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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 10-07-18, 10:37 AM
  #1326  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Ests:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Venom (2018) Sony $80,030,000 - 4,250 - $18,831 $80,030,000 $100 1
2 N A Star is Born (2018) WB $41,250,000 - 3,686 - $11,191 $42,600,000 - 1
3 2 Smallfoot WB $14,900,000 -35.3% 4,131 - $3,607 $42,760,945 - 2
4 1 Night School (2018) Uni. $12,275,000 -55.0% 3,019 +9 $4,066 $46,750,355 $29 2
5 3 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $7,295,000 -42.1% 3,463 -129 $2,107 $55,050,560 $42 3
6 4 A Simple Favor LGF $3,435,000 -47.5% 2,408 -665 $1,426 $49,014,356 - 4
7 5 The Nun WB (NL) $2,610,000 -51.9% 2,264 -1,067 $1,153 $113,367,310 $22 5
8 6 Hell Fest LGF $2,075,000 -59.6% 2,297 - $903 $8,864,476 $5.5 2
9 7 Crazy Rich Asians WB $2,060,000 -49.8% 1,466 -881 $1,405 $169,134,942 $30 8
10 8 The Predator (2018) Fox $900,000 -76.7% 1,643 -1,283 $548 $49,985,889 $88 4
11 9 White Boy Rick Studio 8 $575,000 -76.1% 880 -1,137 $653 $23,323,086 $29 4
12 24 Free Solo NGE $540,000 +83.5% 41 +37 $13,171 $953,911 - 2
13 N The Hate U Give Fox $500,000 - 36 - $13,889 $500,000 - 1
14 22 Colette BST $458,831 +18.7% 107 +69 $4,288 $1,238,386 - 3
15 23 Disney's Christopher Robin BV $455,000 +33.6% 1,638 +968 $278 $98,122,382 - 10
16 14 Searching SGem $445,000 -53.4% 412 -602 $1,080 $25,651,660 - 7
17 15 The Wife SPC $403,082 -43.6% 358 -79 $1,126 $6,809,916 - 8
18 31 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $385,000 +170.9% 49 +44 $7,857 $575,455 - 2
19 18 Mission: Impossible - Fallout Par. $300,000 -52.0% 361 -177 $831 $219,732,429 $178 11
20 28 The Sisters Brothers Annapurna $207,229 -11.2% 54 +27 $3,838 $693,727 - 3
Old 10-07-18, 08:53 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Man, Venom managed to WELL exceed expectations. I thought the negative word of mouth would result in a sizeable hit.
Old 10-08-18, 04:11 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Actuals -- A Star is Born corrected up about $1.7m.

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Venom (2018) Sony $80,255,756 - 4,250 - $18,884 $80,255,756 $100 1
2 N A Star is Born (2018) WB $42,908,051 - 3,686 - $11,641 $44,258,051 $36 1
3 2 Smallfoot WB $14,402,559 -37.5% 4,131 - $3,486 $42,263,504 - 2
4 1 Night School (2018) Uni. $12,514,925 -54.1% 3,019 +9 $4,145 $46,991,280 $29 2
5 3 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $7,332,665 -41.8% 3,463 -129 $2,117 $55,088,925 $42 3
6 4 A Simple Favor LGF $3,424,954 -47.6% 2,408 -665 $1,422 $49,004,310 - 4
7 5 The Nun WB (NL) $2,703,281 -50.2% 2,264 -1,067 $1,194 $113,460,591 $22 5
8 7 Crazy Rich Asians WB $2,166,626 -47.2% 1,466 -881 $1,478 $169,241,568 $30 8
9 6 Hell Fest LGF $2,083,759 -59.4% 2,297 - $907 $8,873,235 $5.5 2
10 8 The Predator (2018) Fox $947,358 -75.5% 1,643 -1,283 $577 $50,033,247 $88 4
11 9 White Boy Rick Studio 8 $603,341 -74.9% 880 -1,137 $686 $23,351,427 $29 4
12 24 Free Solo NGE $540,000 +83.5% 41 +37 $13,171 $953,911 - 2
13 N The Hate U Give Fox $512,035 - 36 - $14,223 $512,035 - 1
14 22 Colette BST $492,981 +27.5% 107 +69 $4,607 $1,272,741 - 3
15 10 Peppermint STX $473,806 -73.2% 813 -1,189 $583 $34,717,200 $25 5
16 14 Searching SGem $443,106 -53.6% 412 -602 $1,076 $25,649,766 - 7
17 23 Disney's Christopher Robin BV $435,545 +27.9% 1,638 +968 $266 $98,102,927 - 10
18 31 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $403,928 +184.2% 49 +44 $8,243 $594,383 - 2
19 15 The Wife SPC $383,403 -46.3% 358 -79 $1,071 $6,790,237 - 8
20 18 Mission: Impossible - Fallout Par. $321,576 -48.5% 361 -177 $891 $219,754,005 $178 11
21 26 Incredibles 2 BV $280,305 +3.0% 244 -94 $1,149 $607,125,392 - 17
Old 10-08-18, 06:02 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by fumanstan
Man, Venom managed to WELL exceed expectations.
Looks like Sony willl finally get to greenlight Sinister 6 now.
Old 10-09-18, 11:59 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Due to the partial holiday that is Columbus Day, Venom is now at $90m and A Star is Born at $51m.
Old 10-12-18, 05:32 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Early Read:

Venom $29.6m (-63%) $136.7m cume after the weekend
A Star Is Born $27M (-37%) $93M cume after the weekend.
First Man $17.3m $17.3m cume
Goosebumps 2 $16m
Bad Times at El Royale $9.1m

Worth mentioning that A Star is Born was the #1 movie for Thursday, pulling $4.5m to Venom's $4.25m.
Old 10-12-18, 07:48 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Wondering if First Man is getting hurt by A Star is Born's strong second weekend. IIRC, early projects were something like $25-30M OW.
Old 10-14-18, 10:47 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Venom (2018) Sony $35,700,000 -55.5% 4,250 - $8,400 $142,802,151 $100 2
2 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $28,000,000 -34.7% 3,708 +22 $7,551 $94,160,360 $36 2
3 N First Man Uni. $16,500,000 - 3,640 - $4,533 $16,500,000 $59 1
4 N Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $16,225,000 - 3,521 - $4,608 $16,225,000 $35 1
5 3 Smallfoot WB $9,300,000 -35.4% 3,606 -525 $2,579 $57,608,221 - 3
6 4 Night School (2018) Uni. $8,035,000 -35.8% 2,780 -239 $2,890 $59,843,950 $29 3
7 N Bad Times At The El Royale Fox $7,225,000 - 2,808 - $2,573 $7,225,000 $32 1
8 5 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $3,975,000 -45.8% 2,791 -672 $1,424 $62,251,500 $42 4
9 13 The Hate U Give Fox $1,765,000 +244.7% 248 +212 $7,117 $2,477,314 - 2
10 6 A Simple Favor LGF $1,380,000 -59.7% 1,452 -956 $950 $52,037,508 - 5
11 7 The Nun WB (NL) $1,375,000 -49.1% 1,174 -1,090 $1,171 $115,930,046 $22 6
12 8 Crazy Rich Asians WB $1,078,000 -50.2% 738 -728 $1,461 $171,367,368 $30 9
13 14 Colette BST $1,037,234 +110.4% 593 +486 $1,749 $2,589,686 - 4
14 18 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $912,000 +125.8% 228 +179 $4,000 $1,696,924 - 3
15 9 Hell Fest LGF $650,000 -68.8% 868 -1,429 $749 $10,460,680 $5.5 3
Old 10-14-18, 11:00 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

That's a great hold for A Star is Born. And damn, I thought Venom would drop like a rock but its drop wasn't too bad at all.
Old 10-14-18, 11:22 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah, I was quite surprised by Venom's second weekend. And it does look like A Star is Born might've hurt First Man. Seems like that movie should've come out in November.
Old 10-18-18, 08:49 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Christopher Robin is creeping it's way up to $100 million, but kind of stalled out last weekend and it's at $98.6 million now. Wonder what tricks Disney will pull to get it there?
Old 10-18-18, 11:52 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah I wonder what’s going to happen. Too cold for drive-in double features.
Old 10-18-18, 01:08 PM
  #1338  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Too crazy for Boys Town.

Too much of a boy for Crazy Town.
Old 10-19-18, 12:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Experts are predicting an opening weekend of around $70M for Halloween, which would be phenomenal. Looks like a perfect storm of factors are contributing to this.
Old 10-19-18, 06:33 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Defiant1
Experts are predicting an opening weekend of around $70M for Halloween, which would be phenomenal. Looks like a perfect storm of factors are contributing to this.
I haven't seen any trailers for HALLOWEEN, but I've seen an incredible amount of press devoted to it. Curtis is all over the place. Whoever's directing that publicity campaign seems to know what they're doing. And The New York Times, which didn't even review the first HALLOWEEN, put the review for this one on the front page of its Weekend Arts section today. It was a mixed review, but still...primacy of place.
Old 10-19-18, 07:08 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Defiant1
Experts are predicting an opening weekend of around $70M for Halloween, which would be phenomenal. Looks like a perfect storm of factors are contributing to this.
this was made for $10mil, right? it's going be huge and then the sequels will be crap. oh well. at least we get this, but wish it really was a send-off...
Old 10-21-18, 09:29 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Ests:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Halloween (2018) Uni. $77,501,000 - 3,928 - $19,730 $77,501,000 $10 1
2 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $19,300,000 -32.2% 3,884 +176 $4,969 $126,376,246 $36 3
3 1 Venom (2018) Sony $18,105,000 -48.3% 3,887 -363 $4,658 $171,125,095 $100 3
4 4 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $9,715,000 -38.5% 3,521 - $2,759 $28,804,812 $35 2
5 3 First Man Uni. $8,565,000 -46.5% 3,640 - $2,353 $29,999,050 $59 2
6 9 The Hate U Give Fox $7,500,000 +331.8% 2,303 +2,055 $3,257 $10,641,873 $23 3
7 5 Smallfoot WB $6,615,000 -27.0% 3,032 -574 $2,182 $66,366,035 - 4
8 6 Night School (2018) Uni. $5,000,000 -35.5% 2,296 -484 $2,178 $66,906,825 $29 4
9 7 Bad Times At The El Royale Fox $3,300,000 -53.7% 2,808 - $1,175 $13,341,801 $32 2
10 15 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $2,050,000 +123.4% 802 +574 $2,556 $4,200,856 - 4
11 8 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $1,740,000 -54.7% 1,588 -1,203 $1,096 $64,928,590 $42 5
12 16 Free Solo NGE $1,009,168 +13.3% 251 +122 $4,021 $3,592,812 - 4
13 19 The Sisters Brothers Annapurna $742,014 +181.3% 1,141 +1,012 $650 $1,970,731 - 5
14 14 Colette BST $585,020 -41.5% 520 -73 $1,125 $3,693,223 - 5
15 20 Beautiful Boy (2018) Amazon $439,056 +100.6% 48 +44 $9,147 $722,008 - 2
16 10 The Nun WB (NL) $415,000 -69.2% 623 -551 $666 $116,745,963 $22 7
17 11 A Simple Favor LGF $360,000 -72.9% 492 -960 $732 $52,901,690 - 6
18 N Mid90s A24 $249,500 - 4 - $62,375 $249,500 - 1
19 42 The Oath (2018) RAtt. $223,510 +668.7% 300 +290 $745 $261,406 - 2
20 N Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $150,000 - 5 - $30,000 $150,000 - 1
Old 10-22-18, 07:46 AM
  #1343  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I hope Jamie Lee negotiated a piece of the gate...
Old 10-22-18, 08:13 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by mphtrilogy
I hope Jamie Lee negotiated a piece of the gate...
Allegedly she has the same deal that Ethan Hawke got for Purge and that other blumhouse flick he did: minimal upfront pay but a decent chunk of profits (he made something like $10m when the dust settled. Not bad for a modestly successful flick).

Purge cost $3m and made just under $90m worldwide. JLC just had a very good weekend.
Old 10-22-18, 09:05 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
Allegedly she has the same deal that Ethan Hawke got for Purge and that other blumhouse flick he did: minimal upfront pay but a decent chunk of profits (he made something like $10m when the dust settled. Not bad for a modestly successful flick).

Purge cost $3m and made just under $90m worldwide. JLC just had a very good weekend.
Awesome, was quite happy for her...
Old 10-22-18, 03:15 PM
  #1346  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Now that Venom has been a modest hit, expect Sony to go all-in on expanding the Spideyverse movies.
Old 10-28-18, 09:56 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Estimates 10/28 -

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Halloween (2018) Uni. $32,045,000 -58.0% 3,990 +62 $8,031 $126,698,400 $10 2
2 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $14,145,000 -25.8% 3,904 +20 $3,623 $148,722,400 $36 4
3 3 Venom (2018) Sony $10,800,000 -40.1% 3,567 -320 $3,028 $187,282,314 $100 4
4 4 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $7,500,000 -22.8% 3,723 +202 $2,015 $38,348,809 $35 3
5 N Hunter Killer LG/S $6,650,000 - 2,728 - $2,438 $6,650,000 - 1
6 6 The Hate U Give Fox $5,100,000 -32.9% 2,375 +72 $2,147 $18,300,005 $23 4
7 5 First Man Uni. $4,935,000 -40.7% 2,959 -681 $1,668 $37,880,080 $59 3
8 7 Smallfoot WB $4,750,000 -27.8% 2,662 -370 $1,784 $72,591,050 - 5
9 8 Night School (2018) Uni. $3,255,000 -33.5% 1,991 -305 $1,635 $71,451,025 $29 5
10 20 Mid90s A24 $3,000,000 +1,062.1% 1,206 +1,202 $2,488 $3,350,170 - 2
11 10 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $1,800,000 -15.7% 1,042 +240 $1,727 $7,214,097 - 5
12 N Johnny English Strikes Again Uni. $1,626,000 - 544 - $2,989 $1,626,000 - 1
13 N Indivisible PFR $1,575,000 - 830 - $1,898 $1,575,000 - 1
14 9 Bad Times At The El Royale Fox $1,400,000 -59.1% 1,798 -1,010 $779 $16,593,736 $32 3
15 12 Free Solo NGE $1,061,659 +3.9% 394 +143 $2,695 $5,177,991 - 5
16 11 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $1,045,000 -42.4% 1,042 -546 $1,003 $66,519,015 $42 6
17 18 Beautiful Boy (2018) Amazon $592,897 +46.4% 192 +146 $3,088 $1,435,094 - 3
18 14 Gosnell: The Trial of America's Biggest Serial Killer GVN $389,167 -39.2% 467 -44 $833 $3,206,391 - 3
19 23 Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $380,000 +135.3% 25 +20 $15,200 $610,139 - 2
20 15 Colette BST $327,636 -47.1% 235 -285 $1,394 $4,424,118 - 6
21 13 The Sisters Brothers Annapurna $271,051 -64.2% 774 -367 $350 $2,742,097 - 6
22 N Suspiria Amazon $179,806 - 2 - $89,903 $179,806 - 1
Old 10-29-18, 11:46 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Astounding PTA for Suspiria. And Halloween, even with a 58% decline, holding well. Another winner from Blumhouse and assures there will be a sequel.
Old 11-02-18, 09:15 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Early Reads for this weekend:

1. Bohemian Rhapsody - $48.9m
2. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $20M-$23M
3. Nobody's Fool - $14M-$16M
4. A Star Is Born - $9.5m (-32%)
5. Halloween - $9m (-71%)

Big fall for Halloween, but it is tough to sell a movie called Halloween after Halloween. Plus it pulled $5.5m+ on Halloween. Halloween had a less severe second weekend drop as well because of Halloween.

Last edited by RichC2; 11-03-18 at 06:23 AM.
Old 11-04-18, 03:44 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

MOAR Numbers! Sunday 11/4 Estimates:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $50,000,000 - 4,000 - $12,500 $50,000,000 $52 1
2 N The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $20,000,000 - 3,766 - $5,311 $20,000,000 - 1
3 N Nobody's Fool Par. $14,000,000 - 2,468 - $5,673 $14,000,000 $19 1
4 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $11,100,000 -20.9% 3,431 -473 $3,235 $165,634,566 $36 5
5 1 Halloween (2018) Uni. $11,015,000 -64.9% 3,775 -215 $2,918 $150,408,705 $10 3
6 3 Venom (2018) Sony $7,850,000 -26.3% 3,067 -500 $2,560 $198,663,348 $100 5
7 8 Smallfoot WB $3,805,000 -20.1% 2,002 -660 $1,901 $77,484,301 - 6
8 4 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $3,700,000 -49.2% 2,828 -895 $1,308 $43,832,316 $35 4
9 5 Hunter Killer LG/S $3,525,000 -47.0% 2,720 -8 $1,296 $12,965,116 - 2
10 6 The Hate U Give Fox $3,400,000 -33.4% 1,507 -868 $2,256 $23,460,924 $23 5
11 7 First Man Uni. $2,265,000 -53.4% 1,712 -1,247 $1,323 $42,055,870 $59 4
12 9 Night School (2018) Uni. $2,015,000 -37.7% 1,271 -720 $1,585 $74,412,215 $29 6
13 17 Beautiful Boy (2018) Amazon $1,414,800 +116.5% 540 +348 $2,620 $3,218,042 - 4
14 10 Mid90s A24 $1,360,000 -54.4% 1,091 -115 $1,247 $5,820,967 - 3
15 19 Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $1,080,000 +203.1% 180 +155 $6,000 $1,800,140 - 3
16 12 Johnny English Strikes Again Uni. $1,045,000 -36.2% 552 +8 $1,893 $3,263,765 $25 2


Great opening to BR and A Star is Born refuses to burn out.

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