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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 07-03-17, 03:59 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

For Monday it looks like DM3 will land another $14.5m, $86.9m 4-day cume. It's actual for the weekend was lower than estimated, around $72m.

Baby Driver, which had an actual of $29.5m, is looking at another $4.5 - $5m on Monday, or roughly $34m cume.
Old 07-05-17, 12:24 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Dunkirk is currently tracking at $35m opening weekend
Valerian is currently tracking at $20m opening weekend
Old 07-05-17, 01:39 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Spider-Man: Homecoming tracking between $90-120M+; Sony saying $80M (reminds me of Warner's $65M for Wonder Woman ).
Old 07-06-17, 08:21 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ Catching Around $10M+ In Thursday Night Previews

http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
Old 07-06-17, 11:38 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Now $13m+
Old 07-07-17, 12:13 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Probably looking at a $110-120M OW is my guess.
Old 07-07-17, 10:38 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It wound up pulling $15.4m.

Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.

Despicable Me 3 has pulled $107m so far (thru Wednesday)
Baby Driver has pulled $41.7m so far (thru Wednesday)
Wonder Woman has pulled $356.7m (thru Wednesday) and has a real shot of beating Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 at this point. (Guardians has made $28m more than Wonder Woman so far, WW still has some legs)

Last edited by RichC2; 07-07-17 at 10:44 AM.
Old 07-07-17, 02:43 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ Swinging Toward $105M-$112M+ Weekend Opening

http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
Old 07-07-17, 02:51 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
It wound up pulling $15.4m.

Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.
Using the same multiplier as JW (11.6x from Thursday showings; and that's an insane multiplier) takes Spider-Man to around $171M. Ain't getting close to that IMO.

Someone over at HSX posted these multipliers:
CAPA3 7.2x, $111M | SUICD 6.5x, $100M | DRSTR 9.0x, $138M | GOTG2 8.6x, $132M | WONDR 9.4x $145M

CAPA3 = Captain America: Civil War


Oh, and in studio funny numbers, Sony is seeing $99M

What is it with these studios? This and then Warner's $65M OW for Wonder Woman...
Old 07-08-17, 10:17 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Deadline:

6th Update writethru Saturday AM following Friday 11PM post: Spider-Man: Homecoming is poised to become the second-highest domestic opening ever for Sony with a three-day that’s between $125-$127M per industry estimates as of this morning at 4,348 theaters.
Old 07-08-17, 11:07 AM
  #636  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TheMovieman
Using the same multiplier as JW (11.6x from Thursday showings; and that's an insane multiplier) takes Spider-Man to around $171M. Ain't getting close to that IMO.

Someone over at HSX posted these multipliers:
CAPA3 7.2x, $111M | SUICD 6.5x, $100M | DRSTR 9.0x, $138M | GOTG2 8.6x, $132M | WONDR 9.4x $145M

CAPA3 = Captain America: Civil War


Oh, and in studio funny numbers, Sony is seeing $99M

What is it with these studios? This and then Warner's $65M OW for Wonder Woman...
Tracking simply ain't what it used to be. And I didn't necessarily mean it'd be 1:1, it's just always funny seeing them adjust their estimates up repeatedly.

Most estimates deal in initial interest only, strong reviews and WOM are more important these days when it comes to getting people over 13 into theaters.
Old 07-08-17, 11:46 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
Tracking simply ain't what it used to be. And I didn't necessarily mean it'd be 1:1, it's just always funny seeing them adjust their estimates up repeatedly.

Most estimates deal in initial interest only, strong reviews and WOM are more important these days when it comes to getting people over 13 into theaters.
Every weekend, well for the big ones anyway, estimates usually do go way up (unless a movie has terrible WOM).

I understand why studios underestimate, but it is getting ridiculous when they are so far off. Even going off of Sony's most recent projection ($99M), will likely be off by $35-40M. Warner was off of Wonder Woman by $38M (I don't recall if they ever upped it at all).

Still, quite the year for these superhero movies which will finish 2, 3 and 4 in 2017 (#1 being Star Wars).

Seems right now, Wonder Woman might just squeak past $400M (or Warner will make sure of it), Guardians 2 around $390M and Spider-Man has a good chance of getting to $400M since competition is rather weak (wouldn't surprise me if SM is again #1 next weekend if Apes under-performs), unless it acts like Captain America: Civil War which had bad legs (only a 2.28x) despite great reviews.
Old 07-09-17, 09:26 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Official estimates from the studio still need to come in, but Deadline is saying $116-118M.
Old 07-09-17, 11:13 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony $117,015,000 - 4,348 - $26,912 $117,015,000 $175 1
2 1 Despicable Me 3 Uni. $33,998,875 -53.1% 4,535 +6 $7,497 $149,189,535 $80 2
3 2 Baby Driver TriS $12,750,000 -38.0% 3,226 - $3,952 $56,883,072 $34 2
4 4 Wonder Woman WB $10,135,000 -35.5% 3,091 -313 $3,279 $368,786,191 $149 6
5 3 Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $6,300,000 -62.7% 3,241 -891 $1,944 $118,916,760 $217 3
6 5 Cars 3 BV $5,636,000 -41.8% 2,702 -874 $2,086 $133,733,412 - 4
7 6 The House WB (NL) $4,815,000 -44.8% 3,134 - $1,536 $18,630,678 $40 2
8 12 The Big Sick LGF $3,650,000 +120.9% 326 +255 $11,196 $6,920,323 - 3
9 7 47 Meters Down ENTMP $2,768,400 -38.7% 1,740 -510 $1,591 $38,462,047 - 4
10 8 The Beguiled (2017) Focus $2,086,225 -34.1% 941 +267 $2,217 $7,435,559 - 3
11 10 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $1,200,000 -52.5% 1,039 -635 $1,155 $168,825,297 $230 7
12 9 The Mummy (2017) Uni. $1,164,135 -61.4% 1,045 -715 $1,114 $77,974,405 $125 5
13 13 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $846,000 -45.0% 660 -306 $1,282 $385,546,006 $200 10
14 17 The Hero Orch. $651,330 -22.4% 447 +46 $1,457 $2,810,325 - 5
15 11 All Eyez on Me LG/S $610,000 -66.6% 599 -659 $1,018 $44,320,039 $40 4
Old 07-09-17, 11:16 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Damn, Wonder Woman still trucking.
Old 07-09-17, 11:18 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Probably has a good shot at $400M. I thought for sure it'd fall 45%+ with Spider-Man opening.
Old 07-09-17, 11:59 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

so did SM:H break a record of any kind? i mean, how does this break down as reboots go or Marvel movies or whoever?
Old 07-09-17, 12:01 PM
  #643  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by OldBoy
so did SM:H break a record of any kind? i mean, how does this break down as reboots go or Marvel movies or whoever?
Um, not sure if it broke any records (don't think so). It's the second largest Spider-Man opening. Also, technically while it is a MCU movie, Sony gets the box office money.

You can see how it compares to this year opposite Wonder Woman and Guardians 2.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdow...7superhero.htm
Old 07-09-17, 02:15 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Right now it's inching out Man of Steel for biggest reboot opening weekend (I'm not counting Jurassic World here), but that may change tomorrow. But really that's just grasping for straws.

It did very well, but it isn't the highest grossing Spider-man (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Sony movie (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Marvel movie (Avengers wins that).
Old 07-09-17, 02:23 PM
  #645  
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Nice to see 47 Meters Down performing well. The Weinsteins probably regret selling the movie.
Old 07-10-17, 03:54 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony $117,027,503 - 4,348 - $26,915 $117,027,503 $175 1
2 1 Despicable Me 3 Uni. $33,580,425 -53.6% 4,535 +6 $7,405 $148,771,085 $80 2
3 2 Baby Driver TriS $13,002,721 -36.7% 3,226 - $4,031 $57,135,793 $34 2
4 4 Wonder Woman WB $9,822,105 -37.5% 3,091 -313 $3,178 $368,473,296 $149 6
5 3 Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $6,376,578 -62.2% 3,241 -891 $1,967 $118,993,338 $217 3
6 5 Cars 3 BV $5,382,248 -44.5% 2,702 -874 $1,992 $133,479,660 - 4
7 6 The House WB (NL) $4,778,272 -45.2% 3,134 - $1,525 $18,593,950 $40 2
8 12 The Big Sick LGF $3,576,646 +116.5% 326 +255 $10,971 $6,846,969 - 3
9 7 47 Meters Down ENTMP $2,714,172 -39.9% 1,740 -510 $1,560 $38,407,820 - 4
10 8 The Beguiled (2017) Focus $2,062,675 -34.8% 941 +267 $2,192 $7,412,009 - 3
11 10 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $1,187,170 -53.0% 1,039 -635 $1,143 $168,812,467 $230 7
12 9 The Mummy (2017) Uni. $1,185,925 -60.6% 1,045 -715 $1,135 $77,996,195 $125 5
13 13 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $860,020 -44.1% 660 -306 $1,303 $385,560,026 $200 10
14 11 All Eyez on Me LG/S $606,390 -66.8% 599 -659 $1,012 $44,316,429 $40 4
15 17 The Hero Orch. $594,066 -29.2% 447 +46 $1,329 $2,753,061 - 5
Old 07-10-17, 03:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

So, this is a case where Wonder Woman's numbers went fairly significantly down from the estimates.
Old 07-14-17, 09:49 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Deadline
The 20th Century Fox threequel is off to solid start earning $5M at 3,251 locations, which is 22% higher than the $4.1M earned by 2014’s Dawn of the Planet of the Apes. War for the Planet of the Apes also beat the $3.7M accumulated by Warner Bros./Legendary’s Kong: Skull Island on its Thursday night preview.
$5m for Apes last night, solid start.
Old 07-14-17, 10:47 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

One caveat, when did previews for Dawn start? Was it 7pm like it's today or 10pm?
Old 07-14-17, 12:11 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TheMovieman
One caveat, when did previews for Dawn start? Was it 7pm like it's today or 10pm?
10 pm

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