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-   -   DVDTalk HSX Leaderboard: Week 11 (Win a GMAIL Invite!) (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/movie-talk/371668-dvdtalk-hsx-leaderboard-week-11-win-gmail-invite.html)

JasonF 06-26-04 11:09 AM

Looks like everything will be a long this weekend, except for 2 Brothers, which will be a wash. I had NOTEB and 2BROS short and the other two long, so I'll come out slightly ahead. Oh well.

kninestile 06-26-04 11:10 AM


Originally posted by Groucho
Well, FH911 made 8.2 million yesterday and was the #1 movie in America.

I shorted it. My portfolio is doomed, doomed I say. :(

You and me both.

TomOpus 06-26-04 11:20 AM

Did everyone get in on the warrants? They're all moving up nicely and it should be fun to know when to start dumping :)

gcribbs 06-26-04 11:21 AM


Originally posted by Groucho
Well, FH911 made 8.2 million yesterday and was the #1 movie in America.

I shorted it. My portfolio is doomed, doomed I say. :(

I still expect it to drop a bunch on sat and sunday. It should be very front loaded. I would not be surprised to see it hit the lower number of 2.5 JasonF if using.

Of course this is why I started to get nervious and decided to cashout when I had made a nice bit on the short early on.

Also remember these are estimates and they can and probably will be adjusted down.

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:16 AM

I hope everyone was watching those BW because all but two are dropping like a stone

TomOpus 06-27-04 12:28 AM

Yeah, I saw but had lost some before stopping the bleeding. Interesting that people are selling so soon. No faith, I guess.

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:33 AM


Originally posted by TomOpus
Yeah, I saw but had lost some before stopping the bleeding. Interesting that people are selling so soon. No faith, I guess.
taking profits then shorting to make more with no commissions.

The HSX way :)

TomOpus 06-27-04 12:34 AM

It's odd that BORN2 is going up but BWBR2 is going down.

But, yeah, nice that commission is off :)

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:40 AM


Originally posted by TomOpus
It's odd that BORN2 is going up but BWBR2 is going down.

But, yeah, nice that commission is off :)

It is because most people are just selling everything in the BW except FH911 and SP2.

I sold FH911 myself although I kept SP2 because I think it is the best bet to exceed those numbers.

cool moved up to number 2 today :)

I am hoping for a great day tomorrow to try and make 10 million by sunday night. It will be a stretch without the warrants making me a bunch.

TomOpus 06-27-04 12:43 AM


Originally posted by gcribbs
It is because most people are just selling everything in the BW except FH911 and SP2.

I sold FH911 myself although I kept SP2 because I think it is the best bet to exceed those numbers.

Yeah, SP2 is a keeper but I'm also keeping 911... but keeping my eye on it :), especially once the numbers come out for Saturday.


edit: 3 biggest droppers are all Pixar projects... hmmm.

Good luck to H$10 mil! :up:

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:48 AM


Originally posted by TomOpus
Yeah, SP2 is a keeper but I'm also keeping 911... but keeping my eye on it :), especially once the numbers come out for Saturday.
I am expecting a drop from Friday and a small adjustment down from the estimate for friday.

Of course I have been so wrong about this that I am probably wrong again :)

solipsta 06-27-04 01:37 AM

Sigh....I was doing so well, too. I'm in for a HUGE hit.

gcribbs 06-27-04 01:50 AM


Originally posted by solipsta
Sigh....I was doing so well, too. I'm in for a HUGE hit.
from what?

the adjust from FH911 may not be as bad as you think.

now SP2CA is going down :(

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:07 PM

Adjusts:
WCHIC - H$64.34 +9.98
FH911 - H$63.42 -.28
NOTEB - H$37.79 +10.49
2BROS - H$17.98 +.92

a good week to be long on everything. JasonF should have a nice adjust.

JasonF 06-27-04 12:19 PM


Originally posted by gcribbs
Adjusts:
WCHIC - H$64.34 +9.98
FH911 - H$63.42 -.28
NOTEB - H$37.79 +10.49
2BROS - H$17.98 +.92

a good week to be long on everything. JasonF should have a nice adjust.

Not me. I had NOTEB and 2BROS short, so I'm going to lose about sevnty five thousand dollars. Not too bad, but man -- do I wish I had longed NOTEB.

gcribbs 06-27-04 12:28 PM


Originally posted by JasonF
Not me. I had NOTEB and 2BROS short, so I'm going to lose about sevnty five thousand dollars. Not too bad, but man -- do I wish I had longed NOTEB.
Yesh I am kicking myself on that one since it was so cheap with what appeared to be very little chance it would lose a ton.

I am not sure why I passed on that one.

I can understand the others since the odds were longer and it was so much less certain.

-confused-

MrN 06-27-04 03:13 PM

Good call gcribbs - FH911 didn't have a good Sat. or Sun. (Will be interesting to see how the hype about it being #1 will play to the rest of the populace when it expands the next two weeks.)

This compounded by my shorting white chicks and the notebook call will mean I'm in for a bad next 2 days.

gcribbs 06-27-04 03:27 PM


Originally posted by MrN
Good call gcribbs - FH911 didn't have a good Sat. or Sun. (Will be interesting to see how the hype about it being #1 will play to the rest of the populace when it expands the next two weeks.)

This compounded by my shorting white chicks and the notebook call will mean I'm in for a bad next 2 days.

I figure I made 10 calls on FH911 and at least one of them was right :)

Expanding should mean FH911 will have either a smaller drop or a huge increase in B.O.

I just do not see it increasing over this hype weekend when Spiderman 2 will be getting a bunch of attention. I still think it will have a 30-40% drop from this weekend although the weekday numbers could be interesting. I wonder if it goes way down during the week.

Jackskeleton 06-27-04 07:08 PM

I'm back. looks like I was bumped a bit. lets see when I get back into playing. a lot of things are in red and it's not all that pleasing on the eyes.

rushmore223 06-27-04 07:11 PM

Hey Jack, keep your 'folio slowed down so I can catch up, ok? ;)

gcribbs 06-27-04 08:51 PM


Originally posted by Jackskeleton
I'm back. looks like I was bumped a bit. lets see when I get back into playing. a lot of things are in red and it's not all that pleasing on the eyes.
good to see you back even if my Port would prefer to not have the competition :)

B.A. 06-27-04 08:54 PM

I go out of town for the weekend and come back seeing that I am over $6.5 million. Thank you Fahrenheit 9/11 and The Notebook. :up:

I broke the top ten. :banana:

Jackskeleton 06-27-04 09:27 PM

Go for it. I'm not touching it for the weekend. I'll let it run it's course.

gcribbs 06-28-04 01:06 AM

missed my 10 million dollar push.


I jumped ship on a few things that I should not have. I am going to sit out Spiderman 2 since it is too rich for my blood at $335 ish a share.

I am still thinking about next week. I might go with a no opening weekend movies and only play them before the weekend.

EDIT: Stayed up a bit and made my $10 million a few hours too late.

Now on to bed :)

B.A. 06-28-04 07:09 AM


Originally posted by devilshalo
I have both of his accounts.. do you have two Groucho accounts?
nope - only the Reloaded account. I'll figure it out one of these days.


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