View Poll Results: Which will have a larger opening?
Avengers: Age of Ultron
18
21.18%
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
67
78.82%
Voters: 85. You may not vote on this poll
Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
#51
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Very true. And there's a whole new generation of fans thanks to the current cartoons, toys, games, and stuff. We had a family vacation at the beach a couple of weeks ago and during that time my 8 year old nephew would not shut up about Star Wars. Though he's also really into the MCU, right now SW is his main thing. That kid knows way more about the universe - characters, ships, planets, weapons, etc. - than I ever did and I was super into the movies when they came out. It's actually pretty neat that the franchise has remained so popular for so long. Anyway, my nephew is *really* looking forward to seeing the new movie, his first SW one in theaters. I imagine there are plenty more out there like him.
As for which film will take home more money, I have no idea.
As for which film will take home more money, I have no idea.
#52
DVD Talk Limited Edition
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
The Force Awakens will open higher simply because you will have a load of older casual fans who will see it who saw it back in 1977. Simply put, these are the not the type of people who see 'blockbuster' movies these days. And when you have these type of people seeing a movie like this that is where you start setting records. (Titanic, Avatar, Jaws, Star Wars 77, ET, etc.)
I can say I have already talked to 6 people from work/my family who will see TFA that didn't see the Prequels, simply because they saw Harrison Ford in the trailer. Even my mom mentioned that she is interested to see it as the last SW movie she saw was ESB in 1980 when I was a kid. Now I think Episode 8 won't set records because you will lose those older casual fans, but of course it will still be gross huge numbers. But if you look at the history of SW films, the first one in each trilogy always grosses the most.
I can say I have already talked to 6 people from work/my family who will see TFA that didn't see the Prequels, simply because they saw Harrison Ford in the trailer. Even my mom mentioned that she is interested to see it as the last SW movie she saw was ESB in 1980 when I was a kid. Now I think Episode 8 won't set records because you will lose those older casual fans, but of course it will still be gross huge numbers. But if you look at the history of SW films, the first one in each trilogy always grosses the most.
#53
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
http://www.amazon.com/Star-Wars-Excl...ars+figure+set
We spent the week setting up fight scenarios with them. Ha. He hadn't seen AOTC and ROTS yet, so we watched those during vacation. He was into those movies, too. I hadn't seen them in years and forgot just how shitty they were. (AOTC more so.) All of the green screening looked very, very fake, the terrible dialogue, the boring plotting, etc. These Lucas-free movies can't come soon enough.
I did shed a small tear when I realized that my nephew experienced these not knowing that in reality Han shot first.
Right now he thinks movie trailers are the shit - maybe because of the new SW one? - and the other day he wanted me to show him some for other movies coming out. (We did Ant Man, the new Pixar, etc.) I'm planning on introducing him to the Indiana Jones series next, so I showed him the old one for Raiders. It was funny when he realized that the guy playing Indy is also Han Solo.
#54
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
...for some reason that reminds me of when I was a kid, it confused the fuck out of me that James Bond was in Mrs Doubtfire. I figured once you had an iconic role, that's all you could do.
#55
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Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
I was confused what the guy from Mrs. Doubtfire was doing in James Bond. James Bond shouldn't have a pepper allergy or be attracted to the Flying Nun!
#56
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
So my comment really doesn't make any sense since Doubtfire was two years before he was Bond.
#58
DVD Talk Legend & 2021 TOTY Winner
#59
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Avengers will definitely be more front-loaded, that is how sequels always end up. I've seen a couple of troubling reviews for Age of Ultron, though that may not matter for international audiences. Where the first film really made its money was overseas, it blew away all international projections.
I think the two movies will end up fairly close in overall box office at the end of their runs. Star Wars has the deeper fan base but I don't think it is nearly as fanatic as it once was in my generation.
I think the two movies will end up fairly close in overall box office at the end of their runs. Star Wars has the deeper fan base but I don't think it is nearly as fanatic as it once was in my generation.
#60
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Variety posted this 2 weeks ago regarding Avengers 2:
The picture formally went on tracking Thursday, with services predicting a debut of between $190 million to $200 million, roughly $70 million more than the first film was predicted to make when it first went on tracking. Other analysts, such as BoxOffice.com, are projecting the film will make more than $210 million in its inaugural weekend.
#62
#63
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
I read that they're now projecting TFA might do half a billion worldwide on its opening weekend alone.
Impressive...most impressive.
Impressive...most impressive.
#64
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
All because of Luke, Leia, Han and Chewie. When the characters first appear on screen people in the theater will stand up and cheer.
The only thing I can think of that would be bigger is if all four Beatles were alive and did a reunion tour.
#65
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
That'll just about cover the profit sharing clause in Ford's contract. This will be HUGE. We're talking people camping out in line for days. People going to see it multiple times. It will still be playing in top five Feb. 1st. It'll be on every magazine cover, potato chip bag, soft drink cup. It'll be talked about in the news.
All because of Luke, Leia, Han and Chewie. When the characters first appear on screen people in the theater will stand up and cheer.
The only thing I can think of that would be bigger is if all four Beatles were alive and did a reunion tour.
All because of Luke, Leia, Han and Chewie. When the characters first appear on screen people in the theater will stand up and cheer.
The only thing I can think of that would be bigger is if all four Beatles were alive and did a reunion tour.
#66
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Wouldn't be surprise. And that's before you factor in the marketing, which will probably be more than the gross domestic earnings of Cuba.
#67
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Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Because it's a December release. Even if it doubles the current December record-holder, that still wouldn't be as much as what Age of Ultron is about to make next weekend. It will play well through the winter, however, and will most likely be the years' top-grossing film, domestically and internationally.
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#68
DVD Talk Limited Edition
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
I don't know about that... I have young nieces and nephews and they couldn't give a shit about Star Wars. It's like vinyl records to them, old and outdated. But they love The Avengers, it's what's current to them.
#69
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Ultron will easily make more in its opening weekend, around $200M or so. December releases open modestly but tend to have legs, as January and February are usually pretty bleak. Titanic's opening weekend was only in the high $20M range. Even Avatar's was only in the $70M+ bracket. The Hobbit and LOTR movies all opened in that general vicinity as well. People are busy in December with holiday stuff, so they don't necessarily rush to see a movie opening weekend as they will usually have plenty of time during their break to see it. The people predicting Star Wars to have some crazy high opening are probably the same people who predicted a $150M opening for Prometheus a couple years ago.
The better question to ask is which one will earn more domestically and globally. That could go either way.
The better question to ask is which one will earn more domestically and globally. That could go either way.
#70
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
I don't know which opens higher, but I sincerely hope its Star Wars. Fuck The Avengers. The first one was basically a Transformers movie.
#72
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Anyone who saw the original Star Wars in their mid-20s is now AARP age. Kids who saw The Phantom Menace when they were 3 are now in college. Time comes for us all.
#73
DVD Talk Legend
Thread Starter
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Anyone care to make an updated more educated guess at this time? I feel sorry for the studio that invested in a bomb that can only make a tad over $200 million opening weekend. I'm sure the one behind this one will do much better.
#74
Re: Avengers:AOU vs. Star Wars:TFA; which will open higher
Looks like around $187M. Those "definitely will make $500M domestic" posts are looking questionable now especially since it is not a very good movie.
#75
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