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The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Old 02-10-17, 10:52 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
LEGO Batman and John Wick 2 made $2.2m on Thursday, 50 Shades did $5.72m
That is interesting. Lego Batman was tracking much higher than 50 Shades. Never underestimate porn for women I guess.
Old 02-10-17, 10:54 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

So Fiddy Shades is going to make bank again? That sucks.
Old 02-10-17, 10:55 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by DVD Josh
That is interesting. Lego Batman was tracking much higher than 50 Shades. Never underestimate porn for women I guess.
It's a kids movie. Kids movies don't do big business on Thursday night when kids are still in school.
Old 02-10-17, 11:00 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Yeah Lego should do well tomorrow, as it was a great movie. Wick is good counter programming.

My wife wants to skip Darker, since she didnt like the original. (but did like the books)
Old 02-10-17, 11:09 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by DVD Josh
That is interesting. Lego Batman was tracking much higher than 50 Shades. Never underestimate porn for women I guess.
LEGO Batman is expected to win the 3 day weekend by a lot, Fifty Shades basically has a 5 day weekend due to Tuesday being Valentine's.
Old 02-10-17, 11:18 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Still, I doubt 50 Shades will cross $100M domestically. After Tuesday it'll fall off a cliff.
Old 02-10-17, 11:21 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by Obi-Wan Jabroni
It's a kids movie. Kids movies don't do big business on Thursday night when kids are still in school.
Tell that the parents at my local theater.
Old 02-10-17, 11:38 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I'm sure there's some, I'm just saying that I wouldn't expect a kids movie to open nearly as big on a Thursday night in February as it might on a Thursday night in July.

Also, I'm sure you get a lot of kids at 7 or 8 PM, but these Thursday openings often run late into the night, so I'm sure it's a lot easier to get Adult women in the theater for 9PM or later screenings on Thursday night than it is to get kids

Last edited by Obi-Wanma; 02-10-17 at 12:04 PM.
Old 02-10-17, 11:45 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by TheMovieman
Still, I doubt 50 Shades will cross $100M domestically. After Tuesday it'll fall off a cliff.
50 Shades of Grey opened when Valentine's was on a Saturday in 2015 and on President's Day weekend. It had an opening weekend of $85m and then dropped 73.9% the following weekend.

In otherwords, I agree it won't crack $100m.
Old 02-10-17, 03:10 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Based off manatees:

LEGO Batman: $65m weekend, $17m Friday
Fifty Shades: $40m+ weekend, about $18m - $20m Friday
John Wick Dos: High $20m - low $30m weekend, about $11m - $12m Friday

The LEGO Batman movie hooking $65M for the weekend with $17M today. There are some who think LEGO Batman can even do much higher as this weekend clicks along

Universal’s Fifty Shades Darker looks to file an estimated $18M-$20M on its way to a low $40M weekend. How frontloaded Friday is, is the question as the sequel lacks Valentine’s Day on Saturday, but will make up for it on Tuesday when advance ticket sales kick in.

Lionsgate/Summit’s John Wick: Chapter 2 is all fired up, with an estimated $11M-$12M Friday for a high $20M weekend, possibly cracking $30M.
Old 02-10-17, 03:53 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
Based off manatees:
Since when did underwater mammals start predicting box office results? That's some Minority Report shit right there...
Old 02-10-17, 03:57 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by OldBoy
Since when did underwater mammals start predicting box office results? That's some Minority Report shit right there...
Old 02-10-17, 04:00 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by OldBoy
Since when did underwater mammals start predicting box office results? That's some Minority Report shit right there...
It was in their contract negotiations with Family Guy.
Old 02-10-17, 04:29 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I think LEGO Batman ends up doing better than expected business. Kid movies always outperform when it's watchable for adults as well.
Old 02-12-17, 11:51 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by PhantomStranger
I think LEGO Batman ends up doing better than expected business. Kid movies always outperform when it's watchable for adults as well.
Some estimates had it as high as $75m for the weekend, it pulled $55m.

The original LEGO Movie opened to $69m en route to $257.8m / $469m WW // Change: -19.4%
The original Fifty Shades opened to $85.2m en route to $166m / $571m WW (Opened on Presidents Day weekend (Monday Holiday) and Valentine's was on Saturday that year) // Change: -45%
The original John Wick opened to $14.4m en route to $43m / $86m WW // Change: +108%

Weekend Estimates for 2/10 - 2/12/2017

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N The LEGO Batman Movie WB $55,635,000 - 4,088 - $13,609 $55,635,000 $80 1
2 N Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $46,797,825 - 3,710 - $12,614 $46,797,825 $55 1
3 N John Wick: Chapter Two LG/S $30,015,000 - 3,113 - $9,642 $30,015,000 - 1
4 1 Split Uni. $9,321,110 -35.4% 2,961 -412 $3,148 $112,293,380 $9 4
5 4 Hidden Figures Fox $8,000,000 -21.5% 2,667 -734 $3,000 $131,452,250 $25 8
6 3 A Dog's Purpose Uni. $7,365,335 -29.9% 3,025 -153 $2,435 $42,595,010 $22 3
7 2 Rings Par. $5,820,000 -55.2% 2,931 - $1,986 $21,492,286 $25 2
8 5 La La Land LG/S $5,000,000 -32.2% 2,065 -1,171 $2,421 $126,010,345 $30 10
9 10 Lion Wein. $4,083,000 +8.6% 1,337 -68 $3,054 $30,368,722 - 12
10 9 The Space Between Us STX $1,760,000 -53.4% 2,758 -54 $638 $6,595,158 $30 2
11 7 Sing Uni. $1,632,750 -59.7% 1,479 -814 $1,104 $265,337,745 $75 8
12 11 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $1,516,000 -48.1% 929 -684 $1,632 $527,182,968 $200 9
13 8 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage Par. $1,465,000 -62.2% 1,178 -1,300 $1,244 $43,077,048 $85 4
14 6 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter SGem $1,350,000 -71.3% 1,213 -1,891 $1,113 $25,215,430 $40 3
15 24 I am Not Your Negro Magn. $830,000 +20.9% 115 +72 $7,217 $1,839,040 - 2
16 N Jolly Llb 2 FIP $780,000 - 173 - $4,509 $780,000 - 1
17 13 The Founder Wein. $750,000 -47.7% 454 -482 $1,652 $11,231,245 - 4
18 15 Moana BV $726,000 -45.7% 461 -386 $1,575 $243,180,866 - 12
19 17 Fences Par. $720,000 -41.7% 454 -494 $1,586 $53,940,727 $24 9
20 N The Oscar Nominated Short Films 2017 Magn. $660,000 - 184 - $3,587 $660,000 - 1
21 12 Monster Trucks Par. $620,000 -71.4% 842 -1,059 $736 $32,195,927 - 5
22 19 Moonlight (2016) A24 $592,839 -40.8% 351 -491 $1,689 $20,426,600 - 17


Also worth mentioning again is just how well Split, Hidden Figures and La La Land are doing.

Last edited by RichC2; 02-12-17 at 11:58 AM.
Old 02-12-17, 11:53 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

50 Shades did better than expected, but I do wonder if it's overestimated.
Old 02-13-17, 09:46 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Actuals 2/10 - 2/12/2017:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N The LEGO Batman Movie WB $53,003,468 - 4,088 - $12,966 $53,003,468 $80 1
2 N Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $46,607,250 - 3,710 - $12,563 $46,607,250 $55 1
3 N John Wick: Chapter Two LG/S $30,436,123 - 3,113 - $9,777 $30,436,123 - 1
4 1 Split Uni. $9,525,935 -34.0% 2,961 -412 $3,217 $112,498,205 $9 4
5 4 Hidden Figures Fox $8,002,670 -21.5% 2,667 -734 $3,001 $131,454,920 $25 8
6 3 A Dog's Purpose Uni. $7,271,430 -30.8% 3,025 -153 $2,404 $42,501,105 $22 3
7 2 Rings Par. $5,649,575 -56.6% 2,931 - $1,928 $21,321,861 $25 2
8 5 La La Land LG/S $4,943,811 -32.9% 2,065 -1,171 $2,394 $125,954,156 $30 10
9 10 Lion Wein. $3,950,610 +5.1% 1,337 -68 $2,955 $30,236,332 - 12
10 7 Sing Uni. $1,703,625 -58.0% 1,479 -814 $1,152 $265,408,620 $75 8
11 9 The Space Between Us STX $1,686,364 -55.3% 2,758 -54 $611 $6,511,522 $30 2
12 8 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage Par. $1,514,592 -60.9% 1,178 -1,300 $1,286 $43,126,640 $85 4
13 11 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $1,495,988 -48.8% 929 -684 $1,610 $527,162,956 $200 9
14 6 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter SGem $1,386,438 -70.5% 1,213 -1,891 $1,143 $25,251,868 $40 3
15 24 I am Not Your Negro Magn. $820,831 +19.6% 115 +72 $7,138 $1,839,871 - 2
16 N Jolly Llb 2 FIP $774,355 - 173 - $4,476 $774,355 - 1
17 15 Moana BV $734,927 -45.1% 461 -386 $1,594 $243,189,793 - 12
18 13 The Founder Wein. $723,998 -49.5% 454 -482 $1,595 $11,205,243 - 4
19 17 Fences Par. $723,054 -41.4% 454 -494 $1,593 $53,943,781 $24 9
20 16 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $702,053 -47.1% 454 -520 $1,546 $45,102,041 - 13
Old 02-13-17, 09:50 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

That's a nice take for the top 3 movies.

Hopefully I'll get to see John Wick on Wednesday on my day off.

I'm also interested in Lego Batman, that looks fun.

I did see Fifty Shades of Grey and I guess I'll see Darker too, but probably not right away.
Old 02-13-17, 09:58 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Very nice for Split and HF. John Wick wasn't to too bad. What was the production budget on it?
Old 02-13-17, 10:17 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by OldBoy
Very nice for Split and HF. John Wick wasn't to too bad. What was the production budget on it?
Wick did excellent, up more than 100% than John Wick opening weekend.
Old 02-15-17, 08:55 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=xxx3.htm

xXx: The Return of Xander Cage has made over $230M worldwide.

While it was a stateside dud, it probably made enough money for another sequel. It's done really well in China apparently. I'm guessing if another movie gets made, the Chinese would help finance it.

http://deadline.com/2017/02/xxx-retu...ce-1201912386/
Old 02-17-17, 03:07 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Earliest estimates based on 7:00 pm + matinees:

The Lego Batman Movie $6m Friday, $31M FSS, $39.5M 4-day
Fifty Shades Darker $4.5m FRiday, $16M+ FSS, $19.5M 4-day
The Great Wall $5.5m Friday., $15.6m FSS, $18.2m 4-Day
Fist Fight $4.25m Friday, $13.2m FSS, $15m 4-day
John Wick $3.25m Friday, $11m FSS, $13.5m FSSM
A Cure for Wellness $2.25M Friday, $9M for the 4 day

John Wick seems low to me considering its mid-week performance, but we'll see. At this point last week they had Wick pulling low $20s instead of $30m. Other sites are estimating closer to $17m.
Old 02-22-17, 02:07 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Originally Posted by RichC2
50 Shades of Grey opened when Valentine's was on a Saturday in 2015 and on President's Day weekend. It had an opening weekend of $85m and then dropped 73.9% the following weekend.

In otherwords, I agree it won't crack $100m.
It's already at $91m as of today, so it will easily hit that. I absolutely hate when people support this type of garbage.
Old 02-26-17, 09:42 AM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Current estimates for the weekend thru 2/26:

Get Out - $30.9m
Lego Batman - $19.1m
John Wick 2 - $9.35m (that's a 42% drop)
Old 02-26-17, 01:53 PM
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Box Office 2/24 - 2/26/17:

>
<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2017&wknd=07&p=.htm"><<Last Weekend <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2016&wknd=08&p=.htm"><Last YearView Index: <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/?yr=2017&p=.htm">By Year | <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/?view=wknd&wknd=08&p=.htm">By Weekend 
<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=rank&order=ASC&p=.htm">TW<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=ranklw&order=ASC&p=.htm">LW<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=title&order=ASC&p=.htm">Title (click to view)<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=studio&order=ASC&p=.htm">Studio<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=gross&order=ASC&p=.htm">Weekend Gross<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=change&order=DESC&p=.htm">% Change<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=theaters&order=DESC&p=.htm">Theater Count / <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=theaterchange&order=ASC&p=.htm">Change<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=avg&order=DESC&p=.htm">Average<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=totalgross&order=DESC&p=.htm">Total Gross<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=budget_production&order=DESC&p=.htm">Budget*<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=wknum&order=ASC&p=.htm">Week #
1 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=blumhouse2.htm">Get Out <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $30,524,435 - 2,781 - $10,976 $30,524,435 $4.5 1
2 1 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lego2.htm">The LEGO Batman Movie <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=warnerbros.htm">WB $19,000,000 -41.8% 4,057 -31 $4,683 $133,006,578 $80 3
3 4 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=johnwick2.htm">John Wick: Chapter Two <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $9,000,000 -44.5% 2,954 -159 $3,047 $74,412,700 - 3
4 3 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=greatwall.htm">The Great Wall <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $8,700,000 -52.9% 3,328 +2 $2,614 $34,424,800 $150 2
5 2 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fiftyshadesdarker.htm">Fifty Shades Darker <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $7,700,400 -62.0% 3,216 -498 $2,394 $103,635,615 $55 3
6 5 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fistfight.htm">Fist Fight <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=wb-newline.htm">WB (NL) $6,380,000 -47.7% 3,185 - $2,003 $23,254,827 - 2
7 6 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hiddenfigures.htm">Hidden Figures <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=fox.htm">Fox $5,875,000 -18.6% 2,022 -195 $2,906 $152,815,804 $25 10
8 9 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lalaland.htm">La La Land <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $4,600,000 +0.2% 1,733 +146 $2,654 $140,860,065 $30 12
9 7 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=split2017.htm">Split <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $4,118,460 -42.5% 1,901 -544 $2,166 $130,843,355 $9 6
10 11 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lion.htm">Lion <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=weinsteincompany.htm">Wein. $3,807,000 -9.4% 1,802 +260 $2,113 $42,815,337 - 14
11 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=rockdog.htm">Rock Dog <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $3,700,000 - 2,077 - $1,781 $3,700,000 - 1
12 8 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=adogspurpose.htm">A Dog's Purpose <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $3,561,730 -37.7% 2,089 -311 $1,705 $57,570,335 $22 5
13 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=autobahn.htm">Collide <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=openroads.htm">ORF $1,539,590 - 2,045 - $753 $1,539,590 - 1
14 10 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=acureforwellness.htm">A Cure for Wellness <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=fox.htm">Fox $1,375,000 -68.4% 2,704 - $509 $7,470,250 $40 2
15 13 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=disney1116.htm">Moana <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=buenavista.htm">BV $840,000 -21.4% 378 -46 $2,222 $246,039,922 - 14
16 20 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=moonlight2016.htm">Moonlight (2016) <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=a24.htm">A24 $765,908 +41.6% 585 +130 $1,309 $22,286,234 - 19
17 16 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fences.htm">Fences <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=paramount.htm">Par. $755,000 -9.6% 597 +37 $1,265 $56,531,288 $24 11
18 12 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=rings.htm">Rings <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=paramount.htm">Par. $680,000 -71.0% 719 -841 $946 $27,289,474 $25 4
19 31 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=aunitedkingdom.htm">A United Kingdom <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=foxsearchlight.htm">FoxS $548,000 +105.1% 145 +100 $3,779 $1,027,500 - 3
20 21 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=manchesterbythesea.htm">Manchester by the Sea <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=roadsideattractions.htm">RAtt. $487,500 -7.3% 442 +49 $1,103 $46,881,913 - 15


Excellent performances by Get Out, The Batman Lego Movie, John Wick, Hidden Figures, La La Land, Split, Lion, A Dog's Purpose, Fences and Manchester by the Sea. Fifty Shades Darker is doing much better than I expected.

I'm actually kind of impressed at how well The Great Wall is doing as well. Arrival cracked $100m last week, and it looks like Passengers will end just shy of that (~$99.5m-ish). Fist Fight also had a respectable hold.

Last edited by RichC2; 02-26-17 at 02:01 PM.

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