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The 2007 DVD Talk Theatrical Flop Game

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The 2007 DVD Talk Theatrical Flop Game

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Old 05-17-07 | 06:50 PM
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The 2007 DVD Talk Theatrical Flop Game

Alright, there's always threads talking about what will be the year's biggest movie and/or best movie before they come out.

Why not talk about the bad? Let's make a game out of it.

What movie will perform the worst at the box office in 2007?

Since this is a game, let's establish some...

Ground Rules

I. Figures. Box office used is theatrical US/Domestic grosses from Box Office Mojo. For production budget, sources include IMDB, Box Office Mojo, or any other reputable source (Variety and EW is fine, your cousin's blog is not).

II. Eligibility. Movies must be released between 1/5/2007 and 12/28/2007. Movies must have been shown on at least 1000 screens, regardless of whether it's the opening weekend or a subsequent "platforming" weekend. Re-issues of and/or movies from 2006 (or earlier) are not eligible.

III. Making Picks. You can make up to ten picks from now until the end of the contest. Obviously, you can duplicate picks. Once you make a pick, you've made it and can't take it back. You do not need to make all ten picks at once. You can make one or two now and the rest as the year goes on.

How to Make Your Picks
Post your pick, then post how many pick(s) you have left. You have up to ten picks from now until Dec 28th. For example, "I pick Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer. Picks left: 9.
IV. Scoring.

A. At the end of the year, I will tally two Top Ten Flop Lists: an Absolute Flop List and a Relative Flop List. (If anyone has better ideas for the titles, I'm open to suggestions).

1. The Absolute Flop List. Which movie made the least money, period?

2. The Relative Flop List. This one is a bit trickier. Which movie lost the most money? The Loss is defined as: Box Office minus Production Budget. (We don't count marketing/promotional costs, or what distributors/theatres make, etc).

B. If you picked movies that were on either list, scoring goes as follows:
  • 1st place: 5 Points
  • 2nd-3rd place: 3 Points
  • 4th-6th place: 2 Points
  • 7th-10th place: 1 Point
Additionally, there are a few bonuses and penalties. If you picked a movie at least four weeks before its initial release, you get an overall +2 bonus for that pick. If you picked a movie that ends up being on either list after it was released, you get a -2 penalty. We tally up the points, and the person with the highest score wins.

V. The "Prize"... The "winner" will get as a "prize" my least favorite DVD out of my collection (which may or may not be Freejack, for example). If anyone wants to add their least favorite DVD to the "winnings" that's fine, but it's obviously not a requirement.

VI. Miscellaneous: To make this easier on me, I am not going to keep track of anything until the end of the contest.

<hr>

Alright, let's get started! Have fun!

Last edited by The Bus; 05-17-07 at 08:28 PM.
Old 05-17-07 | 08:17 PM
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I pick Transformers.
Old 05-17-07 | 08:22 PM
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I pick Stardust.
I pick The Invasion.

Picks left: 8.
Old 05-17-07 | 08:25 PM
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Evan Almighty
The Invasion
Underdog
Stardust

picks remaining: 6

Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 05-17-07 at 08:28 PM.
Old 05-17-07 | 08:29 PM
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I pick Stardust. I have 9 picks remaining.
Old 05-17-07 | 08:50 PM
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Stardust
The Invasion

Remaining: 8

(Transformers has a lot of hype and no competition)
Old 05-17-07 | 09:42 PM
  #7  
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Stardust

Picks Remaining: 9
Old 05-17-07 | 09:48 PM
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Evan Almighty
The Invasion
Underdog

7 left

Not bombs, but I think Shrek the Third and POTC will have bad legs.
Old 05-17-07 | 10:07 PM
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Transformers

I think the point system should strictly be based on Box Office minus Budget. Because picking something that was never gonna make money like The Ex shouldn't count. Just my opinion.
Old 05-18-07 | 07:51 AM
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From: Papillion, NE!
Live Free or Die Hard
The Invasion

Picks left 8
Old 05-18-07 | 09:07 AM
  #11  
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1. Superbad
2. Underdog
3. License To Wed
4. Nancy Drew
5. A Mighty Heart
6. Evan Almighty
7. Mr. Brooks
8. Ratatouille
9. Daddy Day Camp
10.I know Who Killed Me
Old 05-18-07 | 10:23 AM
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From: Jobland
Mr. Brooks
Dead or Alive

picks left 8
Old 09-04-07 | 01:27 PM
  #13  
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I pick The Kingdom (eventhough I would like it to do well). I have 8 picks remaining.
Old 09-04-07 | 01:34 PM
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The Invasion
Stardust

8 remaining
Old 09-04-07 | 04:12 PM
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From: Chicago
Originally Posted by chris_sc77
1. Superbad
How's that pick working out for you?
Old 09-04-07 | 11:09 PM
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Originally Posted by mijorico
How's that pick working out for you?
HAHAHA, not too well obviously but still better than the people who said transformers would bomb.
I did get 8 out of 10 correctly though and i always knew ratatouille would be a long shot and I still to this date have only seen the horrible green band trailer for superbad and that trailer was so bad it made me not want to see the movie. (And Im a big fan of 40-year-old virgin. knocked up, undeclared, freaks & geeks ) .
Old 09-05-07 | 08:23 AM
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I pick

The Brave One (9 Picks Left)
Mr. Woodcock (8 picks left)
The Invasion (7 picks left)
Romance and Cigarettes (6 Picks left)
War (5 picks left)
Good Luck Chuck (4 picks left)

Last edited by acubfaninmd; 09-10-07 at 10:33 AM.
Old 09-05-07 | 09:06 AM
  #18  
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I pick

Evan Almighty
Liscense To Wed
Mr.Brooks

7 Left

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