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Official "Fantasy Baseball Questions" Thread

Old 03-20-04, 05:06 PM
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Official DVDTalk--I have a Fantasy Baseball trade question

Would anyone in here, not do the trade I completed yesterday?

I sent:
Juan Encarnacion
Kevin Millar
Roberto Alomar (acquired off waivers, dropped Mark Loretta)
Andy Pettitte
Byung Hyun Kim

FOR

Bret Boone
Aubrey Huff
Trot Nixon (wasn't injured when I made deal, but I know he is now)
Kelvim Escobar
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Old 03-20-04, 05:08 PM
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oh, by the way...my pitching staff after the trade is still(setup 4 SP, 3 RP, 1 P):
Roy Halladay
Mike Mussina
Tim Hudson
Jamie Moyer
Keith Foulke
Ugueth Urbina
David Riske (new closer for Indians)
Kelvim Excobar
Mike Hampton
Jon Lieber
Kaz Ishii
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Old 03-20-04, 06:28 PM
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Originally posted by dvds4u
I sent:
Juan Encarnacion
Kevin Millar
Roberto Alomar (acquired off waivers, dropped Mark Loretta)
Andy Pettitte
Byung Hyun Kim

FOR

Bret Boone
Aubrey Huff
Trot Nixon (wasn't injured when I made deal, but I know he is now)
Kelvim Escobar
My first impression is: you abused your trade partner. But I'll go through the motions and give you my analysis.

This trade breaks down as follows:

OF: Encarnacion for Nixon
1B/OF: Millar for Huff
2B: Alomar for Boone
SP: Pettitte/Kim for Escobar

Nixon played over his head last year and I expect some regression from him. Encarnacion will be steady but lacks lineup support so his RS and RBI will suffer. But despite missing a month, I still expect Nixon to put up better numbers. Advantage: you!

Aubrey Huff is just a great hitter in his prime playing on a decent offensive team. Millar should pick it up after a disappointing second half, plays on a better offensive team and has a bit easier pitching to go against (Tampa v. Boston rotations ). That isn't enough to overcome the fact that Millar isn't nearly Huff's equal. Advantage: you!

Boone is possibly ready for a modest decline, and Alomar seems rejuvenated. Nevertheless, Boone will easily outperform Alomar. Advantage: you!

I don't think that highly of Escobar or the Angels (might not even break 90 wins). His peripheral numbers just haven't been that great over his career. Now that he has a steady rotation role, he might improve, but if so, it probably won't be by much. It's well known that Pettitte's record was inflated because of run support, but I think his peripherals will at least hold steady in Houston. He's a ground ball pitcher, so he should be okay in the HR department, and while Kent isn't very good, the other three infielders are good to excellent. I think he'll do fine. Kim, who knows what's gonna happen with him this year. I'll say, advantage: NOT you!

But since you have a very strong front end of your rotation, you should still be okay in the starting pitching department, so trading off better offense seems smart. Overall, I think you made a great trade.

Although it looks like you're gonna need another closer since last I heard, Urbina was very much considering playing in Japan since no one here is willing to pay him the kind of money he wants.
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Old 03-20-04, 06:45 PM
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I actually picked up David Riske...but I am hoping Urbina signs with the Giants, A's or Minny.

In reply to your reply...also, Millar will share at-bats with Burks. Nixon is just better than encarnacion. Escobar is 26, coming into a pitcher's park, whereas Pettitte and his high ERA are moving to a horrible pitcher's park. Kim was a throw-in since I simply don't think he is a worthwhile SP and he will not close over Foulke
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Old 03-27-04, 09:24 AM
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Recent Fantasy Baseball Trades

I recently picked up from Free Agency...

Ponson, Sideny (BAL) for Eaton, Adam (SD)

Ramizez, Aramis (CHC) for Millar, Kevin (BOS)

Hampton, Mike (ATL) for Sheet, Ben (MIL)

The transactions do not go in to effect until Monday night...

Should I follow through with these transactions or not?
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Old 03-27-04, 01:40 PM
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I wouldn't go with Eaton over Ponson (unless Sidney has an injury I don't know about). Is Jake Peavy available? I'd take him over Eaton.
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Old 03-27-04, 02:44 PM
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From the way he worded his post, I'm assuming he dropped Eaton and picked up Ponson in waiver wire transactions.

Joe,

I think you're looking at two pitchers that will yield about the same numbers. Eaton will rack up a few more Ks. He might get a few more wins because of the weak NL West, but Ponson goes deeper into games, so wins might even be a wash.

I would take Sheets over Hampton any day of the week. In fact, I think Sheets is the best of the 4 pitchers mentioned in your post. Last year, Hampton was possibly worth the guaranteed hit to your WHIP because Atlanta was a great team, but not this year.

Ramirez will get you a few more homers, but probably a worse batting average. Millar, though, plays on a better offensive team and I'd expect better RS and RBI numbers. Do you need another 3B on your team, or 1B/OF? Unless you want the 3B, I think I'd stick with Millar.

Last edited by DarkElf; 03-27-04 at 02:48 PM.
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Old 03-27-04, 06:00 PM
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Here's my team...

Duca, Paul Lo C LA

Giambi, Jason 1B NYY

Durham, Ray 2B SF

Hinske, Eric 3B TOR

Furcal, Rafael SS ATL

Anderson, Garret LF ANA

Guerrero, Vladimir RF ANA

Jones, Andruw CF ATL

Millar, Kevin 1B BOS

Buehrle, Mark SP CHW

Eaton, Adam SP SD

Foulke, Keith RP BOS

Julio, Jorge RP BAL

Martinez, Pedro SP BOS

Sheets, Ben SP MIL

Wakefield, Tim SP BOS

LeCroy, Matt C MIN

Cameron, Mike CF NYM

Kearns, Austin RF CIN

Winn, Randy LF SEA

Soriano, Rafael RP SEA

Villarreal, Oscar RP ARI

Which players should I get rid of and keep? I've never participated in a league before, so I dont know what's important to look for.

Last edited by Joe1086; 03-27-04 at 06:55 PM.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:05 PM
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Originally posted by Joe1086
I have Eric Hinske from Toronto at 3B
I really can't assess anything other than the numbers. How you construct your roster is up to you. Just remember that constructing your roster to give you maximum flexibility and injury/positional coverage is a key issue with fantasy baseball. Neither of these guys is head and shoulders above the other guy, so roster construction should factor strongly into your decision. So again, unless you'd rather have the 3B, I'd go with Millar.

As for Hinske, I haven't heard anything out of spring training about his health (no news is good news!), and he's gotten in 40 at bats, so I assume he's fine.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:06 PM
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As much as I like Villareal on the D-backs, he's pretty much worthless in fantasy leagues. He will get an inning or two of work here and there, and he will get a few K's, and his ERA will be low, but he doesn't pitch enough to warrant keeping him on your team. He also won't get any saves. If Mantei goes down, Valverde steps into that roll.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:36 PM
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Originally posted by Deftones, Esq
As much as I like Villareal on the D-backs, he's pretty much worthless in fantasy leagues. He will get an inning or two of work here and there, and he will get a few K's, and his ERA will be low, but he doesn't pitch enough to warrant keeping him on your team. He also won't get any saves. If Mantei goes down, Valverde steps into that roll.
Out of these players, which should I get for Villareal...

Thompson, John ATL
Lilly, Ted TOR
Leiter NYM
Lohse, Kyle MIN
Weaver, Jeff LA
Perez, Odlais LA
Penny, Brad FLA
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Old 03-27-04, 07:41 PM
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Originally posted by Joe1086
Here's my team...

......

Which players should I get rid of and keep? I've never participated in a league before, so I dont know what's important to look for.
Sure, NOW you tell me your roster.

Welcome to fantasy baseball! As I said, roster flexibility is key. Others may have a different approach, but I prefer complete coverage for all positions on the field.

I'm going to assume a typical league, where you simply have OF spots, not individual LF, CF and RF spots.

You have:

C/1B
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF OF OF
1B/OF
C/1B
OF OF OF

5 SP
4 RP (2 closers)
1 SP/RP

Now look over your roster. First off, you have a surplus of OF. And you have NO backup at 2B, SS, or 3B. You're covered at C and 1B, but acknowledge that your primary 1B (Giambi) is a substantial injury risk, so you should build your team assuming time off and injuries for him. Millar has you covered there, plus both your catchers have 1B eligibility, which will help a little as well. But you should consider offing one of your outfielders and picking up coverage for the rest of your infield. Of your OF, I think Winn is the weakest, though does provide stolen bases, which unfortunately, you don't have a lot of. But given your current roster, I can't imagine you playing Winn very often. With only one player (Furcal) likely to top 20 SB (Vlad's 40/40 days are over), I think you might have to address speed at some point, perhaps adding that through a trade.

You mentioned picking Ramirez, and he covers you at 3B. So unless you can find a quality player with eligibility at 2B, SS and 3B (or even just two of them), I'd definitely try to grab him, and dump one of your OFs, but NOT Millar since he gives you 1B coverage. Ramirez doesn't cover 2B or SS, but it's better than before. If Durham or Furcal suffer an injury (Durham is more likely to go down), then you would have to address that then.

And then there's your relief corps. I'd advise getting another closer and dumping Villareal as he won't provide much value for fantasy baseball. If there are no closers available, then dump Villareal anyway and address your lack of depth at 2B and SS.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:46 PM
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Brad Penny would be a good pickup for an SP, but I'd take DarkElf's advice and address some of your other needs. Your SP looks decent w/o making much changes. Listen to DarkElf. He's a God around here in fantasy baseball.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:48 PM
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Originally posted by Joe1086
Out of these players, which should I get for Villareal...

Thompson, John ATL
Lilly, Ted TOR
Leiter NYM
Lohse, Kyle MIN
Weaver, Jeff LA
Perez, Odlais LA
Penny, Brad FLA
Yeah, listen to Deftones about Villareal, he should know, he's a Snakes fan.

There's some pretty decent talent at SP on your waiver wire! Wow. Question, what is your maximum innings pitched restriction? Often it's 1250, but I've seen leagues that allow 2000 IPs!
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Old 03-27-04, 07:49 PM
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I remember smacking DarkElf around in fantasy Baseball. Hmph.
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Old 03-27-04, 07:54 PM
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Im in the process of getting Bill Mueler for Randy Winn.

There are no closers available...so I'm looking into SS and 2B

SS available:
Aurilia, Rich
Guzman, Christian
Eckstein, David
Valentin, Jose
Berroa, Angel M
Gonzalez, Alex

2B available:
Jimenez, D'Angelo
Relaford, Desi
Hudson, Orlando
Rivas, Luis
Hairstone, Jerry
Loretta, Mark
Vina, Fernando
Spivey, Junior
Ellis, Mark
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Old 03-27-04, 08:10 PM
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Originally posted by El Scorcho
I remember smacking DarkElf around in fantasy Baseball. Hmph.
Yeah, me too.

There's understanding and knowledge, and then there's putting into practice and succeeding. The two don't always go hand in hand.

You know what kills me? Live drafts. I had a gruesomely bad draft last weekend. I know what to do, I just suck at it. -obfrank-
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Old 03-27-04, 08:52 PM
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There are no closers available...so I'm looking into SS and 2B
Have you seen if Danny Graves (Reds closer), Chacon (Rockies closer) are available? Riske (Indians)? You might want to pick up Herges if Nen is going to be out for a while.

I'd pick up Berroa instantly out of that list. If Berroa is available, then Jose Reyes might also be available. Right now he only qualifies as a SS, but he'll also qualify as a 2B soon.
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Old 03-27-04, 08:55 PM
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Originally posted by Joe1086
Im in the process of getting Bill Mueler for Randy Winn.

There are no closers available...so I'm looking into SS and 2B

SS available:
Aurilia, Rich
Guzman, Christian
Eckstein, David
Valentin, Jose
Berroa, Angel M
Gonzalez, Alex

2B available:
Jimenez, D'Angelo
Relaford, Desi
Hudson, Orlando
Rivas, Luis
Hairstone, Jerry
Loretta, Mark
Vina, Fernando
Spivey, Junior
Ellis, Mark
Okay, first off, how can Berroa possibly still be available?! He's easily a top 10 SS, and because of position scarcity, his value is even higher. Shoot, if nothing else, grab him and use him as trade bait, and I'd rank this #1 in your waiver claims. Anyone disagree?

There are plenty of closers who are likely to fall out of their role, so I guarantee that if you keep a close eye on who's lost their job, you'll be able to find closers during the year.

Mueller? What happened to Ramirez? Like Ramirez, Mueller is only eligible at 3B, so he doesn't offer the benefit of positional flexibility over Ramirez. And I think Mueller had his career year. I expect Ramirez to put up the reasonably similar numbers to Mueller, except that he'll easily get more HRs than Mueller, maybe as many as 10 more.

At 2B, you have a few guys that are reasonably close, so take your pick. Jimenez plays in a launching pad. Hudson is decent and plays for a solid offensive team. Relaford is also a good choice because of giving additional coverage at 3B, as well as OF (not that you need it). And I honestly think Loretta will put up the best numbers, EXCEPT in HRs. But nothing really jumps out here, and you will likely find some/most of these guys on the free agent list during the year. But Ramirez will put up far superior numbers than any of those 2B you list, especially in the HR department.

Of all the things to address (closer, 3B, SS, 2B), and given the list of players available, I think I'd worry about 2B last. Get Berroa and Ramirez/Mueller.

And don't forget to find out what your Innings Pitched restriction is. You really need to know that.
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Old 03-27-04, 08:59 PM
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Originally posted by Shamu
I'd pick up Berroa instantly out of that list. If Berroa is available, then Jose Reyes might also be available. Right now he only qualifies as a SS, but he'll also qualify as a 2B soon.
Absolutely! In fact, if Reyes is available too, grab both Berroa and Reyes, keep Reyes (position flexibility AND steals, which you need), and trade Berroa. You can always find a backup 3B later.

Shit, I'm still stunned that Berroa is available. Wow, that's absolutely crazy.
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Old 03-27-04, 09:01 PM
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Originally posted by Shamu
Have you seen if Danny Graves (Reds closer), Chacon (Rockies closer) are available? Riske (Indians)? You might want to pick up Herges if Nen is going to be out for a while.

I'd pick up Berroa instantly out of that list. If Berroa is available, then Jose Reyes might also be available. Right now he only qualifies as a SS, but he'll also qualify as a 2B soon.
Graves, Chacon, Riske, Herges are all available
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Old 03-27-04, 09:05 PM
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Well Graves, Chacon will be the closers for their team. Riske will probably be the closer since Wickman is out. Herges will probably be the closer if Nen is out for any period of time.

And even better: Is Arthur Rhodes available? He'll be the A's closer.

Joe Nathan: He'll most likely be the Twins closer.

Pick up Rhodes and Nathan instantly if they are available.

Is Dotel available? Marte? Benitez? Cordero (TEX)? Looper? Baez? Kolb?

Last edited by Shamu; 03-27-04 at 09:09 PM.
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Old 03-27-04, 09:10 PM
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I put up:

Randy Winn for Jose Reyes

Oscar Villareal for Angel Berroa
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Old 03-27-04, 09:13 PM
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Originally posted by Shamu
And even better: Is Arthur Rhodes available? He'll be the A's closer.

Joe Nathan: He'll most likely be the Twins closer.

Pick up Rhodes and Nathan instantly if they are available.

Is Dotel available? Marte? Benitez? Cordero (TEX)? Looper? Baez? Kolb?
I checked all of those suggestions, but they are all taken
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Old 03-27-04, 09:17 PM
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Looking at your team, I see this:

C LeCroy
1B Giambi
2B Durham
SS Furcal
3B Hinske
LF Anderson
RF Vlad
CF Jones

Bench:
1B/OF Millar
C LoDuca
CF Cameron
RF Kearns
LF Winn

Rotation:
Pedro
Buehrle
Eaton
Sheets
Wakefield

Bullpen:
Foulke
Julio
Soriano
Villareal

How many spots does your league use? How many teams are there in this league? What's your scoring system like?

Without knowing much about your league or scoring system (what is it?), I'd tell you to drop Soriano and Villareal since they might not be worth much (depending on the scoring system) as regular relievers. I would also consider getting rid of LoDuca since he's not worth much in regular fantasy leagues. You need to upgrade your rotation and 3B. I'd trade away Millar to try to upgrade at one of those spots. Maybe a Hinske+Millar for a better 3B or a Millar+Sheets/Eaton/whoever for a better starting pitcher.

Is Miguel Cabrera available in your league? He'll also qualify as a 3B/LF and has tons of potential. I'd prefer him over Hinske.
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