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2010 House Elections

Old 03-08-10, 06:21 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by Thor Simpson View Post
Any truth to the rumor that Obama (not a former slave*) wanted him out just because he had a problem calling somebody Massa?
Old 03-08-10, 06:34 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by Thor Simpson View Post

Any truth to the rumor that Obama (not a former slave*) wanted him out just because he had a problem calling somebody Massa?

I don't believe I would have said that.
Old 03-09-10, 05:24 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

More news about Rep. Massa, who is being picked on only because he opposes healthcare reform.

Massa under investigation for allegedly groping male staffers

By Carol D. Leonnig
Tuesday, March 9, 2010; 3:02 PM

Former Rep. Eric Massa (D-N.Y.) has been under investigation for allegations that he groped multiple male staffers working in his office, according to three sources familiar with the probe.

The allegations surrounding the former lawmaker date back at least a year, and involve "a pattern of behavior and physical harassment," according to one source. The new claims of alleged groping contradict statements by Massa, who resigned his office on Monday after it became public that he was the subject of a House ethics committee investigation for possible harassment.

Massa had said that the allegations were limited to his use of "salty language" with his staff. He apologized for making some inappropriate comments and argued he was being unfairly villified. Days later, Massa accused the White House and Democratic congressional leaders of trying to oust him from office to improve their chances of passing health care reform legislation. Massa could not be reached for comment Tuesday, and no one answered the phone at his home in New York or his campaign office. Staff at his former congressional offices declined to relay messages to him and said they did not know how to reach him.

According to two sources familiar with the probe, Massa's former deputy chief of staff Ron Hikel provided the information about the staffers' allegations to the House ethics committee three weeks ago. Hikel had earlier sought advice from Majority Leader Steny Hoyer's office about brewing internal complaints, the sources said, and had been urged to report the allegations to the committee.

Hikel, reached at his home Tuesday, declined to comment on the ethics investigation.

Also on Tuesday, White House press secretary Robert Gibbs dismissed Massa's charges of a conspiracy to force him from office as "silly and ridiculous" in an appearance on ABC's "Good Morning America. He urged looking at Massa's erratic and changing statements about why he was resigning office.

"Last week, he, on Wednesday, was having a recurrence of cancer. On Thursday, he was guilty of using salty language. On Friday, we learned he's before the ethics committee to be investigated on charges of sexual harassment," Gibbs said. "So, look, I think, clearly, his actions appear to be in the appropriate venue in the ethics committees to look at, but we're focused not on crazy allegations but instead on making this system work for the American people rather than work for insurance companies."

Research editor Alice Crites contributed to this report.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...l?hpid=topnews
Old 03-09-10, 05:39 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Whoa, it sure is looking bad for Democrats this year.

And I thought the swamp was going to be drained years go.
Old 03-09-10, 06:11 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by JasonF View Post
A paranoid nutcase says what?

Rep. Massa will be doing the full hour on Glenn Beck's show tomorrow. Set your DVRs!
Or not!

Originally Posted by Glenn Beck
"I think I've wasted your time. I think this is the first time I have wasted an hour of your time and I apologize for that."
http://www.breitbart.tv/glenn-apolog...-time-america/
Old 03-09-10, 06:36 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

All I've watched was the 1:45 Breitbart posted, but it looks like Massa did the entire show, and Beck doesn't really think he wasted our time. The exchange went something like this:

Massa: I owe Rahm Emanuel an apology because I said he'd tie his kids to the railroad tracks to get a vote. That's not fair. I don't think he'd do that. He'd tie my kids to the railroad tracks for a vote, though.
Beck: America, I wasted your time. Rep. Massa is backtracking and apologizing to Rahm Emanuel. He's not the real deal I thought he was.
Massa: That was sarcastic, Glenn
Beck: Oh, OK. You're awesome after all, Rep. Massa!
Old 03-09-10, 07:18 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

As I said in the other thread - Massa didn't say what Beck wanted him to say. Therefore, it was a waste of time, according to Beck.
Old 04-14-10, 09:26 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

I'm not sure why it's getting so little coverage, but there was another special election last night -- this time in FL-19 for the seat formerly held by Robert Wexler. It's a relatively safe district for Democrats -- Cook gives it a D+15 -- but it is noteworthy that 1) this is the first special election since the passage of health-care reform, and 2) this district skews relatively old. The latter is significant as the Republican candidate -- Ed Lynch -- attacked the health care reform as a threat to Medicare while the Democratic candidate -- Ted Deutch -- defended the law. Deutch won 62-35.
Old 04-14-10, 10:06 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Mr. Wexler’s district is reliably Democratic — it gave Mr. Obama 65 percent of the vote in 2008, while re-electing Mr. Wexler with 66 percent of the vote.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2...st-think-tank/

Lynch, who got 27.2 percent when he challenged Wexler in 2008, favors repealing the health-care law and starting over with elements such as limits on malpractice awards in lawsuits.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/st...-a-503851.html

2008 - 27%
2010 - 35%

Looks like a slight gain for Lynch.
Old 04-14-10, 10:12 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

FL-19: Proof that Massachusetts voters got it WRONG.
Old 04-16-10, 10:08 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

The DNC plans to pour $50 million into the congressional races this year.
Old 04-16-10, 10:24 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

That's why the VP was in my district yesterday. Raising money for the next Democratic Congressman for PA's 15th. He's matching the Repub incumbent dollar for dollar. Most of the Repubs dollars come from PACs.
Old 04-16-10, 10:27 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by CRM114 View Post
That's why the VP was in my district yesterday. Raising money for the next Democratic Congressman for PA's 15th. He's matching the Repub incumbent dollar for dollar. Most of the Repubs dollars come from PACs.
Charlie Dent, right? That's a pretty solid GOP district. He won pretty easily in '08. Hard to imagine him losing in this cycle.
Old 04-16-10, 10:37 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Against the mayor of Bethlehem, the golden boy.
http://www.callahanforcongress.com/S...p?page=default

Dent nearly lost the last two elections to nobodies. I wouldn't say the 15th is solid GOP. Democrat mayors, went Dem in the last three Presidential elections...
Old 04-16-10, 10:50 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

He got 59% in 2008 in a terrible year for the GOP. Hardly a close race. That was much better than he did in '06.

The seat has been GOP 24 of the last 30 years. It elected Pat Toomey.

Last edited by Red Dog; 04-16-10 at 10:54 AM.
Old 04-16-10, 10:57 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by CRM114 View Post
That's why the VP was in my district yesterday. Raising money for the next Democratic Congressman for PA's 15th. He's matching the Repub incumbent dollar for dollar. Most of the Repubs dollars come from PACs.
The point is that the DNC doesn't spend that much money in congressional elections. It's left up to the individual & each house to provide congressional elections money.

The question is why now?

1994 again?

Last edited by classicman2; 04-16-10 at 11:01 AM.
Old 04-16-10, 11:15 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by classicman2 View Post
The point is that the DNC doesn't spend that much money in congressional elections. It's left up to the individual & each house to provide congressional elections money.

The question is why now?

1994 again?
Whatever the facts, we can be sure of one thing: it's bad news for Democrats. We know that to be so because we so desparately, desparately wish it to be so.
Old 04-16-10, 11:31 AM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by JasonF View Post
Whatever the facts, we can be sure of one thing: it's bad news for Democrats. We know that to be so because we so desparately, desparately wish it to be so.
Whether the Repubs gain control of both houses or either house, Obama had better get what he can this year. He's not going to get anything controversial for 2011 & 2012.
Old 04-16-10, 02:16 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by Red Dog View Post
He got 59% in 2008 in a terrible year for the GOP. Hardly a close race. That was much better than he did in '06.

The seat has been GOP 24 of the last 30 years. It elected Pat Toomey.
Because of your second paragraph, the DNC writes off this district year after year. But in 06, Dent barely beat a nobody who raised a tenth of what Dent did. The candidate in 08 lost every election she ever entered. It's amazing that she got what she did.

But now, they are running the mayor of the finest city in the district. The shining star. The boy wonder. AND, Dent will hopefully lose votes to some Tea Party moron.
Old 04-16-10, 02:19 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by classicman2 View Post
The point is that the DNC doesn't spend that much money in congressional elections. It's left up to the individual & each house to provide congressional elections money.

The question is why now?

1994 again?
No doubt. I'm just expressing that the PA 15th will be the exception. This seat will flip R to D. At least, that's my expectation.
Old 04-16-10, 02:20 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

I like Dent's odds even more now.
Old 04-16-10, 02:45 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Originally Posted by CRM114 View Post
No doubt. I'm just expressing that the PA 15th will be the exception. This seat will flip R to D. At least, that's my expectation.
The only way I see Mr. Dent losing is because of Jake Towne, and I don't see that as likely.

Also, have you checked out the first quarter fundraising numbers for Mr. Dent? While it is true that he takes in more monies from PACs, Mr. Callahan takes in more from out of state. Is that better? Further, I think that Mr. Dent has raised more from sub $200 donations than Mr. Callahan. Does that mean anything?
Old 04-16-10, 02:46 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Oh, and in the by the way department, most estimates now have the GOP gaining upwards of 30 seats and continuing to grow.

Maybe I should start believing just a bit in the impossible?

Nah, they still have plenty of time to screw it up.
Old 04-16-10, 02:52 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

Does "gaining 30 seats" mean a net change of 60, or closing the gap by 30? I would think the former?
Old 04-16-10, 02:59 PM
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Re: 2010 House Elections

I think it is the former. Intrade shows similar sentiments

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