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DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

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DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Old 01-04-16, 09:50 AM
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DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

2014 Survivor Pool (won by TomOpus): here
2013 Survivor Pool (won by koops): here
2012 Survivor Pool (won by Brew Crew): here
2011 Survivor Pool (won by sleepyhead55): here
2010 Survivor Pool (won by chrisih8u): here
2009 Survivor Pool (won by kenbuzz): here
2008 Survivor Pool (won by slymer):here
2007 Survivor Pool (won by Calculon):here
2006 Survivor Pool (won by Drexl):here
2005 Survivor Pool (won by dick grayson):here
2004 Survivor Pool (won by Daryl): here
2003 Survivor Pool (won by rabbit77): here

The rules are simple:
  • As we head into a weekend of playoff football, you pick one team.
  • If that team wins, you survive to the next weekend.
  • If that team loses, you're out.
  • Once you've picked a particular team, you cannot pick that team again in later weeks.
  • For tie breaker purposes, you must also provide the total # of points that will be scored in the game you've selected. (For example, if your first round pick is Kansas City, you must also provide your guess for the total # of points in the Chiefs' game against Houston.)
Picks must be posted to this thread before kickoff of the first game of the weekend. Each week's picks and results will be summarized at the top of the thread. In the event that we have multiple winners *or* everybody gets eliminated during the same weekend, the winner will be the person who guesses closest to the total # of points scored in their game. If no point guess is included with your pick, you will be assigned a guess of ZERO.

Additional Info:
  • Tie breakers (in the form of total # of points) will be used to determine the final order of finish where necessary.
  • In case of a tiebreaker tie, the player who submits their pick first will have the edge.
  • If both of the teams who make it to the Super Bowl have already been picked by a particular player, that player will be eliminated due them being "shut out" of the Super Bowl. That player's order of finish will be ahead of all of those eliminated during the Conference Finals, but behind those eliminated during the Super Bowl.
  • A player may change their picks at any time prior to kickoff of the first game, but may only do so by posting a new message to this thread. Posts that contain an "Edited by" timestamp will be ignored.
  • The pool will be capped at fifty (50) players. All past champions and players who have participated at least 6 times are guaranteed a spot - there are a total of 34 such guaranteed spots - the rest will be on a first-come / first-served basis. If the 16 non-guaranteed spots fill, players after that can stand-by in case a guaranteed spot goes unclaimed.

Additional Additional Info:
  • Once we get past the Conference Finals, I will go ahead and post each players' respective Super Bowl picks. (Each player will have no more than one eligible team.)
  • If more than one player has the same team, please PM your total points pick to me. This denies anyone an unfair advantage. If you are the only player to have one of the teams, you do NOT need to submit a guess for total points.
  • Once all of the guesses have been made for a particular Super Bowl finalist, I will post them to the thread. If your guess is the same as someone who has already guessed, I will flip a coin to either add or subtract one (or more) point(s) to/from your guess as necessary to ensure your pick is unique. Once all of the guesses for a particular team have been made and published, you will NOT be able to change it.

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-20-16 at 11:22 AM.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:50 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Current Picks/Standings:
RankPlayerWild CardDivisionalConferenceSuper BowlPointsActualDiff
1 LurkerDanKansas CityArizonaCarolinaDenver35341
2Cardsfan111Green BayArizonaCarolinaDenver37343
3 chrisih8uKansas CityArizonaCarolinaDenver39345
4wmansirGreen BayArizonaCarolinaDenver40346
5fumanstanSeattleNew EnglandCarolinaDenver483414
6PeMoGreen BayArizonaCarolinaDenver503416
7edman180SeattleArizonaCarolinaDenver633429
8JerichoKansas CityNew EnglandDenverCarolinaN/A34N/A
9Rob VKansas CityDenverCarolinaShut Out456419
10 TomOpusGreen BayArizonaNew England-38380
11starman9000SeattleDenverNew England-40382
12 sleepyhead55Green BayDenverNew England-41383
13Keith6601Kansas CityDenverNew England-42384
14 DarylKansas CityDenverNew England-42384
15QuackPittsburghDenverNew England-43385
16LorenzoLKansas CityDenverNew England-45387
17DeftonesPittsburghDenverNew England-46388
18NORML54601PittsburghDenverNew England-47389
19HistoryProfKansas CityDenverNew England-47389
20tripfourKansas CityDenverNew England-47389
21yojimbo44Kansas CityDenverNew England-483810
22 koopsKansas CityDenverNew England-493811
23IDrinkMolsonKansas CityDenverNew England-503812
24drcGreen BayDenverArizona-486416
25devilshaloKansas CityDenverNew England-563818
26the ChiefSeattleDenverArizona-446420
27Jeremy517Kansas CityPittsburgh38391
28The CowKansas CityGreen Bay50464
29Red DogWashington51532
30TrevorWashington50533
31Kal VarnsenWashington49534
32hdnmickeyWashington48535
33flagstoneWashington45538
34lwhy?Washington425311
35GinwenWashington415312
36 kenbuzzCincinnati463412
37Shannon NuttHouston473017
38aktickWashington345319
39 BrewCrewMinnesota431924


Standings are shown in tiebreak order:
(1) Correct Pick
(2) Smallest Point Difference
(3) Earlier Pick

I have received the following picks:
01-24-16 10:08PM DEN Cardsfan111 [37]
01-24-16 10:08PM DEN PeMo [50]
01-24-16 10:11PM DEN fumanstan [48]
01-24-16 10:21PM DEN edman180 [63]
01-24-16 11:01PM CAR Jericho
01-24-16 11:18PM DEN wmansir [40]
01-25-16 12:00AM DEN LurkerDan [35]
01-27-16 11:55PM DEN chrisih8u [39]*
*chrisih8u selected 40, which was already taken by wmansir. The coinflip was tails, so 1 point was SUBTRACTED to get a unique value of 39.

Super Bowl:

Here is the spread table for a PANTHERS victory:
or fewer = Jericho [chose 8,457]

Here is the spread table for a BRONCOS victory:
35 or fewer = LurkerDan [chose 35] <-- Denver 24-10
36*-38* = Cardsfan111 [37]
39 exactly = chrisih8u [39]
40-43 = wmansir [40]
44*-48 = fumanstan [48]
49*-56 = PeMo [50]
57 or more = edman180 [63]

*=Cardsfan111 gets 36 because his pick was submitted earlier than LurkerDan and 38 because his pick was submitted earlier than chrisih8u
*=fumanstan gets 44 because his pick was submitted earlier than wmansir
*=PeMo gets 49 because his pick was submitted earlier than fumanstan

= Champion
= Past Champion

Last edited by kenbuzz; 02-08-16 at 09:09 AM.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:50 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Playoff Schedule/Results:

Wild Card Playoffs
Kansas City 30, Houston 0
Pittsburgh 18, Cincinnati 16
Seattle 10, Minnesota 9
Green Bay 35, Washington 18

Divisional Playoffs
New England 27, Kansas City 20
Arizona 26, Green Bay 20 (OT)
Carolina 31, Seattle 24
Denver 23, Pittsburgh 16

Conference Championships
Denver 20, New England 18
Carolina 49, Arizona 15

Super Bowl L/50:
Denver 24, Carolina 10

Last edited by kenbuzz; 02-08-16 at 09:10 AM.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:50 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

All-Time Pool Standings:
PlayerWLSOPCTYPBF
TomOpus800121
Josh Hinkle400112
wirefan400112
tripfour9100.934
bishop2knight6020.87527
Jericho17310.83372
PAL7110.83332
myshtigo4100.822
Doctor Gonzo4100.823
raj9054100.823
matta5110.78626
acubfaninmd7200.77832
Palaver6200.7535
talemyn4110.7524
Groucho3100.7512
PunchDrunkBob3100.7513
Me007gold3100.7516
Trelach243100.75111
sergtv3100.75112
dick grayson15610.70591
sleepyhead557300.741
Maquis3110.726
Deftones3110.7213
Osiris36573110.7215
koops9400.69251
Daryl18810.685111
Drexl15700.68291
sn9ke eyes4200.66725
Scott274200.66727
CRM1142100.66713
DGibFen2100.66713
kms md2100.66717
Cusm2100.66718
Preacher2100.66718
Shannon Nutt2100.66719
Goat30012100.667110
RJainMJ2100.667110
bluntman722100.667111
JANK2100.667111
ctyankee2100.667115
edman18012610.65884
Quack8410.65466
IDrinkMolson13700.6585
yojimbo446310.6548
Keith66014210.64332
Red Dog171000.63114
randyba5300.62536
slymer6400.641
das Monkey6400.649
deadlax3200.626
Tarantino3200.6211
The Dude3200.6214
zekeburger19793200.6218
devilshalo13920.583112
adrenaline783210.583310
Calculon12900.571101
chrisih8u131000.565121
PeMo10800.55688
LurkerDan5400.55647
JumpCutz5400.55648
rabbit77121000.545111
Jeremy517121010.543123
BrewCrew7600.53871
LorenzoL8700.53383
fumanstan9800.52994
flagstone10900.526113
kenbuzz111000.524121
starman90007710.588
WildcatLH6600.566
Arpeggi5500.558
Kal Varnsen4410.5514
Quake10284400.545
Lunatikk4400.548
Ginwen4400.5416
Fist of Doom3300.538
valkyrie2200.5213
hapgilmore2200.5219
El Scorcho2200.5220
pedagogue1100.519
LarryC1100.5110
Smith1100.5110
Blake1100.5112
sauce071100.5112
DarkestPhoenix1100.5113
doubledown441100.5115
IdgIe491100.5115
Billy Madison1100.5116
hdnmickey1100.5117
wsox20091100.5117
hogfishmaster1100.5118
Copenhagen1100.5119
lwhy?1100.5120
spainlinx01100.5120
Cardinal Fang1100.5121
lvbob1100.5125
MartinBlank1100.5126
tommyp0071100.5127
bwvanh1141100.5130
DVD Josh1100.5131
antennaball1100.5135
LivingINClip1100.5139
the Chief5600.45578
rb legend5600.45569
drc81000.444105
brizz81000.444106
lysander4500.44454
U6C844500.44454
HistoryProf91200.429126
BravesMG6800.42994
Bill Geiger71010.41735
vedderone2300.4320
The Cow4700.364712
Dr Evil5900.357912
NORML546012400.33349
movieking1200.333217
lordwow1200.333219
Joseph L1200.333226
namja1200.333227
MovieMaster111200.333228
wmansir41000.2861014
Trevor2500.28657
Cardsfan1112600.25624
DVDMagic1300.2539
LaxBandit1300.25325
outcastja1300.25328
B.A.0300318
shizawn0200231
ams0100118
Maxwell Smart0100121
TimeandTime0100121
Kedrix0100124
DvdGene0100125
Mrs.Nesbit0100126
cwwallace0100127
Da Thrilla0100127
Dr. Henry Jones, Jr.0100127
Mordred0100127
RyoHazuki0100127
Tommy Ceez0100127
Bushdog0100128
DeputyDave0100129
muggins0100130
Apple Gooncha0100132
DaveWadding0100132
hail2dking0100134
Pillowhead0100136
Flashback0100138
actionjackson290100144
Lt Ripley0100146
Nesbit0100147
cupcake jesus0100149
Spicollidriver10100150


Of those who have played at least half (6) of the 12 years of this pool:
PlayerWLSOPCTYPBF
Jericho17310.83372
dick grayson15610.70591
Daryl18810.685111
Drexl15700.68291
edman18012610.65884
Quack8410.65466
IDrinkMolson13700.6585
Red Dog171000.63114
devilshalo13920.583112
Calculon12900.571101
chrisih8u131000.565121
PeMo10800.55688
rabbit77121000.545111
Jeremy517121010.543123
BrewCrew7600.53871
LorenzoL8700.53383
fumanstan9800.52994
flagstone10900.526113
kenbuzz111000.524121
starman90007710.588
WildcatLH6600.566
the Chief5600.45578
rb legend5600.45569
drc81000.444105
brizz81000.444106
HistoryProf91200.429126
BravesMG6800.42994
The Cow4700.364712
Dr Evil5900.357912
wmansir41000.2861014
Cardsfan1112600.25624

W = Wins (correctly-picked games)
L = Losses (incorrectly-picked games or games where No Pick was recorded)
SO = Times "Shut Out" of the Super Bowl (counted as a tie for winning percentage calculation)
PCT = Winning Percentage
YP = Years Played
BF = Best Finish

Tables sorted by (1)PCT, (2)YP, (3)BF

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-05-16 at 08:10 AM.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:51 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

List of Reserved Pool Entries:

Unclaimed (9):
  • BravesMG (9 Years Played)
  • Calculon (10 Years Played, 2007 Champ)
  • dick grayson (9 Years Played, 2005 Champ)
  • Dr Evil (9 Years Played)
  • Drexl (9 Years Played, 2006 Champ)
  • rabbit77 (11 Years Played, 2003 Champ)
  • rb legend (6 years played) <-- will not be reserved next year
  • slymer (2008 Champ)
  • WildcatLH (6 Years Played) <-- will not be reserved next year

Claimed (25):
  • BrewCrew (6 Years Played, 2012 Champ)
  • Cardsfan111 (6 Years Played)
  • chrisih8u (12 Years Played, 2010 Champ)
  • Daryl (11 Years Played, 2004 Champ)
  • devilshalo (11 Years Played)
  • drc (10 Years Played)
  • edman180 (8 Years Played)
  • flagstone (10 Years Played)
  • fumanstan (9 Years Played)
  • HistoryProf (11 Years Played)
  • IDrinkMolson (8 Years Played)
  • Jeremy517 (12 Years Played)
  • Jericho (7 Years Played)
  • kenbuzz (12 Years Played, 2009 Champ)
  • koops (2013 Champ)
  • LorenzoL (8 Years Played)
  • PeMo (8 Years Played)
  • Quack (6 years played)
  • Red Dog (11 Years Played)
  • sleepyhead55 (2011 Champ)
  • starman9000 (8 Years Played)
  • the Chief (7 Years Played)
  • The Cow (7 Years Played)
  • TomOpus (2014 Champ)
  • wmansir (10 Years Played)

= Defending Champ
= Past Champion

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-13-16 at 05:25 PM.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:52 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Please DO NOT submit picks yet or post "I'm In!" or "Reserving a spot!" posts to this thread. Such posts will be ignored. I will need a few hours today to get this set up, but wanted to let everyone know it was coming and to start thinking about their picks.


The pool is officially CLOSED right now.
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Old 01-04-16, 05:25 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Looks like it will be sometime tomorrow (Tues) before I get this all set up. Sorry, but thanks for your patience.
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Old 01-04-16, 09:32 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Thanks for setting this up again, kenbuzz.

I wanted to point out that I've participated 6 previous times (2009-2014 editions). I guess I should be thankful that my abysmal performances of the past have been overlooked.
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Old 01-05-16, 07:25 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

"cardsfan111 1 5 0 0.167 5 30"
Yup.... 5 years going into last year means 6 years going into this year.

You're "reserved"
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Old 01-05-16, 08:14 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Please remember to submit your first round selection *and* guess for point total in that game. Picks with no point total will be assigned a value of ZERO for tiebreaker purposes. Not a big deal in round one, sure, but it can make a significant difference in later rounds.

Picks that have "Edited by..." stamps on them will be ignored. If you decide to change your pick please do so by adding a new post to the thread.


The pool is now officially OPEN. Good luck to all.
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Old 01-05-16, 08:20 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Pittsburgh 45
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Old 01-05-16, 09:10 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Washington 50
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Old 01-05-16, 09:22 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Seattle 38
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Old 01-05-16, 09:35 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Kansas City 43
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Old 01-05-16, 09:43 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Washington 48
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Old 01-05-16, 10:33 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Washington 34
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Old 01-05-16, 11:58 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Chiefs 35
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Old 01-05-16, 12:20 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Minnesota 43
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Old 01-05-16, 02:06 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Washington 41
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Old 01-05-16, 03:01 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Chiefs 38
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Old 01-05-16, 03:39 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Packers 48
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Old 01-05-16, 03:39 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Kansas City 35
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Old 01-05-16, 03:45 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Washington 42
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Old 01-05-16, 04:18 PM
  #24  
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Chiefs 51

Thanks for doing this again, Kenbuzz!
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Old 01-05-16, 04:23 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2015 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (13th Annual)

Wash 51
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