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What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

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What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Old 03-15-16, 10:58 AM
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What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I have been seeing lots of posts on physical media vs digital. Looking back 20 years ago. People had VHS as the main platform with laserdisc as a superior niche format and dvd just entering the scene. Being this is HD talk-does anyone buy or even have vhs or laserdisc movies? You probably don't buy new dvds either (unless they come as part of a blu ray purchase). Based on how fast technology moves today, does anyone think physical media might exist or be available to purchase in 20 years. I am thinking 8k and probably much higher resolution will be common. Bandwidth and download speeds of easily 1tb or more. A blu ray movie today will definitely be the VHS of 20 years ago or worse. For me-I think I am done buying physical media on any regular basis
like I did for VHS, Laser disc, dvd and blu ray. What do you think you will be doing in 20 years compared to today and where technology will be with HD entertainment?
Old 03-15-16, 11:10 AM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I think we'll still be seeing disc in 20 years. The cost and longevity combo will be hard to beat. Besides, if it ain't broke...

But if they do use something else in 20 years, then that's what I'll use too...as long as it's physical, since the quality will always be better than that of streaming.
Old 03-15-16, 11:18 AM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Considering there are a billion threads about the death of physical media, I give this one credit for being different by speculating 20 years in the future. I have no idea where the technology will be, though.
Old 03-15-16, 12:02 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Sweet Jesus, this is turning into overkill. I dunno, just plug into the Matrix. Doesn't matter, we'll all be dead 20 years in the far future. At least that's what the internet said.
Old 03-15-16, 12:13 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

As long as I still have a player for them, and they still work, I will have and use CDs, DVDs, and Blue Rays.
Old 03-15-16, 02:01 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I have CDs that close to 30 years old and still play. There'll be a market for years down the road for machines to play the various disc formats.
Old 03-15-16, 02:02 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

You're very optimistic if you think any of us will have homes or electricity after the Great Mutant Wars of 2027 wipe out most of humanity.
Old 03-15-16, 02:04 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

CDs and SACDs.

Everything else will be outlawed.
Old 03-15-16, 05:23 PM
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Originally Posted by Josh Z
You're very optimistic if you think any of us will have homes or electricity after the Great Mutant Wars of 2027 wipe out most of humanity.
Some of us have healing powers. We'll be fine.
Old 03-15-16, 06:02 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by trespoochies
Sweet Jesus, this is turning into overkill. I dunno, just plug into the Matrix. Doesn't matter, we'll all be dead 20 years in the far future. At least that's what the internet said.
Fuck!!! I'm gonna be 70 years old in 20 years. I ain't gonna give a fuck about this shit!
Old 03-15-16, 10:06 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Seriously, if vinyl is still around now, I don't think we'll have trouble finding Blu/DVD/CD players in 20 years.

Most stuff will be digital, but there'll be a few holdouts like us weirdos still into collecting for the cover art and fancy boxes and such.
Old 03-16-16, 12:48 AM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by milo bloom
Seriously, if vinyl is still around now, I don't think we'll have trouble finding Blu/DVD/CD players in 20 years.

Most stuff will be digital, but there'll be a few holdouts like us weirdos still into collecting for the cover art and fancy boxes and such.
Slipcovers, don't forget the slipcovers. Digitize that, Hollywood.
Old 03-16-16, 02:07 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by Josh Z
You're very optimistic if you think any of us will have homes or electricity after the Great Mutant Wars of 2027 The Great Trump Wars of 2017 wipe out most of humanity.
[fixed]
Old 03-16-16, 06:10 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Discs will still be around in 20 years, fairly common, too, I believe. Since DVDs have been around since December 1995, 20 years goes by in a flash.

The studios will intentionally put most discs OOP as they force our hand into a streaming model. But, the physical discs will still be around. They may be much more costly like LD was back in the day, because, even 20 years hence, I believe discs will still be the superior format vs streaming.

Unless:

1. We've all got 500 mbps connections by then.
2. Average Joe cares more about quality in 20 years than he does now
3. The studios cooperate and boost quality (= much greater bitrates) accordingly on streamed content.
Old 03-16-16, 07:03 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

What I guess will happen after streaming completely takes over is that studios hand off their physical media releases to small niche labels catering to collectors.

By then the revenues will be chump change for the large Hollywood studios and they won't care if Criterion licenses more popular movies.
Old 03-16-16, 08:34 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by PhantomStranger
What I guess will happen after streaming completely takes over is that studios hand off their physical media releases to small niche labels catering to collectors.

By then the revenues will be chump change for the large Hollywood studios and they won't care if Criterion licenses more popular movies.
Likely, although the major new releases will still be discs released by the major studios. But otherwise the realm of collectors and videophiles. You can see how important collectible packaging is right now just by clicking on any large BD.com thread. It's all about the packaging!
Old 03-16-16, 11:37 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Since DVDs have been around since December 1995, 20 years goes by in a flash.
They were still in prototype stage then- the oldest DVD I have is a Panasonic demo disc whose files date to December 1996. The first consumer discs appeared in stores March 1997.

I'd be OK with Criterion being the only surviving video label, at least I'd be pretty sure they'd do most of their releases right or own up to it otherwise!
Old 03-17-16, 12:01 AM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I was suggesting labels like Criterion. Several niche labels could survive on the scraps of the remaining physical media market.
Old 03-17-16, 06:32 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

It won't be Criterion 20 years from now. It will be Mill Creek putting out 20 movies on one disc.
Old 03-17-16, 07:43 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Or it'll be just the two extremes; shitty bargain-bin releases, and high-end boutique "collector" releases, and nothing in between.
Old 03-17-16, 08:21 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Hollywood's costly licensing fees will likely preclude releases like Mill Creek's model except for the utter dreck.

We've already seen this transition occur in the music industry and I expect a very similar development curve.

The only thing Hollywood itself will be releasing on physical media down the road will be absolute mega-hits and the biggest new releases.
Old 03-17-16, 08:33 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by PhantomStranger
Hollywood's costly licensing fees will likely preclude releases like Mill Creek's model except for the utter dreck.

We've already seen this transition occur in the music industry and I expect a very similar development curve.

The only thing Hollywood itself will be releasing on physical media down the road will be absolute mega-hits and the biggest new releases.
Actually I think boutique releases will have a place, again look at the music industry, which is releasing increasing "deluxe" editions of older albums with physical materials and bonus discs that only would attract collectors. I suspect we'll see more stuff like that for movies.
Old 03-17-16, 09:13 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

Originally Posted by Alan Smithee
They were still in prototype stage then- the oldest DVD I have is a Panasonic demo disc whose files date to December 1996. The first consumer discs appeared in stores March 1997.
I thought DVDs were released in limited numbers a year earlier in Japan, sometime in late 95 / early 1996? I may be wrong, though... Certainly, I remember the US launch in March 1997 clearly...

In the meantime, ISP bandwidth caps will give studios the excuse they want to keep bitrates, and quality low on streaming content....

Until the US gets ubiquitous, cheap, fast internet broadband (>> 100 mbps) we'll be stuck in a quality regression not much beyond DVD level of PQ for streamed content.
Old 03-17-16, 09:43 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I agree that discs will still be around but much less common. But 4K digital movies should be the standard for new releases by then.
Old 03-17-16, 11:56 PM
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Re: What Type of Media Will Exist and You use in 20 years?

I'll still be using my DVD / Blu's in 20 years. Providing i'm still here ( i'll be 71 at that time )
That's why i've been collecting them over the years. So i'll be able to use them when I can't do much else. They'll be great to re-vist when that happens. A whole lifetime of movies.

Last edited by JOE29; 03-18-16 at 01:20 PM.

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