Obi-Wanma

She has a following, but 100M worldwide on a 56M budget is a flop.

Because none of those other novels come close to the popularity of The Hunger Games. It's like comparing Harry Potter to The Mortal Instruments. Maybe they would have made a little less, but yes, you could have cast any young actress in those movies and they would have made billions. Literally all of my adult female coworkers were excited about the Hunger Games, because they were huge fans of the books.

OldBoy

What’s the prediction on Wrinkle in Time? Not a critical darling at all and will it appeal to little kids? I personally thought the trailer was cool...

dex14

$32mil.

Ash Ketchum

From Box Office Guru:

Do these numbers qualify them all as flops?

E Unit

Well it'll be hard for them to make a whole lot more. Not one of these has had any good word of mouth to keep them going. So now it's up to Tomb Raider and maybe Pacific Rim to try and dethrone Black Panther. My guess is that Tomb Raider will do a little better than Wrinkle in Time. Guess we'll see.

I also hope Roth ends up doing a life term directing one off's on El Rey.

E Unit

Looks like Tomb Raider is bested by Black Panther. I doubt TR will break even on its budget, at least domestically. I’m guessing it’ll fare better overseas - maybe.

http://www.imdb.com/news/ni61963005/

Box Office: ‘Black Panther’ Rules ‘Tomb Raider’ to Claim Fifth Top Weekend

Disney-Marvel’s “Black Panther” will score a rare fifth weekend at the top of the domestic box office with $27 million from 3,834 locations, beating out Warner Bros.’ “Tomb Raider,” which will open with about $22 million from 3,854 sites.

“Black Panther” has continued to break records across the box office, having brought in $585 million domestically in its first 29 days. This weekend’s take will represent the fourth-highest fifth weekend of all time, and the first time a film has held the top spot for five weekends in a row since 2009’s “Avatar,” which dominated for a total of seven weeks.

“Tomb Raider,” a reboot of the Lara Croft franchise and starring Alicia Vikander, took in $2.1 million Thursday for a Friday total of $9 million. The current prediction is just under early tracking, which placed the action film’s opening between $23 and $25 million. As of Friday, the film has earned $45.6 million internationally, for a worldwide total of $54.6 million.

mattysemo247

Black Panther is about a week or so away from passing the US gross of The Last Jedi. That's a pretty amazing feat.

Jumanji is less than 3 million away from becoming Sony's biggest hit ever.

Deftones

BP is also about $20 million away from passing the original Avengers movie.

RichC2

Tomb Raider has a worldwide cume of $126m now thanks to China.

RichC2

Weekend Estimates for 3/16 - 3/18/18:

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 1 Black Panther BV $27,024,000 -33.8% 3,834 -108 $7,049 $605,400,528 - 5 2 N Tomb Raider WB $23,525,000 - 3,854 - $6,104 $23,525,000 $94 1 3 N I Can Only Imagine RAtt. $17,064,640 - 1,629 - $10,476 $17,064,640 $7 1 4 2 A Wrinkle in Time BV $16,565,000 -50.0% 3,980 - $4,162 $61,059,654 - 2 5 N Love, Simon Fox $11,500,000 - 2,402 - $4,788 $11,500,000 $17 1 6 5 Game Night WB (NL) $5,570,000 -29.2% 2,686 -375 $2,074 $54,174,184 $37 4 7 6 Peter Rabbit Sony $5,200,000 -23.3% 2,725 -387 $1,908 $102,440,268 $50 6 8 3 Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron $4,810,000 -53.8% 2,464 - $1,952 $18,612,052 - 2 9 4 Red Sparrow Fox $4,450,000 -47.7% 2,583 -481 $1,723 $39,583,642 $69 3 10 7 Death Wish (2018) MGM $3,368,000 -48.8% 2,676 -206 $1,259 $29,949,685 $30 3 11 8 Annihilation Par. $1,700,000 -48.5% 1,087 -622 $1,564 $29,594,743 $40 4 12 10 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $1,650,000 -39.8% 1,556 -601 $1,060 $400,273,598 $90 13 13 N 7 Days in Entebbe Focus $1,628,000 - 838 - $1,943 $1,628,000 - 1 14 13 The Greatest Showman Fox $1,175,000 -38.6% 737 -215 $1,594 $169,744,618 $84 13 15 9 The Hurricane Heist ENTMP $1,031,000 -65.9% 2,283 -119 $452 $5,366,921 $35 2 16 12 The Shape of Water FoxS $800,000 -65.9% 758 -794 $1,055 $62,688,637 - 16 17 11 Gringo STX $630,000 -76.9% 2,314 -90 $272 $4,506,211 - 2 18 14 Fifty Shades Freed Uni. $615,000 -55.0% 873 -484 $704 $99,632,300 $55 6 19 29 The Death of Stalin IFC $580,576 +214.2% 32 +28 $18,143 $843,967 - 2 20 15 Thoroughbreds Focus $470,000 -61.6% 564 +15 $833 $2,278,360 - 2

Jumanji cracked $400m, BP cracked $600m. The Shape of Water is now Del Toro's 2nd highest grossing movie worldwide (behind Pacific Rim), and for those curious, Gringo's 76.9% drop is the 25th worst 2nd weekend drop - sandwiched between From Justin to Kelly (77% drop) and In the Name of the King: A Dungeon Siege Tale (76.8% drop)

Ash Ketchum

I CAN ONLY IMAGINE came in at #3. Never heard of it. Don't make me look it up, I can only imagine what I'll find. Can someone give me a one-line description that softens the blow? Thanks.

RichC2

Faith-based movie about a popular Christian Rock song by the same title. Father/Son stuff.

Bluelitespecial

I’m happy Death Wish will make its budget back, worldwide grosses, plus home video releases will help it be profitable.

Decker

Man, those faith-based movies always bring in eyeballs. Don't have to be any good, doesn't have to look better than a TV soft drink commercial, don't have to have any stars attached, don't have to advertise much. Just talk about God a lot without a shred of irony and you'll double your budget opening weekend. Hallelujah!

Do churches just bus their congregants in for a special night out activity? I think they might.

dex14

Yes, that's a major portion of it. They rent out the theatre.

Ash Ketchum

From Box Office Guru:

RichC2

That's the other thing, they always seem to get crazy high cinemascores.

TomOpus

It's a captive audience.

[email protected]

A friend of mine writes a weekly blog about box office predictions/results that might interest people here. As former President of Distribution at Sony Pictures, its a bit of an insider's take, but still makes for pretty interesting (and lighthearted) reading.

https://celluloidjunkie.com/author/jimamos/

RichC2

That's cool, I like his writing style:

The real secret weapon, revealed

TomOpus

Wow, what movie was that quote about? Cloris Leachman...haven't heard much about her for a while, even though she's still making movies.

RichC2

She's one of the leads in the 3rd ranking I Can Only Imagine

[email protected]

Yeah, the Cloris Leachman comment was actually a callback to the previous week's column:

"This is the first film in recent memory (or long term memory for that matter) where the lead actor’s IMDB page doesn’t include a photo of him. Note to Mr. Finley’s agent, spring for a head shot. Co-star Dennis Quaid has to be wondering WTH happened to his career and we won’t even mention the film’s other co-star Cloris Leachman other than to say she played the Granny character in the film version of “The Beverly Hillbillies”. And that was 26 years ago."

TomOpus

I guess I'll have to miss that performance.

Thrush

BP is now the highest grossing Superhero movie of all time.