boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
05-05-13, 02:41 PM
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boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
Well a site that is in the business of tracking boxoffice winners and losers should be pretty good at predicting this Summers hits, maybe?
I think Man of Steel and Star Trek as well as F&F 6 might be a bit off but who knows?
Full article with their reasoning and explaination here:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3674&p=.htm
--- Here's thier picks:
1. Iron Man 3 (Domestic: $400 million, Foreign: $600 million)
2. Despicable Me 2 (Domestic: $300 million; Foreign: $410 million)
3. Man of Steel (Domestic: $290 million, Foreign: $360 million)
4. Monsters University (Domestic: $280 million; Foreign: $470 million)
5. Star Trek Into Darkness (Domestic: $250 million, Foreign: $400 million)
6. Fast & Furious 6 (Domestic: $215 million, Foreign: $500 million)
7. The Heat (Domestic: $155 million, Foreign: $125 million)
8. The Hangover Part III (Domestic: $150 million, Foreign: $300 million)
9. Pacific Rim (Domestic: $145 million, Foreign: $330 million)
10. White House Down Domestic: $140 million, Foreign: $190 million)
11. Lone Ranger (Domestic: $135 million, Foreign: $270 million)
12. World War Z (Domestic: $135 million, Foreign: $285 million)
13. Epic (Domestic: $130 million, Foreign: $245 million)
14. The Wolverine (Domestic: $125 million, Foreign: $250 million)
15. Elysium (Domestic: $120 million, Foreign: $155 million)
16. (tie) The Smurfs 2 (Domestic: $115 million, Foreign: $460 million)
17. (tie) Turbo (Domestic: $115 million, Foreign: $205 million)
18. . Grown Ups 2 (Domestic: $110 million, Foreign: $125 million)
19. After Earth (Domestic: $105 million, Foreign: $310 million)
20. (tie) The Great Gatsby (Domestic Forecast: $100 million, Foreign: $150 million)
20. (tie) 2 Guns (Domestic: $100 million, Foreign: $95 million)
Other Noteworthy Titles
There are a handful of major releases that didn't make this list. Here's a breakdown of those titles, with a quick explanation for why they were left off.
The Internship (June 6): A reteaming of Wedding Crashers duo Vince Vaughn and Owen Wilson should be a slam-dunk, but The Internship's odd trailers give off the impression this movie should have come out in 2007, not 2013.
This is the End (June 13): Previews for This is the End deliver a lot of laughs, but the notion of stars playing themselves is something that probably won't connect outside of major cities.
R.I.P.D. (July 19): If there's one Summer 2013 movie that's likely to take the Jonah Hex awards (ill-advised, low-grossing comic book adaptation), it has to be R.I.P.D.
Red 2 (July 19): 2010's Red was a surprise hit with $90.4 million; while the sequel does add a few interesting cast members (Catherine Zeta-Jones, Anthony Hopkins), it feels like the premise itself has already worn out its welcome.
300: Rise of An Empire (Aug. 2): The original 300 earned an incredible $210.6 million in 2007, which made a follow-up seem very logical. However, that movie had a very definitive ending, and without director Zack Snyder or star Gerard Butler, audiences are likely going to treat this as nothing but a knock-off.
Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (Aug. 7): The first Percy movie was a solid performer with $88.8 million at the domestic box office—the sequel, though, appears designed specifically to build on the $138 million foreign haul, and the best-case scenario is that domestic winds up about even.
Planes (Aug. 9): This Cars spin-off was originally supposed to be direct-to-video, but early this year Disney decided on a theatrical release. Unfortunately, August is historically a dead zone for animated movies, and it doesn't help that so many major animated releases are coming before it this Summer.
We're the Millers (Aug. 9): Without a ton of comedy competition and with Horrible Bosses stars Jennifer Aniston and Jason Sudeikis, this could wind up a surprise hit—unfortunately, there's almost no material available for this title right now, so it's going to stay off the main list.
Kick-Ass 2 (Aug. 16): Riding a wave of hype, the first movie only wound up with $48.1 million; even coming off strong home video business, it's unlikely that this sequel drastically outgrosses its predecessor.
One Direction: This is Us (Aug. 30): The One Direction 3D concert movie could be a minor late Summer hit, but it's unlikely it matches Justin Bieber: Never Say Never ($73 million).
I think Man of Steel and Star Trek as well as F&F 6 might be a bit off but who knows?
Full article with their reasoning and explaination here:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3674&p=.htm
--- Here's thier picks:
1. Iron Man 3 (Domestic: $400 million, Foreign: $600 million)
2. Despicable Me 2 (Domestic: $300 million; Foreign: $410 million)
3. Man of Steel (Domestic: $290 million, Foreign: $360 million)
4. Monsters University (Domestic: $280 million; Foreign: $470 million)
5. Star Trek Into Darkness (Domestic: $250 million, Foreign: $400 million)
6. Fast & Furious 6 (Domestic: $215 million, Foreign: $500 million)
7. The Heat (Domestic: $155 million, Foreign: $125 million)
8. The Hangover Part III (Domestic: $150 million, Foreign: $300 million)
9. Pacific Rim (Domestic: $145 million, Foreign: $330 million)
10. White House Down Domestic: $140 million, Foreign: $190 million)
11. Lone Ranger (Domestic: $135 million, Foreign: $270 million)
12. World War Z (Domestic: $135 million, Foreign: $285 million)
13. Epic (Domestic: $130 million, Foreign: $245 million)
14. The Wolverine (Domestic: $125 million, Foreign: $250 million)
15. Elysium (Domestic: $120 million, Foreign: $155 million)
16. (tie) The Smurfs 2 (Domestic: $115 million, Foreign: $460 million)
17. (tie) Turbo (Domestic: $115 million, Foreign: $205 million)
18. . Grown Ups 2 (Domestic: $110 million, Foreign: $125 million)
19. After Earth (Domestic: $105 million, Foreign: $310 million)
20. (tie) The Great Gatsby (Domestic Forecast: $100 million, Foreign: $150 million)
20. (tie) 2 Guns (Domestic: $100 million, Foreign: $95 million)
Other Noteworthy Titles
There are a handful of major releases that didn't make this list. Here's a breakdown of those titles, with a quick explanation for why they were left off.
The Internship (June 6): A reteaming of Wedding Crashers duo Vince Vaughn and Owen Wilson should be a slam-dunk, but The Internship's odd trailers give off the impression this movie should have come out in 2007, not 2013.
This is the End (June 13): Previews for This is the End deliver a lot of laughs, but the notion of stars playing themselves is something that probably won't connect outside of major cities.
R.I.P.D. (July 19): If there's one Summer 2013 movie that's likely to take the Jonah Hex awards (ill-advised, low-grossing comic book adaptation), it has to be R.I.P.D.
Red 2 (July 19): 2010's Red was a surprise hit with $90.4 million; while the sequel does add a few interesting cast members (Catherine Zeta-Jones, Anthony Hopkins), it feels like the premise itself has already worn out its welcome.
300: Rise of An Empire (Aug. 2): The original 300 earned an incredible $210.6 million in 2007, which made a follow-up seem very logical. However, that movie had a very definitive ending, and without director Zack Snyder or star Gerard Butler, audiences are likely going to treat this as nothing but a knock-off.
Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters (Aug. 7): The first Percy movie was a solid performer with $88.8 million at the domestic box office—the sequel, though, appears designed specifically to build on the $138 million foreign haul, and the best-case scenario is that domestic winds up about even.
Planes (Aug. 9): This Cars spin-off was originally supposed to be direct-to-video, but early this year Disney decided on a theatrical release. Unfortunately, August is historically a dead zone for animated movies, and it doesn't help that so many major animated releases are coming before it this Summer.
We're the Millers (Aug. 9): Without a ton of comedy competition and with Horrible Bosses stars Jennifer Aniston and Jason Sudeikis, this could wind up a surprise hit—unfortunately, there's almost no material available for this title right now, so it's going to stay off the main list.
Kick-Ass 2 (Aug. 16): Riding a wave of hype, the first movie only wound up with $48.1 million; even coming off strong home video business, it's unlikely that this sequel drastically outgrosses its predecessor.
One Direction: This is Us (Aug. 30): The One Direction 3D concert movie could be a minor late Summer hit, but it's unlikely it matches Justin Bieber: Never Say Never ($73 million).
05-05-13, 03:16 PM
#3
DVD Talk Legend
05-05-13, 03:17 PM
#4
DVD Talk Legend
Re: boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
A lot of the list seems like it could be fairly accurate except I'm not too sure on Man of Steel doing that well.
05-05-13, 05:35 PM
#6
DVD Talk Legend
Re: boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
For the most part I agree, although they're too generous on more than a few - namely Pac Rim, WHD, WWZ and 2Guns. WHD could break 100m, but I'd be surprised if any of the others do. Wolverine could go higher if it ends up being good. Star Trek 2 would've been higher, but the negative buzz will keep it under 300...
05-05-13, 07:37 PM
#7
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Re: boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
For the most part I agree, although they're too generous on more than a few - namely Pac Rim, WHD, WWZ and 2Guns. WHD could break 100m, but I'd be surprised if any of the others do. Wolverine could go higher if it ends up being good. Star Trek 2 would've been higher, but the negative buzz will keep it under 300...
05-06-13, 02:01 AM
#8
DVD Talk Legend
Re: boxofficemojo.com Summer 2013 Forcast
Well, to be fair, adjusted for ticket inflation, Superman Returns adjusts to $242m so with good WOM, in addition to Nolan's name being attached even if he had little to do with it, might get people to the theater on opening weekend. Given SR adjusts to $63.6m opening weekend, I think that's doable for MoS and then some (maybe $80-90m).
05-06-13, 05:36 AM
#9
DVD Talk Legend
05-06-13, 09:41 AM
#11
DVD Talk Hero
