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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 11-06-18, 12:20 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Christopher Robin has passed $99 million, so we'll see what Disney has up its sleeve to get it to $100 million, especially with the disc dropping today.
Old 11-09-18, 02:19 PM
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"Grinch" Thursday Box Office Numbers

According to Variety the box office numbers for "Grinch" on Thursday was $2.2 million at 3,200 locations and is considered a "merry" figure.

Let's do the math.

$2,200,000 divided by 3,200 locations. (I'm not sure if each "location" has more than one screen)

Each "location" earned $687.50.

Let's say each ticket costs $8 on average. (It's $13 in my neighbourhood, but no matter)

Wouldn't that mean that only an average of 86 people attended each "location" on Thursday?

Is my math wrong? Am I over-looking something? Is this not really a very successful attendance/dollar figure?
Old 11-09-18, 02:28 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It's the launch of a kids movie with with only evening showings on a school night. It's a decent number all things considered.
Old 11-09-18, 02:33 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

In comparison, last November Coco made $2.3 million on a Tuesday night preview and the year before Moana did $2.6 million on a Tuesday preview, so it's not too far off for an animated family film.
Old 11-09-18, 02:51 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Anyone else having a problem quoting today?

Previews are a strange thing, but yes, for a Thursday night preview showing of a family movie, $2.2m is pretty solid. By comparison, the #2 movie in theaters right now (A Star is Born) -- shown all day Thursday -- grossed $304 per theater (@ 3,431 locations).
Old 11-12-18, 07:29 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Est:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $66,000,000 - 4,141 - $15,938 $66,000,000 $75 1
2 1 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $30,850,000 -39.6% 4,000 - $7,713 $100,010,548 $52 2
3 N Overlord Par. $10,100,000 - 2,859 - $3,533 $10,100,000 $38 1
4 2 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $9,565,000 -53.0% 3,766 - $2,540 $35,256,534 $120 2
5 N The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story Sony $8,015,000 - 2,929 - $2,736 $8,015,000 $43 1
6 4 A Star is Born (2018) WB $8,010,000 -27.2% 2,848 -583 $2,813 $178,020,388 $36 6
7 3 Nobody's Fool Par. $6,540,000 -52.4% 2,468 - $2,650 $24,276,108 $19 2
8 6 Venom (2018) Sony $4,850,000 -38.4% 2,351 -716 $2,063 $206,233,603 $100 6
9 5 Halloween (2018) Uni. $3,840,000 -64.5% 2,717 -1,058 $1,413 $156,810,845 $10 4
10 10 The Hate U Give Fox $2,070,000 -38.3% 1,108 -399 $1,868 $26,705,883 $23 6
11 7 Smallfoot WB $1,505,000 -61.0% 1,318 -684 $1,142 $80,306,553 - 7
12 16 Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $1,475,000 +42.9% 391 +211 $3,772 $3,609,977 - 4
13 13 Beautiful Boy (2018) Amazon $1,404,560 +4.4% 776 +236 $1,810 $5,181,513 - 5
14 12 Night School (2018) Uni. $950,000 -52.3% 717 -554 $1,325 $75,949,745 $29 7
15 11 First Man Uni. $895,000 -59.0% 815 -897 $1,098 $43,706,705 $59 5
16 8 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $855,000 -77.3% 1,519 -1,309 $563 $45,835,844 $35 5
Old 11-12-18, 07:53 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Bohemian Rhapsody only had a 39% drop and is up to $285 million worldwide. Pretty damn good.
Old 11-12-18, 09:33 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Looks like Sony's Lisbeth Salander franshise will be short lived.
Old 11-27-18, 12:13 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

3-Day Actuals, Thanksgiving Weekend:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $56,237,634 - 4,017 - $14,000 $84,750,405 - 1
2 N Creed II MGM $35,574,710 - 3,441 - $10,338 $56,007,007 - 1
3 2 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $30,392,220 -21.2% 3,960 -181 $7,675 $180,494,990 $75 3
4 1 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald WB $29,375,498 -52.7% 4,163 - $7,056 $116,554,309 $200 2
5 3 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $14,001,156 -12.7% 2,927 -883 $4,783 $152,158,106 $52 4
6 4 Instant Family Par. $12,310,708 -15.1% 3,286 - $3,746 $35,564,886 $48 2
7 N Robin Hood (2018) LG/S $9,195,670 - 2,827 - $3,253 $14,297,995 $100 1
8 5 Widows Fox $8,231,373 -33.4% 2,803 - $2,937 $25,862,333 $42 2
9 22 Green Book Uni. $5,501,520 +1,616.9% 1,063 +1,038 $5,175 $7,860,501 $23 2
10 7 A Star is Born (2018) WB $3,016,129 -29.8% 1,202 -808 $2,509 $191,003,172 $36 8
11 6 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $2,785,368 -41.6% 1,757 -878 $1,585 $49,186,550 $120 4
12 13 Boy Erased Focus $1,510,015 +14.1% 672 +263 $2,247 $4,541,652 - 4
13 8 Overlord Par. $1,112,065 -70.7% 1,223 -1,636 $909 $20,191,451 $38 3
14 11 Nobody's Fool Par. $900,411 -59.4% 608 -693 $1,481 $30,509,584 $19 4
15 12 Venom (2018) Sony $766,700 -61.2% 585 -722 $1,311 $211,697,763 $100 8
16 35 The Front Runner Sony $632,139 +738.8% 807 +785 $783 $1,072,662 - 3
17 14 Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $598,142 -33.0% 426 -129 $1,404 $6,029,184 - 6
18 19 Free Solo NGE $448,057 -4.2% 146 -41 $3,069 $9,645,192 - 9
19 N The Favourite FoxS $422,410 - 4 - $105,603 $422,410 - 1
20 20 Smallfoot WB $367,580 -13.2% 301 -192 $1,221 $81,935,912 - 9
21 9 The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story Sony $356,485 -85.7% 983 -1,946 $363 $14,391,281 $43 3
22 15 The Hate U Give Fox $326,680 -58.1% 260 -333 $1,256 $28,918,177 $23 8

Last edited by RichC2; 11-27-18 at 12:33 PM.
Old 11-27-18, 12:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Ouch, The Girl in the Spider's Web: A New Dragon Tattoo Story dropped from 9 all the way to 21.

Disney can't be happy with Nutcracker either since it hasn't cracked $50 million over a month now.
Old 11-27-18, 12:32 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Crap I need to extend that out for the reason you mentioned and The Favourite being the highest per theater grosser of the year.

Edit: Updated.

The Favourite fucking crushed it. The Hate U Give did pretty well overall, The Front Runner is DOA, Overlord should have performed better but will be a hit at home, A Star Is Born is so close yet so far from $200m, and a 12% drop for Bohemian Rhapsody is just awesome.

Also, apparently Roma was released in a very limited number of theaters, grossing $200k, averaging $66.6k per theater. This allegedly is very strong for a foreign film, and sort of shows how much money Netflix continues to leave on the table by not ironing out their theatrical releases.
Old 12-09-18, 06:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Estimates:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $16,141,000 -36.9% 3,795 -222 $4,253 $140,858,885 $175 3
2 2 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $15,175,000 -15.4% 3,841 -93 $3,951 $223,463,175 $75 5
3 3 Creed II MGM $10,322,515 -38.0% 3,752 +176 $2,751 $96,471,912 $50 3
4 4 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald WB $6,805,000 -40.1% 3,451 -400 $1,972 $145,207,524 $200 4
5 5 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $6,000,000 -25.1% 2,953 -54 $2,032 $173,569,170 $52 6
6 6 Instant Family Par. $5,600,000 -21.9% 3,426 +50 $1,635 $54,160,742 $48 4
7 10 Green Book Uni. $3,935,000 +0.1% 1,181 +116 $3,332 $19,976,911 $23 4
8 8 Robin Hood (2018) LG/S $3,585,000 -25.0% 2,573 -254 $1,393 $27,289,193 $100 3
9 7 The Possession of Hannah Grace SGem $3,175,000 -50.4% 2,298 +233 $1,382 $11,506,549 $9.5 2
10 9 Widows Fox $3,100,000 -29.6% 2,161 -232 $1,435 $38,155,806 $42 4
11 12 A Star is Born (2018) WB $2,530,000 +38.3% 1,631 +550 $1,551 $197,118,597 $36 10
12 14 The Favourite FoxS $1,430,000 +33.4% 91 +57 $15,714 $3,468,646 - 3
13 13 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $979,000 -27.1% 1,170 -222 $837 $52,559,194 $120 6
14 N Schindler's List (2018 re-release) Uni. $551,000 - 1,029 - $535 $551,000 - 1
15 15 Boy Erased Focus $420,000 -30.5% 622 -38 $675 $6,335,227 - 6
16 26 At Eternity's Gate CBS $310,000 +66.4% 172 +124 $1,802 $1,071,117 - 4
17 18 Venom (2018) Sony $305,000 -19.2% 388 -37 $786 $212,716,166 $100 10
18 17 Nobody's Fool Par. $255,000 -33.3% 368 -17 $693 $31,469,774 $19 6
19 20 Free Solo NGE $252,641 -12.3% 182 +24 $1,388 $10,510,593 - 11
20 16 Overlord Par. $250,000 -38.3% 391 -142 $639 $21,470,409 $38 5
21 19 Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $245,000 -27.7% 265 -7 $925 $6,977,874 - 8
22 79 The Wife SPC $222,547 +20,875.2% 421 +415 $529 $8,011,664 - 17
23 N Mary Queen of Scots Focus $200,000 - 4 - $50,000 $200,000 - 1
24 38 Mirai GK $199,076 +214.4% 15 -54 $13,272 $671,908 - 2
25 N Vox Lux Neon $162,252 - 6 - $27,042 $162,252 - 1


Figured I'd make sure Vox Lux got on there. A Star is Born got a re-expansion in IMAX to help it cross that $200m milestone.
Old 12-11-18, 10:35 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Christopher Robin fell about $750K short of $100 million. Disney had no tricks up their sleeve to get it there.

Interesting on A Star is Born. I don't know why, but that sort of thing fascinates me.
Old 12-16-18, 04:08 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

‘Aquaman’ Amazon Prime Previews Hook Near $3M Besting ‘Jumanji 2’

UPDATED 12:09PM: with more preview figures: One Saturday 7PM show at roughly 1,225 theaters last night of Warner Bros./DC’s Aquaman made a huge $2.9M in paid sneaks, a figure that beats the $1.86M earned by Amazon Prime’s previous collaboration with Sony a year ago on Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle. If we were to rank Aquaman on this weekend’s B.O. chart it would file in 10th place ahead of Universal’s Green Book ($2.78M at 1,215 theaters), Fox Searchlight’s The Favourite ($2.5M weekend at 439 theaters) and Fox/New Regency’s Widows ($1.2M at 1,228).

Already, Aquaman has caught plenty of fish abroad with an overseas box office of $261M before officially opening stateside.
https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman...me-1202521144/
Old 12-16-18, 05:07 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Aquaman is already one of the biggest movies in Chinese box office history.
Old 12-16-18, 05:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

December 14-16, 2018
Weekend
Standard Chart Screens & Showings Studio

1. Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse (Sony $35,400,000: 3,813: $35,400,000)
2. The Mule (WB $17,210,000: 2,588; $17,210,000)
3. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) (Uni. $11,580,000: 3,759: $239,288,710)
4. Ralph Breaks the Internet (BV $9,589,000: 3,575: $154,464,878)
5. Mortal Engines (Uni. $7,501,000: 3,103: $7,501,000)
6. Creed II (MGM $5,398,830: $104,882,976)
7. Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox $4,125,000: 2,213: $180,423,200)
8. Instant Family (Par. $3,720,000: 2,860: $60,218,054)
9. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (WB $3,650,000: 2,606: $151,653,410)
10. Green Book (Uni. $2,780,000: 1,215: $24,660,366)

nice take for Spider-Man. can't believe The Grinch (animated) is over $200 million. nice A Star is Born will be over $200 million as well. and Bohemian Rhapsody, i'm sure exceeded expectations...

Last edited by OldBoy; 12-16-18 at 06:05 PM.
Old 12-16-18, 07:26 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I'm sure WB is currently figuring out the best way to proceed with their DCEU with Momoa and Gadot being the prominent figures.
Old 12-16-18, 07:50 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
I'm sure WB is currently figuring out the best way to proceed with their DCEU with Momoa and Gadot being the prominent figures.
Just make more solo projects with them. Simple enough. I mean they have all (DC) pretty much been cash cows, I believe. Not well received or reviewed, but made money nonetheless. Still just make more with Gadot and Momoa for now and just learn more...
Old 12-16-18, 08:39 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I think that's the game plan from now on. One off movies. No more interconnecting them. Just do whatever project has a good script and is ready to go, also take the best elements (see Margot Robbie as Harley Quinn headlining Birds of Prey).
Old 12-17-18, 04:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Actuals. Was hoping Spider-man would correct up a bit (it didn't) A simple "Ouch" for Vox Lux.


<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $35,363,376 - 3,813 - $9,274 $35,363,376 $90 1
2 N The Mule WB $17,509,431 - 2,588 - $6,766 $17,509,431 $50 1
3 2 Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Uni. $11,753,665 -21.8% 3,759 -82 $3,127 $239,463,375 $75 6
4 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $9,274,018 -42.9% 3,575 -220 $2,594 $154,149,896 $175 4
5 N Mortal Engines Uni. $7,559,850 - 3,103 - $2,436 $7,559,850 $100 1
6 3 Creed II MGM $5,385,914 -46.0% 3,107 -645 $1,733 $104,870,060 $50 4
7 5 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $4,314,179 -29.8% 2,213 -740 $1,949 $180,612,379 $52 7
8 6 Instant Family Par. $3,790,287 -34.2% 2,860 -566 $1,325 $60,288,341 $48 5
9 4 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald WB $3,789,839 -45.5% 2,606 -845 $1,454 $151,793,249 $200 5
10 7 Green Book Uni. $2,774,630 -28.9% 1,215 +34 $2,284 $24,654,996 $23 5
11 N Once Upon a Deadpool Fox $2,683,200 - 1,566 - $1,713 $3,967,120 - 1
12 12 The Favourite FoxS $2,605,484 +73.3% 441 +350 $5,908 $6,775,387 - 4
13 10 Widows Fox $1,269,201 -59.7% 1,228 -933 $1,034 $40,884,857 $42 5
14 8 Robin Hood (2018) LG/S $1,216,031 -65.6% 1,720 -853 $707 $29,799,864 $100 4
15 9 The Possession of Hannah Grace SGem $1,184,814 -62.6% 1,307 -991 $907 $13,909,719 $9.5 3
16 11 A Star is Born (2018) WB $1,040,024 -57.6% 842 -789 $1,235 $199,178,098 $36 11
17 27 Mary Queen of Scots Focus $699,745 +259.3% 66 +62 $10,602 $962,580 - 2
18 13 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $566,468 -48.6% 644 -526 $880 $53,668,267 $120 7
19 29 Vox Lux Neon $243,694 +56.5% 325 +319 $750 $432,905 - 2
20 N If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $224,476 - 4 - $56,119 $224,476 - 1
21 18 At Eternity's Gate CBS $191,642 -40.1% 178 +4 $1,077 $1,449,904 - 5
Old 12-21-18, 10:31 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

‘Aquaman’ Makes $9M Splash Thursday Night, $13M+ With Paid Sneaks; ‘Bumblebee’ Drives $2M+

UPDATE Friday AM after previous Thursday night exclusive: With exits demos Aquaman, as we saw it, is coming in with $9M, and when counting all of its Amazon and Wednesday paid sneaks of $4.7M, that’s $13.7M for the DC oceanic superhero to date stateside. $1.7M of Aquaman‘s Thursday night or 19% of its night came from Imax hubs.

The DC hero’s Thursday is in line with the $9.4M made by Doctor Strange and the $10M earned by Sony’s Venom. Both pics’ Thursdays accounted for roughly 30% of their Friday, which coincidentally were both $32.5M. Doctor Strange wound up with a 3-day of $85M, while Venom saw $80.2M, so that gives you an idea of Aquaman‘s scales over 3-days.

Exits were huge per PostTrak with Aquaman earning 5 stars from kids and parents, who made up 15% of the audience last night, and 4 stars from overall audiences who repped 85%. Biggest draws were in order: M25+ (35%), M25- (27%), F25+ (21%), F25- (17%). Diversity demos were 40% Caucasian, 23% Hispanic, 19% African American and 12% Asian. Females over 25 loved Aquaman the most at 85% positive (Hmmm, maybe for Jason Momoa?). Definite recommend here is a solid 69%. Again PostTrak polls throughout the weekend, so these demos will adjust.

Paramount is reporting $2.15M for Bumblebee‘s last and with its $700K Dec. 8 sneaks that’s $2.85M to date. Bumblebee and Aquaman had previews starting at 5PM. Saturday matinees are key as the studio sees this as a family pic. Who would have thought that a Transformers movie would have the best reviews of the weekend? But that’s what Bumblebee can boast at 94% Certified Fresh. The pic will be playing in 2D and 3D this weekend at 3,550 theaters.

PostTrak saw a bigger share of families turning out for Bumblebee than Aquaman at 36%, with general audiences repping 63%. Four and half stars and 86% and an overall 68% definite recommend indicate that Bumblebee will have plenty of gas into January.

Meanwhile, Disney’s Mary Poppins Returns amid the competition of a big fish in the marketplace last night and Paramount’s Bumblebee remain quite very solid with $4M, -17% from Wednesday for a two-day take of $8.8M. She led all films in regular release last night. Rotten Tomatoes has stamped Poppins with a 77% Certified Fresh Rotten Tomatoes score.

STX’s Second Act earned $515K at 2,607 locations. Earlier week projections saw the Jennifer Lopez romantic comedy with $10M+ over 5 days, STX is seeing $8M. They’re looking to recoup the $15.7M net production cost and P&A in the long run. Pic, directed by Peter Segal, plays in 2,607 theaters today. Previews last night started at 7PM.

Universal/DreamWorks also had Robert Zemeckis’ drama Welcome to Marwen in previews last night, and expected they weren’t very good with $190K at 1,600 theaters.
https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman...ce-1202524462/
Old 12-21-18, 10:44 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Poor Bumblebee. Too little, too late. The Last Knight made an already bad franchise even worse.

Great for Aquaman!
Old 12-21-18, 02:58 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

‘Aquaman’ Hooking $70M-$75M 3-Day; ‘Poppins’, ‘Bumblebee’ & ‘Spider-Verse’ Battle For 2nd – Friday Midday B.O.

3rd UPDATE, Midday: Industry box office sources are being conservative in regards to projections since it’s still the pre-holiday period. So while Aquaman‘s $9M Thursday would typically indicate a $80M+ opening (and that could still happen), right now estimates are in the $70M-$75M range over FSS with a first day of $30M including previews of $13.7M. A solid start for what is expected to be a great stretch. Remember, this $200M DC production has already bagged $332.1M offshore. By Christmas Day we could be looking at half billion worldwide for the James Wan-directed feature. Stateside, Aquaman will go down as his second-biggest opener in U.S. Canada over FSS after Furious 7‘s $147.1M start.

Despite what we’re projecting here, there is a school of thought that No. 2 could be a three-way race between Poppins, Bumblebee and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse with $20M. Right now, sources are seeing Disney’s Mary Poppins Returns with a $6.2M first Friday and a projected 3-day of $20M-$23M; by Sunday it’s five-day could be as high as $32M. It’s a musical, it’s going to leg out, and by Sunday could be running as much as 138% ahead of the $13.4M Wednesday through Sunday launch of The Greatest Showman a year ago.

Paramount’s Bumblebee is seeing $7M today, including $2.85M previews, with a 3-day between $18M-$22M. It’s also in for the long haul. A year ago, Fandango reported that millennials can see as many as four films over the Christmas-New Year’s Day corridor.

In fourth is Sony’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse with a second Friday of $5M, -61% because of last Friday’s previews, and a second weekend between $17M-$19M, -49% for a 10-day take of $67.1M on the high-end.
https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman...ce-1202524462/
Old 12-22-18, 11:20 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Box Office: ‘Aquaman’ to Claim No. 1 Spot With $70 Million.

https://variety.com/2018/film/box-of...ee-1203095190/
Old 12-23-18, 08:32 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It'll be interesting to see how Aquaman does in the long run. It's the lowest domestic open for the DCEU, but the Christmas holiday, generally positive reviews, and an already massive overseas take that's close to Justice League's overseas totals should make for a decent success?

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