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DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

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DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Old 12-29-13, 10:03 PM
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DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

2012 Survivor Pool (won by Brew Crew): here
2011 Survivor Pool (won by sleepyhead55): here
2010 Survivor Pool (won by chrisih8u): here
2009 Survivor Pool (won by kenbuzz): here
2008 Survivor Pool (won by slymer):here
2007 Survivor Pool (won by Calculon):here
2006 Survivor Pool (won by Drexl):here
2005 Survivor Pool (won by dick grayson):here
2004 Survivor Pool (won by Daryl): here
2003 Survivor Pool (won by rabbit77): here

The rules are simple:
  • As we head into a weekend of playoff football, you pick one team.
  • If that team wins, you survive to the next weekend.
  • If that team loses, you're out.
  • Once you've picked a particular team, you cannot pick that team again in later weeks.
  • For tie breaker purposes, you must also provide the total # of points that will be scored in the game you've selected. (For example, if your first round pick is Baltimore, you must also provide your guess for the total # of points in the Ravens' game against Indianapolis.)
Picks must be posted to this thread before kickoff of the first game of the weekend. Each week's picks and results will be summarized at the top of the thread. In the event that we have multiple winners *or* everybody gets eliminated during the same weekend, the winner will be the person who guesses closest to the total # of points scored in their game. If no point guess is included with your pick, you will be assigned a guess of ZERO.

Additional Info:
  • Tie breakers (in the form of total # of points) will be used to determine the final order of finish where necessary.
  • In case of a tiebreaker tie, the player who submits their pick first will have the edge.
  • If both of the teams who make it to the Super Bowl have already been picked by a particular player, that player will be eliminated due them being "shut out" of the Super Bowl. That player's order of finish will be ahead of all of those eliminated during the Conference Finals, but behind those eliminated during the Super Bowl.
  • A player may change their picks at any time prior to kickoff of the first game, but may only do so by posting a new message to this thread. Posts that contain an "Edited by" timestamp will be ignored.
  • The pool will be capped at fifty (50) players. All past champions and players who have participated at least 6 times are guaranteed a spot - there are a total of 27 such guaranteed spots - the rest will be on a first-come / first-served basis. If the 23 non-guaranteed spots fill, players after that can stand-by in case a guaranteed spot goes unclaimed.

Additional Additional Info:
  • Once we get past the Conference Finals, I will go ahead and post each players' respective Super Bowl picks. (Each player will have no more than one eligible team.)
  • If more than one player has the same team, please PM your total points pick to me. This denies anyone an unfair advantage. If you are the only player to have one of the teams, you do NOT need to submit a guess for total points.
  • Once all of the guesses have been made for a particular Super Bowl finalist, I will post them to the thread. If your guess is the same as someone who has already guessed, I will flip a coin to either add or subtract one (or more) point(s) to/from your guess as necessary to ensure your pick is unique. Once all of the guesses for a particular team have been made and published, you will NOT be able to change it.

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-14-14 at 08:26 PM.
Old 12-29-13, 10:03 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Current Picks/Standings:
RankPlayerWild CardDivisionalConferenceSuper BowlPointsActualDiff
1koopsNew OrleansNew EnglandDenverSeattle45516
2TomOpusSan DiegoNew EnglandDenverSeattle44517
3raj905IndianapolisNew EnglandDenverSeattle42519
4tripfourSan FranciscoNew EnglandDenverSeattle415110
5 DrexlIndianapolisSan FranciscoSeattleDenver49512
6 CalculonSan FranciscoNew EnglandSeattleDenver405111
7lysanderNew OrleansSeattleSan Francisco-45405
8starman9000New OrleansDenverNew England-51429
9DVDMagicIndianapolisCarolina--27336
10edman180Cincinnati---38371
11drcGreen Bay---42431
12 rabbit77Philadelphia---51501
13Keith6601 Cincinnati---39372
14 kenbuzzPhiladelphia---54504
15devilshaloPhiladelphia---55505
16the ChiefGreen Bay---38435
17rb_legendPhiladelphia---55505
18GinwenCincinnati---44377
19Kal Varnsen Cincinnati---44377
20Red DogCincinnati---45378
21IDrinkMolsonCincinnati---473710
22 chrisih8uCincinnati---473710
23Osiris3657Philadelphia---605010
24TrevorCincinnati---473710
25LaxBanditCincinnati---483711
26fumanstanCincinnati---483711
27Dr. Henry Jones, Jr.Cincinnati---493712
28PeMoCincinnati---493712
29The CowCincinnati---503713
30 DarylCincinnati---513714
31 dick graysonCincinnati---513714
32DaveWaddingCincinnati---513714
33DeftonesCincinnati---523715
34QuackGreen Bay---584315
35BravesMGCincinnati---523715
36LorenzoLCincinnati---533716
37Jeremy517Cincinnati---543717
38HistoryProfCincinnati---543717
39Cardsfan111Cincinnati---553718
40Bill GeigerPhiladelphia---685018
41PALCincinnati---573720
42 BrewCrewCincinnati---573720
43JerichoCincinnati---603723
44actionjackson29Cincinnati---633726
45Dr EvilKansas City---558934
46LurkerDanKansas City---478942
47 sleepyhead55Kansas City---408949
48flagstoneKansas City---398950


= Past Champion

I have received the following picks:
01-19-14 10:09PM SEA koops
01-19-14 10:46pm SEA TomOpus
01-20-14 04:32pm DEN Calculon
01-22-14 04:29pm DEN Drexl
01-23-14 04:27am SEA raj905
01-24-14 07:47am SEA tripfour

Super Bowl:

Here is the spread table for a BRONCOS victory:
44 or fewer = Calculon [chose 40]
45 or more = Drexl [49]

Here is the spread table for a SEAHAWKS victory:
41 or fewer = tripfour [41]
42 exactly = Raj905 [42]
43-44 = TomOpus [45-1]
45 or more = Koops [45] <--- Seattle 43-8

TomOpus matched Koops's earlier pick (45). Coinflip resulted in -1, making TomOpus's pick 44
TomOpus gets 43 because his pick was submitted earlier than Raj905's

Last edited by kenbuzz; 12-25-14 at 08:03 PM.
Old 12-29-13, 10:04 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Wild Card Playoffs
Indianapolis 45, Kansas City 44
New Orleans 26, Philadelphia 24
San Diego 27, Cincinnati 10
San Francisco 23, Green Bay 20

Divisional Playoffs
Seattle 23, New Orleans 15
New England 43, Indianapolis 22
San Francisco 23, Carolina 10
Denver 24, San Diego 17

Conference Championships
Denver 26, New England 16
Seattle 23, San Francisco 17

Super Bowl XLVIII
Seattle 43, Denver 8

Last edited by kenbuzz; 12-25-14 at 08:04 PM.
Old 12-29-13, 10:04 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

All-Time Pool Standings:
PlayerWLSOPctYPBF
Josh Hinkle400112
wirefan400112
tripfour400117
PAL7010.93822
Jericho14200.87552
bishop2knight6020.87527
Keith60613010.87512
Deftones3010.875113
Osiris36573010.875115
sleepyhead556100.85721
myshtigo4100.822
Doctor Gonzo4100.823
matta5110.78626
Palaver6200.7535
talemyn4110.7524
Groucho3100.7512
PunchDrunkBob3100.7513
Me007gold3100.7516
Trelach243100.75111
sergtv3100.75112
dick grayson15510.73881
edman18011410.71964
Drexl12500.70671
IDrinkMolson12500.70665
Daryl15610.70591
Maquis3110.726
Red Dog16800.66794
sn9ke eyes4200.66725
Scott274200.66727
CRM1142100.66713
DGibFen2100.66713
kms md2100.66717
Cusm2100.66718
Preacher2100.66718
Goat30012100.667110
RJainMJ2100.667110
bluntman722100.667111
JANK2100.667111
ctyankee2100.667115
hapgilmore2100.667119
yojimbo446310.6548
Quack5300.62546
randyba5300.62536
chrisih8u12800.6101
BrewCrew6400.651
slymer6400.641
das Monkey6400.649
deadlax3200.626
LurkerDan3200.629
acubfaninmd3200.6210
Tarantino3200.6211
The Dude3200.6214
Ginwen3200.6216
zekeburger19793200.6218
flagstone10700.58893
LorenzoL7500.58363
adrenaline783210.583310
Kal Varnsen3210.583314
rabbit7711800.57991
devilshalo10720.57992
Jeremy51711810.575103
fumanstan8600.57174
PeMo8600.57168
koops4300.571316
kenbuzz10800.556101
the Chief5400.55658
JumpCutz5400.55648
Calculon7700.581
WildcatLH6600.566
Arpeggi5500.558
Quake10284400.545
Lunatikk4400.548
rb legend4400.549
Fist of Doom3300.538
valkyrie2200.5213
El Scorcho2200.5220
pedagogue1100.519
LarryC1100.5110
Smith1100.5110
Blake1100.5112
sauce071100.5112
DarkestPhoenix1100.5113
doubledown441100.5115
IdgIe491100.5115
Billy Madison1100.5116
wsox20091100.5117
hogfishmaster1100.5118
Copenhagen1100.5119
spainlinx01100.5120
Cardinal Fang1100.5121
lvbob1100.5125
MartinBlank1100.5126
tommyp0071100.5127
bwvanh1141100.5130
DVD Josh1100.5131
antennaball1100.5135
LivingINClip1100.5139
Bill Geiger7810.46915
drc7800.46785
BravesMG6700.46284
starman90004510.4569
brizz81000.444106
U6C844500.44454
The Cow4500.444512
vedderone2300.4320
Dr Evil5800.385812
lysander2400.33344
movieking1200.333217
lordwow1200.333219
Joseph L1200.333226
namja1200.333227
MovieMaster111200.333228
wmansir3900.25914
Trevor1300.2537
NORML546011300.2539
outcastja1300.25328
cardsfan1111400.2430
B.A.0300318
DVDMagic0200226
shizawn0200231
ams0100118
Maxwell Smart0100121
TimeandTime0100121
Kedrix0100124
DvdGene0100125
LaxBandit0100125
Mrs.Nesbit0100126
cwwallace0100127
Da Thrilla0100127
Mordred0100127
RyoHazuki0100127
Tommy Ceez0100127
Bushdog0100128
DeputyDave0100129
muggins0100130
Apple Gooncha0100132
raj9050100132
hail2dking0100134
Pillowhead0100136
Flashback0100138
Lt Ripley0100146
Nesbit0100147
cupcake jesus0100149
Spicollidriver10100150


Of those who have played at least half (5) of the 10 years of this pool:
PlayerWLSOPctYPBF
Jericho14200.87552
dick grayson15510.73881
edman18011410.71964
Drexl12500.70671
IDrinkMolson12500.70665
Daryl15610.70591
Red Dog16800.66794
chrisih8u12800.6101
BrewCrew6400.651
flagstone10700.58893
LorenzoL7500.58363
rabbit7711800.57991
devilshalo10720.57992
Jeremy51711810.575103
fumanstan8600.57174
PeMo8600.57168
kenbuzz10800.556101
the Chief5400.55658
Calculon7700.581
WildcatLH6600.566
Arpeggi5500.558
drc7800.46785
BravesMG6700.46284
starman90004510.4569
brizz81000.444106
U6C844500.44454
The Cow4500.444512
Dr Evil5800.385812
wmansir3900.25914


W = Wins (correctly-picked games)
L = Losses (incorrectly-picked games or games where No Pick was recorded)
SO = Times "Shut Out" of the Super Bowl (counted as a tie for winning percentage calculation)
PCT = Winning Percentage
YP = Years Played
BF = Best Finish

Tables sorted by (1)PCT, (2)YP, (3)BF

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-08-14 at 07:09 PM.
Old 12-29-13, 10:04 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Reserved Pool Entries

Claimed (24)
  • Bill Geiger
  • BravesMG
  • Brew Crew
  • Calculon
  • chrisih8u
  • Daryl
  • devilshalo
  • dick grayson
  • Dr Evil
  • drc (formerly 'crooksha')
  • Drexl
  • edman180
  • flagstone (9 years)
  • fumanstan
  • HistoryProf (formerly 'brizz')
  • IDrinkMolson
  • Jeremy517
  • kenbuzz
  • LorenzoL
  • PeMo
  • rabbit77
  • Red Dog
  • sleepyhead55
  • starman9000

Unclaimed (3)
  • slymer (2008 champ)
  • WildcatLH (6 years)
  • wmansir (8 years)
= Defending Champ
= Past Champion

Last edited by kenbuzz; 01-04-14 at 03:20 PM.
Old 12-29-13, 10:05 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)


I am getting the pool set up today (Sunday night). Even though the thread has been set up, the pool is officially CLOSED until I open it sometime on Monday or Tuesday.

You're free to talk amongst yourselves, but no posts containing picks will be recognized as official until after I open the pool. We've done this for 11 years now, you know the drill.
Old 12-29-13, 11:17 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Figures.. the moment I get to 5 entries, it gets bumped to 6...
Old 12-29-13, 11:21 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

I finally made a correct pick last year. This year, I'm going all the way to the top!
Old 12-30-13, 10:51 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Originally Posted by the Chief View Post
Figures.. the moment I get to 5 entries, it gets bumped to 6...
It'll probably stay at 6 next year, I'm trying to make it 1-more-than-half for a reserved spot.
Old 12-30-13, 11:53 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

I just wanna get to .500 before I die. this game is hard. and this year's wild card round may be the toughest ever in terms of picking a winner out of that group.
Old 12-30-13, 12:01 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Originally Posted by HistoryProf View Post
I just wanna get to .500 before I die. this game is hard. and this year's wild card round may be the toughest ever in terms of picking a winner out of that group.
Yeah, I was thinking the same. Seems like a lot of the games could go either way to me, I don't trust any of the teams to be consistently good.

I love this game though, I look forward to it every year
Old 12-30-13, 12:06 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

I haven't picked a correct game since the 2008 pool. Looking forward to this.
Old 12-30-13, 09:50 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Count me in!
Old 12-31-13, 09:00 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

**Reserving**
Old 12-31-13, 09:44 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Originally Posted by DVDMagic View Post
**Reserving**
Don't think that will work because he only looks at posts after his, no editing of previous posts will count.
Old 12-31-13, 10:01 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

In!

Kansas City, 47
Old 12-31-13, 10:52 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

I'll be opening up the thread sometime tomorrow. Getting hammered right now at work with deadlines, plus two final exams and a practicum project submission all due at midnight tonight.

Posts with picks before I open the thread don't count. They're nice for practice, but they don't count. Look at the first page of any of the ten previous versions of this pool - same as it ever was.
Old 12-31-13, 11:02 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Originally Posted by DVDMagic View Post
**Reserving**
Originally Posted by BrewCrew View Post
Don't think that will work because he only looks at posts after his, no editing of previous posts will count.
Make mine subscribing then!
Old 12-31-13, 11:27 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

sorry, didn't see anything that said picks couldn't be posted yet (or rather, wouldn't count). Edit: missed post #6, I looked at the rules post.
Old 12-31-13, 09:01 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Count me in again.
Old 12-31-13, 09:06 PM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Count me in, assuming i'm not either too early or too late.
Old 01-01-14, 12:52 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Please remember to submit your first round selection *and* guess for point total in that game. Picks with no point total will be assigned a value of ZERO for tiebreaker purposes. Not a big deal in round one, sure, but it can make a significant difference in later rounds.

Picks that have "Edited by..." stamps on them will be ignored. If you decide to change your pick please do so by adding a new post to the thread.


The pool is now officially OPEN. Good luck to all.
Old 01-01-14, 12:53 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Remember, of the 50 spots available, 27 of them are reserved for past champions and those who have played 6 or more years. The other 23 spots will go first-come / first-served. After that, folks can waitlist in case a reserved spot goes unclaimed.
Old 01-01-14, 12:58 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Cincinnati - 55
Old 01-01-14, 01:01 AM
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Re: DVDTalk 2013 NFL Playoff Survivor Pool (11th Annual)

Bengals - 50

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