Religion, Politics and World Events They make great dinner conversation, don't you think? plus Political Film

How Close Were US Presidential Elections?

Old 09-26-08, 09:46 AM
  #1  
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 36,980
How Close Were US Presidential Elections?

A study posted on Slashdot: http://news.slashdot.org/article.pl?...45239&from=rss

Here is the actual study: https://www.msu.edu/~sheppa28/elections.html

Here's a basic abstract:

"I'm a graduate student in Statistics at Michigan State University and spent some time analyzing past US presidential elections to determine how close they truly were. The mathematical procedures of Linear Programming and 0-1 Integer Programming were used to find the optimal solution to the question: 'What is the smallest number of total votes that need to be switched from one candidate to another, and from which states, to affect the outcome of the election?' Because of the way the popular and electoral votes interact, the outcome of the analysis had some surprising and intriguing results. For example, in 2004, 57,787 votes would have given us President Kerry; and in 2000, 269 votes would have given us President Gore. In all there have been 12 US Presidential elections that were decided by less than a 1% margin; meaning if less than 1% of the voters in certain states had changed their mind to the other candidate the outcome of the election would have been different."





Interesting stuff for political nerds like us. I haven't parsed through the data yet but it's interesting to see how close some blowout elections really are.
Venusian is offline  
Old 09-26-08, 09:53 AM
  #2  
DVD Talk God
 
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Directionally Challenged (for DirecTV)
Posts: 122,487
This is a good site for that:
http://uselectionatlas.org/

For individual elections, it includes 1 or more 'What If?" buttons to show how flipping a few close states/votes could change the outcome.
Red Dog is offline  

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Archive Advertising Cookie Policy Privacy Statement Terms of Service

Copyright 2018 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.