 Star Wars Fox $460,998,007 1977
3 Shrek 2 DW $435,600,000 2004


Wow number 3 of all time now. Not bad for Dreamworks.
*insert inflation and tickets sold argument here*

Last edited by fumanstan; 08-16-04 at 06:19 PM.
Old 08-16-04, 04:58 PM
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Final Figures for Weekend Aug 13 -15, 2004
TW LW Title Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count Change Average Total Gross Cost* Week #
1 N Alien vs. Predator Fox $38,291,056 - 3,395 - $11,278 $38,291,056 $60 / $35 1
2 N The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement BV $22,956,453 - 3,472 - $6,611 $37,140,203 - / - 1
3 1 Collateral DW $16,174,309 -34.50% 3,205 17 $5,046 $52,560,520 $65 / $40 2
4 N Yu-Gi-Oh! The Movie WB $9,485,494 - 2,411 - $3,934 $9,485,494 - / - 1
5 3 The Bourne Supremacy Uni. $8,600,575 -40.20% 2,976 -328 $2,889 $139,697,965 $75 / $35 4
6 2 The Village BV $7,157,635 -56.50% 3,142 -591 $2,278 $99,862,707 $60 / $40 3
7 4 The Manchurian Candidate Par. $6,013,857 -41.40% 2,612 -255 $2,302 $47,989,278 $80 / $35 3
8 6 I, Robot Fox $3,866,317 -40.70% 2,178 -628 $1,775 $133,967,480 $120 / $45 5
9 5 Little Black Book SonR $3,784,115 -46.50% 2,445 - $1,547 $14,644,825 $35 / $25 2
10 7 Spider-Man 2 Sony $3,512,027 -35.30% 1,907 -657 $1,841 $360,973,268 $200 / $50 7



Chris
Old 08-17-04, 11:52 AM
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Originally posted by Matthew Chmiel
I'm shocked that both Princess Diaries 2 and Yu-gi-oh made what they did. I haven't seen any publicity for either film, but I guess familes want something they could take their kids to this weekend.
Well, the original PD sold quite well in the theaters ($108 million) and on video, so there is a built-in audience for it.

As for Yu-Gi-Oh, if you don't watch afternoon cartoons or Saturday morning cartoons (especially on WB) you wouldn't have seen much publicity. If you had watched them you would see it being publicized pretty well. However, Yu-Gi-Oh is the highest rated kids show on network television (there are some on Nickelodeon that rate higher) so there is a built-in audience that want to see the movie.

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