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Box Office Projections: March 5-7

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Box Office Projections: March 5-7

Old 03-07-04, 08:30 PM
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Box Office Projections: March 5-7

Note: Links don't work... I'm too lazy to take them out:

TWLWTitle (Click to view daily chart)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count/ChangeAverageTotal GrossCost*Week #
11The Passion of the ChristNM$51,392,000-38.7%3,170+127$16,211$212,034,000$30 / $152
2NStarsky and HutchWB$29,050,000-3,185-$9,120$29,050,000$60 / $251
3NHidalgoDis.$19,630,000-3,063-$6,408$19,630,000$100 / $251
4250 First DatesSony$7,700,000-38.7%3,040-410$2,532$99,411,000$75 / -4
53TwistedPar.$5,025,000-43.6%2,704+1$1,858$16,382,000- / -2
64Confessions of a Teenage Drama QueenDis.$4,036,000-36.4%2,180-323$1,851$21,794,000- / -3
711The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the KingNL$3,175,00046%1,903+791$1,668$368,347,000$94 / $5012
85Dirty Dancing: Havana NightsLions$2,850,000-51%2,042-$1,395$10,039,000$25 / -2
96MiracleDis.$2,638,000-41%1,654-568$1,594$59,917,000- / -5
1013MonsterNM$2,250,00012.1%1,082+114$2,079$30,081,000$8 / $1011


Courtesy of www.boxofficemojo.com
Old 03-07-04, 08:36 PM
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Gibson is a genius.
Old 03-07-04, 08:53 PM
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Wow, another $100 mil hit for Sandler. Passion
Old 03-07-04, 10:40 PM
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Pretty solid openings for both Hidalgo and Starsky and Hutch.
Old 03-07-04, 10:42 PM
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Originally posted by Deftones, Esq
Pretty solid openings for both Hidalgo and Starsky and Hutch.
In the next two weeks I plan on seeing both of these films. I hope they both do well.
Old 03-07-04, 11:25 PM
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Brilliant selection of opening dates for S&H and Hidalgo. Catch all the folks who were shut out for Passion ...

I mean really. Has anybody seen a weekend in early March with this much box office gross? SH and Hidalgo had to benefit from the Passion sell outs.
Old 03-07-04, 11:57 PM
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I guarantee that S&H would have had better numbers without the competition from Passion. I'm not as sure about Hildalgo in those regards.
Old 03-08-04, 01:53 AM
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I'll agree to that. Studio's weren't counting on S&H to have competition and they sure as hell didn't plan any brilliant selection of opening dates to catch folks who were shut out for passions.
Old 03-08-04, 03:35 AM
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Passion is #5 on the all time second weekend BO, based on estimates. I think it will beat TPM when the actual numbers are released.

Top 5 Second Weekends:
1 Spider-Man $71,417,527
2 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone $57,487,755
3 How the Grinch Stole Christmas $52,118,445
4 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $51,399,863
5 The Passion of the Christ $51,392,000

It also now has the #1 BO weekend for both February and March. I think it is the first movie ever to do that (have #1 weekends in two different months).

It will also become the highest grossing R rated movie ever.

Current: The Matrix Reloaded $281,576,461

After 12 days Reloaded had $200,773,759, (versus Passion's $212,034,000) and it was VERY front loaded and had a much higher drop off than Passion is seeing (60% on second weekend VS 40% for Passion). Passion will probably be the first R rated movie to pass $300.
Old 03-08-04, 03:47 AM
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You mean the one will beat out the one?
Old 03-08-04, 08:55 AM
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Originally posted by Jackskeleton
You mean the one will beat out the one?
Whoa.
Old 03-08-04, 09:44 AM
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$20M is a pretty good take for Viggo. Looks like he finally reached leading man status.
Old 03-08-04, 09:53 AM
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Originally posted by Jackskeleton
You mean the one will beat out the one?
Impossible! Something smells fishy about that...
Old 03-08-04, 04:31 PM
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Final Figures for Weekend March 5 - 7, 2004
TW LW Movie Studio Fri - Sun Gross (Millions) Pct. Chg. Theater Count Change Screen Avg. Total Gross Cost Weeks
1 1 The Passion of the Christ NM $53,246,801 -36.50% 3,170 127 $16,797 $213,888,740 $30 / $15 2
2 N Starsky and Hutch WB $28,103,367 - 3,185 - $8,823 $28,103,367 $60 / $25 1
3 N Hidalgo Dis. $18,829,435 - 3,063 - $6,147 $18,829,435 $100 / $25 1
4 2 50 First Dates Sony $7,637,128 -39.20% 3,040 -410 $2,512 $99,348,370 $75 / - 4
5 3 Twisted Par. $5,126,387 -42.40% 2,704 1 $1,895 $16,483,793 - / - 2
6 4 Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen Dis. $4,045,006 -36.30% 2,180 -323 $1,855 $21,803,186 - / - 3
7 11 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King NL $3,037,822 39.70% 1,903 791 $1,596 $368,210,170 $94 / $50 12
8 5 Dirty Dancing: Havana Nights Lions $2,962,008 -49% 2,042 - $1,450 $10,149,976 $25 / - 2
9 6 Miracle Dis. $2,543,422 -43.10% 1,654 -568 $1,537 $59,822,969 - / - 5
10 13 Monster NM $2,123,915 5.90% 1,082 114 $1,962 $29,954,254 $8 / $10 11



Still going strong!

Chris
Old 03-08-04, 04:33 PM
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Originally posted by wmansir
Passion is #5 on the all time second weekend BO, based on estimates. I think it will beat TPM when the actual numbers are released.

Top 5 Second Weekends:
1 Spider-Man $71,417,527
2 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone $57,487,755
3 How the Grinch Stole Christmas $52,118,445
4 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $51,399,863
5 The Passion of the Christ $51,392,000

Well it's actually #3 now, $53,246,801


Chris
Old 03-08-04, 05:30 PM
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Originally posted by Jackskeleton
I'll agree to that. Studio's weren't counting on S&H to have competition and they sure as hell didn't plan any brilliant selection of opening dates to catch folks who were shut out for passions.
Hopefully you know I was joking about the opening date. That was obviously set months ago.

However, I do happen to believe there was some residual benefit for those movies. Find me an early March date where the top 3 gross over 100 mil. I doubt SH does much better than 28 mil w/o Passion but maybe not much worse either. SH is not blockbuster material regardless of what's playing.
Old 03-08-04, 05:40 PM
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Originally posted by moocher
Hopefully you know I was joking about the opening date. That was obviously set months ago.

However, I do happen to believe there was some residual benefit for those movies. Find me an early March date where the top 3 gross over 100 mil. I doubt SH does much better than 28 mil w/o Passion but maybe not much worse either. SH is not blockbuster material regardless of what's playing.
Yeah, I think S&H did exactly what it would have, with or without The Passion. This film is atypical, making crap loads of money and not really pulling from what I would say is the normal movie going audience. So I think the effect on the rest of the box office is probably rather muted.
Old 03-08-04, 10:44 PM
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Actually, I don't know where the sentiment for S&H doing better than 28 mil w/o Passion is coming from. Isn't this the biggest opening for either Stiller or Wilson? Why should this one do any better than their previous efforts. It isn't like the TV show was all that popular and it certainly isn't summer yet...

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